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2 Top Quantum Computing Stocks to Buy in July

Key Points

  • IonQ is far from profitability, but its trapped-ion technology is unique among quantum computing companies.

  • IBM has released several powerful quantum computers and plans to invest $30 billion in its quantum program.

Quantum computing could be the next area of explosive growth in the tech sector. The consultants at McKinsey Digital have estimated that the industry could be worth as much as $1.3 billion by 2035, though there's a lot of uncertainty.

If that huge number becomes reality, successful quantum computing companies are going to make their investors very happy. Here are two picks to consider buying this month.

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A person covering their mouth while looking at multiple computer monitors.

Image source: Getty Images.

IonQ is a high-risk, high-reward company

Quantum physics experts Christopher Monroe and Jungsang Kim started IonQ (NYSE: IONQ) in 2015. Six years later, it became the first pure-play quantum computing company to go public.

Since the technology is still in the early stages, and it's IonQ's only business, the company isn't profitable yet. Its revenue nearly doubled to $43.1 million last year, but its costs also increased, leading to a net loss of $331.6 million.

Profitability is likely still several years away. CEO Peter Chapman believes it will happen by 2030 and is projecting sales near $1 billion at that point. Fortunately, IonQ has a strong balance sheet and recently sold $1 billion in common stock, giving it nearly $1.7 billion in cash and equivalents it can tap.

What makes IonQ unique compared to other quantum computing companies is its trapped-ion technology. These computers store data using quantum bits, or qubits for short. The most widely used quantum computing method is superconducting qubits. IonQ's computers use trapped ions that are controlled with precise laser pulses.

Trapped-ion technology has a few notable advantages. It delivers high fidelity, a term that refers to the accuracy of a quantum computer. One of the major quantum computing challenges is eliminating errors. No company has solved this yet, but IonQ achieved a significant breakthrough in September 2024, when it reported it had the first trapped-ion quantum system to surpass 99.9% fidelity.

Trapped-ion qubits also have longer coherence times. Qubits decay over time and lose their quantum properties. Coherence time refers to the amount of time a qubit can maintain its quantum state. With solid-state quantum computing systems, coherence time is normally measured in microseconds to milliseconds. Trapped-ion systems measure coherence time in seconds to minutes, so it's a sizable difference.

This doesn't necessarily mean that IonQ has the best quantum computing method; if so, everyone would be using trapped ions. But it has something different that delivers extremely low error rates. It has also picked up several high-profile contracts, including multiple deals with the U.S. Air Force Research Lab and one with the Department of Defense, making it worth a look for investors.

IBM is a pioneer in quantum computing

Cloud services, software, and artificial intelligence (AI) may be the core businesses of International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), but the company also has a long history with quantum computing. It started developing quantum computers over 30 years ago and has been responsible for notable advancements.

It released IBM Eagle, the first processor to surpass 100 qubits, in 2021. Its IBM Condor is currently the second-largest quantum computer in the world as measured by qubits.

The company has released a quantum development road map with ambitious milestones. It plans to demonstrate an example of quantum advantage in 2026, which refers to a quantum computer solving a problem faster than any classical computer can. By 2029, it plans to develop Quantum Starling, a fault-tolerant quantum computer -- one that can operate even in the presence of errors.

Because of its size and financial strength, the company can invest much more in quantum computing than a start-up like IonQ can. In April, it announced plans to spend $30 billion on the technology and mainframes as part of a five-year, $150 billion pledge to invest in U.S. computer manufacturing.

IBM reported $14.5 billion in revenue and $8 billion in gross profit for the first quarter of 2025, both slight improvements year over year. Its increase in gross profit margin was more impressive, from 53.5% to 55.2%. The tech company ended the quarter with $17.6 billion in cash and cash equivalents, so it's well equipped to continue building its quantum computing program.

Its share price has already jumped 29% this year, so it has gotten more expensive. However, it trades at less than 27 times adjusted forward earnings estimates, a reasonable valuation.

Quantum computing investments are still speculative. We don't know when or if such machines will become widely used. With that kind of uncertainty, it wouldn't be wise to bet the farm on quantum computing, but you may want to add some exposure by picking up shares of IonQ, IBM, or both.

Should you invest $1,000 in IonQ right now?

Before you buy stock in IonQ, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and IonQ wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,056,790!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025

Lyle Daly has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Prediction: 3 Stocks That Will Be Worth More Than Palantir 5 Years From Now

Key Points

Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR) experienced a significant rise over the past few years and is now the 24th largest company by market capitalization globally. However, through a combination of factors, I think there could be multiple stocks that pass Palantir over the coming years.

Three that I think have that chance are ASML Holding (NASDAQ: ASML), International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), and Salesforce (NYSE: CRM), but this list could grow if the market comes to its senses regarding Palantir's stock.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

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Image source: Getty Images.

Palantir's stock appears to be significantly overvalued

Palantir has been on an absolute tear since the start of 2024, rising nearly 800%. However, its revenue only grew 39% year over year in the first quarter, indicating a significant disparity between stock price appreciation and actual business growth.

This shows up in the stock's valuation, which trades for 113 times sales and 244 times forward earnings.

PLTR PS Ratio Chart

PLTR PS Ratio data by YCharts; PS = price to sales, PE = price to earnings.

Very few companies ever reach this valuation for good reason: It's nearly impossible to live up to expectations. If we use a five-year timeline to examine Palantir's stock, let's make the following assumptions:

  • Revenue growth of 40%.
  • Profit margin reaches 30%.
  • Share count remains flat.

Those are three incredibly bullish assumptions -- the company hasn't achieved 40% year-over-year growth in recent quarters and would have to sustain that for five years. Also, a 30% profit margin would place it among the best software companies, and its current 18% margin is still a considerable distance from that level.

Lastly, management is notorious for issuing a large number of shares to employees, and its share count has increased by 7.3% since the start of 2024, indicating significant dilution.

Regardless, if these heady assumptions could come true, Palantir would generate $16.8 billion in revenue and $5 billion in profits. That's huge growth from today's $3.1 billion in revenue, but it would still value the company at 67 times hypothetical 2030 earnings.

A 67 multiple for forward earnings makes for a very expensive stock, and Nvidia, which is consistently growing faster than Palantir, has only a 38 forward earnings multiple right now.

I think this is a fairly clear-cut case that Palantir is drastically overvalued at today's levels. Even with the most bullish assumptions, Palantir's stock would still appear overvalued five years from now, even if the company achieves incredible growth figures.

As a result, I believe the stock is ripe for a decline, and there are many other stocks (beyond the ones I mentioned) that could surpass Palantir.

This trio has a strong outlook and significantly cheaper prices

ASML is only slightly behind Palantir's $362 billion market cap, with a valuation of $292 billion at the time of this writing. It is a key provider of machinery in chip manufacturing, and it holds a technological monopoly with its extreme ultraviolet (EUV) machines.

As more chip fabrication facilities emerge to support the huge AI demand, the company will experience strong growth, which management has told investors to expect in 2026. As a result, I think ASML could easily surpass Palantir.

IBM is a legacy computing business that's working to make the pivot into AI and quantum computing, which is forecast to see commercial adoption around 2030. If it becomes the go-to for this technology, the stock could be ripe for huge upside from its current $266 billion valuation.

Lastly, Salesforce dominates in customer relationship management software. It's also working to integrate AI into its product and maximize its profitability. Compared to many stocks on the market, it is relatively cheap and is valued at a lower level than the S&P 500, which trades for 23.7 times forward earnings.

IBM PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

IBM PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts.

As a final note, all three of these stocks trade for far less than Palantir's hypothetical 2030 valuation, which should be a sign for investors that the stock is unsustainably expensive. There is a near-endless list of stocks that appear to be better investments, and these three are among them.

Should you invest $1,000 in Palantir Technologies right now?

Before you buy stock in Palantir Technologies, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Palantir Technologies wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,056,790!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,048% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025

Keithen Drury has positions in ASML, Nvidia, and Salesforce. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends ASML, International Business Machines, Nvidia, Palantir Technologies, and Salesforce. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

2 Top Artificial Intelligence (AI) Stocks That Pay Decent Dividends and Have Good Dividend-Paying Histories

Key Points

  • Shares of Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC) and IBM have crushed the S&P 500's returns over the last one year, three years, and five years.

  • And TSMC stock has absolutely pulverized the broader market over the 10-year period.

  • Shares of TSMC and IBM are currently yielding 1.26% and 2.31%, respectively.

Artificial intelligence (AI) is the biggest secular growth trend today. The global AI market will soar from $189 billion in 2023 to $4.8 trillion by 2033 -- a 25-fold increase in a decade -- according to a recent projection by the United Nations Conference on Trade and Development.

As with technology stocks in general, the vast majority of stocks that could be considered AI stocks either do not pay dividends or pay very small ones.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

While they are relatively rare, there are some top-performing AI stocks that pay decent dividends and have a good dividend payment history. These include the world's largest semiconductor (or "chip") foundry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Corp., or TSMC (NYSE: TSM), and International Business Machines, or IBM (NYSE: IBM), one of the world's oldest large tech companies.

So, folks who like dividend-paying stocks and want to invest in AI -- forgive the cliché -- can have their cake and eat it too.

A blue semiconductor with "AI" written in the center of it.

Image source: Getty Images.

2 Top AI stocks that pay decent dividends

Company

Market Cap

Dividend Yield

Forward P/E Ratio

Wall Street's Projected Annualized EPS Growth Over Next 5 Years

5-Year Return

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing

$963 billion

1.26% 24.2 22.7% 296%
IBM $270 billion 2.31% 26.7 6.3% 223%

S&P 500

N/A

1.24% N/A

N/A

112%

Data sources: Finviz.com and Yahoo! Finance. P/E = price to earnings. EPS = earnings per share. Data as of July 8, 2025.

TSMC: The world's largest chip foundry

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing produces chips for companies that contract out all or some of the manufacturing of chips that they design. As the world's largest chip foundry, TSMC is the dominant company in the production of advanced AI chips, so it's been significantly benefiting from the growth of the AI market and should continue to benefit.

TSMC's customers includes most of the big names in chip companies -- such as Nvidia, Broadcom, and Arm Holdings. It also produces chips for big tech companies that have designed their own chips, including Apple, which is widely considered TSMC's largest customer, followed by Nvidia.

The company is off to a great start in 2025. In the first quarter, its revenue jumped 35% year over year to $25.5 billion, driven by continued strong AI-related demand. Better yet, its EPS surged 54% to $2.12. Its EPS growing faster than its revenue reflects its expanding profit margin.

On the Q1 earnings call, management reaffirmed its 2025 guidance that its revenue from AI accelerators will double year over year.

TSMC started paying cash dividends in 2004 and has never halted or reduced its dividend per share.

TSMC stock is trading at 24.2 times its forward projected EPS, which is reasonable for a stock of a company that Wall Street expects will grow EPS at an average annual rate of nearly 23% over the next five years.

IBM: Successfully transitioning to AI and other high-growth markets

IBM has been in a years-long transitioning mode, divesting of legacy businesses and investing in growth markets, notably cloud computing and AI. This transitioning resulted in its revenue declining, which in turn caused its profits and cash flows to also decrease. But Big Blue is back in growth mode.

In 2024, IBM's revenue increased 3% in constant currency to $62.8 billion, driven by a 9% rise in software revenue, offset by declines of 1% and 3% in its consulting and infrastructure segments, respectively. Adjusted earnings per share (EPS) from continuing operations was up 7% year over year. Free cash flow (FCF) rose 13% year over year to $12.7 billion.

IBM's generative AI book of business ended the year at $5 billion inception to date. (Generative AI enables users to quickly generate new content based on a variety of inputs. It's the type of AI that's largely powering the AI boom.)

The AI business is growing fast, increasing $2 billion from the third to the fourth quarter 2024. Moreover, it tacked on another $1 billion-plus in the first quarter of 2025 to bring its total to more than $6 billion. About one-fifth of this business comes from software and four-fifths from consulting, CEO Arvind Krishna said on the Q1 earnings call.

The company expects revenue growth to accelerate in 2025. For the year, it guided for annual revenue growth of at least 5% in constant currency and FCF of about $13.5 billion, or over 6% growth year over year.

IBM has a great dividend history. It's increased its quarterly cash dividend for 30 consecutive years.

IBM stock is trading at 26.7 times forward projected EPS. This might seem quite pricey for shares of a company that Wall Street expects will grow EPS at an average annual pace of 6.3% over the next five years. However, investors can expect to pay a premium for stocks of companies that have great track records of raising their dividends.

Moreover, the stock might turn out to be less pricey than it currently seems. IBM has solidly beat the analyst consensus estimate for earnings in the last four quarters, with two of the beats being quite large. Given how fast the company's AI business is growing, it could continue to solidly surpass earnings estimates.

Mark your calendars

TSMC is slated to release its Q2 2025 results before the market open on Thursday, July 17.

IBM is scheduled to release its Q2 results after the market close on Wednesday, July 23.

Should you invest $1,000 in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing right now?

Before you buy stock in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $687,764!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $980,723!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,048% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 179% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 7, 2025

Beth McKenna has positions in Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, International Business Machines, Nvidia, and Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing. The Motley Fool recommends Broadcom. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

This Dan Ives-Backed ETF Could Be the Smartest Way to Play the AI Revolution

Key Points

  • The Dan Ives AI Revolution ETF limits the influence of mega-cap tech stocks, such as Nvidia and Microsoft.

  • It still explores the exciting AI opportunity with 30 hand-picked stocks in that market.

  • This nearly equal-weighted ETF could appeal to investors seeking more diversification in the AI sector.

The artificial intelligence (AI) revolution is shaking Wall Street to its very foundations. The "Magnificent Seven" group of market-defining AI stocks all rank among the 12 highest-valued securities on the market today. Together, this group accounts for 32.3% of the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) index's total score, and 61.9% of the tech-heavy Nasdaq 100 index.

These are the market darlings of this era, all trading at lofty valuations and perhaps headed toward a painful price correction someday soon. What if you're not comfortable giving so much weight to a risky bunch of recent market beaters? Remember, past performance does not guarantee that future returns will be similar.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

Well-known analyst Dan Ives just launched a hand-vetted fund that provides targeted investments in the AI boom, but with lower influence from the handful of top-ranked giants. Let's see what's different about this exchange-traded fund (ETF), so you can decide whether it belongs in your portfolio.

A humanoid robot counting coins on a black desk with a soaring city view.

Image source: Getty Images.

This is not your average index fund

The Dan Ives Wedbush AI Revolution ETF (NYSEMKT: IVES) is technically an index fund, but the underlying index is a custom list that simply reflects the stock pick in Ives' top-30 AI stock-picking reports. It was launched just days before the related ETF. So the index formulation is just a technicality. The Wedbush analyst with a long research history and a penchant for colorful suits is really making these stock picks in a very direct sense.

At the same time, the index structure adds some academic rigidity to the ETF. New additions to the index (and ETF) are given a cap-based weight between 1% and 4% of the total portfolio, no exceptions. The index is rebalanced four times a year, on the third Fridays of March, June, September, and December. The hard caps of at least 1% but no more than 4% are reapplied at each of these events, making sure that no single stock ever represents a huge slice of the Dan Ives ETF.

The annual expense ratio is 0.75%, far above the leading S&P 500 index funds and comparable to many handpicked stock collections.

How the portfolio is balanced

On June 30, just 27 calendar days after the ETF's inception, the "Magnificent Seven" stocks added up to 32.6% of the Ives fund's value. That's actually a smidge higher than their combined slice of the S&P 500, but megacaps Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) and Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) hold significantly lighter weights in the Dan Ives portfolio.

Nineteen of the 30 components ran into the 4% top-end weighting cap at the latest rebalancing, making alternatives such as IBM (NYSE: IBM) and Advanced Micro Devices (NASDAQ: AMD) just as important to the ETF's value as any of the Magnificent Seven.

A smiling person looks out through a window.

Image source: Getty Images.

Will slow and steady win the AI race?

No ETF can guarantee market-beating returns, and AI is a volatile field right now. I can't guarantee that Ives' selections will outperform the broader market in the long run, or that the nearly equal-weighted nature of this fund is a better idea than the market cap weightings seen in many other ETFs.

But if you're looking for a lower-risk approach to the exciting but risky AI market, the Dan Ives AI Revolution ETF might hit the spot. Its careful rebalancing policy sets this fund apart from most of its rivals. Ives' decades of market analysis experience should be worth something, too.

The fund is too young to do a deep dive into its market performance, but it's off to a strong start in its first month of operation. Only time will tell how this ETF will stack up in the long run, but its lower risk profile could be right for your portfolio. After all, it will hurt less to hold the Dan Ives ETF if a top stock like Nvidia or Microsoft takes a big tumble.

As always, do your own research before you buy anything -- but if you want a smarter, more diversified way to play the AI revolution, this ETF might just fit the bill.

Should you invest $1,000 in Wedbush Series Trust - Dan Ives Wedbush Ai Revolution ETF right now?

Before you buy stock in Wedbush Series Trust - Dan Ives Wedbush Ai Revolution ETF, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Wedbush Series Trust - Dan Ives Wedbush Ai Revolution ETF wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $692,914!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $963,866!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,050% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 179% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Anders Bylund has positions in International Business Machines and Nvidia. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Advanced Micro Devices, International Business Machines, Microsoft, and Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

2 Soaring Tech Stocks With Amazing Dividends

Key Points

  • IBM is seeing growth accelerate as its bets on hybrid cloud and AI pay off.

  • AT&T is posting solid wireless growth, and it plans to double its fiber network size over the next five years.

  • Both stocks are up big and sport attractive dividends.

While many high-flying tech stocks don't pay dividends at all, investors can still find attractive dividends within the tech sector. International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) and AT&T (NYSE: T) are two great examples. On top of solid dividends, both IBM and AT&T have been delivering impressive gains to investors over the past few years. While the past doesn't predict the future, these two dividend stocks look attractive for long-term investors.

The word Dividend displayed as a graphic on a laptop seen from above.

Image source: Getty Images.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

IBM

Shares of IBM have more than doubled over the past three years as the company's long-awaited turnaround finally materialized. IBM's bet on hybrid cloud computing, anchored by its acquisition of Red Hat and progress in artificial intelligence (AI), have led to consistent revenue and free-cash-flow growth. For 2025, the company expects to grow currency-adjusted revenue by at least 5% while producing around $13.5 billion in free cash flow.

AI is turning into a big win for IBM. The company's dual focus on software and consulting is winning over enterprises, resulting in $6 billion in generative AI-related bookings so far. IBM's watsonx platform and its efficient Granite AI models are geared toward solving real-world problems for enterprise clients, and its consulting arm can construct AI solutions involving IBM and third-party products.

IBM has kept dividend increases small in the wake of the $34 billion Red Hat deal. The latest dividend hike was just a penny, bringing the quarterly dividend up to $1.68 per share. Even so, IBM's dividend looks attractive, with a yield of around 2.3%. The company's dividend track record is tough to beat. As of this year, IBM has paid consecutive quarterly dividends since 1916, and it's increased that dividend annually for 30 years in a row.

With free cash flow on the rise, IBM's dividend is set to consume less than half of the company's free cash flow in 2025. That leaves plenty of cash flow left over for debt reduction and other uses, and if free cash flow keeps growing, larger dividend hikes could be on the horizon.

AT&T

Since bottoming out in mid-2023, shares of telecom giant AT&T are up around 110%. While investors had shunned the stock for years following the company's failed media acquisitions and messy disposal of those assets, they've been warming back up to AT&T recently.

Today, AT&T is focused on 5G wireless and fiber. The company has delivered consistent wireless subscriber growth over the past few years, and its fiber network is set for a major expansion. AT&T recently passed its 30 millionth fiber location, and it expects to double the network's reach by the end of 2030. The recent acquisition of Lumen's Mass Markets fiber business will help the cause.

For 2025, AT&T expects mobility service revenue to grow by around 3%, consumer fiber revenue to surge by a mid-teens percentage, and free cash flow to top $16 billion. That free cash flow supports AT&T's dividend, which has become more sustainable as the company's results have improved.

AT&T slashed its dividend when it spun off WarnerMedia, and it has kept its dividend payments unchanged since then. The current quarterly dividend is $0.2775 per share, which works out to a dividend yield of 3.8%. AT&T will pay out around $8 billion in dividend payments this year, or roughly half of its free cash flow.

While AT&T's dividend hasn't increased in years, a higher dividend could be coming soon. The company hit its debt-reduction goals this year and plans to resume share repurchases in Q2. With less focus on debt reduction, a dividend increase could also be on the table.

For investors looking for a safe dividend with a high yield, AT&T is a great choice.

Should you invest $1,000 in International Business Machines right now?

Before you buy stock in International Business Machines, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and International Business Machines wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $697,627!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $939,655!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,045% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 178% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Timothy Green has positions in AT&T and International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

5 Dividend Stocks Poised to Profit From the AI Efficiency Boom

When companies deploy artificial intelligence (AI) to streamline operations, the results can be staggering. Microsoft (NASDAQ: MSFT) is using AI-powered code-completion tools to help developers write code 55% faster. Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ) is leveraging AI to accelerate drug-discovery timelines. IBM (NYSE: IBM) reported over $1 billion in generative AI revenue in a single quarter. These efficiency gains translate directly to the bottom line, creating sustainable cost savings that can flow to shareholders through dividends and buybacks.

Consider what happens when a company with $100 billion in revenue uses AI to improve efficiency by just 5%. That's $5 billion in cost savings flowing straight to the bottom line -- money that can fund dividend increases, share buybacks, and further AI investments. This virtuous cycle of AI deployment leading to margin expansion leading to shareholder rewards is already playing out across multiple industries. The five companies below have figured out how to turn AI from a buzzword into a profit-generating machine that benefits patient dividend investors.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

A humanoid robot working on a laptop.

Image source: Getty Images.

Microsoft leads from the front

Microsoft offers a modest 0.68% yield today, but don't let that fool you. With a rock-solid 24.4% payout ratio, the company has massive room to grow its dividend as AI supercharges its business. Microsoft isn't just selling AI through Azure and its OpenAI partnership -- it's using AI internally to optimize everything from coding to customer service. When a company generating $245 billion in annual revenue finds ways to boost efficiency by even 10%, that's $24.5 billion in potential savings flowing straight to the bottom line.

IBM's transformation pays off

IBM yields 2.38% and has raised its dividend for 30 consecutive years, though its 114.2% payout ratio demands attention. The company's aggressive pivot to AI and hybrid cloud is already bearing fruit, with generative AI revenue jumping over $1 billion in the third quarter of 2024 alone. While the high payout ratio suggests IBM is stretching to maintain its long dividend growth streak, the AI-driven revenue growth could quickly bring that ratio back to sustainable levels. Watson's evolution from a game show novelty to an enterprise AI powerhouse shows IBM still has innovation in its DNA.

Powering the AI revolution

ExxonMobil (NYSE: XOM) might seem like an odd AI play, but here's what everyone's missing: Every ChatGPT query, every AI model training session, every autonomous vehicle mile requires massive amounts of energy. Data centers are projected to consume 9% of U.S. electricity by 2030, and natural gas will power much of that demand. With a healthy 3.2% yield and a sustainable 51.4% payout ratio, Exxon is perfectly positioned to profit from AI's insatiable energy appetite while paying shareholders along the way.

A prescription for AI

Johnson & Johnson combines a juicy 3.47% yield with 63 years of consecutive dividend increases -- the definition of reliability. But this dividend titan isn't resting on its laurels. The company is deploying AI across drug discovery, clinical trials, and manufacturing, potentially shaving years off development timelines and billions off costs. With a 55.2% payout ratio, J&J has plenty of room to keep those dividend increases coming as AI-driven efficiencies boost profitability.

A hidden dividend story

Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) sports the group's lowest yield at 0.52% but also the lowest payout ratio at just 15.6% -- meaning massive dividend growth potential. While everyone focuses on iPhone sales, Apple is quietly embedding AI into every corner of its ecosystem.

From on-device AI processing that protects privacy to machine learning that powers health features, Apple is building an AI moat that will drive customer loyalty and pricing power for years. That translates to growing cash flows and bigger dividend checks.

The efficiency dividend

These five stocks prove you don't need to gamble on speculative AI plays to profit from the AI revolution. By focusing on established companies using AI to drive efficiency and growth, you get the best of both worlds: steady dividend income today and accelerating earnings growth tomorrow. Microsoft and Apple offer lower yields but massive growth potential. IBM provides higher current income as its transformation gains steam. Exxon captures the infrastructure angle. And J&J brings healthcare innovation to the mix.

These five dividend payers are quietly compounding wealth through a combination of yield, dividend growth, and share-price appreciation. The combination of current income, margin-expansion potential, and reasonable valuations makes these stocks compelling holdings for any dividend-focused portfolio in the era of AI-powered efficiency gains.

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 23, 2025

George Budwell has positions in Apple and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, International Business Machines, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends Johnson & Johnson and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Earning Attention With Seth Godin

AI, marketing, brand, creativity, These are just a few of the subjects that Seth Godin can talk about with eloquence and insight. In this episode of Rule Breaker Investing, the Purple Cow author joins Motley Fool co-founder David Gardner and guest host Andy Cross, The Motley Fool's chief investment officer, to shed light on what earns attention, transaction, and loyalty.

To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.

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A full transcript is below.

Where to invest $1,000 right now

When our analyst team has a stock tip, it can pay to listen. After all, Stock Advisor’s total average return is 995%* — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 172% for the S&P 500.

They just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy right now, available when you join Stock Advisor.

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 9, 2025

This podcast was recorded on May 21, 2025.

David Gardner: This week a special treat. Seth Godin, only on this week's Rule Breaker Investing.

Among the many remarkable traits of Seth Godin, one of my favorites is the power of his brevity. In honor of Seth, you just got the shortest cold open I've ever done. This week, I'm featuring our recent Motley Fool interview from Fool24. That's the video channel on our website with superstar business author Seth Godin, joined by Andy Cross, as well, our Chief Investment Officer, that interview is coming right up. But first, a quick reminder next week is your mailbag. I love receiving your thoughts and questions every month. Reach us at [email protected] or tweet us at RBI podcast.

As I shared at the start of the year, my 2025 book, Rule Breaker Investing is now available for pre-order. After 30 years of stock picking, this is my magnum opus, a lifetime of lessons distilled into one definitive guide, and each week until the book launches on September 16, I'm sharing a random excerpt. I crack open the book to a random page and read a few sentences. Let's do it. Here's this week's Page Breaker preview a succinct Godin-like statement, summing up my investing approach in exactly 20 words. I quote. "I try to find excellence, buy excellence, and add to excellence over time. I sell mediocrity. That's how I invest." That's this week's Page Breaker preview to pre-order my final word on stock picking shape by three decades of market crushing success. Just type Rule Breaker Investing into amazon.com, Barnes and Noble.com, or wherever you shop for great books. When you think about it, a great investment book literally pays for itself, and then some. To everyone who's already pre-ordered, thanks. That means a lot to me. In the words of the poet, Taylor Allison Swift, our next guest is feeling 22. Seth Godin has 22 best sellers in 39 languages. He's an Internet entrepreneur, best-selling author, renowned speaker and marketing. Sure, expert. He's posted more than 9,000 times on his blog, and his 22 books, I think I have that number right. He can correct me if I'm wrong. It'll destroy the Taylor Swift opening if I don't have that right, Andy. His 22 books include The Dip, Linchpin, Purple Cow, and Tribes. I want to throw Free Prize inside in there as well, book I love. His newest book is the best seller, This is Strategy Make Better Plans, published last year. He's one of the two most famous people from Mount Vernon, Virginia. Seth Godin, welcome back.

Seth Godin: You guys, you're great. David, you're a genius. I'm from Mount Vernon, New York, but I'll take it.

David Gardner: I rarely do this step. I'm going to throw my producer Mac Greer under the bus for, I would say, inadequate research that caused me to make, What is an embarrassing gas?

Seth Godin: It's not embarrassing. I just don't want to take any credit for being from a place I'm not from and move people from Virginia down the ladder. It's not fair. [laughs].

Andy Cross: It's all in the storytelling, anyways, Seth.

David Gardner: Seth, let's go right to AI because how can we not? Seven years ago, you joined me on my podcast. You were my first ever author in August. It was August 1st, 2018, and you described daily blogging back then as the best way to sharpen your thinking. Today, so many creators lean on AI assistant like ChatGPT to draft, edit, spark ideas. How has AI changed your own writing process, Seth, if at all, and what would your advice be to someone who worries that AI will cheat their way to insight?

Seth Godin: Let's say it's 1,900, 1905, and we're talking about electricity. I think it's a little bit of a trap to ask about, are you using a light bulb at night to help you type? Because electricity opened the door for so many miracles that we had no idea were coming. Claude is one of my closest compatriots. I find ChatGPT to be arrogant and lazy, but Claude and I get along great, and I never ask it to do my writing for me, but that's a personal choice because I write because I want to, not because some teacher told me I had to. What I do with Claude that continually amazes me are two things. First, is if you have a complicated document, 30, 40 pages, I had one that was written by 10 different people over the course of a year, and you upload that document and say to Claude, "Please find the internal inconsistencies, please ask me five hard questions, please criticize the structure," it will write you a two page memo better than most humans could do. The second thing I use it for is, I'll come up with a list of three or four or five things and say, "Give me four more." Of the four it gives me, at least two of them are things I never thought of that are really important. This idea of, did I think of all the things on my list, is great, but, two years from now, both of these uses are trivial compared to what AI is going to be doing to our lives.

David Gardner: Do you want to make any predictions, Seth?

Seth Godin: My prediction is this. Everything AI has done so far for the typical person in business in the developed world is solo. It's me and the AI. But the Internet has two words in it, Inter, which means connected and net, which means connected. That's what fuels everything that works on the Internet. Once AI says to me, "I noticed you were writing X, Y or Z, David, who's also using the same tool is working on the same thing. Should I connect you guys?" Whoa. What happens when my databases talk to each other or my databases talk to your databases? What happens when we create this amplification of community, not just amplification of knowledge? That adds two zeros, I think, to the way the world works.

David Gardner: Seth, you've written about how true pros don't fear amateurs, but I think a lot of pros are fearing ChatGPT, generative AI, Claude, whatever it is. Should we?

Seth Godin: Well, I've had technology put my projects out of business before, and it will do it again. What I mean by true pros, don't fear amateurs, when the camera came along, a whole bunch of people who were painters poo putt it. When the iPhone came along, wedding photographers freaked out. How dare guests at a wedding take pictures? Don't they know how hard I work to get all this fancy equipment? But the best wedding photographers got busier after that, not less busy because you're now charging for something that's not a commodity. If you made a living doing genre covers for science fiction novels, you don't have a job anymore, because if there's a genre, AI can do it better than you can. What it does is it requires you to go beyond genre and to be on the frontier. If I think about something like radiology, there are plenty of professional radiologists, but they're doing genre radiology by the book. Now an X-ray machine can instantly and for free, read a wrist fracture 95% of the time. I don't need a mediocre radiologist ever again. This is great news because now the 90% of the population that didn't even have access to X-rays and is going to. It's really bad news if you're by the book anything, and so that's what I mean by being a professional is you're not just checking the box and handing in the form.

David Gardner: Such a good distinction. Let's talk a little bit more about AI. I'm wondering, especially Seth, I admire so much so many of your thoughts, words, deeds, your books. I've read a bunch of them. Branding is always top of mind when I think about you, and obviously, I think about the Motley Fool brand. That's just our company, but branding matters a lot to me as an investor. In fact, I think that branding is often misunderstood because there's no number for it on the balance sheet or the income statement, and so most people calculate their valuation ratios without factoring in what, to me, might be the central asset of every great company. Every great company sets go and ends up looking overvalued because we're not counting brand. But I care about brand. Do you think AI is being well-branded today? Does AI have a branding problem?

Seth Godin: What's a brand? It's not a logo. The Motley Fool logo is a tiny fraction of the goodness of Motley Fool. You didn't win the logo sweepstakes, but you built a brand that matters. And if you look at AI logos, they're terrible. A brand is simply the promise that an organization makes and our expectation of what to expect. Hyatt has a logo, but Nike has a brand. If Hyatt came out with a line of sneakers, we have no idea what it would be like. But if Nike opened a hotel chain, we all know what it would be like. [laughs] And so that's the brand value, if you're not paying extra, there is no brand value, if you're not taking risks because you give them the benefit of the doubt, there is no brand value. Fifty years ago, the mass murderer Marlborough had an enormous brand value because people would cross the street if the convenience store was sold out of Marlborough's and buy their brand across the street. The thing about AI is anthropic as they say 600 people in their marketing department. I have no idea what they're doing because there's no consistency, there's no structure to what I should be expecting from them. It's just engineers launch stuff, and then the marketing people go to meetings and try to catch up.

AI has a brand in the sense that more people are paying more money for this new technology than has ever happened before for any technology I can recall. We're paying the money because of what it's going to do for us tomorrow, and so there's this expectation. The challenge they have, is in order to get our attention, they have made insane promises, and regularly they break those promises, and so I wouldn't trust AI to drive my car, and I wouldn't trust AI to write my prescriptions, and I wouldn't trust AI to write my books. But it does a little of those things all the time. Going forward, if there's going to be enterprise value greater than the tech value, they're going to have to develop this soft tissue brand, because I think the tech value, as always happens, will become a commodity. That means you either have to have a network effect, or a benefit of the doubt loyalty brand, or else it's a commodity you're going to charge with, it costs you to make the electricity work and a penny more, but you can't get a premium because if not, I'll just switch to somebody else.

Andy Cross: Seth, just a quick follow up there. You've written a lot about authenticity of brands. Generative AI and those tools, do they have an authenticity problem? Then a parallel to that is just in general, how do you evaluate the authenticity of a brand's marketing?

Seth Godin: I've written that I think authenticity is a crock, and I think it's a trap, and I think it should be avoided. Friends should be authentic, professionals should be consistent. If I go to see Taylor Swift and I pay $2,000 for the tickets, and she has a cold, I don't want her to act like she has a cold. I want her to fake it, and act like the best version of Taylor Swift, because she's a professional, and the same thing is true for anything I transact with a stranger hoofer. What I want from AI is not authenticity because I don't care if it's authentically having a hallucination. I want it to consistently keep its promise, and part of the job the marketers have. Well, so let me explain about marketing in tech firms. The greatest value created ever by a marketer in a tech firm is not Steve Jobs, it's Marissa Mayer. Marissa Mayer, who didn't have marketing in her title was one of the first employees at Google. At the time I was at Yahoo. Yahoo had 183 links on its homepage. Google was heading down that path really fast, and Marissa Mayer put a stake in the ground and stopped at two, and every time the engineers tried to make Google more complicated, she made them stop. That single act, which took five plus years of diligence, created what is it now, $1 trillion worth of value, because otherwise, it would have just been another place to do search. Yahoo was lazy.

I was the third member of the marketing department after they acquired my company, and so the two people who were in the marketing department, they were just in charge of putting up a billboard here and there. That wasn't marketing. Marketing is, what is the story we're going to live? What are the promises we're going to make and the promises we're not going to make? When people think of us, what are they going to think of? This has been missing in tech for a long time, and so you end up with people who let the tech run the company, and as a result, they inevitably slam into the wall.

David Gardner: I want to make sure I have my math and my history right. Seth, when you said there are two options on the Google homepage, I think one was search, and the other was, I'm feeling lucky?

Seth Godin: Correct. They're taking it down as of, like, the next couple of weeks.

David Gardner: I have to admit I haven't really clicked. I'm feeling lucky for a long time, so maybe but I love the whimsy of it.

Seth Godin: They didn't want anyone to click on it. They just wanted to show confidence. [laughs]

David Gardner: Let's shift now from branding to permission marketing. Early on, Seth Godin coined the term permission marketing to contrast with interruption tactics. These days, we've got some cookies crumbling, privacy regulations, proliferating, first party data, now king. Seth, how do you see permission marketing evolving and where should marketers focus to earn genuine consent permitted consent in 2025?

Seth Godin: When you and I met, it was 1991 or '92, and I think somewhere in there and I had just invented email marketing. Someone needed to invent it, and it was me. The whole point was, it's not spam. I testified at the US Senate against spam and got kicked out of the Direct Marketing Association in response. The Direct Marketing Association said, how dare you invite regulation of anything any company wants to do to steal attention? I said, you're completely missing the point. The good guys want there to be regulation. The good guys want it to be rational and quiet and trustworthy. It's the scammers and the spammers that want it to be the Wild West. You, the DMA, you should be on my team. I was thrilled years later, they let me back in because they understood the mistake they had made. The stuff you're talking about, it's all ham-handed, but it's all in response to greedy, lazy organizations skirting around the edges. Permission is simple. It's not the fine print. It's a simple question. If you didn't show up tomorrow, would we miss you? Would we miss you if you didn't send us that email? Would we miss you if you didn't update your website? If the answer is no, then you're a spammer, and if the answer is yes, you've earned permission. I'm confident that if the Fool stopped sending its fans and its subscribers your newsletter, you would hear from a lot of people within five minutes. That's because you've earned their permission, not you have some legal loophole you're exploiting.

David Gardner: I really appreciate that point, and I do think the Motley Fool does a good job in some regards, and I think we also send out a lot of emails, too. I don't think we're 100% yet, but I certainly think we're on the path. Thirty-one years in since you embedded email marketing Seth, a lot of people are still just trying to figure out how to do it best. It's funny, just a quick reflection, and then Andy's going to have a follow up, but my reflection is that what you just said, if we didn't send it, would anyone notice? Would anyone care? That's exactly the question that I ask in something I call the snap test when I look at companies, and I'm thinking like, will I invest in this stock or that one? The snap test was later made popular. I first wrote about this in our 1998 book, Rule Makers, Rule Breakers but it was later made popular by Thanos of Marvel Avengers fame when he snapped his fingers and half of the world, including superheroes, disappeared. But literally in 1998, I said, here's the way I think you can decide whether you should buy a stock or not. When you snap your fingers, if that company disappeared overnight, would anyone notice? Would anyone care? It has focused on impact and who's got the love out there and it's just fascinating to me that you basically said the same thing, and we're using different contexts.

Seth Godin: Well, I'm just stealing all your ideas.

David Gardner: Not at all. No, we stole email marketing from you, sir. [laughs] Andy,

Andy Cross: Seth, how about the progression or the regression in permission marketing when you think about the technology of programmatic ads and cookies and targeting over the years? Where do we stand nowadays with permission marketing?

Seth Godin: Well, it's like when one of your kids grows up and ends up in a federal prison. [laughs] When we were running Yoyodyne, we had a 82% open rate and a 33% response rate to the emails we sent. We're the largest recipient and sender of email in the world at the time that was doing permission marketing. Those were our numbers week after week. Now, for most organizations, it's 0.000001%, and the reason is the inevitable race to the bottom caused by people skirting around the edges to make their quarterly income go up. Because they're like, It's OK if I burn it down because it's an emergency, and so they cheat. It was naive of me when I wrote the book and in the years afterwards to not expect that that would happen because it always happens. What Google could have done is established better standards for how these interactions are going to go down so that good action would be more rewarded, and the open web is magnificent. We don't have an open web. We have a semi-open web, and when somebody who has enough money and resources comes in and decides to bend it to their will, then the principles and ethics of what I'm talking about often go out the window because Milton Friedman was wrong. We need both independent entities they are trying to maximize their profit and their shareholder value and community action that's organized around what's best for the culture. The purpose of culture isn't to enable capitalism. The purpose of capitalism is to enable culture, and so we're going to see all of this craft and destruction, and then the next thing is going to come, and then the next thing is going to come. My hope is that AI is going to work at least as hard to defend my attention as it's going to work to steal my attention.

David Gardner: Seth, let me shift now to something that I really appreciate about you, and that's your terseness. That's how concise you are. Truly, and I remember talking about this seven years ago with you on the Rule Breaker Investing podcast, for every blog you write, you've thrown out four or five. There's a lot, and you probably still do that or maybe you're more efficient. It's just two or three of these days, but I really appreciate the effort that you've put in to make things as tight as possible. I would say in some ways, Seth, you've built a career on brevity. Today's short form video, this is where I'm heading now, thinking TikTok I don't actually use TikTok, but turns out a lot of people do, I think Instagram. I also don't use it, and even punch your economy of attention, 15 seconds of content for a lot of videos. What lessons from your writing practice might you do this content yourself? If so, what translates?

Seth Godin: What do we make? I think most people who listen to this make decisions. You don't make pottery, you don't dig ditches, you make decisions. Maybe you make a difference, and maybe you make change happen. I'm a teacher. What I make is I help my students who have opted in to whatever we're doing like right now, change the way they see the world, change the way they get what they're getting. The rule is, put the effort in to make the teaching as cogent and concise as possible, but no more than that.[laughs] There are all these ancient fables of the guy who knocks on the Sage's door and says, wise guy, while I'm standing here on one foot, teach me everything there is, the meaning of life. My response would be, if you're only willing to wait long enough for you to stand on one foot, you don't care enough to change, and I'm not here to entertain you.

The reason I don't show up on TikTok is not that I couldn't get a lot of use because I understand the medium and I understand how to do a dance there that people might click on or the algorithm would like. It's that it wouldn't get me anything. I don't sell stuff online, but I know people who have had 42 million views of something and sold four units. The goal is not to make Mark Zuckerberg happy. The goal is not to make the TikTok algorithm happy. The goal is to achieve what you set out to achieve. What's the purpose of this work? I sometimes run into people who said, I read a two-paragraph blog post of yours, and it changed my life, but I'm way more likely to run into someone who says, I read your book and it changed my life. I'm even more likely to run into someone who said I took the altMBA, which I used to run, and that changed my life. What I'm looking for are people who are ready to lean in, and the short stuff opens the door, but they've got to then teach themselves or it's not going to work, and the problem with TikTok is there's not a lot of autodidactic experience going on there. There's just amusement.

David Gardner: Do I recall correctly that you only took one English course in high? There's some story, I remember you telling Seth about your own schooling in English.

Seth Godin: My high school English teacher, I took all the classes in high school, but she wrote in my yearbook, you are the bane of my existence, and you will never amount to anything. I still have it. I dedicated one.

David Gardner: Is that really what a teacher wrote into all like that?

Seth Godin: I dedicated one of my books to her cause was slightly tongue in cheek. My dad made a deal with my two sisters and me. We'd have to pay room and board in college. He'd pay tuition, but we had a major in engineering in exchange. Because he said, learn to solve problems, the rest of this is a bonus. Take as many English classes as you want, but first learn to solve problems. When I got to school, I discovered a loophole in the course catalog, so I took engineering and a lot of philosophy classes. I loved the thinking and philosophy, and I took exactly one English class. What I discovered is college-level English, at least for me, wasn't about learning to express myself the way I wanted to in a practical way. It was about literature, and I have too short of an attention span for that. That's correct. One English class in college.

Andy Cross: Seth, back to the, well, a little bit tied to attention spans and the marketing question that David had asked. I'm really curious about this concept between grabbing and earning someone's attention, especially today, as David said and you all were talking about just the brevity of information out there and the volume of information out there. Explain to us how we can earn someone's attention versus grabbing someone's attention?

Seth Godin: Two quick case studies. This is a book that saved my career. I'd been kicked out of publishing, and then I wrote this book called Purple Cow. It came in a milk cart, and I self-published the first 10,000 copies. Now, that's a gimmick, and I'm aware it's a gimmick, but I was only selling it to people who already liked my work, who were reading me in Fast Company. I sold out of the 10,000 copies, five dollars a copy, broke even. How did everyone else find out about it so that it has sold millions of copies? Is it because I did stunts and hung from a building and figured out how to make a commotion? Zero people. It's because somebody put this on their desk. They didn't put it on their desk because they like me. They don't know me. They put it on their desk because it would benefit them, earning them status or affiliation or the workplace they wanted to be if their co-workers knew about it. You earn attention never by doing a stunt or by grabbing it. You earn attention when someone who likes you tells someone else. If I think about David and the heritage of the Motley Fool, you had a lucky break at the beginning, which is that Ted gave you a channel on basically the pre-Internet. But that was still only what, 10,000 people at the beginning? How did you get from 10,000 people to the millions of people that know you and trust you now? Is it because you ran a billboard in Times Square? I don't think so.

It's because people who were on board with you told their friends, they told their spouse, they told their peers. Why did they do that? Because you did something worth talking about. This is the essence of the Purple Cow, and it is missed by almost everybody. When Apple goes out and hypes and hypes a TV show. Well, that's because they don't believe in themselves enough to have the show do what it could do, which is spread organically from viewer to viewer. That is how we ended up with everything that happened after the original Super Bowl ad. It wasn't that Apple ran better ads after that. It's that they made a product that people like me told their friends about. I think that Serrandos said Netflix understands this way better than whoever's running Apple TV, because they're trying to make shows that don't make critics happy, but that people want to talk about. It's that simple.

David Gardner: Let's stick with Purple Cow, one of my favorite business books. Back in Purple Cow, at one point in the book, Seth, you argue that winning companies, a fun word, cheat by building unique assets. I'm going to quote because, in fact, I have a book called Rule Breaker Investing coming out this fall, and I quote directly from you, this passage because it's so relevant for me when I think about what companies I want to be invested in. Here's a little bit of Seth Godin. "Starbucks is cheating. The coffee bar phenomenon was invented by them, and now whenever we think coffee, we think Starbucks. Vanguard is cheating. Their low-cost index funds make it impossible for a full service broker to compete. Amazon.com is cheating. Their free shipping and huge selection give them an unfair advantage over the neighborhood store." A little bit later in that passage, you end up asking, "Why aren't you cheating?" You ask rhetorically, of the reader. I will note some years later, you wrote a separate blog about how you really shouldn't cheat. Cheating is not a good thing, and you explain very clearly the other cheating that we think of, and that's not good. But I've always loved that passage, and that's why I adduce it in my book. But Seth, I want to ask you, I don't know how much time you spend looking at emerging businesses or industries today. I hope some because that's my question.

Do you see anybody cheating today in a way that impresses you? They just have an unfair advantage and they're exploding it.

Seth Godin: First, I don't remember writing any of those words. It makes me smile to read it. It was so long ago I had to call it amazon.com.

David Gardner: It's true.

Seth Godin: I made the decision a long time ago that I generally don't talk about what's going to be the next big company because every time I do, I curse them and they fail. This is your job. You are much better at it than me. [laughs] But here's what I would say. If you think of a brand that you admire, it's not because they have a good logo. It's because that brand is doing something that is an unfair advantage. I am deep in on Patagonia, almost every article of clothing I own. Could I tell if my eyes were closed, if it was Patagonia? Probably not. But I like the way it makes me feel to be the person that is going to buy that item from a company that stands for that. No one's going to be the next Patagonia because that slot is taken. Luxottica figured out how to corner the market, and it took an innovator like Neil at Warby Parker to expose the $400 premium that they had been charging as a tax to everybody. No one's going to be the next Warby Parker. There's no room to be the next Warby Parker. You can be a bottom fisher making a nickel at a time, but Warby Parker figured out how to play a remarkable game when the space changes.

My dad used to call this a change agent. Technology, big shifts, these are agents of change. When it shows up, we rescramble the board, and we saw this happen when we got streaming and YouTube and everything and cable before that. ABC, CBS, NBC, boom, toast because we scrambled the board. What I'm seeing right now is the biggest scramble of the board since the Internet and probably bigger, which is AI. If you have a job where you do something that someone could write down what they want, they're probably going to get AI to do it cheaper because if that's all the job involves is writing down the steps in the spec, I got a machine that's going to do that for me for $20 a month. That giant scramble means a whole bunch of organizations that do something that requires judgment and insight are going to arise. I think many of them are going to have very few people who work there, and most of them aren't going to need to go public, but some of them will choose to, and we're not going to recognize the corporate landscape, I think, in eight years. I really don't.

Andy Cross: Seth, when you think about remarkable companies tied to the purple cows, are there key signs of what makes in your eyes a remarkable company?

Seth Godin: Generally, there's only a little bit about them that's interesting, and then everything else they're doing is boring. That they're not trying to change everything all at once all the time. They have one principle that they stick with. In the new book, This is Strategy, I call this an elegant strategy. Microsoft said, "We're going to be the IBM of software." That's it. If we do this right, if everything we do is not about making the single best product or the most cutting edge product, but just a well supported, well sold product that the Fortune 1000 wants to buy, and we just keep doing that. No one ever got fired for buying Microsoft, we'll do fine. That we can go down the list of companies for the ages. It's not that they have a fancy elevator pitch because no one ever bought anything on an elevator. That's not it. [laughs] It's that they have a compass. The compass says, the more we do this, the better it goes. That's what you need to have. At Walmart, one of the rare exceptions, Walmart's exception was, the more we lower price, the better we do. Because lower price got the more volume, volume got the more container ships, more container ships, got the lower price, and they could repeat and repeat . But everybody else who's remarkable has to say something other than low price. The more Shake Shack acts in a way that McDonald's is afraid to go, they do better. Just keep going down the list. The more we do blank, the better we do. That's what makes you remarkable.

Andy Cross: That's great. I think that reminds me of Costco for the same reason. They're remarkable is because they have the membership business that is so reasonably priced, and they use the advantages of their scale and their low product footprint to be able to keep prices at rock bottoms level, and they make the profit up on the membership side.

Seth Godin: Well, also, and you guys are much more expert than me. As a marketer, I think what Costco did was they created a cultural narrative that said, I'm a good parent because I'm willing to buy ridiculous quantities of ridiculous items to support my family. Having 40 pounds of Vlasic pickles in a container, that's part of the brand ethos. They didn't try to out Walmart . I'll tell you one aside about this. In 1999, 2000, Walmart hired me to come give a speech to their entire digital division. I flew to Bentonville, Arkansas. The local only hotel lost my reservation. I slept on the floor in their lobby. The next morning, I went to the headquarters. There's 400 people in the room, and there's a banner behind me. It had been there for six months. Remember, this is 25 years ago. The banner says, "We can't out Amazon. Twenty five years ago, they realized their strategy was their strategy, and Jeff's was Jeff's, and if they started chasing him, the public markets would just murder them. They had to say, "No, we got 25 years to do a different thing, and then we'll see what happens." You need the humility to realize you're not going to be for everybody, but you got to be for somebody.

David Gardner: Let's stick a little bit with stuff that's cheap and stuff that's increasingly free. Because Seth, I'm just curious of your thoughts on the topic of, "Hey, I'm about to lose my job because something can do it faster, cheaper, easier." If that happens enough times, I've sometimes wondered whimsically, rhetorically aloud. If that happens enough times, that means so much stuff has gotten so cheap that maybe we don't actually need full time jobs as we once did, because these days we get Khan Academy lectures for free. You and I used to have to dial, collect, mom and dad, collect call from Seth, dollar an hour international fees. That's all free today. Google Docs, last I checked, turn-by-turn GPS navigation. There are so many things now in 2025 that are cheap or near free that we used to pay quite a bit for. I'm just curious, Seth, can you see a future where stuff keeps getting more shared, more cheaper, more free, where we don't actually worry about being displaced from our full time job?

Seth Godin: There are a few things you're twisting together here. Again, there are parts of this where I'm consistently wrong, so let's just leave that aside for a second. [laughs] Historically, every piece of technology has displaced a certain labor. When the steam shovel came along, ditch diggers were not happy. When writing came along, Plato famously said it's the end of civilization because people won't have to memorize stuff anymore. It's been going on for a very long time. Every single time that displacement has led to more jobs, not fewer jobs. Past performance might not be an indicator of future, but that's been true every single time. Number 2, we keep making certain things cheaper. The amount of time somebody used to have to go to work to get an hour of light in their home in the evening was three hours of work. Now, it's two seconds. The amount of money this pencil used to cost out of my income, it's so vanishingly small that pencils are free. Keep going down the list. We've been doing this for a very long time. But at the same time, we keep inventing all of this stuff that people say they need that they actually want. Most of what we do and buy and pay attention to in 2025 didn't exist in 1950 and no one missed it. [laughs] We're going to keep inventing these desires because human beings want two things in all areas.

Once we have a roof over our head, and we're not going to die tomorrow, we only want two things status and affiliation. Status is who eats lunch first? Who's up and who's down? Am I winning? What am I winning at? Some people get status by showing up at a board meeting in ratty clothes. Some people get status by showing up in a civil suit. Or affiliation, people like us do things like this. One of the rules apparently at the Motley Fool is you got to have those big headphones maybe with a little thing there [laughs] because people like us, that's how we show up at these events. [laughs] Affiliation works, for example, in Disney's favor, because if your kids are really into Mickey, it's probably because their friends are really into Mickey. If every single person had their favorite superhero, no one could make a living selling superhero stuff. Affiliation and status. Once we don't have to work, three hours to get an hour of electricity. Why do we still work? Why is it? David, how many billionaires do you know? 100, probably?

David Gardner: I'm invested in more than I know, I can say that.

Seth Godin: But I'm guessing you could pick up the phone and talk to 100 different billionaires, all of whom still work. What are they going to work for?

David Gardner: Good point?

Seth Godin: They're going to work for status and affiliation. We're not going to stop doing that. I am certain we're not going to stop doing that. Just like in the Star Trek world, people fight to get on the enterprise. Why? They could just stay home and use the Matter thing and eat peeled grapes, but they don't. Status and affiliation.

Andy Cross: Seth, outside of the billionaire landscape and the community, do you think that stands for everybody? Because I think there is this as we're thinking about 2025 and AI, we talked a little bit about it earlier. Just a little bit of fear out there about what is going to take my job the white collar side, that I didn't have even just six months ago or 12 months ago.

Seth Godin: The white collar people didn't complain when the punch press and the robot came along and took away the blue collar jobs and certainly, they're whining like crazy. It's going to take away your job. I am not doubting that one bit. What's going to happen is somebody is going to invent new jobs that offer status and affiliation for people who have pencils and light and all this other stuff they didn't have to pay for anymore because we keep doing that. If you do average work for average pay, for average customers, be prepared to be replaced. I am really confident that is likely. I'm not in favor of it. I wish people to have a smooth and calm life. But this is as normal as the world is ever going to be again. Today is peak normal.

Andy Cross: Seth, because you've written and talked so much about creativity, does that make creativity more important today or certainly as important as it was even just a few years ago?

Seth Godin: This is really cool. Do I have like four minutes to tell you the history of creativity? [laughs].

Andy Cross: Let's go.

Seth Godin: I just learned this the other day. The word creativity only showed up in the dictionary in the last 100 years. Creativity at work was invented by the Department of Defense in the 1950s and promoted as a way to keep white collar workers from getting too antsy. They started this whole idea of the creative at the ad agency and creativity. Before that, the expectation at work was you were going to do what you're told, and it was going to be brain dead boring. When the Industrial Revolution came to Manchester, England, they didn't have coffee carts that went up and down the aisle. They had gin carts, because people who were used to freedom in the farm had to go for 12, 13 hours in a dark room following instructions and then we got used to it. Most people do pretend creative work. The rest of the time, they're checking the boxes and filling out the forms and being part of the system. But now, that we've got a machine that's going to check the boxes, fill out the forms, and be the system, you're going to have to do actual creative work. That's going to be really stressful, particularly for people who are over 15-years-old, who got successful by turning off the part of their brain that wanted to have a spark, and now they're going to be on the hook for it. It's going to be as big of shift as when Gutenberg came out with the Bible, which caused meltdowns all over Europe because for the first time people could read this thing, instead of having someone tell them what it said. AI is going to say, "If you can't figure out how to do something that I haven't already imagined, you're going to be lower and lower in status." That's going to put a lot of people in a bad place for a while.

David Gardner: Seth, you referenced it briefly. Let's talk about it. Your new book, This is Strategy: Make Better Plans. This is the one I haven't read yet. Can you give us without causing our listeners not to go out and buy it a short prose, a cliffs notes version of This is Strategy: Make Better Plans.

Seth Godin: Part of my goal is that people don't need to buy my books because the book is an excuse for me to talk about it. If you want the souvenir edition, that's fine, and if you don't, that's fine. [laughs] If I could tell you everything in the book in 90 seconds, I would. The short version is tactics aren't the same as strategy. Strategy is a philosophy of becoming. It's the hard work we do before we do the hard work. If you have an elegant strategy, new tactics present themselves, that Warren Buffett told everybody his strategy and then just repeated the tactics as they shifted through the years. But the strategy stays the same, and what is missing from most people and most organizations is an ability to even talk about it. I argue that there are four surprising components which are systems because if you don't see the system, that means it's taking advantage of you. The college industrial complex, the wedding industrial complex, the capitalist system that drives you to think of some things as normal. It's a non-secret conspiracy that we never notice. There's time because tomorrow is different than today and everything the Motley Fool has ever done is about time because no one cares what a stock did yesterday, you're only talking about what it's going to do tomorrow. The third one games. Games are any human situation where there's scarcity and choices to be made. The fourth one I don't remember. But it's important that we learn to see how these pieces fit together so that we will be ready to make the change we want to make tomorrow.

David Gardner: When did the idea for the book first present itself to you years ago? Was it in a blog? How did these things germinate?

Seth Godin: It's all over the map. When we first met, I was in the book business, and so I went to bed every night knowing I needed to wake up in the morning with a book idea. I could only do a couple of books or one book a year, and I had to take my best shot. A book takes a really long time to write but I did it for work, and after a bunch of books, I stopped doing that because it's too much work. It doesn't pay to do it for a living. I only write a book when I have no choice. I write a book when it's the best way for me to share an idea. Some books like my book, Survival Is Not Enough, took me eight hours a day every day for a year, I threw out 100,000 words before the book was finished. Other books like The Dip I wrote in an 11-day fugue state, and it just came to me one day, and then I just wrote it. This book is a love letter to my friends who are stuck and it didn't take very long to write, but it's heartfelt in the sense that because I don't charge to coach my friends and because I don't do any consulting, I said if I was going to talk to someone I care about about why they're stuck or how the world works, what would I say? That's what this is.

Andy Cross: Seth, we spend a lot of time as analysts studying strategic plans of the companies we follow, and I want your guidance on how we can identify companies that truly have good strategic plans versus those that do not.

Seth Godin: In my experience, the ones that have a good strategic plan, it's really obvious that they do. Just before we got on, we were talking about that guy, Brad, who's building the roofing company. His strategy is super simple and it's like, on the first page of their 10K. Done. You might not agree with the strategy, but the strategy is not hidden. When Yahoo stopped being the center of the Internet, if you asked any 10 people at Yahoo, what's your strategy, they would give you 14 different answers, and they haven't had a strategy ever since. It's right there. Google had a strategy. then when they invented LLMs and what became AI, they freaked out because they said, this completely undermines our existing strategy. We don't know what to do, so they tried to keep the world from seeing AI, and now they're toast, because they can't do their old strategy anymore, and they're not winning with their possible new one. That was a good long run, but they lost the thread.

David Gardner: Let's move now to our game, buy sell or hold. Seth, you may or may not remember this. I'm springing this on you. I know you're ready for it. The key is, and I know you appreciate this about buy, sell, or hold. These are not stocks we're talking about.

Seth Godin: Oh, good. Then I'm fine.

David Gardner: We're talking about things happening in the world at large. The worlds of business in life and ask if they were stocks, Seth Godin, would you be buying, selling or holding? Let me kick it off with, let's go with this one. Is turning down more opportunities the key to doing your best work, or is that a branding luxury, Seth Godin buy, sell, or hold saying no as a growth strategy?

Seth Godin: Strong buy.

David Gardner: Why?

Seth Godin: Because no is a complete sentence. No lets you stop hiding. No puts you on the hook. No gives you the chance to become a meaningful specific instead of a wandering generality. I have never met anyone who yesed their way to where they wanted to go.

David Gardner: Brilliant. Next one up. We may have covered this one already, but let's go there again anyway. The word authentic in 2025, has it become inauthentic, buy, sell, or hold, authentic?

Seth Godin: Short. Sell. It's like, what a disaster.

David Gardner: Let's keep moving. AI tools in the creative process. A brainstorming partner or the beginning of creative complacency, buy, sell, or hold the AI creative tools.

Seth Godin: Well, what you just said is both of those sentences are true. That the same way typesetting shifted when we got desktop publishing. Some people use it to make the greatest type ever set, and some people made bank ransom notes. The same thing is going to happen here.

David Gardner: This next one comes via text beforehand, Andy Cross asking me, what does Seth, does he watch this TV show? We're about to find out. Buy, sell, or hold, Shark Tank as a lens on entrepreneurship?

Seth Godin: True story. Before they were on in the United States, the phone rang and they said, would I please audition to be the judge? I said, "What do you mean?" They said, "We want you to be the nasty, bald, possibly semitic judge." I said, "You got the wrong guy. I'm not going to show up there and scotch people's dreams."

David Gardner: Love it. Great answer. Next one up. The personal newsletter Renaissance, so from Substack to Buttondown, are curated, thoughtful emails, the new social media, buy, sell or hold?

Seth Godin: I'm buying the idea that anybody who wants to be a singular voice benefits from having this newsletter. I don't think email is the best way to deliver it, and I don't think that Substack is your friend in the long run, but I do think no matter how many people are reading it, if you can write and leave behind a legacy of work you are proud of, I'm up to 3.4 million words, that's a useful way for you to spend your time. Do not expect that it is going to come with prizes and cash, but it will build you the authority and consistency to stand for something, and it won't cost you anything.

David Gardner: Well said and hear-hear., Seth, how do you count those 3.4 million words? Is there a counter? How are you doing that?

Seth Godin: Every once in a while, I download the entire blog just in case something bad happens, and then there's something called word count because I don't keep track of any stats. I don't know how many people are reading it today. I don't have comments, but the incremental thing, about 10 years ago, I realized I had a streak, and so my blogs are queued up so even after I'm dead, there'll be new blogs coming out because I don't want this streak to end. It's just it's one of the only things that I've got right this minute that no one's ever going to catch up to, and I'm still going.

David Gardner: We love that about you, and I'm curious, Seth, do you find yourself attracted by streaks in other contexts in your life? Duolingo, for example, has this whole thing where if you start learning Spanish or Chinese, it's going to say come back tomorrow, and then it's going to start saying you've come back 57 days in a row, do you find yourself ever beholden to other streaks?

Seth Godin: Yeah, I have a lot of willpower, but Duolingo tried and failed, 40 days, my streak lasted, and I just couldn't do it. But this thing on my wrist, I'm up to 450 days. It got my health back after long COVID. It's not for everybody, but the idea that I'm going to break a 450 day streak, I'll hook it up to one of those goodwill cats or whatever. There's just no way this streak is ending.

David Gardner: Love it. For podcast listeners who can't see what you just did, Seth, what product did you just influence?

Seth Godin: Oh, there was one of those watches that keeps track of your fitness.

David Gardner: A couple more for you. I mean, I could do this all day. Buy, sell, or hold is so much fun and especially with Seth Godin. Seth, crowdsource governance, algorithmic leadership, phrases that are coming to mind, things we couldn't have imagined before, radical transparency or chaos in the C suite, buy, sell, or hold, public companies with no CEOs?

Seth Godin: There's not going to be public companies with no CEOs. But the idea of a Dow, a DAO, the idea of new sorts of institutions, that's inevitable, and it's going to be great if it's not run by a grifter or something that's part of an MLM scam. But that hasn't happened yet. But the idea that an entity can be true to what it said it was going to be true to and stick around for the long haul. I think that happens. Neal Stephenson wrote a book years ago that the whole idea that if you look at the longest lived institutions, they tend to be orders of monks, they tend to be places that have a constitution, a moat, and a way of governance that gives them consistency but flexibility. I think that we're going to see more of those, but they have no need to go public. Why would they?

David Gardner: Which Neal Stephenson book was that? I read The Diamond Age, but I don't think that was The Diamond Age.

Seth Godin: No, that wasn't. The Diamond Age and Snow Crash should be required reading for every single person. This was another one. I don't remember anything about it other than that it was tedious once I got the joke, so I didn't even finish it.

David Gardner: Let's go with this one. I think there are two more because I have a bonus one in mind. Andy, Mac Greer is going to make a toward the end of this hour together.

Andy Cross: He needs his comeback.

David Gardner: That's right. Here's my last official one. Seth Godin, buy, sell, or hold, branding yourself, are you with me here, as anti-hustle? Has rejecting the grind become the new grind? [laughs]

Seth Godin: What's Hustle? Hustle, in honor of Pete Rose, hustle is not the effort one puts into winning at hockey. Hustle is shortcuts and invading other people's space, throwing an elbow to the face and hoping you don't get caught, hustle is spamming people, hustle is asking a friend for something that they don't want to do for you and just piling up a whole bunch of favors. I am anti-hustle because you don't ever want to burn trust to earn attention. Trust is worth more than attention, and it's generative, and it lets you play the game for longer. There is this idea that shortcuts are possible and a grind is to be avoided. so the question is, is your grind additive or is it simply an endless treadmill? If you're on an endless treadmill where the grind isn't getting you anywhere, you're not in a dip, you're in a cul de sac. It's like emphysema. It's not going to get better. What you want is a grind that eventually is going to get you to the other side, and you want to do that grind without hurting the trust other people have in you. There are plenty of organizations that have done that, and we don't hear from them for a long time, and then suddenly they're an overnight success. Well, they're not an overnight success. You're just noticing them at the end.

David Gardner: Love it. "Trust is the coin of the realm." wrote dearly departed George Schultz in an excellent essay that is worthy of everyone's attention. Last one for you, Seth. He Googled you in preparation for today's interview and discovered on the Google overview page, check it, if you Google Seth Godin, it says, Seth Godin was born in George Washington's Mount Vernon, Mount Vernon, VA. My question, Seth is, that person is Mac Greer, buy sell or hold Mac Greer.

Seth Godin: Oh, I love Mac. We've never met, but I'm a fan. I have no idea how to fix the Internet. If you can get around to fixing it, please do. I never look at my Wikipedia page. It can make you go blind. If someone else wants to fix my Wikipedia page, please do.

David Gardner: Well said. Andy, last thought from both of us. I'll let you go first.

Andy Cross: Seth, thank you so much. This has been just brilliant. The only question, a topic I wanted to talk to you about because we focused so much on decision making at the Motley Fool for investors, is this concept of the lizard brain. I know we don't have much time, but I wanted to give you a chance to give us some guidance on how we can avoid being a lizard.

Seth Godin: Real science has said that maybe the amygdala isn't the lizard brain, and I'm not a neurologist. But what I would say is, please go read Steve Pressfield's book, The War of Art, and go read Annie Duke's book, Thinking in Bets.

Andy Cross: Yes.

Seth Godin: Before you spend $1 of your family's savings investing in anything, understand what those two people are telling you.

David Gardner: I want to thank Seth Godin for a very special hour here on Fool 24 and some podcast-worthy stuff that we'll be sharing throughout the fool world in the next week. Seth, I want to just say thank you, friend, and you always make me laugh, and you always make us think. Here's to the next 3.4 million words.

Seth Godin: Thank you both.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Andy Cross has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Microsoft, Netflix, and Starbucks. David Gardner has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, Duolingo, Netflix, Nike, Starbucks, and Walmart. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Apple, International Business Machines, Microsoft, Netflix, Nike, Starbucks, and Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends Duolingo and Warby Parker and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why IBM Is the Best Quantum Computing Stock to Buy Right Now

A future quantum computer could potentially solve problems that are essentially impossible for even the most powerful supercomputer. The magic comes from the nature of quantum physics. While traditional computers operate on bits that can be in only one of two states, a quantum qubit is probabilistic, occupying some combination of those two states. This property opens the door to exponentially faster computations.

Today's quantum computers generally aren't capable of solving real-world problems quicker than traditional computers. They are capable of performing some types of computations faster, but these computations are more toy problems than anything else. When Alphabet's Google unveiled its Willow quantum chip last year, it claimed that Willow could perform a particular benchmark in five minutes that would take a supercomputer 10 septillion years. Unfortunately, that benchmark has no known real-world applications.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

A quantum computer.

Image source: Getty Images.

Another problem is error correction. Qubits are fragile, and errors are inevitably introduced over the course of a computation. Those errors must be prevented, corrected, or otherwise mitigated for long enough for a computation to be completed.

Microsoft made some noise on this front earlier this year with its Majorana 1 quantum chip, which uses exotic particles to create more robust qubits. However, the company is in the early stages of scaling this technology, and it could very well be many years before anything useful comes out of it.

International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM), a quantum computing pioneer, now sees a path to full-scale quantum error correction by 2029 and true quantum advantage by the end of 2026. The company has a clear roadmap, and if it can deliver, quantum computing could turn into a major business for the century-old tech giant.

The path to fault-tolerant quantum computers

IBM is taking a modular approach on its path to the holy grail of quantum computing. This year, IBM will release Nighthawk, its new quantum process with 120 qubits and 5,000 quantum gates. Over the next few years, successive versions of Nighthawk will increase the number of gates, culminating in 2028 with a 15,000-gate version that can be linked together in groups of nine. IBM believes Nighthawk will be able to achieve true quantum advantage.

Nighthawk is a stepping stone toward Starling, the fault-tolerant quantum computer planned for 2028. To build Starling, IBM will release three iterations of quantum chips over the next few years that include the necessary technology to make Starling a reality.

IBM Quantum Loon comes this year, featuring greater connectivity than the company's current quantum chips. IBM Quantum Kookaburra comes in 2026, bringing the ability to store information and process it with an attached processing unit. And IBM Quantum Cockatoo is set for 2027, allowing entanglement between modules. Starling, which will feature 200 logical qubits and 100 million quantum gates, will be built in 2028 and deliver fault-tolerance by 2029, according to IBM's roadmap.

A quantum computing leader

Plenty of companies are racing toward viable quantum computing, but IBM has two things that make it unique: a decades-long track record researching and building quantum computers, and a clear roadmap to reach fault-tolerance and true quantum advantage.

While it's impossible to predict how large of an opportunity quantum computing could be for IBM, one estimate puts the economic value generated by quantum computing at $850 billion by 2040, with the market for quantum hardware and software potentially worth $170 billion. If IBM can truly pull ahead of its rivals and deliver real-world results with its quantum computers by the end of the decade, it will be in a great position to reap the rewards of the quantum computing revolution.

IBM's valuation today looks reasonable considering the enormous potential of quantum computing. Based on the company's outlook for 2025, IBM stock trades for roughly 19 times free cash flow. While the stock isn't as cheap as it was a few years ago, IBM still looks like a solid buy. The company's hybrid cloud and artificial intelligence (AI) businesses are driving growth today, and quantum computing has the potential to drive growth in the 2030s and beyond.

Should you invest $1,000 in International Business Machines right now?

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Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Timothy Green has positions in International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, International Business Machines, and Microsoft. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

3 No-Brainer Artificial Intelligence Stocks to Buy Right Now

There's no denying artificial intelligence (AI) technology has made enormous strides in just the past few years. But the businesses advancing it have still only scratched the surface of the underlying opportunity. Indeed, industry analytics outfit Precedence Research forecasts that the overall AI market will grow at an annualized pace of nearly 20% through 2034.

With that rapid-growth outlook as the backdrop, here are three of the best artificial intelligence stocks to buy right now, while they're all trading at a discount.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

A robot works on a screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Arm Holdings

When conversations turn to the tech companies with the biggest potential to profit from AI, Arm Holdings (NASDAQ: ARM) is one of the least frequently mentioned. Don't be fooled, though: It will play a critical role in artificial intelligence's future.

Arm is a semiconductor company -- sort of. It doesn't make chips. Rather, it designs chips and chip components, and then licenses those designs to more familiar chip companies that may use them unaltered, or modify them to suit their purposes. Those chipmakers themselves often punt their manufacturing duties to third-party foundries.

It's possible you're regularly using a smartphone, computer, or other piece of consumer technology with an Arm-based chip inside it without even realizing it, in fact. As of its most recently completed quarter, the company was generating on the order of $4 billion worth of high-margin revenue per year.

But what specifically makes Arm a great artificial intelligence stock pick (besides its 20% pullback from its February peak)?

When AI was in its infancy, the amount of electricity the hardware used wasn't much of a concern -- engineers were simply trying to figure out how to make the tech work. Now that the technology is proven and going mainstream, though, engineers are grappling with the fact that artificial intelligence platforms are very, very power hungry. According to a Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS) study, by 2030, the ongoing growth of AI data centers will increase the amount of electrical power drawn by data centers globally by 165% compared to what it was in 2023.

It's not just data centers. The chips in AI-capable smartphones also consume an unusual amount of power, draining batteries' charges at an inconvenient rate.

Well, Arm's chip designs happen to be built from the ground up to be power-efficient. Amazon's Arm-based Graviton processor uses 60% less electricity than comparable chips; Google's Arm-based Axion chip also requires 60% less power than comparable processors.

The importance of this competitive edge isn't always prioritized in an environment where processing speed, capacity, and performance often take center stage. There's a reason, however, that Arm's revenue is expected to grow on the close order of 20% per year for the next three years despite the uncertain macroeconomic backdrop.

2. SoundHound AI

The world's earliest attempts at voice-based interfaces weren't particularly impressive. Although some of them are still around (like voice-commanded phone menus, for which the acceptable response options are fairly limited), many of the higher-level projects using this idea have since been abandoned.

Last year, for example, fast-food chain McDonald's discontinued its use of IBM's automated order-taking tech -- mostly because it never worked quite as well as hoped.

Just don't jump to sweeping conclusions about the idea based on that one decision, though. The underlying tech was actually McDonald's before it was sold to IBM back in 2021 as part of what was more of a cheap experiment than an investment in a whole new profit center that was outside of either company's wheelhouse. Something more purpose-built, atop a more advanced AI platform, could prove more successful.

Enter SoundHound AI (NASDAQ: SOUN).

As its name suggests, SoundHound makes AI-powered voice communications work as was only dreamed of just a few years ago. It has been developing its current propriety AI platform (called Houndify) since 2015, marking the point where mere speech-recognition technology became speech-to-meaning technology, and even speech-to-understanding technology. There's arguably no other player nearly as far along as SoundHound is within the voice-driven sliver of the AI market.

As evidence of this argument, several automakers are also developing their in-car assistance tech around Houndify, while credit card company Mastercard features SoundHound's tech within the automated voice-ordering solution it now offers quick-service restaurants like the aforementioned McDonald's.

It's still not quite in its prime, and many consumers remain a bit hesitant to use automated voice-based interactions for many different aspects of their daily lives. They'll likely come around, though. Market research outfit Market.us believes the worldwide voice-based AI agent market alone will expand at an average annualized pace of nearly 35% through 2034. SoundHound AI is positioned to capture much of this growth.

In fact, it already is. Its first-quarter revenue improved an incredible 151% year over year, accelerating from the 85% growth it reported for the entirety of 2024.

3. BigBear.ai

Finally, add BigBear.ai (NYSE: BBAI) to your list of no-brainer artificial intelligence stocks to buy right now.

To date, most of the market's focus in the AI-powered decision-making software space has been on Palantir Technologies.

And understandably so. Not only did the Centers for Disease Control tap Palantir for help in getting a handle on the COVID-19 pandemic, but several arms of the Department of Defense also rely on its next-generation services to solve next-generation problems. These are high-profile deals. Never even mind the fact that Palantir is the biggest name in the artificial intelligence platform business.

Investment opportunities are relative, though; small companies with lots of growth potential are still capable of producing big gains for investors. There will just be fewer shareholders experiencing them.

BigBear is one such company.

At first glance, it may appear to be a near carbon copy of Palantir. Look deeper, though. BigBear.ai is different by virtue of being largely focused on businesses rather than government institutions. Manufacturing facilities, industrial warehouses, healthcare providers, and biopharma companies are its current core target markets -- although it can and does serve some public sector clients.

Although the private sector tends to make major capital investments at a slower, more methodical pace (since their stakeholders typically require careful care of resources), it's a much bigger opportunity than the government market. That's because AI can ultimately help organizations save money, make money, or both. And of course, both are priorities within the business world.

According to a forecast by Precedence Research, the decision-making piece of the artificial intelligence industry will grow at an average annual pace of 16% per year through 2034.

That doesn't mean this AI stock will always be easy to own in the near or distant future. Not only is BigBear.ai not profitable, its fairly small size means it doesn't enjoy the benefits of scale. It also has relatively few analysts following it and directing investors' attention toward it.

If you can stomach the level of risk and volatility involved, though, this last point might help inspire you to buy: Analysts' current consensus price target of $6.63 for BigBear.ai is nearly twice the stock's present price. That's not a bad tailwind to have while starting a new investment.

Should you invest $1,000 in Arm Holdings right now?

Before you buy stock in Arm Holdings, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Arm Holdings wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $635,275!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,385!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 967% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 171% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 12, 2025

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. James Brumley has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Goldman Sachs Group, International Business Machines, Mastercard, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Warren Buffett's Upcoming Move Isn't Cause for Concern

In this podcast, Motley Fool analyst Jim Gillies and host Dylan Lewis discuss:

  • Warren Buffett's plan to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.
  • The parallels between Berkshire's succession planning and Apple's transition from Steve Jobs to Tim Cook.
  • The available cash, opportunities, and challenges ahead for Greg Abel and team.

To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

A full transcript is below.

Should you invest $1,000 in Berkshire Hathaway right now?

Before you buy stock in Berkshire Hathaway, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Berkshire Hathaway wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $623,103!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $717,471!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 5, 2025

This video was recorded on Mai 05, 2025

Dylan Lewis: After 60 years, Buffett passes the torch. Motley Fool Money starts now. I'm Dylan Lewis. I'm joining for the airwaves by Motley Fool candidate analyst Jim Gillies. Jim, thanks for joining me on this momentous Monday.

Jim Gillies: Indeed. Thanks, Dylan.

Dylan Lewis: We talk about the news very often. We don't always get something this good when something happens over the weekend. To quote the great Warren Buffett himself, the Time Has Arrived. After 60 years as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett announced he'll be stepping down at the end of 2025 for a well deserved semi retirement. He announced this Jim, closing out the annual meeting in Omaha over the weekend, which was news to basically everybody except his kids.

Jim Gillies: Correct. Yes, I had I had a number of friends on the floor, and one of them texted me with literally as he was speaking going, holy insert golf word here. Buffett just announced his retirement and I'm like, OK, I have to take a moment to process this.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, in typical Buffett fashion, it wasn't I'm leaving the CEO seat. It was him handing over the reins, but it was in an overview of board meetings and votes, and recommendations. I think if it weren't for the standing ovation, if you had tuned out for a second, you actually might have missed it because it was right at the end of the meeting and discussion.

Jim Gillies: Yeah. Look, I'm a Berkshire shareholder for almost three decades. The entire way, Dylan, I've been told, aren't you worried? He's so old. He's going to die soon. Thankfully, a key lesson from Buffett reiterated many times over the years, including in this most recent annual meeting is like, you know what? Take your time, think through, things things are not that imperative in the moment. I'm very glad I've ignored all of the people saying, Oh, boy, he's really old. I similarly think about it a little bit today. It's like, Buffett has been prepping people for this for quite honestly nearly two decades. I remember after his first wife passed away, Susie, it was always the intent of the Buffett to give away the vast wealth that he's created. Susie was supposed to be the one because she was expected to outlive Warren. She was going to be the one handling the dispensation of that money. Susie's been gone for almost two decades now, Dylan.

We've seen him, I remember back might be 15 or so years ago now where they were first started talking about having the names of multiple people who could take over for him, step in whenever. The names in the envelope that could step in for him have changed. But a number of years ago, Charlie, who, of course, left us just over a year ago, Charlie let slip at one meeting that the only real name in the envelope that could take over for Buffett was Greg Abel, longtime CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, MidAmerican Energy beforehand, and that he just confirmed what everybody largely knew. I don't think much is going to change. First off, in a completely unsurprising development, the board did, in fact, vote unanimously along with Warren's suggestion hands up, who thought that wouldn't happen.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, zero surprise here.

Jim Gillies: Exactly. Well, also two board members are Warren's kids who, as you said, knew about this. They have, in fact, voted unanimously to pass the CEO's title to Greg Abel. This is the start of 2026. You've got another almost eight months with Uncle Warren at the helm, at which point he will remain as non-executive chairman. He did allude to the idea that should markets behave in a certain way, and he didn't say it, but I will plunge precipitously, they would be interested in deploying some of the massive cash hoard they've got now, which I think is playing with $350 billion. That he would be useful, perhaps reputation wise to help deploy some of that capital should circumstances require it. Again, he was too polite to say, if the markets blow up and people freak out. But that's what we're talking about here. Go back to 2008.

Dylan Lewis: If you find my advice helpful during any time, just let me know, essentially, the.

Jim Gillies: Yeah, exactly. But I don't think a lot's going to change, and part of that is because they've been gradually transitioning the day to day operating business into the hands of Greg Abel. They've long transitioned the decision making at GEICO or I say GEICO, just in the insurance arms, all of the insurance arms into the hands of Ajit Jain. They have long been adding to the responsibilities of Ted and Todd, the investing lieutenants. Buffett has long espoused that a ham sandwich should be able to run this business. In fact, I saw someone was quipping. Another Fool was quipping with us this morning. I hope Greg had a T shirt at that board meeting that said ham sandwich on it. I see the stock fell as much as 6 or 7% today. I wish it fell more. I hope it falls more in the next week or so, because obviously, I'm talking about it now, so I'm locked out. I would be a happy buyer of shares today without a thing and without a concern, frankly.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, I was going to say this is the first time we've ever seen the market have to weigh what they think of a Berkshire without Buffett, maybe a 4% or 5% discount on shares today. I don't think anyone could find that unexpected. It's a surprise, no matter when it happens. It's a surprise no matter how well they lay out the succession planning. We've known Greg Abel since 2021 formally, would be taking over this seat. I think you're right. I think they've done such a nice job telegraphing what's coming and also telegraphing. There are core Berkshire principles to the way that we approach things, and that probably isn't going to change very much. I remember looking back on some of the content from the morning meetings and the Q&As, and stuff like that over the weekend. Someone had the foresight not knowing what was coming to ask, hi, Greg, what is something you've learned from Warren Buffett over the years? Incredibly pressing question, it turns out.

He talked about how when they were first meeting talking through MidAmerican Energy Holdings and that acquisition, the first thing that Buffett did was zoom in on the balance sheet. The first thing he did was zoom in on the derivative holdings for the company and start asking all these questions about risk exposure, what was actually there. Abel and Buffett both talked quite a bit at the annual meeting about the importance of being balance sheet oriented, looking at the fundamentals of these businesses. If you're a Berkshire shareholder, none of that stuff is going to change. That is going to continue to be the guide for how this management team is making decisions.

Jim Gillies: Yes. I don't think it was a surprise to anyone who's been a long term Buffett slash Berkshire follower. If you were not aware that Uncle Warren likes his balance sheets. If you ask Greg, what's one thing you learned? I thought you were going to say how to keep a secret because it did that a little bit.

Dylan Lewis: I'm guessing Greg maybe had a little heart palpitation there on stage, learning alongside all the Berkshire shareholders that this was happening.

Jim Gillies: What a vote of confidence, though to have that even though he knows the job is going to be his? Again, look, Uncle Warren is 94. He'll be 95 at the end of the summer. If you don't expect someone approaching that anniversary of their existence to be maybe wanting to slow down a little bit, plan for retiring. It had to have been the subject. Well, as I said, I have heard variants of the, are you sure you want to be here for as long as I've held shares, and my own personal shares, at least my earliest ones, I can legally rent a car in the US.

Dylan Lewis: Yes, they've matured.

Jim Gillies: Exactly.

Dylan Lewis: Way to put it.

Jim Gillies: They should hit the gym more. They're starting to have that middle age precursor happening there. Continue anyway.

Dylan Lewis: As you noted, this is a business now sitting on an incredible amount of cash, 347 billion, I think, as of most recent report and the updates over the weekend. I have to imagine that that was also some of the intentionality with this planning was Buffett unwinding some of the large positions that existed with Bank of America with Apple over the years and really putting Abel and the management team in a position to make decisions that they were excited about that they were interested in that followed Berkshire playbook and probably to be opportunistic as there's possibly some clouds out there on the horizon.

Jim Gillies: Yeah, he downplayed some of the people saying, Oh, you're just trying to set up things for Greg Abel. It's like, no, I'm not so charitable to make life easy for him. If an opportunity was here for me, I'd take it paraphrased. Apple is unquestionably the best a stock investment that Buffett has made. You could argue others have done better percentage wise or over a longer term. But in terms of the sheer amount of money, Buffett himself said, Tim Cook, Apple's CEO. Tim Cook has made more money for Berkshire shareholders than I have.

Dylan Lewis: Point taken.

Jim Gillies: Well, point taken. I will push back a little bit on Buffett and say, yeah, but you were the one that went into it. Again, ignoring what other people were saying, which 2016 ish was that it's the biggest company in the world. How much growth is there left turned out to do OK. I think it's going to be prescient for Berkshire because, of course, Apple itself went through its own, shall we say, high profile succession plan back in 2010-2011, because founder Steve Jobs, of course, famously, unfortunately, and I say this with all respect, drew the short straw in life. Had a health issue that tremendously shortened his life, and that was tragic. But before he went, of course, and Tim Cook had stepped in for a lot of the day to day stuff with Apple before that. But officially, I think a few weeks before, it's now it's back in 2011. It's a few weeks before Steve's ultimate departure. Tim Cook was made the official CEO. On that day, the stock didn't have a great day. I've said for a number of years now on various Foolish forms from a value creation perspective. Tim Cook has been a far better CEO for Apple than Steve Jobs was. Now, Tim Cook doesn't get this opportunity without Steve Jobs and without the vision and the idea.

I always say, Tim Cook is an execution guy. Steve Jobs is an idea guy or was an idea guy. The execution guy doesn't get to work as magic without the idea guy to start, and so you need both. But the sheer value that's been created at Apple in the Tim Cook era greatly outstrips what was created during the Steve Jobs era. But you got to give Job some credit for what he planted the seeds so that Tim Cook could have the harvest. I think that's what's probably going to unfold with Berkshire Buffett, Greg able is that Buffett has put all seeds in play and has put the culture in play, and has been, as we said before, slowly farming out bits and pieces of the business to the key players at Berkshire. He himself has said, literally at this meeting that he thinks the Greg Abel era going forward will probably make more money for Berkshire shareholders than he would.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, I think he said, I will remain a shareholder, and that is a financial decision.

Jim Gillies: Exactly.

Dylan Lewis: I trust the management team here. I'm glad you brought up the Apple example because Buffett gave a nod to that, too. He hit a quote, "Nobody but Steve could have created Apple. Nobody but Tim could have developed it like he has." I think you could swap out the names there, and he's essentially talking about his own business.

Jim Gillies: He is. Now, will Greg Abel overseeing Ted and Todd? Will they be able to create some of the magic that we've seen in stock picking? I think actually, that'll be a tough sell. But I also think it's a tough sell under Buffett because of the size of the company. Again, Apple has been the last real big home run. There's been a bunch of little things that haven't worked out, and that's fine, or IBM didn't work out, or the airlines didn't work out. Now, I'm of the opinion that Buffett got out of the airlines during COVID. Because when the facts change, I changed my mind. What do you do, sir? The world changed. A worldwide pandemic that shuts down air traffic for a not insignificant period of time makes those airlines worth it changes the calculus about how you calculate the fair value of those airlines. He knew they were going to need government assistance, and he also knew that the optics of having Warren Buffett one of the richest people on Earth through Berkshire Hathaway, it wasn't Warren Buffett owning them, but it was Berkshire.

The fact that Berkshire Hathaway being the largest shareholder of all of these airlines that now all of a sudden need a bailout, the optics of that are going to be pretty bad. He also knew he didn't want to be the guy bailing out the airlines. I'm going to sell my shares. That takes him off the board and takes Berkshire off the board. That way, they can qualify reasonably well for government funding and whatever you think about airlines and their perpetual need to go hand in hand with the government at every crisis. I leave that as an exercise for the listener. I think it will be an interesting play from here. I don't think, and I say this again. I know I've said I'm trying to remain respectful and giving Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway have been very good to me personally. As I've mentioned, it is my largest shareholding. It is my longest held shareholding. But let us be honest. The stock picking over the past decade or so has not been spectacular aside from Apple. I would argue that is not because Warren Buffett has faded in abilities or anything. That is because this is a $1.15 trillion company with a bazillion different irons in the fires, and there's not a lot. They mentioned there was a $10 billion acquisition, as well that they passed on. My response to that, all I could think of when I heard about that over the weekend was, who cares $10 billion? A $10 billion acquisition for a company with 348 or 350 billion in dry powder. It's 3% of your cash.

Dylan Lewis: It's not material.

Jim Gillies: It's irrelevant. I don't want to hear about $10 billion acquisitions prospectively. I want to hear about minimum $100 billion prospective acquisitions. Bigger is better. How many of those companies are out there that will be available at a price that Berkshire and Buffett, and Greg Abel, and Ted and Todd would think compelling? I submit to you there ain't many, which is one reason why I think Buffett is, Oh, you know, I'll go play. He's going to go day trade.

Dylan Lewis: It's a good time for him to step away. The house is relatively tidy. He's been able to put things in pretty good shape.

What is amazing to me, taking a step back on Berkshire is sitting on record levels of cash, and we know what cash is earning right now. It's year to date up more than 10%. The market is in the opposite direction, down about 4% year to date. Investors haven't seemed to mind giving them a little bit of time to put that money to work, and they've been rewarded for their patients so far. I don't think that will change. I think anyone who's expecting anything really large is going to be waiting quite a while. I think we're going to see a capital allocation and deployment strategy that is very much like what we've seen in the past, and that might mean we're looking at three figure billion dollar of cash on the balance sheet for a long period of time.

Jim Gillies: Yeah, I think you can probably assume because they've said this. Expect that cash balance to never again drop below 50 billion. Now, when you have 350 billion.

Dylan Lewis: There's room to go down.

Jim Gillies: Oh, we can just hold that, and it's fine. I'm genuinely curious to see, and I don't think you're going to see it anytime soon. I think Buffett probably needs to ultimately exit the board fully before you'll ever see anything here. But I'm curious to see because it took about a minute and a half after the announcement before various denizens of Twitter started saying, Oh, break up Berkshire Hathaway now. It needs to be broken up, or when are they gonna pay a dividend? Calm down, folks. I think really truly, nothing is going to change. Nothing is going to change as long as Buffett is consuming oxygen. I think nothing changes. When he ultimately leaves the scene, I think nothing's going to change really for a little while longer. I think they will continue in reinvesting in their existing businesses. It wouldn't shock me to see them deploying incremental capital in some of their already existent areas. More energy. They famously talked over the past, I'll say 15-20 years about how they like businesses where they deploy significant capital at good expected returns, but that would be the railroad, and that would be a few of their other businesses where again, have the utilities. I would be shocked outside of a market dislocating event. I would be shocked to see them make any meaningful draw down of that cash hoard. I don't think they're going out and buying Disney tomorrow. I don't think they're going out, or to go out take out Hershey, or try to acquire MARs privately. They might but these are the types of businesses that would be fun to see them make a run at Coca Cola. I will say that would tickle me a little bit.

Dylan Lewis: It would fit the profile, and it would certainly fit Buffett's tastes. Yeah, I think you're right. The market may give them that dislocating moment. We've talked at length on the show about how there is a bit of a precarious situation going on.

Jim Gillies: I don't know what you're talking about.

Dylan Lewis: Buffett has provided some commentary on that, and I can't think of a better position to be in to have $350 billion in cash if you expect there may be a lot of headwinds away and there may be some discounts available to the business. You mentioned railroads. You talked about energy a little bit. Any other sectors you think might fit the profile for a Berkshire acquisition if we start seeing some things on sale.

Jim Gillies: Coca Cola would be funny, but it's also possible. I don't know how far they'd get. No, I think you want to look in a space where they already have an interest. It will not be technology motivated. It's always going to be, well, where we like to invest in places where we think we know. There's the famous story about what was the best selling candy bar in the 80s? Well, it was Snickers.

Dylan Lewis: Snickers.

Jim Gillies: What was it in the 90s? Well it was Snickers. I don't know who's going to have the dominant operating system in 20 years. You probably make a good guess.

Dylan Lewis: But people are going to still be eating Snickers.

Jim Gillies: But you're probably going to be buying Snickers, and the pricing power of a Snickers or the pricing power of a can of Coke is probably going to or a bottle of ketchup he's famously got the Kraft Heinz Association is probably going to be there. I would like to see them. It's going to be a low technology possibility. The obvious things are more insurance, more energy consumer products with a significant brand mode. A Coca Cola, I joke a little bit, even at Disney, but even Disney's there are problems if Disney were to ever be something like that. I think it's going to be interesting to see where it goes. I'm signing up for the ride. I've been signed up for the ride for a while. At the very least, I'd like to not vacate my shares while I'm still drawing a regular paycheck because I don't particularly want to hand the government a large check. As you say, it's a great place to be. It has been a great place to be in the cornerstone of my philosophy.

My investing philosophy has to have the ballast holdings in my portfolio, of which Berkshire is absolutely one. It's the largest one, as I've said. Those ballast holdings that, for me, Brookfield is another one. Some people really like Fairfax Financial. Have your ballast holdings so you can go out and do some more riskier plays. I'm not talking day trading or penny stocks, or stuff like that. But still, things that may or may not work out for you, but you've always got the ballast and just to keep you calm. Then in days when you see those market dislocations, I would really encourage people to go back and look at what Buffett was doing during the global financial crisis, the 2008 crisis. He wasn't panicking. Stock got hit along with everything else. That's fine.

Buffett has said even this weekend. We don't care about that stuff. Berkshire's fallen, I don't know how many times by 50%. Doesn't bother us in the slightest. Focus on the business, all that wonderful stuff. But remember what he did back then. Goldman Sachs came hat in hand. The vampire squid came hat in hand. Buffett said, sure, I'll help you. Here's your 15% anchor. Harley Davidson came hat in hand. Sure, we'll help you. Here's your 15% anchor. Bank of America. I think gave penny warrants or dollar warrants as part of the investment. Don't call it a bailout, as part of the investment that Buffett made in Bank of America, and there's others. That's one thing I think I want people to remember about. Buffett's got this kindly Midwestern old dude cut of persona. When it comes to allocating capital, dude's killer. You want my money, it's gonna be 15%. My end is 15 precious, and that's how we're starting, and we'll take a little bit of equity comp, as well. I hope that Greg Abel and Ted and Todd can be similarly value extractive, shall we call it, during future market dislocations, which as Buffett again, said this weekend, are coming. We don't know when they are. They will come. Probably be a Tuesday. He seems to think that the business is in good hands with Greg running it. Again, if we have trusted Buffett's process on the building of Berkshire, I would suggest to you we should be similarly trusting of his transition planning for the business that he's booking.

Dylan Lewis: Jim, it sounds like even though he won't be calling the shots for your largest holding, his tenets, his investing style, remain the pillars of your portfolio and how you expect the Berkshire will continue to be rough.

Jim Gillies: Sounds about right to me, yes.

Dylan Lewis: Jim, thanks for talking through it to me.

Jim Gillies: Thank you, Dylan.

Dylan Lewis: As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about and Motley Fool make formal recommendations for or against. So far it's I think based on what you hear. All personal finance content follow Motley fool editorial standards is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content, provided for informational purposes only. See our full advertising disclosure. Check out our show notes for the Motley Fool Money team. I'm Dylan Lewis. We'll be back tomorrow.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Dylan Lewis has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Jim Gillies has positions in Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, and Brookfield Asset Management. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Bank of America, Berkshire Hathaway, Brookfield Asset Management, Fairfax Financial, Goldman Sachs Group, Hershey, International Business Machines, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

IBM pledges to spend $150B in the US over the next few years

28 April 2025 at 13:22
Enterprise tech giant IBM says that it plans to invest $150 billion in the U.S. over the next five years, which will include a “more than” $30 billion investment in mainframe and quantum computing research. The goal is to fuel the economy and “accelerate [IBM’s] role as the global leader in computing,” the company said in a press release Monday. […]

IBM's AI Mainframe Will Boost Revenue This Year

While International Business Machines (NYSE: IBM) generates most of its revenue from software and consulting services, the company's hardware business is still an important piece of the puzzle. IBM's mainframe systems, known for their extreme reliability, remain a workhorse in certain industries. Of the world's 50 top banks, 43 use IBM's mainframes to handle mission-critical workloads.

Every two to three years, IBM refreshes its mainframe lineup with a new model that brings improved performance and expanded capabilities. IBM works with its clients to push the mainframe in the right direction, and lately, that direction has been toward artificial intelligence (AI).

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

A mainframe with AI superpowers

IBM announced its latest mainframe system, the z17, on Tuesday. The z17 is powered by the IBM Telum II processor, which the company detailed last year.

In addition to general performance improvements over its predecessor, the Telum II features an on-chip AI accelerator capable of churning through 450 billion AI inferencing operations per day. Response times are around one millisecond, making the system ideal for use cases that need near-instant results. One example IBM noted was running a credit card fraud-detection model in real time as transactions are being processed.

On top of the AI capabilities of the Telum II processor, IBM plans to launch its Spyre Accelerator in the fourth quarter of this year. Spyre is an AI expansion card that can be plugged into the z17 to provide more computational horsepower. With Spyre, clients will be able to make use of AI assistants and agents built on IBM's Granite models, bringing generative AI to the mainframe.

Following up a strong mainframe cycle

Each time IBM launches a new mainframe system, sales temporarily boom as clients upgrade from older models. The z16, which is nearly three years old at this point, delivered a strong product cycle for IBM.

As of the end of the fourth quarter of 2024, the z16 was the most successful mainframe cycle in company history. In terms of MIPS, a metric IBM uses to measure a mainframe system's processing power, the z16 install base increased by about 30% over its predecessor.

The z17 launches in June, so IBM will see a meaningful increase in mainframe revenue during the second half of the year. In the third quarter of 2022, the first full quarter of z16 availability, mainframe revenue soared 88% year over year. IBM doesn't break out mainframe revenue directly, but hybrid infrastructure, which includes mainframes and other hardware products, generated revenue of $8.9 billion in 2024.

Beyond an increase in hardware sales, the new mainframe can drive software and consulting sales, particularly related to AI. IBM has booked more than $5 billion worth of generative AI-related business so far, and the bulk of that came from consulting signings. As mainframe clients upgrade to the AI-enabled z17, other parts of IBM could get a boost.

The new mainframe is one reason IBM was able to guide for revenue growth of more than 5% this year, an acceleration, compared to 2024. Achieving that outlook could prove challenging, considering the recent U.S. tariffs and the potential for a broad economic slowdown. However, IBM's mainframes are mission-critical systems, and the z17 delivers AI capabilities that are likely to be in demand from its clients.

With the z17, IBM continues to evolve the mainframe and maintain its relevance. With a focus on AI, the z17 should drive another strong mainframe cycle for IBM.

Should you invest $1,000 in International Business Machines right now?

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Timothy Green has positions in International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends International Business Machines. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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