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This Warren Buffett Stock Is Reportedly Contemplating a Huge Move

Key Points

Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (NYSE: BRK.A)(NYSE: BRK.B) holds many prominent household names in its portfolio. But not all of them have been doing well in recent years. A great example of that is Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC). Despite being a big name in the food industry, it has been a brutal investment to hold -- its shares are down 17% over the past five years.

The business isn't doing well, growth is stagnant, and investors are worried about the future as consumers pivot to healthier food choices. And the company is reportedly considering a breakup of its business. Here's why that could be a good thing for investors.

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People at a business meeting looking at a report.

Image source: Getty Images.

Kraft Heinz to split its business?

According to The Wall Street Journal, Kraft is looking at spinning off a sizable chunk of its business, which would be worth around $20 billion. Currently, the stock's total market cap is approximately $34 billion. While the details are still not exactly known as to which brands might be in which business, the company is reportedly looking to have one business that focuses on spreads and sauces, while the other is likely to include processed meats, cheeses, and other core products.

It could take weeks before details are sorted out and there's also the possibility that a breakup doesn't end up happening. But with the stock and company performing so poorly in recent years, a shake-up could be in order. The company's sauces and spreads, for instance, which are staples in households around the world, may have better growth potential than a business that's focused on processed food, which has been associated with health risks.

The company has not been going in the right direction

Kraft's top line hasn't given investors much reason to be optimistic. While it's been relatively steady in recent years, at around $26 billion in annual revenue, that's not terribly exciting for growth investors, especially given that many of the company's brands are synonymous with less-than-healthy eating.

KHC Revenue (Annual) Chart

KHC Revenue (Annual) data by YCharts

Forward-looking investors know that this downward trend may persist in the future as consumers eat healthier. And while the stock offers a high dividend yield of 5.5% today, that may not be enough of a reason to own it, especially if the stock's losses more than offset the dividend income. Plus, the danger is that if the company's top and bottom lines decline in the future, the dividend may not prove to be sustainable.

For both dividend and growth investors, there are plenty of concerns around Kraft these days, which explain why the food stock hasn't been doing well.

Should you buy Kraft Heinz stock today?

Kraft's stock looks cheap, trading at 13 times its trailing earnings. But with many question marks around its business, the safest option is to take a wait-and-see approach. A spinoff could open up a good opportunity for investors, by splitting off segments and brands that may have more potential to grow in the long run.

However, until the full details come out about a spinoff and what brands each business may have, it would be difficult to assess just how attractive the opportunity might be. And you would still need to wait until after the spinoff takes place and then invest in the specific business you want, to ensure you aren't still having a position in the entire company as it stands today.

For now, I'd hold off on buying Kraft's stock. It appears evident that a change in strategy may be inevitable, whether it's a breakup of the business or some other move, and you may be better off waiting before making any investment decision on Kraft.

Should you invest $1,000 in Kraft Heinz right now?

Before you buy stock in Kraft Heinz, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,063,471!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 21, 2025

David Jagielski has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway. The Motley Fool recommends Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Should You Buy the 3 Highest-Paying Dividend Stocks in the Nasdaq-100?

Key Points

  • Kraft Heinz, PepsiCo, and Comcast all offer dividend yields far above their long-term averages right now.

  • Their stocks may be down, but this trio of fallen giants should get back up in the long run.

  • All three companies face flat or declining sales, but continue to generate significant free cash flow.

The Nasdaq-100 index is home to some of the most exciting growth stocks on the market. It includes nine of the 10 largest stocks by market cap. All 10 are members of the trillion-dollar valuation club. At the same time, the Nasdaq-100 also holds some impressive dividend payers.

Generous dividend yields can be very shareholder-friendly -- if they are a conscious choice and supported by healthy cash profits. In other cases, dividend yields can soar as the same stock's market price goes down. Some investors see outsized yields as a shorthand sign of companies in big trouble.

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Image source: Getty Images.

So let's take a look at the three richest dividend policies in the Nasdaq-100, as of July 18. Do they belong to perfectly healthy businesses with excess cash to spend, or are they fallen giants with serious issues?

1. Kraft Heinz: 5.7% dividend yield

Food giant Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC) offers the most generous dividend yield in this index today, and it's not a close race.

Kraft Heinz always carried a lofty yield. It has averaged 4.6% over the last five years. But it also soared over the last 52 weeks due to slumping share prices.

The maker of your favorite ketchup, hot dogs, and processed cheese has seen top-line revenues stall in the last six quarters. Kraft Heinz is still a fantastic cash machine, converting 12% of its sales into free cash flow on a trailing basis. That's slightly above the 11% cash profit conversion the company saw six years ago, before the COVID-19 pandemic turned the consumer world upside down.

This stock honestly looks undervalued right now, trading at just 10.4 times free cash flow and 0.7 times book value. These valuation ratios are low, even in the conservative space of packaged food producers. The company is battling the same macroeconomic headwinds as everyone else, but with an unmatched portfolio of food brands by its side. I think it's a good idea to lock in this soaring dividend yield by picking up some Kraft Heinz shares on the cheap.

2. PepsiCo: 3.9% yield

I'm not leaving the food market quite yet. The next name on this list is PepsiCo (NASDAQ: PEP), the storied maker of soft drinks and snack foods.

This recent dividend boost is even sharper than Kraft Heinz's increase. PepsiCo's yield has averaged 2.9% since the summer of 2020, with a 34% uptick in the last year.

The company had some inventory management issues last year, and sales have been rather flat since the summer of 2023. I see a world-class consumer goods business struggling to meet its own lofty quality standards.

This situation looks a lot like the Kraft Heinz setup. Opportunistic investors would probably do well in the long run if they grabbed some PepsiCo shares in this extended price dip.

3. Comcast: 3.8% yield

Then there's entertainment powerhouse Comcast (NASDAQ: CMCSA), also providing dividend yields well above its long-term averages.

It's another tale of plunging share prices resulting in rich dividend yields. And once again, I wouldn't say that Comcast is in financial trouble.

The new Epic Universe theme park at Comcast's Universal Orlando resort, opened in late May, should breathe new life into the underperforming theme parks division. The Universal movie studio segment recently scored big hits like Jurassic World: Rebirth and the live-action remake of How to Train Your Dragon. Meanwhile, Comcast's massive connectivity and platforms division provides a robust cash-generating base from which the company can launch more ambitious growth initiatives.

I don't mean to repeat myself, but Comcast could also be a great buy at this low point. Sure, the entertainment market is changing at light speed, but the Universal brand is putting up a real fight.

Should you invest $1,000 in Kraft Heinz right now?

Before you buy stock in Kraft Heinz, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Kraft Heinz wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,056,790!*

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See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025

Anders Bylund has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Comcast and Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Warren Buffett Owns 9 Ultra-High-Yield Dividend Stocks. Here's the Best of the Bunch.

Key Points

  • Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio includes only one ultra-high-yield stock.

  • However, his "secret portfolio" is loaded with ultra-high-yielders.

  • The best of the bunch has increased its dividend for 30 consecutive years and has solid growth prospects.

Warren Buffett is known as a value investor, not as an income investor. However, that doesn't mean the "Oracle of Omaha" doesn't own stocks that many income investors would find highly attractive.

You might be surprised that Buffett even has positions in nine ultra-high-yield dividend stocks. By the way, the threshold used for a dividend yield to qualify as "ultra-high" is four times the yield of the SPDR S&P 500 ETF. Here are all of Buffett's ultra-high-yield dividend stocks, along with which one is the best of the bunch.

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Warren Buffett standing in front of microphones.

Image source: The Motley Fool.

Berkshire Hathaway's sole ultra-high-yielder

Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway portfolio features only one ultra-high-yield dividend stock: Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC). The food and beverage company pays a forward dividend yield of 6%.

Kraft Heinz's dividend yield isn't so high because the company has increased its dividend payout. Instead, it's the result of a steadily deteriorating share price over the last few years, combined with maintaining the dividend at the same level during the period.

Berkshire does have stakes in a couple of other stocks with yields that aren't too far away from meeting the ultra-high threshold. Oil and gas giant Chevron offers a forward dividend yield of 4.61%. Satellite radio and podcast provider Sirius XM Holding's yield is 4.45%. However, the stocks didn't quite make the cut for our list.

Buffett's "secret portfolio"

Where can Buffett's other seven ultra-high-yield dividend stocks be found? In his "secret portfolio." I'm referring to the stocks owned by New England Asset Management (NEAM).

Berkshire Hathaway acquired General Re in 1998, which had acquired NEAM three years earlier. While NEAM reports its stock holdings to the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission separately from Berkshire, Buffett owns all of the stocks in its portfolio just as much as he does any stock listed in Berkshire's SEC filings.

NEAM's two highest-yielding stocks are both business development companies (BDCs). Globus Capital BDC (NASDAQ: GBDC) pays an especially juicy forward dividend yield of 11.17%. It's followed by Ares Capital, the largest publicly traded BDC, with a yield of 8.57%.

A couple of big pharma stocks in Buffett's secret portfolio pay great dividends. Pfizer's (NYSE: PFE) forward dividend yield is 6.78%, while Bristol Myers Squibb (NYSE: BMY) offers a forward yield of 5.29%.

There's one ultra-high-yield overlap between Berkshire's and NEAM's portfolios -- Kraft Heinz. NEAM also owns another food company with an exceptionally high dividend payout. Campbell's (NASDAQ: CPB), which is best known for its soups, pays a forward dividend yield of 4.99%.

Two real estate investment trusts (REITs) are also in the mix. Realty Income's (NYSE: O) forward dividend yield is 5.6%. Lamar Advertising's (NASDAQ: LAMR) yield is 4.99%.

Finally, Buffett owns a stake in telecommunications giant Verizon Communications (NYSE: VZ) via NEAM's portfolio. Verizon's forward dividend yield is a lofty 6.22%.

The best of the bunch

How can we determine which of these ultra-high-yield dividend stocks owned by Buffett is the best of the bunch? We should obviously consider the dividend yield. In addition, the ability of the company to continue paying (and preferably increasing) its dividend is important. Growth prospects and valuation should be included, too. Based on these criteria, I think three of the nine stocks stand out above the rest.

Ares Capital's sky-high yield is a big plus. The BDC has either maintained or grown its dividend for 63 consecutive quarters (almost 16 years). It's the leader in the fast-growing private capital market. Ares Capital has also trounced the S&P 500 since its initial public offering in 2004.

Verizon is a longtime favorite for income investors. Its juicy dividend appears to be safe with the company's growing free cash flow. Verizon has also increased its dividend for 18 consecutive years. The biggest knock against the telecom provider is that its revenue and earnings growth haven't been spectacular. However, Verizon could enjoy stronger growth going forward once its acquisition of Frontier Communications closes.

The best stock overall of the group, in my opinion, is Realty Income. Its dividend yield is very attractive. Even better, the REIT pays its dividend monthly and has increased its dividend for an impressive 30 consecutive years.

Realty Income has delivered a positive total operational return every year since its IPO in 1994. Its diversified real estate portfolio, with nearly 1,600 clients representing 91 industries, helps make the company's cash flow stable. The REIT also has strong growth prospects, particularly in Europe, where it faces minimal competition.

The main drawback with this stock is its valuation. Realty Income's shares trade at 43 times forward earnings. However, I think the company's sterling track record justifies a premium price tag.

Should you invest $1,000 in Realty Income right now?

Before you buy stock in Realty Income, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Realty Income wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $699,558!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $976,677!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Keith Speights has positions in Ares Capital, Berkshire Hathaway, Bristol Myers Squibb, Chevron, Pfizer, Realty Income, and Verizon Communications. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Berkshire Hathaway, Bristol Myers Squibb, Chevron, Pfizer, and Realty Income. The Motley Fool recommends Campbell's, Kraft Heinz, and Verizon Communications. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

2 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist and 1 to Avoid

The interesting thing about this list is that the two buys, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Pool Corp. (NASDAQ: POOL), have markedly higher valuations than the sell, Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC). The rationale behind the investment case for the first two lies in their long-term growth prospects -- something not shared by Kraft Heinz. Here's why.

Kraft Heinz is a challenged business

The consumer staples company generates 44% of its sales from condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads, with 18% coming from easy-to-prepare meals. None of its other food categories (snacks, desserts, hydration products, coffee, cheese, and meats) contributes more than 10% of its sales.

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A person in a supermarket reaching for a product.

Image source: Getty Images.

It's a fast-changing industry subject to changes in consumer preferences, with substantial competition from retailers with their own branded or private-label products. This increasing competition has pressured Kraft's ability to generate revenue growth or margin expansion over the last decade.

As such, the company's return on capital employed (ROCE) lags that of its peer group. ROCE measures how much profit the company generates from its debt and equity. A consistently low ROCE implies that the company can do little to improve profitability by raising equity or issuing debt.

In short, based on current trends, it's a mature low-growth company facing ROCE challenges with a management hamstrung to initiate substantive changes by paying 61% of expected earnings in dividends.

KHC Return on Capital Employed Chart

KHC Return on Capital Employed data by YCharts.

Pool Corp., maintaining swimming pools

Continuing the theme of looking at operational metrics like profit margins, revenue growth, and ROCE, a cursory look at the medium-term trends for Pool Corp., a distributor of swimming pool supplies and equipment, suggests problems similar to those of Kraft Heinz.

That said, context counts for a lot, and investors need to recall that companies like Pool Corp. enjoyed an artificial boom during the pandemic lockdown.

A person soaking in a swimming pool.

Image source: Getty images.

The lockdowns encouraged spending on stay-at-home activities and drove investment in new swimming pools. For example, around 96,000 new pools were built in the U.S. in 2020, jumping to about 120,000 in 2021, and then 98,000 in 2022. By 2024, that figure was down to 60,000, and management expects a similar figure this year.

But no matter the amount, every one of those new pools will help add to the installed base that the company can sell into. Considering that it generates almost two-thirds of its sales from the maintenance and minor repair of swimming pools, this creates a significant long-term growth opportunity once the natural correction from the pandemic boom is over.

POOL Operating Margin (TTM) Chart

POOL Operating Margin (TTM) data by YCharts; TTM = trailing 12 months.

Apple and service growth

Apple is on a growth trajectory, focusing on increasing sales of its high-margin services. Like Pool Corp., investors can think of Apple's various devices -- including iPhones, iPads, Macs, wearables, and myriad other devices -- as an installed base for it to sell services into.

It's a growth opportunity in revenue, margins, and cash flow. As you can see below, strong services growth has increased its share of overall revenue. And given services' higher margin profile (currently above 75% compared to almost 36% for products), it's pulling up Apple's overall profit margin.

Apple share of revenue from services and overall gross margin.

Data source: Apple. Chart by author.

That increase in profitability is likely to continue improving as services growth continues at a double-digit pace. In fact, Apple now has over a billion paid subscriptions. This will generate ongoing recurring revenue, which will drop down into improved cash flow generation.

Moreover, if you are wondering, here's what Apple's ROCE looks like.

AAPL Return on Capital Employed Chart

AAPL Return on Capital Employed data by YCharts

Wall Street analysts expect Apple's free cash flow (FCF) to grow from $109 billion in 2025 to $126 billion in 2026 and $139 billion in 2039, implying double-digit increases. Trading at 27 times estimated FCF in 2025, it is not a conventionally cheap stock, and many investors may want to wait for a better entry point. Still, its long-term prospects remain excellent, and it's likely to grow into its valuation in the coming years.

Stocks to buy and sell

The key point is that Pool Corp. and Apple have a pathway to growth via expansion of the installed base of swimming pools and Apple devices, while Kraft Heinz does not have such prospects. The difference shows up in their operating metrics and long-term growth prospects.

Should you invest $1,000 in Apple right now?

Before you buy stock in Apple, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Apple wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $635,275!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,385!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 967% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 171% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 12, 2025

Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Campbell's and Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Why Warren Buffett's Upcoming Move Isn't Cause for Concern

In this podcast, Motley Fool analyst Jim Gillies and host Dylan Lewis discuss:

  • Warren Buffett's plan to step down as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway.
  • The parallels between Berkshire's succession planning and Apple's transition from Steve Jobs to Tim Cook.
  • The available cash, opportunities, and challenges ahead for Greg Abel and team.

To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.

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A full transcript is below.

Should you invest $1,000 in Berkshire Hathaway right now?

Before you buy stock in Berkshire Hathaway, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Berkshire Hathaway wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $623,103!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $717,471!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 909% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 162% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 5, 2025

This video was recorded on Mai 05, 2025

Dylan Lewis: After 60 years, Buffett passes the torch. Motley Fool Money starts now. I'm Dylan Lewis. I'm joining for the airwaves by Motley Fool candidate analyst Jim Gillies. Jim, thanks for joining me on this momentous Monday.

Jim Gillies: Indeed. Thanks, Dylan.

Dylan Lewis: We talk about the news very often. We don't always get something this good when something happens over the weekend. To quote the great Warren Buffett himself, the Time Has Arrived. After 60 years as CEO of Berkshire Hathaway, Warren Buffett announced he'll be stepping down at the end of 2025 for a well deserved semi retirement. He announced this Jim, closing out the annual meeting in Omaha over the weekend, which was news to basically everybody except his kids.

Jim Gillies: Correct. Yes, I had I had a number of friends on the floor, and one of them texted me with literally as he was speaking going, holy insert golf word here. Buffett just announced his retirement and I'm like, OK, I have to take a moment to process this.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, in typical Buffett fashion, it wasn't I'm leaving the CEO seat. It was him handing over the reins, but it was in an overview of board meetings and votes, and recommendations. I think if it weren't for the standing ovation, if you had tuned out for a second, you actually might have missed it because it was right at the end of the meeting and discussion.

Jim Gillies: Yeah. Look, I'm a Berkshire shareholder for almost three decades. The entire way, Dylan, I've been told, aren't you worried? He's so old. He's going to die soon. Thankfully, a key lesson from Buffett reiterated many times over the years, including in this most recent annual meeting is like, you know what? Take your time, think through, things things are not that imperative in the moment. I'm very glad I've ignored all of the people saying, Oh, boy, he's really old. I similarly think about it a little bit today. It's like, Buffett has been prepping people for this for quite honestly nearly two decades. I remember after his first wife passed away, Susie, it was always the intent of the Buffett to give away the vast wealth that he's created. Susie was supposed to be the one because she was expected to outlive Warren. She was going to be the one handling the dispensation of that money. Susie's been gone for almost two decades now, Dylan.

We've seen him, I remember back might be 15 or so years ago now where they were first started talking about having the names of multiple people who could take over for him, step in whenever. The names in the envelope that could step in for him have changed. But a number of years ago, Charlie, who, of course, left us just over a year ago, Charlie let slip at one meeting that the only real name in the envelope that could take over for Buffett was Greg Abel, longtime CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Energy, MidAmerican Energy beforehand, and that he just confirmed what everybody largely knew. I don't think much is going to change. First off, in a completely unsurprising development, the board did, in fact, vote unanimously along with Warren's suggestion hands up, who thought that wouldn't happen.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, zero surprise here.

Jim Gillies: Exactly. Well, also two board members are Warren's kids who, as you said, knew about this. They have, in fact, voted unanimously to pass the CEO's title to Greg Abel. This is the start of 2026. You've got another almost eight months with Uncle Warren at the helm, at which point he will remain as non-executive chairman. He did allude to the idea that should markets behave in a certain way, and he didn't say it, but I will plunge precipitously, they would be interested in deploying some of the massive cash hoard they've got now, which I think is playing with $350 billion. That he would be useful, perhaps reputation wise to help deploy some of that capital should circumstances require it. Again, he was too polite to say, if the markets blow up and people freak out. But that's what we're talking about here. Go back to 2008.

Dylan Lewis: If you find my advice helpful during any time, just let me know, essentially, the.

Jim Gillies: Yeah, exactly. But I don't think a lot's going to change, and part of that is because they've been gradually transitioning the day to day operating business into the hands of Greg Abel. They've long transitioned the decision making at GEICO or I say GEICO, just in the insurance arms, all of the insurance arms into the hands of Ajit Jain. They have long been adding to the responsibilities of Ted and Todd, the investing lieutenants. Buffett has long espoused that a ham sandwich should be able to run this business. In fact, I saw someone was quipping. Another Fool was quipping with us this morning. I hope Greg had a T shirt at that board meeting that said ham sandwich on it. I see the stock fell as much as 6 or 7% today. I wish it fell more. I hope it falls more in the next week or so, because obviously, I'm talking about it now, so I'm locked out. I would be a happy buyer of shares today without a thing and without a concern, frankly.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, I was going to say this is the first time we've ever seen the market have to weigh what they think of a Berkshire without Buffett, maybe a 4% or 5% discount on shares today. I don't think anyone could find that unexpected. It's a surprise, no matter when it happens. It's a surprise no matter how well they lay out the succession planning. We've known Greg Abel since 2021 formally, would be taking over this seat. I think you're right. I think they've done such a nice job telegraphing what's coming and also telegraphing. There are core Berkshire principles to the way that we approach things, and that probably isn't going to change very much. I remember looking back on some of the content from the morning meetings and the Q&As, and stuff like that over the weekend. Someone had the foresight not knowing what was coming to ask, hi, Greg, what is something you've learned from Warren Buffett over the years? Incredibly pressing question, it turns out.

He talked about how when they were first meeting talking through MidAmerican Energy Holdings and that acquisition, the first thing that Buffett did was zoom in on the balance sheet. The first thing he did was zoom in on the derivative holdings for the company and start asking all these questions about risk exposure, what was actually there. Abel and Buffett both talked quite a bit at the annual meeting about the importance of being balance sheet oriented, looking at the fundamentals of these businesses. If you're a Berkshire shareholder, none of that stuff is going to change. That is going to continue to be the guide for how this management team is making decisions.

Jim Gillies: Yes. I don't think it was a surprise to anyone who's been a long term Buffett slash Berkshire follower. If you were not aware that Uncle Warren likes his balance sheets. If you ask Greg, what's one thing you learned? I thought you were going to say how to keep a secret because it did that a little bit.

Dylan Lewis: I'm guessing Greg maybe had a little heart palpitation there on stage, learning alongside all the Berkshire shareholders that this was happening.

Jim Gillies: What a vote of confidence, though to have that even though he knows the job is going to be his? Again, look, Uncle Warren is 94. He'll be 95 at the end of the summer. If you don't expect someone approaching that anniversary of their existence to be maybe wanting to slow down a little bit, plan for retiring. It had to have been the subject. Well, as I said, I have heard variants of the, are you sure you want to be here for as long as I've held shares, and my own personal shares, at least my earliest ones, I can legally rent a car in the US.

Dylan Lewis: Yes, they've matured.

Jim Gillies: Exactly.

Dylan Lewis: Way to put it.

Jim Gillies: They should hit the gym more. They're starting to have that middle age precursor happening there. Continue anyway.

Dylan Lewis: As you noted, this is a business now sitting on an incredible amount of cash, 347 billion, I think, as of most recent report and the updates over the weekend. I have to imagine that that was also some of the intentionality with this planning was Buffett unwinding some of the large positions that existed with Bank of America with Apple over the years and really putting Abel and the management team in a position to make decisions that they were excited about that they were interested in that followed Berkshire playbook and probably to be opportunistic as there's possibly some clouds out there on the horizon.

Jim Gillies: Yeah, he downplayed some of the people saying, Oh, you're just trying to set up things for Greg Abel. It's like, no, I'm not so charitable to make life easy for him. If an opportunity was here for me, I'd take it paraphrased. Apple is unquestionably the best a stock investment that Buffett has made. You could argue others have done better percentage wise or over a longer term. But in terms of the sheer amount of money, Buffett himself said, Tim Cook, Apple's CEO. Tim Cook has made more money for Berkshire shareholders than I have.

Dylan Lewis: Point taken.

Jim Gillies: Well, point taken. I will push back a little bit on Buffett and say, yeah, but you were the one that went into it. Again, ignoring what other people were saying, which 2016 ish was that it's the biggest company in the world. How much growth is there left turned out to do OK. I think it's going to be prescient for Berkshire because, of course, Apple itself went through its own, shall we say, high profile succession plan back in 2010-2011, because founder Steve Jobs, of course, famously, unfortunately, and I say this with all respect, drew the short straw in life. Had a health issue that tremendously shortened his life, and that was tragic. But before he went, of course, and Tim Cook had stepped in for a lot of the day to day stuff with Apple before that. But officially, I think a few weeks before, it's now it's back in 2011. It's a few weeks before Steve's ultimate departure. Tim Cook was made the official CEO. On that day, the stock didn't have a great day. I've said for a number of years now on various Foolish forms from a value creation perspective. Tim Cook has been a far better CEO for Apple than Steve Jobs was. Now, Tim Cook doesn't get this opportunity without Steve Jobs and without the vision and the idea.

I always say, Tim Cook is an execution guy. Steve Jobs is an idea guy or was an idea guy. The execution guy doesn't get to work as magic without the idea guy to start, and so you need both. But the sheer value that's been created at Apple in the Tim Cook era greatly outstrips what was created during the Steve Jobs era. But you got to give Job some credit for what he planted the seeds so that Tim Cook could have the harvest. I think that's what's probably going to unfold with Berkshire Buffett, Greg able is that Buffett has put all seeds in play and has put the culture in play, and has been, as we said before, slowly farming out bits and pieces of the business to the key players at Berkshire. He himself has said, literally at this meeting that he thinks the Greg Abel era going forward will probably make more money for Berkshire shareholders than he would.

Dylan Lewis: Yeah, I think he said, I will remain a shareholder, and that is a financial decision.

Jim Gillies: Exactly.

Dylan Lewis: I trust the management team here. I'm glad you brought up the Apple example because Buffett gave a nod to that, too. He hit a quote, "Nobody but Steve could have created Apple. Nobody but Tim could have developed it like he has." I think you could swap out the names there, and he's essentially talking about his own business.

Jim Gillies: He is. Now, will Greg Abel overseeing Ted and Todd? Will they be able to create some of the magic that we've seen in stock picking? I think actually, that'll be a tough sell. But I also think it's a tough sell under Buffett because of the size of the company. Again, Apple has been the last real big home run. There's been a bunch of little things that haven't worked out, and that's fine, or IBM didn't work out, or the airlines didn't work out. Now, I'm of the opinion that Buffett got out of the airlines during COVID. Because when the facts change, I changed my mind. What do you do, sir? The world changed. A worldwide pandemic that shuts down air traffic for a not insignificant period of time makes those airlines worth it changes the calculus about how you calculate the fair value of those airlines. He knew they were going to need government assistance, and he also knew that the optics of having Warren Buffett one of the richest people on Earth through Berkshire Hathaway, it wasn't Warren Buffett owning them, but it was Berkshire.

The fact that Berkshire Hathaway being the largest shareholder of all of these airlines that now all of a sudden need a bailout, the optics of that are going to be pretty bad. He also knew he didn't want to be the guy bailing out the airlines. I'm going to sell my shares. That takes him off the board and takes Berkshire off the board. That way, they can qualify reasonably well for government funding and whatever you think about airlines and their perpetual need to go hand in hand with the government at every crisis. I leave that as an exercise for the listener. I think it will be an interesting play from here. I don't think, and I say this again. I know I've said I'm trying to remain respectful and giving Warren Buffett and Berkshire Hathaway have been very good to me personally. As I've mentioned, it is my largest shareholding. It is my longest held shareholding. But let us be honest. The stock picking over the past decade or so has not been spectacular aside from Apple. I would argue that is not because Warren Buffett has faded in abilities or anything. That is because this is a $1.15 trillion company with a bazillion different irons in the fires, and there's not a lot. They mentioned there was a $10 billion acquisition, as well that they passed on. My response to that, all I could think of when I heard about that over the weekend was, who cares $10 billion? A $10 billion acquisition for a company with 348 or 350 billion in dry powder. It's 3% of your cash.

Dylan Lewis: It's not material.

Jim Gillies: It's irrelevant. I don't want to hear about $10 billion acquisitions prospectively. I want to hear about minimum $100 billion prospective acquisitions. Bigger is better. How many of those companies are out there that will be available at a price that Berkshire and Buffett, and Greg Abel, and Ted and Todd would think compelling? I submit to you there ain't many, which is one reason why I think Buffett is, Oh, you know, I'll go play. He's going to go day trade.

Dylan Lewis: It's a good time for him to step away. The house is relatively tidy. He's been able to put things in pretty good shape.

What is amazing to me, taking a step back on Berkshire is sitting on record levels of cash, and we know what cash is earning right now. It's year to date up more than 10%. The market is in the opposite direction, down about 4% year to date. Investors haven't seemed to mind giving them a little bit of time to put that money to work, and they've been rewarded for their patients so far. I don't think that will change. I think anyone who's expecting anything really large is going to be waiting quite a while. I think we're going to see a capital allocation and deployment strategy that is very much like what we've seen in the past, and that might mean we're looking at three figure billion dollar of cash on the balance sheet for a long period of time.

Jim Gillies: Yeah, I think you can probably assume because they've said this. Expect that cash balance to never again drop below 50 billion. Now, when you have 350 billion.

Dylan Lewis: There's room to go down.

Jim Gillies: Oh, we can just hold that, and it's fine. I'm genuinely curious to see, and I don't think you're going to see it anytime soon. I think Buffett probably needs to ultimately exit the board fully before you'll ever see anything here. But I'm curious to see because it took about a minute and a half after the announcement before various denizens of Twitter started saying, Oh, break up Berkshire Hathaway now. It needs to be broken up, or when are they gonna pay a dividend? Calm down, folks. I think really truly, nothing is going to change. Nothing is going to change as long as Buffett is consuming oxygen. I think nothing changes. When he ultimately leaves the scene, I think nothing's going to change really for a little while longer. I think they will continue in reinvesting in their existing businesses. It wouldn't shock me to see them deploying incremental capital in some of their already existent areas. More energy. They famously talked over the past, I'll say 15-20 years about how they like businesses where they deploy significant capital at good expected returns, but that would be the railroad, and that would be a few of their other businesses where again, have the utilities. I would be shocked outside of a market dislocating event. I would be shocked to see them make any meaningful draw down of that cash hoard. I don't think they're going out and buying Disney tomorrow. I don't think they're going out, or to go out take out Hershey, or try to acquire MARs privately. They might but these are the types of businesses that would be fun to see them make a run at Coca Cola. I will say that would tickle me a little bit.

Dylan Lewis: It would fit the profile, and it would certainly fit Buffett's tastes. Yeah, I think you're right. The market may give them that dislocating moment. We've talked at length on the show about how there is a bit of a precarious situation going on.

Jim Gillies: I don't know what you're talking about.

Dylan Lewis: Buffett has provided some commentary on that, and I can't think of a better position to be in to have $350 billion in cash if you expect there may be a lot of headwinds away and there may be some discounts available to the business. You mentioned railroads. You talked about energy a little bit. Any other sectors you think might fit the profile for a Berkshire acquisition if we start seeing some things on sale.

Jim Gillies: Coca Cola would be funny, but it's also possible. I don't know how far they'd get. No, I think you want to look in a space where they already have an interest. It will not be technology motivated. It's always going to be, well, where we like to invest in places where we think we know. There's the famous story about what was the best selling candy bar in the 80s? Well, it was Snickers.

Dylan Lewis: Snickers.

Jim Gillies: What was it in the 90s? Well it was Snickers. I don't know who's going to have the dominant operating system in 20 years. You probably make a good guess.

Dylan Lewis: But people are going to still be eating Snickers.

Jim Gillies: But you're probably going to be buying Snickers, and the pricing power of a Snickers or the pricing power of a can of Coke is probably going to or a bottle of ketchup he's famously got the Kraft Heinz Association is probably going to be there. I would like to see them. It's going to be a low technology possibility. The obvious things are more insurance, more energy consumer products with a significant brand mode. A Coca Cola, I joke a little bit, even at Disney, but even Disney's there are problems if Disney were to ever be something like that. I think it's going to be interesting to see where it goes. I'm signing up for the ride. I've been signed up for the ride for a while. At the very least, I'd like to not vacate my shares while I'm still drawing a regular paycheck because I don't particularly want to hand the government a large check. As you say, it's a great place to be. It has been a great place to be in the cornerstone of my philosophy.

My investing philosophy has to have the ballast holdings in my portfolio, of which Berkshire is absolutely one. It's the largest one, as I've said. Those ballast holdings that, for me, Brookfield is another one. Some people really like Fairfax Financial. Have your ballast holdings so you can go out and do some more riskier plays. I'm not talking day trading or penny stocks, or stuff like that. But still, things that may or may not work out for you, but you've always got the ballast and just to keep you calm. Then in days when you see those market dislocations, I would really encourage people to go back and look at what Buffett was doing during the global financial crisis, the 2008 crisis. He wasn't panicking. Stock got hit along with everything else. That's fine.

Buffett has said even this weekend. We don't care about that stuff. Berkshire's fallen, I don't know how many times by 50%. Doesn't bother us in the slightest. Focus on the business, all that wonderful stuff. But remember what he did back then. Goldman Sachs came hat in hand. The vampire squid came hat in hand. Buffett said, sure, I'll help you. Here's your 15% anchor. Harley Davidson came hat in hand. Sure, we'll help you. Here's your 15% anchor. Bank of America. I think gave penny warrants or dollar warrants as part of the investment. Don't call it a bailout, as part of the investment that Buffett made in Bank of America, and there's others. That's one thing I think I want people to remember about. Buffett's got this kindly Midwestern old dude cut of persona. When it comes to allocating capital, dude's killer. You want my money, it's gonna be 15%. My end is 15 precious, and that's how we're starting, and we'll take a little bit of equity comp, as well. I hope that Greg Abel and Ted and Todd can be similarly value extractive, shall we call it, during future market dislocations, which as Buffett again, said this weekend, are coming. We don't know when they are. They will come. Probably be a Tuesday. He seems to think that the business is in good hands with Greg running it. Again, if we have trusted Buffett's process on the building of Berkshire, I would suggest to you we should be similarly trusting of his transition planning for the business that he's booking.

Dylan Lewis: Jim, it sounds like even though he won't be calling the shots for your largest holding, his tenets, his investing style, remain the pillars of your portfolio and how you expect the Berkshire will continue to be rough.

Jim Gillies: Sounds about right to me, yes.

Dylan Lewis: Jim, thanks for talking through it to me.

Jim Gillies: Thank you, Dylan.

Dylan Lewis: As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about and Motley Fool make formal recommendations for or against. So far it's I think based on what you hear. All personal finance content follow Motley fool editorial standards is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content, provided for informational purposes only. See our full advertising disclosure. Check out our show notes for the Motley Fool Money team. I'm Dylan Lewis. We'll be back tomorrow.

Bank of America is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Dylan Lewis has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Jim Gillies has positions in Apple, Berkshire Hathaway, and Brookfield Asset Management. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple, Bank of America, Berkshire Hathaway, Brookfield Asset Management, Fairfax Financial, Goldman Sachs Group, Hershey, International Business Machines, and Walt Disney. The Motley Fool recommends Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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