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Should You Buy XRP (Ripple) While It's Under $10?

Key Points

The price of XRP (CRYPTO: XRP) is surging once again. This week, the coin popped nearly 30% in value. Over the past month, the crypto asset has increased in value by roughly 60%. And over the last 12 months, XRP has surged by around 500%.

After blasting through the $3 mark and setting a new all-time high, is Ripple still a buy? If you believe in this story, the token could be a buy at any price under $10. But there are a few things you want to be aware of before loading up.

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Is Ripple gaining regulatory and industry buy-in?

The biggest cause of Ripple's recent price surge has been growing optimism surrounding the regulatory environment, as well as encouraging signs of potential industry adoption.

For years, Ripple has faced a long list of regulatory and adoption challenges. From a regulatory standpoint, the project has been involved in a lawsuit by the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC), which charges it with selling unregistered securities in the coin lauch. After roughly five years, the case was finally settled for $50 million in May, unburdening the project from one of its biggest valuation drags.

From an industry buy-in standpoint, the project has long struggled to attract top-tier banks to its novel system of cross-border transactions. That remains a long-term challenge, but ongoing adoption by global banks, including Travelex Bank in Brazil, Axis Bank in India, UnionBank in the Philippines, ChinaBank, and Qatar National Bank, has provided real-world validation of Ripple's network. Partnerships with local banks help the Ripple team make their services easy to use.

The cross-border transactions market is already worth around $200 trillion today. By the end of the decade, its value is expected to approach $300 trillion. Ripple is clearly competing in a gigantic market -- one of the largest total addressable markets in the world. Adoption and regulatory approval have long been the challenge. But improving conditions this year for both of those categories have investors increasingly excited.

A crypto mining data center.

Image source: Getty Images.

Buy Ripple today if you fit this one characteristic

Do improving conditions make Ripple a buy today? For many investors, the answer is yes. In fact, Ripple could be a buy as long as it's under $10. At $10, Ripple would have a $600 billion market cap. That's justifiable, assuming Ripple takes only a few percentage points off the market shares of various global payment networks.

The SWIFT network, for example, handles more than $5 trillion in transactions per day. Capturing just 1% of this volume would result in roughly $18 trillion in annual volume for Ripple. At that rate, Ripple would likely be worth significantly more than $10.

If you're an aggressive growth investor seeking maximum upside potential, Ripple looks like a buy at under $10. But if you're looking for a more balanced risk-versus-reward scenario, it's best to look elsewhere. That's because the global payments system is highly consolidated, as SWIFT's massive volumes show.

Financial institutions have long been wary of competing systems and are unlikely to switch en masse to a relatively unproven system like Ripple, even if Ripple's network is superior on paper. Additionally, there is growing competition for alternative payment networks such as Visa's B2B Connect and JPMorgan's Onyx platform.

From a fundamentals perspective, it's still far too early to nail down a fair valuation for Ripple. It remains a very speculative asset. There's huge upside to be sure, but if and when that upside is realized, as well as its ultimate magnitude, is difficult to predict.

Aggressive growth investors should strongly consider a small exposure to Ripple. Most investors, however, are better off elsewhere.

Should you invest $1,000 in XRP right now?

Before you buy stock in XRP, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and XRP wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,056,790!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Ryan Vanzo has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase, Visa, and XRP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

JPMorgan Chase Q2 Profit Hits 15 Billion

JPMorgan Chase & Co.(NYSE:JPM) reported second quarter 2025 earnings on July 15, posting net income of $15 billion, earning per share (EPS) of $5.24, revenue of $45.7 billion, and a return on tangible common equity (ROTCE) of 21%.

Dividend guidance was raised to $1.50 per share for Q3, while full-year guidance for net interest income, or NII (ex-markets), increased to $92 billion, reflecting growth in card balances.

This analysis highlights three distinct strategic and operational developments with outsized implications for the long-term investment thesis.

Capital Allocation Flexibility and Strategic Deal Discipline

During the quarter, the Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio declined by 40 basis points to 15%, as capital distributions and higher risk-weighted assets (RWA) outpaced net income generation. Management indicated both organic and inorganic growth remain under consideration for capital deployment, with inorganic opportunities subject to a disciplined financial and strategic screen, providing headroom for diverse capital uses.

"So know, we deploy our capital against organic and inorganic growth. And we ensure a sustainable dividend. And with what's left, we do buybacks. It is a big amount of excess, and that does mean that everything is on the table as it always is. And that includes potentially inorganic things. Acquisitions have a high bar both financially strategically, and importantly, in some cases, culturally. I don't particularly think, other than fundamentally whether things are permissible or not. That the regulatory environment right now particularly shapes our thinking on that front."
— Jeremy Barnum, Chief Financial Officer

JPMorgan Chase's significant surplus capital and nuanced approach to M&A signal the potential for targeted acquisitions, but with high selectivity, which reduces the likelihood of value-destructive deals and supports disciplined capital returns.

Market Leadership and Robust Fee-Based Revenue Expansion

The Commercial & Investment Bank (CIB) division delivered $6.7 billion in net income on revenue of $19.5 billion. Revenue for this segment was up 9% year over year; investment banking fees increased 7% year on year, while markets revenue surged 15%, driven by a 14% increase in fixed income and a 15% rise in equities. The firm continues to lead with an 8.9% wallet share among global investment banks, and average client deposits rose 16% year over year, supported by healthy activity in payments and securities services.

"IB fees were up 7% year on year continue to rank number one with wallet share of 8.9%. Advisory fees were up 8%, benefiting from increased sponsor activity. Debt underwriting fees were up 12%, primarily driven by a few large deals. In equity underwriting, fees were down 6% year on year. Our pipeline remains robust and the outlook along with the market is notably more upbeat. Payments revenue was up 3% year on year, excluding equity investments, driven by higher deposit balances and fee growth, predominantly offset by deposit margin compression. compression. Funding revenue was down 6% year over year, reflecting higher losses on hedges. Moving to markets, total revenue was up 15% year on year for Q2 2025. Fixed income was up 14% with improved performance in overseas and emerging markets, rates commodities. This was partially offset by fewer opportunities in securitized products and fixed income financing. Equities was up 15%, continue to see strong performance across products, most notably in derivatives."
— Jeremy Barnum, Chief Financial Officer

This breadth of double-digit growth across several noninterest income categories and sustained market leadership reinforces earnings diversification throughout economic cycles.

Digital Strategy, Payments Innovation, and Stablecoin Engagement

Net inflows in Asset & Wealth Management totaled $31 billion. Assets under management (AUM) grew 18% year over year, to $4.3 trillion, and deposits rose 9% over the same timeframe. Management articulated an intent to compete with both stablecoins and fintechs while advocating for customer-oriented data sharing and pricing frameworks in open banking.

"We're going to be involved in both JPMorgan deposit coin and stablecoins to understand and to be good at it."
— Jeremy Barnum, Chief Financial Officer

By directly engaging in digital asset infrastructure and remaining at the forefront of payments innovation, JPMorgan Chase targets resilience against fintech disintermediation risks and positions itself to influence, and potentially shape, future industry standards for digital finance and open banking.

Looking Ahead

Management raised net interest income guidance (ex-markets), to approximately $92 billion, and total NII guidance to $95.5 billion. On an adjusted expense-basis, guidance was revised upward to $95.5 billion, primarily due to currency fluctuations, but it was described as largely neutral to the bottom line.

Card net charge-off rates are expected to be approximately 3.6%, and the board intends to increase the quarterly dividend to $1.50 per share starting in Q3.

Where to invest $1,000 right now

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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 14, 2025

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. This article was created using Large Language Models (LLMs) based on The Motley Fool's insights and investing approach. It has been reviewed by our AI quality control systems. Since LLMs cannot (currently) own stocks, it has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Starbucks' China Challenge and Decoding Meta's AI Push

In this podcast, Motley Fool analyst Jason Moser and contributor Lou Whiteman discuss:

  • Starbucks' move to sell part of its China business.
  • Hershey hires a new CEO.
  • Meta moves for more talent and invests in eyewear.
  • What should be on investors' radar this earnings season.

To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.

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A full transcript is below.

Should you invest $1,000 in Starbucks right now?

Before you buy stock in Starbucks, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Starbucks wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $680,559!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,005,670!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,053% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025

This podcast was recorded on July 09, 2025.

Jason Moser: Starbucks pivots in China and Meta makes some big investments. You're listening to Motley Fool Money. Welcome to Motley Fool Money. I'm Jason Moser, joining me today. It's Motley Fool analysts Lou Whiteman. Lou, thanks for being here.

Lou Whiteman: Great to be seen.

Jason Moser: On today's show, Hershey has a new CEO. Meta is making some big investments in AI, and earning season is, believe it or not, right around the corner. But today, we begin with the king of coffee. Reports are that Starbucks has garnered quite a bit of interest in its China business, as it looks possibly selling a majority stake in that business. The company said, "We remain committed to China and want to retain a meaningful stake in the business. Any deal must make sense for Starbucks business and partners." Lou, China has been a bit of a challenge for Starbucks as of late. Do you think this is the right move to try to sell the majority stake in this business?

Lou Whiteman: I do. I like this a lot. New CEO Brian Niccol, he's got a lot on his plate. He's articulated a plan, the back to Starbucks. He's going to revitalize to domestic business. But look, it's going to take time, it's going to take resources. Finding a partner to work with China, it would allow Starbucks to retain some of the upside, but it is a massive market. I get it. But it would provide a cash infusion and take one thing off that plate off of that daily agenda. It feels like a win-win.

Jason Moser: It seems like there was a lot of interest. Something close to 30 equity firms and whatnot actually submit it.

Lou Whiteman: Big money?

Jason Moser: Yeah, big money, valuing it anywhere from, 5-$10 billion, I saw. You talk about the growth opportunity in China, and that's been part of the story. I think with Starbucks for many of us for many years, it's not to say they haven't grown there. They have almost 8,000 stores in China to date. But, they're talking about really going so far beyond that. It's 10% of overall revenue right now. It's meaningful, but it seems like it could be more meaningful. How big do you think they can grow as part of the business?

Lou Whiteman: They talk about 20,000 locations, which is more than double. That, honestly, I don't know about that. That's part of why I think I'm OK with them at least finding a partner or keeping some upside, but not all of it. I think the Chinese consumer, like the American consumer and most other consumers, I think they're going to lean into domestic brands over international ones as that market matures. I think to some extent, it's happening. Maybe refocusing the operations, finding a partner, growing that way and doing it, not just rubber stamping what Starbucks is here. I think there's probably room for growth, but I don't think maybe it's what we were talking about a few years ago, and I don't think it's priority one right now for them, either.

Jason Moser: This seems like a little bit like history repeating itself. You remember in the early days when they were growing internationally, and they had, in most places, they were taking that company owned approach to the stores. Then, it turns out not every country is the same, Lou, and the cultural clashes, the differences, it was all very different in so many different ways, in so many different locations. They pivoted to partnering up with local partners in those respective markets. I'm with you. I think this is a good move. I actually like it. I think it gives them the opportunity to participate in the upside without having to devote so many resources to it. I like the decision. I feel like this is something that Niccol has been mulling around for a while. I'd be curious to know. He's closing in on a year in September with the company. What grade would you give Brian Niccol today?

Lou Whiteman: Forget what I think. [LAUGHTER] Howard Schultz seems bought in. I think we can all agree. Howard's very smart and also can be a meddler. I think Howard Schultz giving him an A is very important. But I don't think Howard's wrong. I think Niccol's plan to refocus Starbucks give us back the experience we fell in love with and also adjust the menu, so we're not waiting in line for 40 minutes in the drive through. It all makes sense. It's a strong grade, it's an incomplete grade because it's one thing to say it. We have to execute and do it. But I like where they're going with.

Jason Moser: The stock is basically flat since Niccol took over, or you think it's just a couple of percentage points. But it still boasts a premium multiple at 34 times earnings, do you think this stock from to date, do you think this is an outperformer in the coming five years?

Lou Whiteman: I think so. I'll be honest. The valuation gives me pause. I don't think it's going to be, I think maybe the hypergrowth days are over. But look, the brand resonates. I think you'll see operational improvements under Niccol which will boost results. You have, what, 2.5% dividend yield to boost your total return. Yeah, maybe it isn't what the growth was before, but it still, I think, has the bones of a market beater of just a top operator.

Jason Moser: Yeah, I'm with you. I'm hanging on in my shares too. Well, next up, Hershey has a new CEO.

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Jason Moser: Hershey Company has a new CEO, Wendy's CEO Kirk Tanner will replace Michele Buck, who's retiring after almost eight years as CEO of the company. Tanner will take over on August 18th and previously served over 30 years at Pepsi. Lou, I was talking with our colleague, Ant Schiavone, who follows Hershey closely. He said that while Tanner definitely has the resume to be CEO with those three decades at PepsiCo., and he had a short stint at Wendy's, it started in February 2024. It was a bit shaky. Shares down around 40% during his tenure. They had to cut the dividend earlier this year. The Ant noted that was likely to happen regardless who was CEO. What do you think his biggest challenge right off the bat is going to be taking over for such a, I mean, this is just a legendary, iconic American brand. They're going through some tough times. What do you think the biggest challenge he's facing us?

Lou Whiteman: A brand that has always or mostly promoted from within, too, which I think is interesting, too. I think you said it well. It's hard to judge the time at Wendy's, both because it was so short and he did step in at a difficult time. But it feels like Hershey's is more similar to what he did at Pepsi and he was successful there. Wendy's is more retail focused. I think that's a positive. I suspect his biggest challenge is to continue the pivoted way from chocolate, from cocoa prices. Hershey's has quietly built up this roster.

Jason Moser: What?

Lou Whiteman: Pirate Booties, Dot's Pretzels, SkinnyPop. It feels like there's further opportunities to go in that direction, and bringing someone in from Pepsi suggests to me, at least that that's where the board is focused. That's his challenges to execute there and make that happen.

Jason Moser: I think you're right. You got to broaden that portfolio because we've seen this over the last several quarters, years, the cocoa prices have really been hammering Hershey, and it's always fun to pay attention during Halloween to see what candy he's selling. Last year, we definitely saw a trend toward, like, the fruity, sugary candies, chocolate, a little bit less so because it was getting more expensive. Then the dreaded shrinkflation came into play. They're making the candy bar smaller Lou. Not cool, but I guess I get it.

Lou Whiteman: Hey, my doctor likes it, even if I don't.

Jason Moser: Exactly. We talked about Brian Niccol. Now we're talking about Hershey here with Kirk Tanner. When you see new leadership in play here, how long do you typically give new leadership to start delivering?

Lou Whiteman: It's so hard, because obviously, every situation is different. You have to factor in macro, what situation does a new leader drop into. But look, generally, I think, at least a year, we talk about this a lot. We're long term focused investors. We understand that quarter to quarter fluctuations happen, and they're part of the business, and we don't panic. We don't freak out with one quarter. We don't get too excited. I think we have to give leadership the same understanding, the same philosophy. In a case like this the challenges, the consumer, cocoa prices, perhaps maybe you need more time, but I'll tell you what I do want Jamo and what I'd like to see is within a year, what Niccol gave us, I want to hear our leadership articulate a plan. I want something I can evaluate from here. You may not be able to solve the problem in a year, but I want to hear how you're planning on doing it within a year.

Jason Moser: I like that. One of Tanner's go to moves at Wendy's was offbeat collaborations. They did a Girl Scout thin mint frost Deep. Tried that one, it was good. Spicy Taki chip chicken sandwiches. Hey, man, I love Takis and I love chicken sandwiches.

Lou Whiteman: I don't love that.

Jason Moser: Sponge Bob brand and burgers. Let's play armchair CEO for a second. What brand collaboration would you recommend for Hershey's?

Lou Whiteman: The company that brought us peanut butter and chocolate, [LAUGHTER] they have to get collaborations. This is a no brainer, but I love Dot's Pretzels. Looking at the website, they have cinnamon season. They have barbecue. They have honey mustard. They don't have chocolate covered pretzels.

Jason Moser: That crossed my mind.

Lou Whiteman: It seems so obvious.

Jason Moser: I have more of a salt tooth than a sweet tooth. I was thinking, I love Dot's Pretzels. I have in the pantry at home. I also like SkinnyPop. That's pretty good stuff. I was thinking, Hey, you get SkinnyPop and you partner up with McCormick for some old bay SkinnyPop? You can cheat and put the stuff on at home, but I guarantee the stuff in the bag is going to be way better. You're bringing two worlds together right there. I'd be all in.

Lou Whiteman: My Baltimore roots are speaking to me right now. [LAUGHTER] I'm in for that. Mr. Tanner, get on that.

Jason Moser: Last question on Hershey, do you think Tanner is still here in five years?

Lou Whiteman: I do. I do think fit matters, and I think the resume implies a better fit, like we said. To use the Willy Wonka, I think maybe this is a golden ticket, and I think it can work out well for Tanner and for Hershey shareholders.

Jason Moser: Lou Meta continues to make big investments in AI. Founder and CEO Mark Zuckerberg is spending big to recruit AI talent. We're talking tens, hundreds of millions of dollars from reports. Now we also saw that the company's taking a minority stake in Ray-Ban maker Es Luxottica, and that really plays into these Ray-Ban AI glasses that they're starting to get out there. I'll be interested to see how this holiday season, how those are received. Now, as we saw with the Metaverse, Zuckerberg's playbook is to go big or go home, $3.5 billion investment in Ray-Ban, reportedly hundreds of millions of dollars in recruiting bonuses. that's a lot. What should investors make of all the spending?

Lou Whiteman: Usually I find interesting back in January, Meta committed to, what, spending $70 billion in CapEX, mostly to build out AI. Our focus was on chips at the time. Certainly Invidia is getting a lot of love here. But, it feels like we're kidding that next step, where, what do we do with all that capacity, making the magic happen? Look, if you think chips are hard to come by and they are, just how hard is it going to be to get the right talent and the right partners and all of that. I think be aggressive makes sense. Zuckerberg likes to be aggressive, but focus on the big picture of try and be a first mover here. I get what they're doing, and I think it makes sense, because at some point, we got to use all these chips or something, and it better be neat.

Jason Moser: Yeah, this is an arms race like we haven't seen in some time. All these companies is just foot on the gas, and they're spending a lot, but clearly, that's telling us something. I think we're in the middle of something big here. Now, the Metaverse spending, that led to the year of efficiency, if you remember that. Investors became worried about return on investment, do you see this playing out the same way or like, how long of a leash does Meta have here to ultimately build out their AO chops and demonstrate real return?

Lou Whiteman: I'm curious what you think. I think here the difference is last time they were out on their own. They literally changed their name to Meta. They were the Metaverse island. For better or for worse, it ended up worse. They owned that space, and there's a lot more there with AI, I think.

Jason Moser: I agree.

Lou Whiteman: If there's not, we have a lot of people going along for the ride. I think as long as everyone else is spending, I think it's a much longer leash.

Jason Moser: I think so, too. I think you said it perfectly. There's a there there. AI, it just seems so much bigger. When we're looking at augmented and virtual reality in the Metaverse, it's fascinating technology, but it certainly is more niche, and it's really not quite developed. The obvious use cases that we're seeing play out with AI. The stock, let's talk about the stock. It's had a good year to date. It's up almost 25%, outperforming the market nicely. At around 28 times earnings today, is this something you're interested in? Do you think this is an outperformer over the next five years at today's levels?

Lou Whiteman: So 28 times earnings. What? That's second most affordable among the Mac 7, which for what it is. But look, for all the talk about AI, we you bury the lead when you don't talk about that core advertising business and its ability to just generate. I'm excited about AI, but I just that core business, I don't see a disruption on the horizon here, and with that business, I think the stock beats to market. That is the engine.

Jason Moser: I think AI is really ultimately making that core business even better. That really is the point. they're going to do ancillary stuff with it. But it is making that core business better, and man, they really own a big slice of that ad market, like you said. Next up, earning season is right around the corner. Lou, believe it or not, earnings season is upon us again. JP Morgan unofficially kicks things off on Tuesday, July 15th. What's something that you'll be paying close attention to this earning season? A trend, policy, specific company, and industry? What you got.

Lou Whiteman: We just talked about Meta's year of efficiency. If we want to talk about so far this year, and we're still early into this year. It has been the year of uncertainty, for public companies. Investors largely gave management teams a pass last quarter when they said, I don't know when it comes to guidance. I think that's understandable. I was one of those investors who, I don't know what's going on either, so that's fine. Two related big picture questions I have as I'm watching now is, A, is there more clarity now than there was three months ago? Is there more management teams that are willing to stick their neck out? Since I'm guessing the answer is maybe not, will investors continue to be patient? Will the 'I don't know answer', will that be acceptable now the way it was last quarter? I think, probably, but I'm curious to see how things play out just kind of. We're always forward looking. As investors, it's scary when there's clouds forward. It's a weird time. How about you.

Jason Moser: Well, I think in regard to your points there, two. We're seeing a lot of headlines coming out here again, regarding tariffs. It's leading right in earnings season. It would be understandable if you hear that uncertainty language. But I don't know, do you feel like folks are just getting tariff exhaustion. Like, it's just day after day, so you know that it's happening, and at some point, you just got to let it go and keep running your business.

Lou Whiteman: Yeah, it feels like it's going to net out as a drag on earnings indefinitely that we're just going to have to grin and bear it with, which is a terrible medium because it's just going to be a slog, unfortunately.

Jason Moser: Well, you asked what I was looking at, and for me, it's in regard to enterprise spending trends, over the last several quarters, there's a phrase that we've seen on a lot of these earnings calls, whether it's Twilio or Cloudflare or CrowdStrike, Palo Alto. You name it. These big enterprise servers, the phrase elongated sales cycles, to your point about uncertainty. Their enterprise customers are just simply not quite certain what the future holds. They're spending with some trepidation and maybe not fully committing. We saw just elongated sales cycles on so many earnings calls over the last several quarters. I wonder if that's starting to come to a close. I wonder if we're going to start seeing some more bold spending from a lot of these big enterprises. I'm going to be following a lot of those companies like I just mentioned, those earnings calls, and that will be one key term that I'll be searching through all those calls, elongated sales cycles. That's just telling you, they're just not spending as much as quickly, and we want to see that turnaround.

Lou Whiteman: It's a great point because putting it both together, there is so much uncertainty. It's understandable not to want to make bold moves, but at some point, business has to go on. Where are we in balancing that? That's going to be fascinating to say.

Jason Moser: Well, we'll leave it there. Lou Whiteman, thanks again for being here.

Lou Whiteman: Always a pleasure.

Jason Moser: As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards and are not approved by advertisers. Advertisements or sponsored content are provided for informational purposes only. To see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. I'm Jason Moser. Thanks for listening. Will see you.

Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Jason Moser has positions in McCormick, Starbucks, and Twilio. Lou Whiteman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends CrowdStrike, Hershey, JPMorgan Chase, Meta Platforms, Starbucks, and Twilio. The Motley Fool recommends McCormick and Palo Alto Networks. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Citizens Financial Group Stock Soared in June

Key Points

  • This year's edition of the Federal Reserve's bank stress test saw all tested institutions pass.

  • Although Citizens didn't have to participate, it benefited from the positive results.

  • The company also substantially added to its existing share repurchase initiative.

A seriously bulked-up share repurchase plan and good results of the Federal Reserve's latest banking industry stress test improved the share price of regional lender Citizens Financial Group (NYSE: CFG) in June. Over the course of the month, investors traded the bank's stock up by nearly 11% in reaction to this.

Not so stressed

The rally basically started in the middle of the month, when Citizens announced that stock buyback news. To the satisfaction of its shareholders, the company said it would bolster the existing program by a hefty $1.2 billion. As there was $300 million remaining from the previous authorization, granted in June 2024, the new total is $1.5 billion.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

Person holding payment card while using a laptop PC.

Image source: Getty Images.

For a stock with a sub-$21 billion market cap, that's substantial, and it should have a positive impact on the share price.

A more critical, industrywide development occurred at the end of the month with the stress tests. For those unfamiliar, these are an annual set of analyses in which major U.S. banks are tested to see how they would weather adverse economic conditions, some of which are quite drastic.

As has become the norm, the institutions under the microscope -- which include the "big four" American lenders, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, and Citigroup -- did quite well. All 22 passed their tests, albeit with the caveat that this year's edition was less rigorous than previous rounds.

Citizens Financial isn't sizable enough to go through this wringer annually, instead it's tested every two years, and in 2025 it got a break. Still, there were several regional banks not unlike itself among the 22 tested. All in all, the good results were taken to mean that mid- and large-sized banks in this country are generally doing well, and in the worst-case scenarios can probably cope with catastrophe.

A good Citizen?

I don't blame investors of Citizens Financial -- or any other bank of its size on this market -- for reacting positively to the stress test results. Despite some cuts and scrapes lately, our economy has been performing well, and the smart and disciplined approach of its better lenders is an ever-important factor in this.

Having said that, I'm not all that excited about Citizen Financial's performance recently. In its first quarter revenue was essentially stagnant, as was the company's end-quarter deposits figure. And average loans and leases slumped, even as a bump in non-interest income pushed headline net profit 12% higher to $374 million. To me, it's the larger banks that have better potential these days.

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Wells Fargo is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Citigroup is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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Trump-Musk Drama Costs Tesla

In this podcast, Motley Fool analysts David Meier and Jason Moser join host Ricky Mulvey to discuss:

  • Earnings from CrowdStrike, Lululemon, and Broadcom.
  • Elon Musk's feud with President Donald Trump and the impact on Tesla shareholders.
  • Docusign's turnaround story.
  • Two stocks worth watching: Asana and Amazon.

Stacey Vanek Smith, co-host of Everybody's Business, joins Ricky for a look at the tough job market facing college grads.

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A full transcript is below.

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This podcast was recorded on June 06, 2025.

Ricky Mulvey: It's the Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Ricky Mulvey joining me on the Internet today, it's Motley Fool Senior Analysts, Jason Moser and David Meyer. Fools, great to have you both here.

David Meier: Ricky, it's awesome to be here.

Ricky Mulvey: We've got earnings from CrowdStrike in Lululemon, but I mean, come on, how are we not going to talk about the breakup between Elon Musk and President Trump? First up, though, we're keeping our eye on the ball. We're starting with some economic data before we get to the juicy stuff. J Mo, the unemployment rate stands at 4.2%. While jobs were added above estimates, this report also says that the US added almost 100,000 fewer jobs than estimates thought in the prior two months. Something almost embarrassing, as embarrassing as a vocal crack. I'm seeing headlines that the labor market is softening. I'm seeing headlines that this report is strong. What say you?

Jason Moser: Yeah, this is an economy. There's this duality. The reality of the situation is that things are OK. We've been worried that we're standing on a cliff here as of late, but employment, yes, it slowed down a little bit. Wage growth was there, albeit slower as well. All things put together, things are OK, and we're not close to teetering into a recession it would appear. But then there's this anxiety from consumers, from businesses as we work our way through exactly what the impacts of all of this tariff stuff will ultimately look like and how that could impact business activity. Will it increase inflation? For now, though, things look pretty good. I think the question that I get from this because it seems like everything's OK, it's going to be interesting to see how the Fed reacts to this in the back half of the year. There's a lot of analysts out there that are positing that we probably could see the Fed be a little bit more aggressive with interest rate cuts in the back half of the year, particularly as inflation continues to abate, but it all still hinges on what in the world is going to happen with this tariff talk. That still just remains entirely unclear.

Ricky Mulvey: Traders are optimistic to your point of a recession on the prediction market coal sheet, the odds of a recession this year are at 27%, something that remains surprising to me, since we are coming off a quarter of economic contraction. According to the book, two of those gives you a recession, and we also have fewer ships coming in to the port of Los Angeles. This is a very confusing economic time for any observer. We're going to dive into some jobs trends, tariffs, the economy with Bloomberg's Stacey Vanek Smith later in the show. I'll wrap up the economic talk there and stick with earnings. We're going to focus on the business. Starting with our earnings chatter, we've got CrowdStrike. David, the cybersecurity giant and Fool favorite reported earlier this week. Here's some of the numbers. Total revenue grew to more than one billion dollars. That was a 20% increase from the prior year. 97% gross retention for its services. That's pretty good for a company still coming off in outage. However, investors did not like the guidance going forward. What set out to you in the results?

David Meier: Two things. Almost $200 million of recurring revenue added during the quarter, bringing the total to more than 4.4 billion, and a free cash flow margin of 25%. When I put those two numbers together, that shows me that there's plenty of demand for its products and services, and that the company is generating value from that growth. That is a good report.

Ricky Mulvey: From CEO George Kurtz, he said, "What excites me the most is the necessity agentic AI is creating for CrowdStrike holding Inc's AI native security." If you're going to understand the business and the growth path moving forward, you need to understand the AI agents that this cybersecurity giant is implementing. We'll start here. Why is Kurtz so excited about agentic AI?

David Meier: Yeah, it's actually on the other side that he's excited because AI agents by customers of CrowdStrike, they actually create threat vectors for bad actors. The more agents that are being created and they're being created very quickly right now, the market opportunity is only going up from there. I would also be excited about an increase in a market opportunity of a market where I am a leader.

Ricky Mulvey: I heard a quote on search engine, which is PJ Votes podcast, that basically cybersecurity is the only business that gets worse every single year in technology, because you have so many new threat actors coming in that these businesses are trying to keep up with. Then when you look at the balance sheet here or the financials, CrowdStrike has authorized one billion dollars for share buybacks. This is also a company that likes to issue a lot of stock, and it makes sense. That's how you attract software talent, but how excited should the investors be us on the retail side about this one billion dollars in potential share buybacks?

David Meier: The first thing is, I actually agree with your previous statement. That's the paradox of cybersecurity. It's always needed and always growing because bad actors are always out there. But getting to your question about repurchases at today's prices, I am not excited about that buyback at all. There has to be better ways of investing that money than buying back very expensive shares. I get it, it's about trying to control dilution, but there has to be plenty of things for CrowdStrike to be investing in going forward.

Jason Moser: I'm just going to say, I bet you they really wish they executed this a year ago. It more than doubled since that outage. Like you, Dave, I'm definitely not excited by this, and I bet dollars to doughnuts that there is no way this even remotely brings that share account down. Now, that's not unique. We see that all of the time in this space. Still, it's worth remembering.

Ricky Mulvey: For those listening, you have a few options when you have that extra cash, you can keep that cash on the balance sheet or what's wrong with a special dividend? You can pay a special dividend to your shareholders from time to time if you think your share price is a little high. Other companies do that. J Mo, let's move to Lululemon. Lululemon, the maker of stretchy pants and other fashions, is down about 18% this morning. Man, how bad are tariffs for this business, Jason?

Jason Moser: Stretchy pants. Listen, it is exposed to this tariff environment like most others in its space. Now, I'm not sure that they necessarily have the same exposure. If you look at their 10K, for example, and they quantify their supply chain exposure there, 35% of fabrics originated from Taiwan, 28% from China mainland, and 11% from South Korea. Now, on the flip side of that, the raw materials that they use, things like content labels, elastics, buttons, clasps, draw cords. All of that really essentially originates from Asia Pacific and mostly the China mainland. They do have that exposure there, but they are also working on trying to mitigate that. It'll just remain to be seen how well they could pull that off. But it's worth noting, their inventories at the end of the first quarter were up on a dollar basis, 23%, $1.7 billion versus $1.3 billion a year ago, so definitely something to keep an eye on.

Ricky Mulvey: Well, something that has investors in Lululemon, like me, shaking in our ABC pants is that a lot of this growth is coming internationally. If you're buying shares of Lululemon, you have to recognize that a lot of that sales growth is coming from the mainland of China where it's selling finished products. If you're hanging on to Lululemon stock, you're buying into that story. But right now, Lululemon has gotten absolutely crushed. It's at basically a grocery store earnings multiple, which, to me, says, no growth is ever coming again for this company. What's the market saying about this about Lululemon right now, and maybe what say you?

Jason Moser: You're right about the international growth. China revenue is up 22% versus the Americas up only 2%. CEO Calvin McDonald noted on the call. He said that their sense is that US consumers remain very cautious and are being very intentional about their buying decisions, and that just flows right into discretionary spending and impacts a company like Lululemon. In regard to the multiple, I think the multiple makes sense today. You're right, this thing has gotten crushed, and at around 18 times full-year earnings estimates, that's low, historically speaking. However, it also is because essentially it's pricing and no earnings growth. They essentially are not going to grow earnings this year. So then the question you have to ask yourself is, what does it look like beyond just the year? If you think the company can return back to modest top-line growth and really bringing it down to the bottom line for more robust earnings growth, then today would make a lot of sense as a potential buying opportunity. My sense is the multiple will ultimately be assigned is somewhere in the middle. Eighteen seems low for a company that I think can still grow, but I don't know that I'd be buying this company at 70 times earnings, either.

David Meier: One thing to always remember about Lululemon is that these buyers have discretionary income, and they love this product. So over the long term, that has served the company well.

Ricky Mulvey: After the break, it's the rumble between President Trump, Elon Musk, in the impact on Tesla. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.

Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Ricky Mulvey here with Motley Fool senior analysts, David Meier and Jason Moser. JMo and David, we talk about businesses a lot on this show, what we don't talk about often is friendship. What we've learned this week is that some friendships don't last forever, and that is the case with Elon Musk and President Donald Trump. If you want the receipts of their beef, you can check out X and Truth Social. But Musk is throwing barbs over the big, beautiful bill in the impacts on the national debt. Turns out, Elon Musk really does care about that and President Trump, of course, likes his bill. During this, I don't even know if you say a fool out fist fight, sparring match, whatever metaphor you want to use, they're not happy with each other. Tesla stock has taken a fall. More than $150 billion gone in market cap in just one trading day. Fools, I'm going to give this to Jason first. What is the most expensive breakup you've ever had?

Jason Moser: Boy, that escalated quickly, and I'm not going to get into my personal life on this show, Ricky. But I think this is given what we know about both people, this seemed inevitable. Who knows what tomorrow brings, but both very strong-willed and probably stubborn as a word that works here, too. The back and forth has been entertaining, I guess. Unless you're a Tesla shareholder. I'm not, but I'd imagine they probably don't really care for these barbs going back and forth. But I think it's important to note that the impact here on Tesla could be significant in regard to the bill. The bill essentially eliminates a credit worth as much as $7,500 for buyers of certain Tesla models and other EVs by the end of the year. According to JP Morgan analysis here. That would translate to roughly 1.2 billion dollar hit to Tesla's full year profit. That's not insignificant. Then you couple that with separate legislation that's been passed by the Senate based on California's EV sales mandates. That's another potential two billion dollar headwind to Tesla's sales according to JP Morgan. You're looking at some legislation here that could have a meaningful impact on the business if it passes in its current form. But then I saw the tweet there from Musk. He was like whatever, let the credit expire. Go ahead and go as is, but fix the rest of the bill. Who knows how this will all shake out, but it's been quite a couple of days.

Ricky Mulvey: I think, once you start accusing the president of being on certain lists and threatening to release those lists, I would guess that he is not going to take your calls anymore. David, I am not going to ask you about your personal life. I'll just assume that you've never had a $150 billion breakup. But Tesla is in a very weird spot right now. Because we have seen what happens when brands get political. Usually, it's brands going to the left. We've now seen it with brands going to the right. Tesla has managed to upset people on both sides. If you like Trump, you may not be happy with Elon Musk right now. If you're on the left, you may not like what he has done when he was in the White House during his one-month tour of DOGE.

Jason Moser: Do you think Tesla can break this trend of brands getting hurt for the long term when they get political?

David Meier: That's a very interesting question. I think the answer is yes, but only if Musk stops focusing [LAUGHTER] on the soap opera, and starts focusing on the things that will drive the future value of Tesla here. What do I mean? Let's get full self driving. Let's get that out. Let's get the cyber cabs out. Let's get progress with the optimist robots. All the things that are going to drive the future value of the company, put your attention there. Stop this nonsense. You work for the shareholders, and you're a huge shareholder. I realize that money may not matter to him, but it does matter to the people that have invested in his company, so he can break the cycle. Get focused on what is important for the future value of the company. Ultimately, I think, at some point he will do that.

Jason Moser: You know what? If I can give him advice if you're both listening. If you got an issue with someone, a phone call is always better. A coffee is always better. It's always tough once you start airing it out on social media. Let's get back to earnings. Let's get back to earnings because maybe the quietest trillion dollar company on the market reported this week, and that is Broadcom. David, revenue rose 20% on the year here. This is an AI fueled growth story that I think not a ton of people are talking about. But what did we learn about the chip business from Broadcom's report this week?

David Meier: We learned that the demand for AI chips remains high and is growing fast. Within its AI semiconductor revenue, that increased 46%, which easily outpaced the entire chip segment that it has a 17% growth. Quite frankly, that's good for Broadcom and anybody supporting that industry.

Jason Moser: Broadcom's chips, we talk about Invidia and the GPUs that allow these, like, AI LLMs to run. Broadcom's chips are more of a connective tissue. They're working in the background doing memory and networking for running these AI workloads. Their customers include the big tech companies we talk about more often on the show. For listeners that are less familiar with this space, why do these big tech companies need Broadcom chips?

David Meier: It's a great question that can be answered with a question. Do you want your AI to work? If so, you need to be able to spread the computing around the data center and stitch it back together to deliver the answers you're looking for. That's what Broadcom's Chips does. You know, that's pretty important. That's got to be done. If we want this to work, that Broadcom's chips make it happen.

Jason Moser: Then as we wrap up on the Broadcom topic, anything else in the report really stand out to you?

David Meier: No, that 46% growth in the AI semiconductor part of their business, that's phenomenal. I mean, it just really is. That steals the show.

Jason Moser: Let's wrap up with DocuSign. JMO, DocuSign's revenue. This may surprise you. It's actually up from a year ago, and many investors have been out on this COVID fallen angel. I've clicked on Docusigns. What's happening with the business?

David Meier: This is a bit of a good news, bad news quarter, and, we'll get into the good news here in a minute. But why is the stock down? It really is about the Billings and the subsequent guidance for the coming quarter. Now, it's worth noting that they actually raised guidance for the full year, but I think the outlook for the coming quarter maybe has the market wondering how that's exactly going to play out. Management misfecast the Billings number, and that came in a little bit later. It's worth noting. We've seen this before with this company. It is partly a billing story. Billings that's ultimately a timing issue, so it can be difficult to predict. I wonder if they shouldn't just eliminate from even guiding on Billings, to be honest with you. But I mean, talking about the good news, like you said, top line revenue up, we saw what, 8%? We saw $1 net retention rate of 101%. The positive trend there continues, total customers up 10%, surpassing 1.7 million in large customers. We talk about this metric a lot with Docusign large customers spending over $300,000 annually with the company grew 6% from the year ago quarter. I mean, I understand the billings concerns, but there was also a lot to like in the report.

Jason Moser: Then quickly, this company has been telling investors a turnaround story for a while now. You can lose a lot of money waiting on turnaround stories. We've got 20 seconds left. Yes, no, maybe are you buying the turnaround story at DocuSign.

David Meier: Cautiously optimistic. I think all of the metrics that matter point toward this company still growing, and that's ultimately encouraging.

Jason Moser: David Meyer and Jason Moser, gentlemen, we will see you a little bit later in the show, but up next, we're going to make sense of the economy. This strange economy with Bloomberg Stacey Vanek Smith stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.

Ricky Mulvey: You're listening to Motley Fool Money? I'm Ricky Mulvey. The economy is in an interesting spot. The labor market looks hot on the surface, but it's a different story for college grads. As tariffs came online, inflation actually cooled. Helping me make sense of this is Stacey Vanek Smith. You may have heard her on Marketplace or the indicator from Planet Money. She's the co host of a new show called Everybody's Business. VanikSmith joined me earlier this week to make sense of the job market and tariffs. Stacey Vanek Smith co hosts the podcast Everybody's Business from Bloomberg Business Week. Welcome to Motley Fool Money.

Stacey Vanek Smith: Thanks, Ricky. It's great to be here. It's great to see you.

Ricky Mulvey: What an interesting time to check in on the job market. What we're seeing is this very healthy picture at the surface. The U-6 rate, which includes marginally attached workers.

Stacey Vanek Smith: You're going deep. The U-6 Rates. Let's go all in, yes.

Ricky Mulvey: Because that's people who want to work a little bit more. It's the biggest, broadest understanding of the labor market. As we look at the April numbers, and we'll have new numbers by the time you're hearing this, but not when we're recording this. That was down April to April. You heard at the last press conference from Jerome Powell, the unemployment rate remains low, and the labor market is at or near maximum employment. Stacey, this sounds like a labor market that is firing all cylinders, but there seems to be a lot of issues and problems under the surface.

Stacey Vanek Smith: I completely agree. I think this is just one of the most interesting job markets I've ever seen. I don't think I would have ever even imagined a disconnect like this would be possible because everything from my training, and I've been looking at business and economic issues for a long time, you know, it usually the job market is something that you feel. There's a reason I think that people know about the unemployment number. It's probably the most easy to talk about of all economic indicators, I think. I feel like it's the one people pay attention to the most because it's the one you feel and affects our day to day lives. I tend to think of it as something that connects very easily with my lived reality. it just does not feel at all like the job markets in a good place. It feels like it's in a bad place, and all the signs would point to a bad job market. But you're so right. If you look at the numbers, this job markets super strong. Unemployment's near historic lows. We just got the Jolts report, maybe the best name of an economic report that I know, but it's like I think it's job openings, labor turnover, something. But that report came out, and it looks great. Like, job openings are up. Hiring went up more than expected. I don't know, Ricky. I don't know. I have some thoughts, but it's is such a disconnect.

Ricky Mulvey: The good news is you're on a podcast, so you're welcome to share those thoughts. The Jolts report is an interesting one. That's one that I've called before the take your job and stuff it index because it's people voluntarily quitting their job usually with the belief that you can go out and find another job if you're willing to do that. You've also done some reporting with college grads right now. You looked into how the job market is looking for entry level workers, which is at the most risk of getting cut out by AI, especially for white collar jobs. What have you heard from them?

Stacey Vanek Smith: I did I'm based in New York, and so Colombia had their graduation last week. I went up and talked to some of the graduates about how they were feeling. Everyone I talked to felt pretty bad about the job market, except for one woman who was in engineering, who said she felt like everyone she knew had a job. Everybody else I talked to, when I talked to, like, a dozen people, everybody felt terrible about it. The computer science graduates felt terrible about it. I talked to one young man and he had a job, but he said about 40% of his fellow graduates in computer science did not have jobs. The electrical engineering graduates I spoke to said the market was terrible. Everybody just said, Universities are cutting funding, research is going down. Our job for computer science getting replaced by AI, like you said, they were feeling terrible about the job market.

Ricky Mulvey: Can you make any sense of that disconnect then? You have this very healthy surface number. You have college grads feeling not great. In the last quarter, GDP went down. Economic growth slowed a little bit, and you would expect to see jobs really reacting to that and yet, it is a full employment picture in the economy, according to our Fed Chief.

Stacey Vanek Smith: Well, I think there are few things going on. I mean, the short answer is, I don't know. I just don't know. I'm so puzzled. A couple of things to keep in mind is that sometimes jobs are a little bit of a lagging indicator because companies will often wait a little bit to lay people off if times get tough. Especially because we had that really hot job market during the pandemic and so it was a lot. It was hard for businesses to find workers in a lot of cases so they might be more hesitant than they would have been before to let people go, just knowing that it can be hard to find good people. There's a lot of uncertainty right now. I think maybe companies are waiting and seeing a little bit, so maybe they are just holding their cards close to their vest and waiting to make moves. But, I mean, another part of it is maybe the sectors that are hiring versus the sectors that are experiencing layoffs. I looked into the Joel report a little bit, and sectors like healthcare and social assistance. Those are hiring. A lot of the jobs are that and business services. The ones laying people off are like manufacturing and leisure and hospitality. Specially leisure and hospitality, I think is pretty visible. It could just be the sectors that are hiring might be less visible than the other ones. Also, as humans, we tend to be oriented more toward the bad news a little bit. I do think there tends to be a little bit of a negativity bias sometimes. We went through such a trauma with COVID. So maybe that's part of it. I have trouble believing that, but I don't know. I'm looking at the numbers. I can't I don't know. It doesn't make any sense to me. What about you?

Ricky Mulvey: I mean, some of its vibe from looking at LinkedIn, I see a lot of, like, job searching posts on LinkedIn. But then I realize, there's a tremendous amount of bias in that sample. One of which is because LinkedIn has this feature of the open to work sticker.

Stacey Vanek Smith: Yes. That's a good point.

Ricky Mulvey: It used to be not as visible if someone was looking for a job or just posting on LinkedIn. Then there's also a selection bias there where if one is posting regularly on LinkedIn, they are more likely to be looking for a job, and then I think there was a lot of gains. I haven't looked at the JOLTS report, but I would guess, with the slowdown in white collar work, the only way that that makes sense is if there is some makeup in what you said as healthcare work and then service and hospitality, even if it's not travel and leisure. That part would be my guess.

Stacey Vanek Smith: We're also journalists, and media is a hot mess right now. We might have a skewed view because the people we know and our colleagues, it's a difficult moment for media.

Ricky Mulvey: I'll also be curious to see what the long-term effects of a lot of these moves are. One of my buddies, who is a software engineer, a lot of the work that he's done at an entry level is talent development for a lot of big organizations. When that's passed to AI, his point is you're just going to have a slow leakage because everyone who knows things is going to move to different organizations or retire. Then you're going to be stuck with this longer term problem where you've developed no internal talent to take on the roles that middle managers and senior leaders need to do at your company, and you've eviscerated your firm system to use a baseball metaphor. I don't know if that'll entirely be true. Businesses are pretty nimble, but I do wonder if a lot of these companies are creating long-term problems for themselves by getting rid of the entry level positions.

Stacey Vanek Smith: I think that's probably true. That could account for why it's such a hard moment for recent grads in computer science to get jobs because the one young man, I keep wanting to say the kid that I talked to, but he was not a kid. He was a graduate in computer science with a job that he had lined up, but he said a lot of the entry level coding jobs were just being done by AI. He said he was using AI to do a lot of his coding, and I was like, do you think you would have had an assistant for that? He's like, maybe. He certainly would have taken a lot more of my time and he, I think, was at a little bit of a higher level, so he was OK, but I think you're right. A lot of the jobs that would have gone to people starting out that helped to build a pipeline, that help to funnel people into a career, I think a lot of those, especially in certain fields are getting snapped up by AI, for sure.

Ricky Mulvey: The other biggest economic story is tariffs. This is a tough topic to pre-record, but we shall try. We've had to make some edits in the past to let the listeners know because you record something one day, and then it turns out by Friday, when you're listening, that things get a little trickier. But from your economic lens, what are your biggest questions about this tariff story right now?

Stacey Vanek Smith: Tariffs, I'm so interested in this, and simultaneously also, so a little bit scared of it. You're so right. I do a lot of work for Marketplace, the public radio show, and I was talking to my editor there, and she said they will not assign any feature stories on tariffs anymore because things change so fast. She's like, we keep having to kill stories. I think Trump has changed tariff policies more than 50 times since he's taken office, 50 times. Usually trade deals, these are slow creaking wheels in the economy. They spend years hammering them out, and then they're in place forever. These are sleepy topics. There's this trade economist, Chad Bown, who's wonderful, and he has this podcast called Trade Talks. I remember, during Trump won, calling him and he was just like, this used to be the sleepiest job, and everyone would be like, what is there to even talk about? Do you ever get tired of talking about NAFTA? Now his phone is ringing off the hook because there are so many changes. I think the change is one of the big stories, honestly, all the back and forth, all the uncertainty. I think that there's a lot of speculation as to why Trump is doing that. Part of it's just that he likes making deals, and he changes his mind, and it's the threat that he can use.

To me, what it shows us, the American consumer has been the powerhouse of the global economy for decades now. American consumer spending is two-thirds of the US economy, but it's also almost 20% of the global economy, and so that is a lot of muscle to flex. I think Trump likes having that muscle to flex, but also the entire world's economy has accommodated itself around us buying tons of stuff. If that actually changes or even changes a little, I think the ripples from that are going to be immense. If these tariffs do go through at the scale that I think Liberation Day introduced, then I think we're in for a real problem. I always think about Argentina because I've done some reporting on Argentina. They put a whole bunch of protectionist tariffs in place in 2010. It completely destroyed their economy, and that is what keeps me up at night, I guess.

Ricky Mulvey: This is subject to change, but consumers are probably going to spend if prices don't rise dramatically. Right now, the economy is pretty much in the soft landing that the Fed wanted a while ago throughout this tariff spat. You had maximum employment mentioned by Fed Chair Powell, and you're also pretty close to that 2% inflation rate.

Stacey Vanek Smith: I know.

Ricky Mulvey: 2.1%, we round it. I would have thought that through Liberation Day, through these tariff policies, you would see prices rise immediately. I know you've done reporting on small businesses that are trying to figure out how to adjust prices, but what do you make of inflation staying pretty cool even throughout these economic tariff spat, economic dispute, trade war, whatever you want to call it?

Stacey Vanek Smith: This was a big shock to me too. This was another layer of vibe session because when the inflation report was coming out, the consumer price index, the CPI, this last one, I was like, here we go, because the tariffs have now been in place for a few months. Even though there's been a lot of back and forth, businesses have been padding their prices, businesses have had to try to find a way to cope with all the change too. I talked to one florist who was putting a flat fee on all of his bouquets because the tariffs on each of his flowers, which all came from different countries, was changing all the time. I still can't wrap my head around the fact inflation came down, and everyone's like, well, it's just a month of reprieve because businesses were able to stockpile stuff, like Apple. Tim Cook airlifted 600 tons of iPhones out of China, airlifted it. There is potentially some lag there. I just don't know anymore. I feel curiouser. It's like the Through the Looking-Glass economy. It is like the Lewis Carroll economy. Nothing seems to match up with what I think. Every time a report comes out, I'm like, here we go. Now we're going to see the stuff that I know we will see, we don't see it, and it could be that there is a lag in the case of the CPI and inflation numbers, I don't know.

Ricky Mulvey: I need to get my own phrase, like Kyla Scanlon got with vibecession. I need the opposite because you got economic growth slowing down, and yet the job market still appears to be strong on the surface. Also, the market is pretty close to all-time highs.

Stacey Vanek Smith: I know.

Ricky Mulvey: As we record this week, the S&P is pretty much made up from all of the losses that it initially withstood from Liberation Day. Its traders have completely brushed it off, but I think we are in a more volatile market. Stacey, as we wrap up, any other economic story lines you're watching that you're curious about right now?

Stacey Vanek Smith: Well, the thing that I'm watching, and maybe I'm watching it because it's the thing that lines up with the reality I've been observing, but it is the bond market. The bond market does seem to be flashing red, especially with the big beautiful bill, the tax cut extension going through Congress, which could potentially add $4 trillion to the deficit. The bond market does seem to be flashing red; like you said, nothing else is. Yes, we've got to come up with our anti-vibecession word, Ricky, but I will be watching the bond market, along with the markets and the job's numbers and inflation.

Ricky Mulvey: Stacey Vanek Smith, she's got a show, Everybody's Business. You can find it on Podcasts. Appreciate your time and your insight. Thanks for joining us on Motley Fool Money.

Stacey Vanek Smith: Thanks, Ricky. Great to be here.

Ricky Mulvey: As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about, and the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards and are not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content provided for informational purposes only. See our full advertising disclosure. Please check out our show notes. Up next, Radar Stocks, stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.

I'm Ricky Mulvey, joined again by Jason Moser and David Meier. Before we get to Radar Stocks, I just want to point out, this is Rick Engdahl's final radio show. Rick is in the studio with us, the online studio, a longtime Fool, multimedia extraordinaire behind Rule Breaker Investing, Motley Fool Money, and Motley Fool Answers. He is a folk artist who somehow ended up at the Fool and an artist who's fixed problems that you, the listener, will never know existed. Rick, you are a total joy to work with. I will miss having you in recordings, and I look forward to seeing you in Colorado, man. I'm going to miss you. You'll hear him.

Rick Engdahl: Thank you very much, and I will miss all too.

Ricky Mulvey: Enough with the sentimentality. Let's get to stocks on our radar. That's promised every show, we got to do it. Our man behind the glass for the final time, Rick Engdahl is going to hit you with a question. Jason, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?

Jason Moser: Sure, a little company called Amazon, you may have heard of it, their ticker is AMZN, and coming off a pretty good core. But in news that is both fascinating and a little scary at the same time. Amazon's reportedly close to beginning testing human-like autonomous delivery methods, or in simpler terms, robots that deliver packages to your door. This is certainly quite futuristic and likely a ways away from becoming reality, but they're starting to test this stuff out. Given that it's working on humanoid robots for its warehouses, it's not that big of a leap to see how the technology could proliferate in time. Of course, agentic AI is behind it all in allowing these robots to actually understand and act on natural human language. It seems the future is now.

Ricky Mulvey: Rick, you got a quick question about Amazon or humanoid robots.

Rick Engdahl: Well, as you know, I tend to ask a little bit offbeat and witty questions. Since I have to hand this off, I'm going to have ChatGPT ask these questions for me, so I ask for some witty questions. Here you go. Is Amazon still a buy now or just a warehouse full of investor hopes?

Jason Moser: I think given the number of ways this company makes its money, I got to consider this thing a buy, still even today.

Ricky Mulvey: Real quick, David. Was that witty enough for you? Because it's your last show, I'll give you a 7 out of 10. David, quickly, what's on your radar this week?

David Meier: Mine is workflow management software company, Asana. Ticker is ASAN. This was a high flyer pre-pandemic that has come back down to Earth, and it's a more mature company today. It's still growing, but now it's generating cash, and it has a very bright future with its AI-related software that it's selling. Multiples are, I think, attractive today, so this is one that I am going to be looking at after letting go of the company in 2022.

Ricky Mulvey: Rick.

Rick Engdahl: This one's even better. Let's see. Is Asana the future of work or just working on its future?

Ricky Mulvey: Wow.

David Meier: It's a little of both because customers are using the software more and more, and that's a good thing for both the user and Asana.

Rick Engdahl: I appreciate you guys actually answering my questions there because they were really bad. I'm sure that AI will improve over time.

Ricky Mulvey: What are you putting on your watch list?

Rick Engdahl: I should, hold on a second, type in. Apparently, I'm going with Amazon.

Ricky Mulvey: We'll leave it there. Rick Engdahl, Jason Moser, David Meyer, thank you for being here. Thank you for listening to this week's Motley Fool Money.

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. David Meier has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Jason Moser has positions in Amazon and Docusign. Rick Engdahl has positions in Amazon and Tesla. Ricky Mulvey has positions in Lululemon Athletica Inc. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, CrowdStrike, Docusign, JPMorgan Chase, Lululemon Athletica Inc., and Tesla. The Motley Fool recommends Asana and Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

JPMorgan Chase Is One of the Largest Financial Companies by Market Cap. But Is It a Buy?

Sometimes, it feels like bank stocks carry a stigma.

Perhaps it's the persona of the extremely wealthy, the "suits" as some on social media might call them, that some associate with big banks. Maybe it's a result of the political backlash from the financial aid some banks received during the 2007-2009 financial crisis. Or, it could be that banks are complicated businesses that even professional analysts can struggle to sift through.

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The Motley Fool dove into the financial sector and reported on the world's largest financial companies by market cap. JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) checked in at No. 2, after Berkshire Hathaway. America's largest bank has delivered strong returns for shareholders, with annualized investment returns exceeding 25% during the past five years.

Is the stock still a buy, or has this big bank stock peaked? Here is what you need to know.








































Person using an ATM machine.

Image source: Getty Images.

A lucrative business with a virtually impenetrable moat

Big banks like JPMorgan Chase touch almost every aspect of the economy. They are involved in a wide range of financial products and services, including (but not limited to) consumer and business banking, mortgages, investment management, and student lending. A bank's finances are a complicated web, but a bank's primary function is lending money at higher rates than it pays to depositors.

There are two competitive advantages in that game: size and stickiness. Let me explain.

Larger banks have more resources to invest in areas such as technology to analyze and act on data, marketing to attract customers, and cheaper access to capital that they can use to undercut smaller competitors. It's a significant reason big banks continue to grow larger, while the total number of banks and credit unions in the U.S. has steadily declined.

JPMorgan Chase is America's largest bank with more than $4.3 trillion in assets. It offers practically every financial product or service you could imagine. A customer is more likely to stick with JPMorgan Chase as they use them for more of their financial needs.

It's hard to see anything other than government regulation threatening the wide moat JPMorgan and other large U.S. banks enjoy.

Why JPMorgan Chase will likely continue to grow

Since JPMorgan Chase is essentially everywhere in the economy, it is likely to grow in tandem with it. That trend has played out for years:

JPM Total Assets (Quarterly) Chart

JPM Total Assets (Quarterly) data by YCharts

A bank also benefits from inflation, where asset prices, home values, and loan sizes all grow over time. The catch is that recessions can hurt banks when people and businesses spend and borrow less, and loan defaults rise.

It's a part of investing in bank stocks, though it's worth noting that the 2007-2009 financial crisis was one of the worst events in the financial sector since the Great Depression. Some banks didn't survive, but JPMorgan Chase did, and has thrived in recent years. The stock has outperformed the S&P 500 index by a wide margin during the past decade.

Is the stock a buy?

Here's the problem for investors now. JPMorgan Chase stock currently trades at about 2.2 times its book value, near its highest valuation during the past decade. That's not ideal when the economy is showing multiple signs of potential weakness including:

  • U.S. household credit card debt is at an all-time high.
  • Auto loan delinquencies are at decade-highs, excluding a spike during the pandemic.
  • Student loan repayments are fully resuming after a multiyear pandemic freeze.
  • Interest rates are rising, squeezing demand for mortgages and other loans.

Even JPMorgan Chase's chief executive officer, Jamie Dimon, has publicly expressed concern for the economy's direction. Although JPMorgan is a world-class business and bank, it's tough to justify paying such a high valuation for a company that could soon be subjected to a weaker economy than it has enjoyed for most of the past five years.

Nobody can predict these things with certainty, but investors may be wise to tread lightly here.

Should you invest $1,000 in JPMorgan Chase right now?

Before you buy stock in JPMorgan Chase, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and JPMorgan Chase wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $651,049!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $828,224!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Justin Pope has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Could Buying SoFi Technologies Stock Today Set You Up for Life?

Banking disruptor SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) has grown at an impressive pace in roughly four years since it became a publicly traded company. The company's membership base has more than tripled since the end of 2021, SoFi's banking platform has grown from zero at the start of 2022 to more than $27 billion in consumer deposits today, and its adjusted EBITDA in 2024 was about 23 times what it was just three years prior.

Two stock traders look at a computer monitor.

Image source: Getty Images.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

Even after this fantastic growth, SoFi remains a relatively small financial institution. It is currently the 63rd largest U.S. bank by assets, according to Federal Reserve data. Not only does it have tons of room to grow its customer base and relationships, but there are also some extremely promising growth drivers that investors should know about.

Is SoFi ready to jump to the next level?

In the first quarter of 2025, SoFi grew its revenue by 33% year-over-year, posted its highest earnings per share yet, and added about 800,000 new members – the most it has ever added in a single quarter.

However, 10.9 million members still gives the company tons of room to grow, and management is doubling down on its brand awareness efforts. As one example to show how small SoFi still is, consider that online financial institution Discover (NYSE: DFS) has about 300 million open accounts.

There are some particularly interesting potential catalysts to keep an eye on:

  • The average SoFi member has just 1.4 products with the company. A product is something like a bank account, loan, or credit card. The focus has understandably been on growing the membership base, but this has created massive potential to cross-sell products and services to existing members.
  • SoFi is rapidly scaling its third-party loan origination platform, which requires none of its own capital but generates a low-risk, high-margin stream of fee income.
  • SoFi's core lending business is personal loans, but its student loan and home loan originations increased by 58% and 54%, respectively, in the most recent quarter. If interest rates start to fall, the home loan segment could be a particularly interesting opportunity, especially when it comes to refinancing, as Americans are sitting on more home equity than ever before.

These are just a few examples. But the point is that there are some big catalysts that could help SoFi continue to grow its business and become more profitable in the coming years.

Can SoFi stock produce life-changing wealth?

With a valuation of 2.9 times tangible book value and about 50 times forward earnings as of this writing, SoFi is not exactly a cheap bank stock. However, considering its momentum and high net interest margin, SoFi could be a massive home run if it can deliver on its growth strategy.

SoFi's management has previously stated that its goal is to grow to the point where it is a top 10 financial institution.

For context, the 10th largest commercial bank in the United States today is TD Bank (NYSE: TD), which has about $373 billion in domestic assets. SoFi has $37.7 billion in total assets, so it would need to grow tenfold in size to break into the top 10 list. (Note: TD is roughly one-tenth the size of the largest U.S. bank, JPMorgan Chase.)

If SoFi were to achieve such scale, the business would probably be a highly valued one. For one thing, SoFi is rapidly building out the asset-light parts of its business, such as the third-party loan platform, and these could conceivably scale to a large size as well. Plus, the nature of SoFi's loan portfolio as well as its low cost structure gives it the potential for a higher return on assets than the typical bank. In fact, every single one of the 10 largest U.S. banks is primarily branch- or office-based.

In other words, if SoFi were to increase tenfold in size, in terms of assets, it would probably command a higher valuation than the other large U.S. banks. Therefore, if management can achieve its goal and reach a top 10 position within the next decade or two, its stock could potentially produce life-changing wealth for investors.

Should you invest $1,000 in SoFi Technologies right now?

Before you buy stock in SoFi Technologies, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and SoFi Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $623,685!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $701,781!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 28, 2025

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Discover Financial Services is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Matt Frankel has positions in SoFi Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool recommends Discover Financial Services. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Better Dividend Stock: JPMorgan Chase vs. Goldman Sachs

The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down 12% from its all-time high at the time of writing, as sweeping changes to U.S. trade policy usher in concerns regarding the economy's strength.

Despite these uncertainties, reliable and high-quality dividend income from a diversified portfolio can be a great option for investors to ride out stock market turbulence. By this measure, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) and Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) deserve a closer look as two leading Dow Jones components, supported by robust fundamentals and global diversification that remain well-positioned to navigate any market environment.

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Let's discuss which of these financial titans is the better dividend stock to buy now.

A building featuring a generic signage reading the word bank in large lettering.

Image source: Getty Images.

The case for JPMorgan: A fortress balance sheet

It's often said that it pays to be at the top. In this case, it's not a coincidence that shares of JPMorgan have outperformed the broader market, returning 30% over the past year. JPMorgan benefits from its dominant position as the largest U.S. bank, bolstered by a global financial services footprint.

Its size and scale, with $4.4 trillion in assets -- more than twice Goldman's $1.8 trillion total assets -- could be an advantage during economic turmoil, leveraging a broader deposit base and more diversified revenue streams to support profitability.

That was the message from JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon in the first quarter earnings report (for the period ended March 31), who cited "considerable turbulence" facing the U.S. economy amid looming impact of new trade tariffs, but reaffirmed that the bank's underlying business remains strong.

First quarter highlights included record trading revenues driven by market volatility, while resilient consumer spending at the start of the year boosted credit card services and auto lending. For 2025, JPMorgan expects $94.5 billion in net interest income, a 1.5% increase from last year.

The bank's recent 12% dividend increase to $1.40 per share quarterly is excellent news, resulting in a forward yield of 2.4%. With its rock-solid balance sheet, JPMorgan's steady growth and ability to consolidate market share make it a great dividend stock and a compelling portfolio addition.

The case for Goldman Sachs: More upside potential

While JPMorgan is built like a tank, Goldman Sachs stands out with its fighter jet-level sophistication and market agility. Goldman compensates for its limited exposure to consumer banking with a targeted approach in high-margin investment banking activities.

In the first quarter, Goldman set several operating and financial records, including top rankings in M&A, equity offerings, and record financing net revenue. The bank also marked its 29th consecutive quarter of capturing fee-based net inflows in asset and wealth management. Although Goldman's profile is more economically sensitive, this could be an advantage for shareholders if conditions improve, potentially driving stronger earnings growth than JPMorgan.

For bullish investors who believe recession fears are overblown, Goldman Sachs stock may offer more upside as a buy-the-dip opportunity.

Goldman has rewarded shareholders with significant dividend hikes in recent years, more than doubling its quarterly rate to $3.00 per share since 2021 and outpacing JPMorgan's dividend growth over the past five years. With a strong Q1 adjusted EPS jump of 22% from last year, there's a good chance Goldman will announce another dividend increase later this year, potentially in the double-digit range.

Furthermore, Goldman Sachs stock appears relatively undervalued with a forward price to earnings (P/E) ratio of 12 based on 2025 consensus EPS estimates, compared to JPMorgan's multiple near 13. By this measure, there's a case to be made that shares of Goldman are undervalued relative to its banking peer.

JPM Dividend Yield Chart
JPM Dividend Yield data by YCharts.

Decision time: Goldman is my pick

JPMorgan Chase and Goldman Sachs offer similar dividend yields and face the same macroeconomic headwinds, making it tough to choose the better dividend stock. Still, I give the edge to Goldman, believing its stock offers a better balance of value and dividend growth potential. For investors willing to ride out near-term volatility, Goldman is a great long-term buy-and-hold option in a diversified portfolio.

Should you invest $1,000 in Goldman Sachs Group right now?

Before you buy stock in Goldman Sachs Group, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Goldman Sachs Group wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $591,533!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,319!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 859% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 158% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 21, 2025

JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Dan Victor has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Goldman Sachs Group and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, and American Express Stocks All Popped Today

Stock markets got over their case of the Mondays really quick this week, and after regaining all their Monday losses on Tuesday, are roaring even higher as Wednesday gets off the ground.

Financial stocks are doing particularly well this morning. As of 10:20 a.m. ET, shares of Bank of America (NYSE: BAC) are gaining a respectable 2.8%, while JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) is doing even better with a 3.6% rise, and American Express (NYSE: AXP) is doing best of all -- up 5.4%.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

The American stock market's big news day

What's behind the optimism? President Donald Trump, of course.

After spooking markets earlier in the week with threats to oust Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, Trump ratcheted back the rhetoric this morning, even going so far as to assure investors he has "no intention" of firing Powell (or at least not until the end of his term of office next May). This promise, for as long as it lasts, may be of particular reassurance to financial investors as they're more closely tied to moves by the Fed than anyone else, and were presumably more worried than others about what political pressure on the Fed might do to interest rate policy.

Meanwhile, in tariffs news, the president held out the prospect of falling tariffs on China, which holds the potential to both reduce strain on the American economy and -- potentially -- short-circuit an incipient global trade war that seemed all but certain to happen as recently as Monday. Both prospects diminish the chance of the U.S. falling into recession this year, and that's music to investors' ears.

Referring to tariffs on Chinese imports that have reached levels capable of potentially ending trade between the two countries entirely, the president opined that once negotiations run their course, tariffs on Chinese goods will probably come down "substantially." Forget 145% tariffs. They soon "won't be anywhere near that high."

A large stone building with the word Bank on the side.

Image source: Getty Images.

Is it time to buy bank stocks?

Worries over tariff policy, and the recession risk they raise, have been especially concerning to the banking and credit card industries, reports The Wall Street Journal. As recently as this morning, that paper reported on how credit card companies are bracing for an economic downturn in which consumers stop spending because imported goods have become simply too expensive to buy.

All three of the banks named above were cited in the story, with Amex in particular warning that "consumers are holding off on nonessential splurges" and JPMorgan said to be ratcheting up reserves against an expected recession. The good news is that BofA says consumers are, for now, "still solidly in the game," however. And if Trump ends up calling off his trade war in time to avert a recession, things could turn out as well as investors today seem to feel they will.

Potentially, this could all work out very well indeed for investors brave enough to roll the dice at today's better-than-Monday, but still depressed, valuations. American Express stock is now trading for an unchallenging 17.6 times trailing earnings, while Bank of America and JPMorgan stocks look downright cheap at 11.4 and 11.6 times earnings, respectively.

Of the three, I personally prefer BofA and JPMorgan over Amex, though. Not only are their valuations more attractive, but JPMorgan also pays a 2.4% dividend yield, and BofA 2.7% -- both twice the dividend yield on Amex stock. If you're in the mood to do some bank stock shopping today, I'd start with those two.

Should you invest $1,000 in JPMorgan Chase right now?

Before you buy stock in JPMorgan Chase, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and JPMorgan Chase wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $561,046!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $606,106!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 811% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 153% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 21, 2025

American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Bank of America and JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Apple Stock Plunged on Tariff News, But It's Proving to Be Unstoppable in Another Lucrative Area

Shares of Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) are currently 26% below their peak from December last year (as of April 10), a drop that has been spurred by ongoing tariff announcements. As of this writing, there is a huge 145% tariff that's implemented on goods leaving China for the U.S. If this remains in place, it could harm Apple, because 80% of its production is still based in China, according to estimates from Evercore.

For consumers, the result could be much higher prices. If the increased costs are eaten by Apple, on the other hand, its profitability will definitely take a hit. There remains a lot of uncertainty about how things will play out.

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Despite the potential effects, which are commanding all the attention these days, Apple has proven to be successful in another area that highlights growing diversification in the business model. Here's what investors need to know.

Apple's push into financial services

In fiscal 2024 (ended Sept. 28, 2024), Apple generated $391 billion in revenue, of which 75% came from the sale of products. This includes its popular iPhone, Mac, and iPad lineups.

But the company's services division is an up-and-coming money-maker, growing revenue 13% in the latest fiscal year, much faster than the overall business. It represents the other 25% of Apple's total sales.

Within services, Apple is making a bigger push into the financial services realm, where it appears to have developed a strong foothold.

In 2014, the company launched Apple Pay, its digital wallet solution that lets users connect credit and debit cards to use for transactions in-store and online. More than 90% of retailers in the U.S. accept Apple Pay, which has more than 600 million global users and handles trillions of dollars in payment volume. This is undoubtedly becoming a widely used checkout option.

Apple Card was launched in 2019. This is a credit card that gives consumers up to 3% cash back with no fees whatsoever. Apple partnered with Goldman Sachs to handle the program. The credit card portfolio has 12 million customers (data from early 2024) and $20 billion in balances.

Valuable for partners

It was reported that Visa offered the tech titan a cool $100 million to end its relationship with Mastercard, the current card network for Apple Card. American Express is also in the mix. What's more, issuers like JPMorgan Chase, Capital One, Synchrony Financial, and others are reaching out to Goldman Sachs, offering to take over the $20 billion in balances and to handle the program.

It makes sense why these heavyweights in the financial services industry would be trying so hard to be Apple's partner. Apple generates enormous amounts of revenue, and its customers are generally known to be more affluent than average. Consequently, there is a lot of buying power here, which can lead to revenue opportunities for banks and payment networks.

Apple might be facing some headaches due to tariffs and how they can affect its device sales. But its payment and credit card offerings continue to shine brightly. Partners are jockeying for position.

Should you buy Apple stock on the dip?

This gets to the discussion of whether or not Apple shares are a smart buy right now, especially since they are 26% below their record high. The price-to-earnings ratio is better than it was in December -- it's now at a 30.2 multiple.

However, I'm not convinced the tech stock can produce a return over the next five years that can outperform the broader market. Not only is the valuation still elevated, Apple's growth prospects aren't that robust. Plus, there is the unfortunate overhang of the tariff situation.

This is a fantastic business. But investors should pass on buying shares.

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American Express is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Synchrony Financial is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Neil Patel and his clients have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Goldman Sachs Group, JPMorgan Chase, Mastercard, and Visa. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why JPMorgan Chase Rallied Today

Shares of JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) rallied 4% on Friday, well above the market's return.

The country's largest bank released its earnings today, which beat analyst expectations. Of course, past results don't matter that much, as investors are focused on the forward outlook in light of the administration's tariffs and potential trade war.

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However, management increased its annual outlook for net interest income and also posted strong capital ratios. That might have provided some comfort for investors who bought the stock today after the recent market correction.

JPMorgan remains a safe haven in an uncertain world

In the first quarter, JPMorgan saw net managed revenue rise 8% year over year to $46.0 billion, while adjusted (non-GAAP) earnings per share, adjusted for one-time costs, was $4.91, about $0.27 higher than expected.

The company also posted a very strong 21% return on tangible equity while bolstering its balance sheet with a 15.4% Common Equity Tier 1 (CET1) ratio. Furthermore, management increased the company's 2025 outlook for net interest income to $94.5 billion, up by half a billion from last quarter.

The beats came despite JPMorgan increasing its provisions for loan losses to $3.3 billion, up from just $1.9 billion last year. That's perhaps unsurprising in light of the tariff-related volatility we have seen, which has increased the odds of a recession later this year to about 50% on average, according to the bank.

However, recent market volatility has helped boost trading revenues, which were up a strong 21%, higher than the expected low-double-digit growth. Meanwhile, the investment banking segment saw signs of life on higher debt issuance, with investment bank (IB) fees up 12%. And despite the market sell-off, JPMorgan's wealth management segment brought in another $90 billion in assets in the first quarter.

JPMorgan remains a safe blue chip bank stock with dry powder

Chairman and CEO Jamie Dimon made a big point of JPMorgan's rock-solid balance sheet, which could enable the company to weather economic turbulence and perhaps capitalize on opportunities this year. He noted:

We continue to believe it is prudent to maintain excess capital and ample liquidity in this environment -- our CET1 ratio remained very strong at 15.4%, and we have an extraordinary amount of liquidity, with $1.5 trillion of cash and marketable securities... As always, we hope for the best but prepare the Firm for a wide range of scenarios.

JPMorgan's stock still trades at around 12 times earnings, which is fairly cheap. That said, the threat of potential recession or stagflation remains due to the current tariffs and trade wars.

While bank stocks could be susceptible to "economic turbulence," JPMorgan seems like a very safe player that investors can buy or hold with confidence.

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JPMorgan Chase Tops Q1 EPS Estimates

Financial services giant JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) reported 2025 results on Friday, April 11, that exceeded analysts' consensus top- and bottom-line expectations. Earnings per share (EPS) of $5.07 solidly beat the analyst estimate of $4.63. Revenue rose to $45.3 billion, topping estimates of $44 billion and rising 8.1% year over year.

Overall, the results reflected a strong quarter with particular emphasis on revenue generation and EPS growth, despite the mixed economic backdrop.

MetricQ1 2025Analysts' EstimateQ1 2024Change (YOY)
EPS$5.07$4.63$4.4414.2%
Revenue$45.3 billion$44 billion$41.9 billion8.1%
Net income$14.6 billionN/A$13.4 billion9.2%
Return on equity (ROE)18%N/A17%1.0 pps
ROTCE21%N/A21%0 pps

Source: JPMorgan Chase. Note: Analysts' consensus estimates for the quarter provided by FactSet. YOY = Year over year. ROTCE = Return on tangible common equity. pps = Percentage points.

Overview of JPMorgan Chase's Business

JPMorgan Chase is a financial powerhouse, known for its comprehensive banking services spanning consumer banking, investment banking, and asset management. The company leverages its scale and extensive resources, offering a competitive edge in the diversified financial space. Its wide reach enables it to cater to various customer segments, from individual consumers to large institutions globally. Recent strategic moves, such as merging business segments, reflect its adaptability and focus on enhancing operational efficiency and resource allocation.

Key areas of focus include maintaining market leadership, navigating the regulatory landscape, and innovating in an ever-competitive financial sector. These strategic initiatives are critical to its sustained success and competitive positioning. Its management emphasizes the importance of prudent capital management and technological advancement to drive growth and customer engagement.

Quarterly Highlights and Financial Performance

JPMorgan Chase's first quarter of 2025 was marked by notable achievements and strategic advancements. Its Commercial & Investment Bank segment posted a net income increase of 5% year over year to $6.9 billion, with a standout performance in Markets revenue, which saw a 19% jump. Equities trading was particularly robust, advancing 48% year over year, driven by its market leadership in trading activities.

Despite an 8% decline in net income within the Consumer & Community Banking segment, due to increased credit costs, the segment benefited from an 8% rise in active mobile customers, highlighting success in digital customer engagement. Asset & Wealth Management reported a 23% increase in net income, driven by a 12% boost in net revenue, showcasing continued investor confidence and portfolio performance.

The macroeconomic and regulatory challenges persisted, as noted by CEO Jamie Dimon, who referenced the impacts of geopolitical tensions and inflation pressures. The firm also maintained a strong capital position, with a CET1 Capital Ratio of 15.4%, endorsing its cautious yet strategic financial stewardship amidst evolving economic dynamics.

The quarter included no significant changes in dividend declarations. The company achieved a $973 million net reserve build, anticipating potential credit challenges, and maintaining a resilient stance in the fluctuating economic climate.

Looking Ahead

Looking forward, JPMorgan's management provided a cautious outlook, acknowledging the potential for economic uncertainties, including the increased risk of a recession. Management said it remains focused on strategic segment reorganization to improve efficiency and meet evolving market demands. Maintaining robust balance sheets and ample liquidity is paramount in navigating potential challenges.

Analyst guidance indicates efforts to sustain positive performance trends, though market conditions remain volatile. Investors should watch for updates on capital management practices and regulatory developments. The firm's commitment to innovation and human capital development will be critical as it navigates future quarters.

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JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. JesterAI is a Foolish AI, based on a variety of Large Language Models (LLMs) and proprietary Motley Fool systems. All articles published by JesterAI are reviewed by our editorial team, and The Motley Fool takes ultimate responsibility for the content of this article. JesterAI cannot own stocks and so it has no positions in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

JPMorgan CEO Jamie Dimon Puts the Odds of a Recession at a Coin Flip, but He Says This Economic Cycle Is Different for 1 Reason

Two days after President Donald Trump issued a 90-day pause on higher tariff rates for most countries except China, JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) CEO Jamie Dimon warned that the "economy is facing considerable turbulence," citing concerns of trade wars, persistent inflation, and fiscal deficits. In JPMorgan's first-quarter earnings call this morning, Dimon placed the odds of a recession at a 50-50 coin flip.

Yet despite his ongoing concerns about the economy and the administration's trade negotiations, Dimon said he's less concerned about a recession in the current climate and has other things on his mind during this economic cycle for one reason, in particular.

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JPMorgan is well prepared for economic turbulence

If you were to block out all the noise and focus on JPMorgan's first-quarter earnings, one might simply see business as usual. The bank beat analyst estimates on earnings and revenue and actually slightly lifted its guidance for net interest income, one of the primary sources of revenue for most banks. Meanwhile, credit came in solid, with stable net charge-offs and lower nonperforming assets in the first quarter than the prior quarter. The bank built its credit reserves by about $1 billion, half the amount it did in the previous quarter.

Still, Dimon cautioned against reading too much into the backward-looking results and forecast. "We should have not given you that forecast. We don't know what the number's going to be. I would say it's a short-term number and based on what's happening today, there's a wide range of potential outcomes," he said. The guidance alludes to some things that are mechanical, like how loan losses flow through a bank. They don't just happen overnight. First, they are marked delinquent, and it can take months until they are actually ruled as a loss.

Dimon also said he expects analysts to eventually reduce their earnings forecasts for the broader benchmark S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and pencil in zero growth, down from an earlier projection of about 10%, which they have since lowered to 5% growth.

Dimon is not worried about JPMorgan navigating a recession, saying the bank has plenty of capital and liquidity to deal with whatever is thrown its way. He also noted the bank added $15 billion to its credit reserves in two months during the COVID-19 pandemic, only to release an equivalent amount of reserves several months later, partially due to the forward-looking way banks must now account and prepare for loan losses.

JPMorgan Chase also ended the first quarter with a 15.4% common equity tier 1 (CET1) capital ratio, which compares a bank's core capital to its risk-weighted assets such as loans. This is the capital banks lean on to cover unexpected loan losses. JPMorgan's ratio of 15.4% is 300 basis points higher than when the pandemic started, which equates to billions of dollars of additional capital.

The big concern is the future of trade

Dimon's main concern seemed to be the current state of the economy and what's going on with tariffs and a looming trade war. As of midday Friday, U.S. tariffs on China amount to 145%, while China said it would retaliate with total tariffs of 125%.

Obviously, if you look at our numbers, we have the margins and capability to get through just about anything.... But guys, this is different, OK? This is different. [It's about] safety and freedom for democracy. That is the most important thing. I really almost don't care fundamentally about what the economy does in the next two quarters. That isn't that important... the China issue is a major issue. I don't know how that's going to turn out. You know, we obviously have to follow the law of the land, but, you know, it's a significant change that we've never seen in our lives.

Dimon also touched about the potential impacts of JPMorgan's status as a global player and how embedded it is in other countries. "I do think some clients or some countries will feel differently about American banks," he said. However, Dimon was also hopeful that the Trump administration will be able to strike trade deals that will ultimately be good for the country and offer clarity in the coming months.

He also tried to clarify past comments from earlier this year about tariffs and how he believes in them from a national security perspective, using them to protect things like rare earth materials, medical ingredients such as penicillin, and semiconductors. But that's a small part of global trade overall.

Ultimately, I think Dimon has a similar view as most investors right now, who are still struggling to see the bigger picture once everything shakes out. With Trump pausing the wide-ranging package of tariffs he announced earlier this month and showing a willingness to negotiate, the worst-case scenario seems less likely. But what will global trade ultimately look like? How will other countries view the U.S. as a reliable trade partner following this recent series of events? And how will new trade agreements and whatever tariffs end up sticking impact the economy? It's a lot to digest in a short period of time.

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JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Bram Berkowitz has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Wall Street Titan Jamie Dimon Just Gave a Big Warning on the Stock Market. And Trump's Tariffs Are Only Part of It.

JPMorgan Chase (NYSE: JPM) Chief Executive Officer Jamie Dimon is one of the most respected voices on Wall Street.

Dimon leads the nation's largest bank by assets, and he successfully steered JPMorgan Chase through the great financial crisis without needing a bailout. The company and Wall Street analysts often refer to the company's "fortress" balance sheet, a nod to Dimon's canny risk management.

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Dimon is also one of the most vocal leaders in banking, and he's never been hesitant to share his thoughts on where the economy is headed or the wisdom of certain financial and economic policies. So, investors were eager to read his annual shareholder letter released on Monday, especially as it came out just after President Donald Trump announced unprecedented global tariffs.

The JPMorgan chief called out a number of risks in the letter, noting that tariffs would "likely increase inflation" and raise the probability of a recession. He also seemed to acknowledge that stagflation was a possibility as inflation could drive interest rates higher and drag down economic growth. Additionally, he bemoaned the large fiscal deficit and national debt, which he said was also inflationary.

However, one comment stuck out, especially for investors aiming to read the tea leaves regarding where the market is headed.

Gold bars and jewelry on top of several $100 bills.

Image source: Getty Images.

Stocks are still expensive

For investors wondering if they should run out to buy stocks to take advantage of last week's two-day market crash, Dimon seems to have a clear answer. Discussing the negative impact of tariffs, he said, "Even with the recent decline in market values, prices remain relatively high." The Wall Street titan added, "These significant and somewhat unprecedented forces cause us to remain very cautious."

Although the Nasdaq Composite was in a bear market as of Monday's close, defined as a decline of 20% from a recent high, and the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) is hovering near that, Dimon is correct that valuations remain elevated, especially compared to historical averages.

According to multipl.com, the S&P 500 P/E ratio had fallen to 24.7 as of April 8, down from a peak of 29.9 in December 2024. However, at that level, it's still more expensive than it was at almost any time in the 2010s. Over its history dating back to the 1800s, the S&P 500 has had an average P/E ratio of 16.1, though it's been higher in recent decades.

Those valuations are also based on trailing earnings, and future earnings could be lower, especially after the tariffs go into effect.

Dimon's observation underscores another driver behind the recent sell-off as well. Stocks were already near record valuations before the tariff announcement as the chart below, which uses the cyclically adjusted (CAPE) P/E ratio, shows.

S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio Chart

S&P 500 Shiller CAPE Ratio data by YCharts

Although that chart doesn't reflect the full extent of the recent pullback, it does illustrate that S&P 500 stocks were previously as expensive as they've been in history since the dot-com bubble.

What it means for investors

Predicting short-term market movements in any environment is difficult, but in the current one, it's virtually impossible as the whipsawing over rumors of a delay in tariff implementation on April 7 showed. It's unclear if the tariffs will be enacted as proposed and if they will be permanent or will change with negotiations.

However, Dimon is right to note the risks in the market, including not just tariffs but also elevated asset prices and interest rates, and pressure from the deficit and debt.

It's not officially a bear market for the S&P 500, but it's worth considering the severity and length of one should it happen. On average, it takes 13 months for stocks to fall from peak to trough in a bear market, and the S&P 500 declines by an average of 33%, though there's a broad range in severity and duration. Recoveries take 27 months on average to get back to the former peak, or about twice as long as the decline.

The unpredictability of the tariffs will add to the market's volatility for the foreseeable future. For investors, the best thing to do is to remember that the U.S. stock market has recovered from far greater dislocations over time, and that buying high-quality stocks at good prices has always paid off.

Despite his risk assessment, you can bet that Dimon is staying invested. Doing so is the only way to win in the long run.

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JPMorgan Chase is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Jeremy Bowman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends JPMorgan Chase. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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