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Could Buying Joby Aviation Stock Today Set You Up for Life?

Key Points

  • Joby Aviation's business model differs significantly from that of its peers.

  • There's reason to believe its vertically integrated strategy will win out.

  • The upside potential is significant; provided the certification process goes smoothly, Joby has a big future.

The electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) market is crowded, but that doesn't mean it's a winner-takes-all scenario. Different companies have different business models with varying risks and rewards, and Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) is arguably the one with the most reward and also one that's reducing its risk the most in 2025. Is it enough to make it a stock that could set investors up for life? Here's the lowdown.

What makes Joby Aviation different

It's always interesting to compare competitors across a growth industry, and doing so with Joby's peer Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR) makes for a fascinating comparison. The first conclusion is that they have significantly different models. The second is that the nature of their models allows for more than enough room for both in the market, and the third is that Joby Aviation is making real progress in de-risking the elements of its business that are subject to greater market uncertainty.

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In a nutshell, you can think of Joby Aviation as a "go it alone" player in the industry, backed by a heavyweight manufacturing partner in Toyota, as well as other investors such as Uber and Delta Air Lines. Its business model is different from Archer's and the rest of the industry in two key ways:

  • Joby Aviation doesn't plan to sell its aircraft and prefers to develop much of its technology in-house, having its own powertrain and electronics manufacturing facility in California.
  • As quoted from its Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, Joby plans to "own and operate our aircraft ourselves, building a vertically integrated transportation company that will deliver transportation services to customers."

Both points are crucial to understanding the investment case.

Joby's in-house development

Archer, along with other eVTOL companies such as Germany's Lilium and the U.K.'s Vertical Aerospace, makes no secret of the fact that it has leading aerospace and automotive companies as partners in providing solutions. The advantage of heavy integration with established partners in developing technology is a simplified and less risky process, which, theoretically, leads to earlier certification.

A smiling investor with a laptop and rising trend lines on a virtual stock chart.

Image source: Getty Images.

For example, Archer partners with Honeywell for actuators and climate systems, Hexcel for advanced composite materials, Safran for avionics, and Stellantis (also a key investor). Honeywell is a key strategic technology partner of Vertical Aerospace and partners with European aerospace companies GKN and Leonardo.

Lilium partners with GE Aerospace in flight data management and Honeywell (also an investor) for flight control, avionics, and propulsion unit sensors.

As such, Joby's more "go it alone" approach could be deemed more risky. However, it has received significant investment (up to $894 million) from a manufacturing heavyweight, Toyota. Moreover, the Japanese giant is assisting in improving Joby's manufacturing processes and optimizing design.

A vertically integrated transportation company

Here again, Joby is different. It doesn't want to sell its aircraft; instead, it wants to handle the commercialization of transportation services itself. Again, this is a more risky business model, as it implies commercial business expertise in addition to research & development and manufacturing expertise. It's somewhat akin to Boeing or Airbus deciding to operate an airline.

On the other hand, there's a reason why Uber has invested $125 million in Joby so far: the obvious potential to integrate their services. Similarly, Delta Air Lines is investing up to $200 million in Joby to transport passengers to airports. With Delta increasingly focusing on premium travelers and looking to offer experiences that engender loyalty, the Joby tie-in is a significant plus.

Joby's eVTOL in flight over flat, sparsely populated terrain.

Image source: Joby Aviation.

Can Joby Aviation be a life-changing investment?

Given the current trends in the global economy, whereby technology is enabling fundamental shifts in how industrial and transportation companies operate (think Tesla selling direct or Uber not needing to own cars), Joby's business model makes perfect sense and has the potential to create more value for shareholders over the long term.

Meanwhile, while its peers are working with leading aerospace companies, Toyota is a formidable manufacturing entity and partner, and the Toyota Production System is the precursor to all the lean manufacturing practices successfully implemented by GE Aerospace and many others.

There are no guarantees in nascent technology fields such as eVTOL, and diversification is key when investing in growth stocks. Still, Joby Aviation is a strong candidate for an investment that could set you up for life.

Should you invest $1,000 in Joby Aviation right now?

Before you buy stock in Joby Aviation, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Joby Aviation wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,063,471!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025

Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends Delta Air Lines, GE Aerospace, Hexcel, and Stellantis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Where Will Tesla Stock Be in 5 Years?

Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) is one of the most valuable companies in the world, but it's running into operational challenges as auto demand stalls and autonomous robotaxis have yet to reach operations. In five years, the company will likely look very different and that may not be great for the stock.

*Stock prices used were end-of-day prices of June 3, 2025. The video was published on June 8, 2025.

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2 eVTOL Stocks to Load Up On This Week

Sometimes the best investment opportunities come wrapped in government buzzwords and unrealistic timelines.

Last Friday, the White House issued an executive order called "Unleashing American Drone Dominance." Yes, that's the actual title. And while it's long on ambition and short on specifics, buried in the bureaucratic language is something that matters for growth investors: a clear signal that the administration wants to fast-track electric vertical takeoff and landing (eVTOL) aircraft.

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An eVTOL flying through a cityscape.

Image source: Getty Images.

The executive order creates an eVTOL pilot program requiring the FAA to select at least five companies for real-world operations, with aggressive timelines that suggest political pressure to move faster than typical aviation bureaucracy allows.

While the details remain vague and the timelines optimistic, the direction is clear: America wants to lead in urban air mobility. This political tailwind arrives just as the technology reaches commercial viability, creating a rare convergence of innovation, regulation, and market demand.

Now, before you roll your eyes at another government initiative, consider this: Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR) and Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) don't need this executive order to succeed. Both companies are working through FAA certification (though timelines for experimental aircraft are notoriously opaque), have secured major airline partnerships, and claim to be targeting commercial launches shortly.

What both companies are getting is something potentially more valuable -- political cover to move faster through the regulatory maze. Both stocks have already had massive runs over the past 12 months (Archer up 203%, Joby up 63%), but if you think flying taxis are still science fiction, you haven't been paying attention. Here's why these two pioneers look like buys even after their recent runs.

Archer Aviation: The execution story

Archer Aviation operates with remarkable efficiency for a pre-revenue company, achieving milestones that arguably justify its $5.6 billion market cap. The company's Midnight aircraft, designed to carry four passengers plus a pilot on trips up to 100 miles, recently completed piloted flights -- a critical step that positions Archer, alongside Joby, as one of America's leading eVTOL companies.

With partnerships spanning United Airlines for domestic routes and Stellantis for manufacturing expertise, Archer has assembled the pieces for rapid commercialization once certification arrives. Its Launch Edition program, securing commitments from Abu Dhabi Aviation and Ethiopian Airlines valued at up to $30 million each, provides early revenue visibility and validates international demand.

The investment case is compelling. Archer's $6 billion order backlog now exceeds its entire $5.6 billion market cap, while its hefty 11.7% short interest (as of mid-May) sets up a potential short squeeze. Though Friday's executive order lacks implementation details, it sends an unmistakable signal -- the U.S. government views eVTOL dominance as a national priority. For a company already executing ahead of most of its peers in many ways, that political validation could be the spark that sends shares soaring in the months ahead.

Joby Aviation: The deep-pocketed pioneer

Joby Aviation brings unmatched financial firepower to the eVTOL race, with $813 million in cash plus Toyota's recent $250 million investment (part of a $500 million commitment) providing runway through commercialization. The company's Q1 2025 achievements read like a pre-launch checklist: routine pilot-on-board transition flights, Virgin Atlantic partnership for U.K. market entry, fifth production aircraft powered on, and expanded Marina manufacturing facility set for June handover.

Joby benefits from Toyota's manufacturing expertise embedded directly in operations, potentially solving the hardest challenge facing aerospace start-ups -- scaling from prototypes to volume production. The company claims to be 62% complete on its side of Stage 4 FAA certification (43% on FAA's side), though investors should view these self-reported metrics skeptically given the opaque nature of experimental aircraft approval. That's not a knock against either company, but the reality of developing a new form of aviation.

With strategic partnerships including Delta Air Lines, Virgin Atlantic, and a $131 million Department of Defense contract, Joby has diversified its path to revenue across commercial, international, and military applications. And like Archer, Joby also sports a fairly high short interest, with 7.6% of outstanding shares sold short in May. As such, this eVTOL pioneer could also benefit form a short squeeze on positive news or a marketwide melt-up.

Why these two eVTOL pioneers are a buy this week

Friday's executive order accelerated the eVTOL timeline, and the market hasn't caught on. While Archer executes lean and Joby brings Toyota's backing, both companies now face compressed regulatory timelines that could pull commercial operations forward by years.

This week's setup is compelling: Heavy short interest creates squeeze potential, operational milestones keep hitting, and a fresh political catalyst has just emerged. So, for growth investors comfortable with volatility, this could be a stellar entry point.

Should you invest $1,000 in Archer Aviation right now?

Before you buy stock in Archer Aviation, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Archer Aviation wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $669,517!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $868,615!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025

George Budwell has positions in Archer Aviation, Joby Aviation, and Toyota Motor. The Motley Fool recommends Delta Air Lines and Stellantis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Joby Aviation Stock Is Soaring Today

Shares of Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) are flying higher on Wednesday. The company's stock spiked 30.2% as of 2:21 p.m. ET. The jump comes as the S&P 500 and the Nasdaq Composite were mostly flat.

The company, which develops electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) aircraft, announced yesterday after the market closed that it has received $250 million from Toyota, the first tranche in $500 million of previously announced funding.

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Toyota releases its first payment

While the funding was not unexpected -- the total $500 million strategic investment had already been announced -- actually receiving it sparked renewed enthusiasm for the company and its relationship with the storied vehicle maker.

The funds will be used to help Joby attain certification for its eVTOL aircraft as well as to advance its manufacturing and production capabilities. Joby leadership is hoping the relationship will progress, saying that the release of the $250 million "puts the two companies a step closer toward a strategic manufacturing alliance."

The sun rising over the Earth from space with a view of Africa and the Arabian Peninsula.

Image source: Getty Images,

JoeBen Bevirt, founder and CEO of Joby, added that, "We're already seeing the benefit of working with Toyota in streamlining manufacturing processes and optimizing design. This is an important next step in our alliance with Toyota to scale the promise of electric flight."

Joby looks promising

The news comes on the heels of a damning report on its closest competitor, Archer Aviation, that alleges Archer is misleading investors regarding its development timeline and aircraft capabilities. If these allegations prove true, it would give a massive leg up to Joby in the race to commercial operations. Given Toyota's commitment to quality and reliability and its relationship with Joby, I would be surprised if the company faces similar allegations.

Should you invest $1,000 in Joby Aviation right now?

Before you buy stock in Joby Aviation, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Joby Aviation wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $653,389!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $830,492!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 19, 2025

Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Better Buy: Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF vs. SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 ETF

When most investors think about buying "the market," they probably have the S&P 500 index (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) in mind. But that's not the market -- it's just 500 or so hand-selected large and economically representative companies. If you want to own the market, you'll have to consider an exchange-traded fund (ETF) like the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: VTI) or the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 ETF (NYSEMKT: SPTM). They are not interchangeable, and in the end, one may be even better than the S&P 500 index.

The best way to buy "the market"

It would be virtually impossible for most investors to go out and buy 500 stocks, let alone 1,500 or 3,598 (more on this strangely precise number in a second). So the only real option for buying the market is to buy a pooled investment vehicle like a mutual fund or an ETF. Given the many benefits of exchange-traded funds, including ultra-low costs and all-day trading, ETFs are likely to be the go-to option.

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Finger about to press Buy key on a keyboard.

Image source: Getty Images.

But when you are looking to buy "the market," you have to actually decide what that means. The S&P 500 index is a good starting point, but it is a list of roughly 500 companies that have been selected by a committee to be representative of the U.S. economy. The stocks in this index, which can be bought via the Vanguard S&P 500 ETF (NYSEMKT: VOO), make up around 80% of the market cap of all U.S. stocks. That's a lot of the market, but it isn't all of the market.

The rest of the market is largely made up of small and medium-sized companies. However, there will also be large companies that didn't make it past the committee process for some reason, which often includes financial troubles of some sort. But all of these companies add diversification for investors who truly want to own "the market." This is where the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF and the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 ETF come in.

Extending the theme and just buying it all

The SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 ETF is basically a cousin to the S&P 500 index. It owns the S&P 500, plus the S&P MidCap 400 Index and the S&P SmallCap 600 Index. Add it all up, and you get roughly 1,500 stocks that account for around 90% of the market cap of all U.S. stocks. All three of these indexes follow the same basic committee approach, though the S&P 500 gets the most scrutiny.

Still, that's not all of the market. The Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF gets you much closer, with 3,598 holdings. That said, there's no screening process here other than the stock being traded on a U.S. exchange. Like the S&P options, the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF is market cap weighted, so the largest stocks have the most effect on the ETF's performance. However, adding in those extra 2,000 or stocks has made a big difference on the performance front.

SPTM Total Return Price Chart

SPTM Total Return Price data by YCharts.

As the total return chart above highlights, the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF has outperformed both the S&P 500 index and the S&P 1500 index over the longer term. In other words, when you buy the market, all of those extra stocks -- around 20% of the overall market cap of the U.S. market -- appear to add value. Notably, cherry-picking stocks with a committee doesn't appear to help all that much.

If you want "the market," think bigger

If you say you own the market and you only own the S&P 500 index, you don't actually own the market. If history is any guide, owning as much of the market as possible appears to have a performance benefit. That's why index investors should probably take a closer look at the Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF. You may decide to stick with the S&P 500 and its committee approach, but you should at least look at your other, and possibly more attractive, options.

Should you invest $1,000 in Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $591,533!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,319!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 21, 2025

Reuben Gregg Brewer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Vanguard S&P 500 ETF and Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Pony AI Stock Keeps Racing Higher

Pony AI (NASDAQ: PONY) stock just keeps on galloping. For the third day in a row, the small-cap Chinese robotaxi and robotruck company rode higher on Friday, building on huge gains Wednesday and Thursday. The stock tacked on another 22.7% through 9:40 a.m. this morning and now is up more than 120% over the past three days.

Yes, you read that right: Pony doubled, and then went up even more.

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Horse race.

Image source: Getty Images.

Pony express delivers good news

So far this week, the biggest little Chinese small cap you've never heard of (before this week) has announced it's producing three new robotaxi models in cooperation with Beijing Automotive Group, Guangzhou Automobile Group, and Toyota Motor (NYSE: TM), respectively, and that it has lined up local partner Hesai Group (NASDAQ: HSAI) to supply it with AT128 lidar sensors for its robotaxis.

Today, Pony added that it's partnering with another local company, Tencent Holdings (OTC: TCEHY), to further "advance autonomous driving technology and robotaxi commercial deployment."

This tie-up will pair Pony's "cutting-edge" autonomous driving system with tech products from Tencent, specifically the latter's Weixin (or "WeChat") social media, messaging, and payment app, Tencent Maps, and its "robust cloud computing, big data and AI infrastructure," all of which sound to me like logical add-ons to an electric-car-slash-robotaxi service.

Is Pony AI stock a buy?

Tencent might do well to ante up a bit of cash. Tencent's tech contributions are all great, but there's no mention of financial support in the press release, and Pony is still burning cash, and losing $274 million a year.

While the company has considerable cash reserves, a little more could go a long way to ensuring Pony stock doesn't go bankrupt before 2029, the first year it's expected to be profitable, according to analysts polled by S&P Global Market Intelligence. Meanwhile, until the financial picture firms up, I must still consider Pony a speculative, momentum-driven stock.

Should you invest $1,000 in Pony Ai right now?

Before you buy stock in Pony Ai, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Pony Ai wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $591,533!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,319!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 859% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 158% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 21, 2025

Rich Smith has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Tencent. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF: What Do You Get When You Buy "Everything"?

Warren Buffett's best advice for the average investor is to just buy "the market." He has singled out the S&P 500 index as a good choice for this approach, and an S&P 500 ETF wouldn't be a bad choice, but it also isn't "the market." A more comprehensive option would be the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF (NYSEMKT: SPTM). Here's why.

What does the S&P 500 index do?

The S&P 500 index is fairly well structured. As its name implies, it owns around 500 stocks (although corporate events can change the number over the short term). Those stocks are selected by a committee so that they are broadly representative of the U.S. economy. The largest and most important companies in an industry tend to be the ones that get added to the S&P 500 index. The index constituents are weighted by market capitalization, so the largest companies in the index have the most impact on its performance.

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A person hugging a piggy bank.

Image source: Getty Images.

There are negative aspects about the structure of the S&P 500 index, too. For example, market cap weighting often leads to the index being heavily influenced by hot sectors. When sentiment turns negative that can lead to swift drawdowns. That's been on display recently with the market sell-off. However, the index weightings rebalance over time and new sectors rise to the top. All in, the S&P 500 index is a solid suggestion, which is why Warren Buffett guides investors toward this option.

That said, the S&P 500 index leaves out a lot of stocks because of its focus on large companies. Specifically, mid-cap and small-cap stocks aren't represented and there are a lot more of those companies than large caps.

SPTM Chart

SPTM data by YCharts

Get all the caps with the S&P 1500 Composite

There are a couple of reasons you might want to add mid-cap and small-cap stocks to the mix. For starters, more stocks means more diversification. You'll also get exposure to companies that have potentially larger growth opportunities given their relatively small sizes. If you like the concept of the S&P 500 index, but want to have broader exposure to "the market," you should look at the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF.

This ETF is actually three indexes in one. The portfolio includes all of the S&P 500 index stocks along with the stocks included in the S&P Midcap 400 index and the S&P Small Cap 600 index. That truly covers the broadest possible spectrum of the market, with a very modest expense ratio of just 0.03%.

SPTM Total Return Price Chart

SPTM Total Return Price data by YCharts

What's most notable, however, is that the S&P Midcap 400 index and the S&P Small Cap 600 index are constructed in a similar manner to the S&P 500 index. Specifically, a committee oversees the companies that get added to the respective lists. If you like the idea of a little human intervention to weed out obviously troubled businesses, the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF has you covered.

And since the index is market cap weighted, the stocks in the S&P 500 will still have the biggest impact on overall performance. All in, you increase diversification without losing much on the performance side of the equation.

If you want the biggest slice of "the market"

Owning the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF has been a far better option than simply buying small-cap or mid-cap indexes. Yes, you could do better with just the S&P 500 index, but you give up very little performance with the larger S&P 1500 Composite and materially increase diversification.

All in, if you want to own "the market" as Warren Buffett has suggested, the SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF is one of the broadest options you have at your disposal. Notably, it comes with a healthy dose of human oversight for those who aren't comfortable leaving investing decisions to computers or blind fate.

Should you invest $1,000 in SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and SPDR Series Trust - SPDR Portfolio S&P 1500 Composite Stock Market ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $495,226!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $679,900!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 796% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 155% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 10, 2025

Reuben Gregg Brewer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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