Reading view

3 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stocks Down 19% to 26%: Is It Time to Buy the Dip?

Key Points

  • These three dividend growth stocks are the best operators in their respective niches.

  • Each stock has a return on invested capital between 17% and 27%, showing a strong ability to reinvest in their businesses profitably.

  • The trio's dividend yields all currently sit at or near 10-year highs.

I am an adherent to the Gardner-Kretzmann Continuum's strategy of owning at least one stock for each year of your age. Because of this notion, I have 37 "core" holdings that I try to add to consistently over time.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

However, while the S&P 500 has returned to new highs, three of my core holdings -- a trio of oft-ignored dividend growth stocks -- haven't followed this move higher, and I think that's an opportunity for investors.

Here's why now is the time to consider buying three of my favorite S&P 500 dividend stocks on the dip, while their shares are currently down between 19% and 26% from their highs.

1. Zoetis

Zoetis (NYSE: ZTS) is the top dog in the animal healthcare industry and has outpaced the S&P 500 since its initial public offering (IPO) in 2013. Zoetis offers a range of medicines, vaccines, diagnostics, genetic tests, and precision animal health solutions for dogs, cats, and six species of livestock.

Emboldened by the "humanization of pets" megatrend, the market bid up the company's valuation to a lofty average valuation of 47 times free cash flow (FCF) over the last decade. While Zoetis dominates its niche, this valuation was probably a little too optimistic for a company that traditionally grows its sales by high single digits, helping spur the stock's 19% decline from its highs this year.

Now trading at a much more reasonable 31 times FCF -- and with its 1.2% dividend yield near all-time highs -- Zoetis looks like a once-in-a-decade opportunity.

ZTS Price to Free Cash Flow Chart

ZTS Price to Free Cash Flow and Dividend Yield data by YCharts

Although Zoetis is already home to 17 blockbuster products that generate over $100 million annually, what makes it a promising long-term investment is its return on invested capital (ROIC) of 22%. This high ROIC implies that the company excels at utilizing its debt and equity to fund new growth initiatives, whether it's introducing entirely new products or implementing lifecycle innovations that enhance existing ones.

Powered by this culture of continuous innovation, Zoetis has grown its FCF and dividend payments by 28% and 18% annually over the last decade, making it a top-tier compounder and dividend growth stock. Had investors bought the company at its IPO and held until today, they would be receiving a 6% dividend yield compared to their original cost basis.

With its parasiticides, dermatology, and pain products each growing sales by more than 10% in the latest quarter, Zoetis should continue to reward patient dividend investors handsomely.

Two children hold on to their parent's arms as they dive through the water in a pool.

Image source: Getty Images.

2. Pool Corp.

Pool Corp. (NASDAQ: POOL) is the world's largest distributor of pool products and has been a 449-bagger for investors since its IPO in 1995. However, over the last three years, its share price has stalled out.

Hindered by the confluence of higher interest rates, fewer new home starts in the United States, and weakening consumer confidence, Pool's new pool construction and renovation orders have declined dramatically.

While this cyclicality can be uncomfortable for investors, the company is well positioned to battle this uncertainty. In fact, Pool generates 64% of its sales from non-discretionary maintenance and repair sales, such as the chemicals or replacement parts needed to keep the pool functioning. These recurring sales add a valuable layer of safety to the company's cyclical operations.

So in trying times like today, Pool may not be firing on all cylinders -- but it isn't at risk of going bankrupt anytime soon, either. Despite the headwinds the company is facing, it generated nearly $500 million in FCF over the last year and used the bulk of this to buy back shares at a discount, while Pool's stock is down 23% from its year-long highs.

Furthermore, Pool's average ROIC of 18% across its lifetime as a publicly traded company demonstrates that it is more than capable of navigating cyclicality in a profitable manner.

While the timing of a turnaround in the U.S. housing market is anyone's guess, I'm happy to pay 24 times FCF for Pool and receive growing dividend payments as we wait for sunnier days.

Now paying a 1.6% yield -- its highest level since 2012 -- Pool's dividend still only uses 38% of its FCF, despite the challenging environment. These figures highlight the ample dividend growth potential available to investors once the macroeconomic environment improves for Pool.

3. Old Dominion Freight Line

Less-than-truckload (LTL) hauling specialist Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) has been a 305-bagger since its IPO in 1991. However, much like Pool, Old Dominion is also a cyclical stock.

While its revenue tends to rise over the long haul, it still fluctuates over shorter time frames.

ODFL Revenue (TTM) Chart

ODFL Revenue (TTM) data by YCharts

Currently in the midst of a freight industry recession, Old Dominion has seen its stock drop 26% from its year-long highs, as industrial shipments remain weak and tariff concerns continue to weigh on the market.

Despite these unavoidable headwinds, the company remains the best-in-class LTL specialist.

ODFL Return on Invested Capital Chart

ODFL, XPO, SAIA, ARCB, FDX Return on Invested Capital and Profit Margin data by YCharts

This industry-leading ROIC is a significant advantage for Old Dominion, as it demonstrates management's shrewd ability to continue taking market share by adding new service centers in a highly profitable manner.

Furthermore, its top-tier profit margin enables the company to repurchase shares during challenging economic times (as it is currently doing) and increase dividend payments more quickly when conditions improve.

Over the last decade, Old Dominion has removed more than one-sixth of its shares from the market. Meanwhile, although the company's dividend yields only 0.6%, it has grown by 33% over the last five years and utilizes only a modest 27% of the company's FCF.

Ultimately, when a freight industry turnaround actually occurs is impossible to know, but I'm confident Old Dominion will thrive when the good times arrive.

Should you invest $1,000 in Zoetis right now?

Before you buy stock in Zoetis, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Zoetis wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $699,558!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $976,677!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,060% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Old Dominion Freight Line, Pool, and Zoetis. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends FedEx, Old Dominion Freight Line, and Zoetis. The Motley Fool recommends XPO and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $195 calls on Old Dominion Freight Line and short January 2026 $200 calls on Old Dominion Freight Line. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Why SharkNinja Stock Is Rocketing Higher This Week

Key Points

  • SharkNinja received a lofty price target from Jefferies on Monday.

  • Despite rising 150% since its market debut, the company trades at only 21 times forward earnings.

  • "Manically consumer-focused," SharkNinja is quietly becoming a powerhouse in the consumer goods sector.

Shares of quickly growing consumer goods stock SharkNinja (NYSE: SN) rose 11% as of market close Thursday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence. The product design and technology company, famous for its consumer goods products seen on numerous infomercials and social media clips, received a $175 price target from Jefferies on Monday, which sent its stock higher.

Compared to its current stock price of $107, this price target implies upside north of 60%. Just one week removed from being added to Time magazine's 2025 list of the 100 Most Influential Companies, this upgrade added further optimism to SharkNinja's stock, which is now up 150% since its initial public offering in 2023.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

SharkNinja: More than the infomercials you've seen

Anchored by its two billion-dollar brands (Shark and Ninja), SharkNinja is a product design and technology innovation hub, home to over 5,200 patents that serve its consumer goods customers. The company, describing itself as "maniacally consumer-focused," operates in (and disrupts) 36 subcategories (such as robot vacuums, air purifiers, blenders, or air fryers) by iterating products to the nth degree to reach unparalleled customer satisfaction.

Four upward-pointing arrows of different colors and sizes line up together against a black backdrop.

Image source: Getty Images.

Thanks to its relentless pursuit of customer satisfaction and burgeoning popularity, SharkNinja commands a premium price for its "aspirational brands," slightly ahead of more commoditized peers.

After growing sales by 24% annually since 2018, management has conservatively guided for 12% revenue growth in 2025. More importantly, however, management expects earnings per share of $4.95 for the year, which leaves SharkNinja shares trading at a reasonable 21 times forward earnings.

With the company entering 15 new subcategories over the last three years -- while launching roughly 25 new products annually -- SharkNinja's long-standing innovation prowess looks poised to power the stock to new highs.

Should you invest $1,000 in SharkNinja right now?

Before you buy stock in SharkNinja, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and SharkNinja wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $692,914!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $963,866!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,049% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 179% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends SharkNinja. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Why WK Kellogg Stock Soared Higher This Week

Key Points

  • WK Kellogg was added to multiple Russell Value indexes.

  • This led to an increase in the company's share price as the indexes picked up shares.

  • Kellogg may be an intriguing value stock, especially with its 3.7% dividend yield.

Shares of leading cereal maker W.K. Kellogg (NYSE: KLG) were up 10% this week as of market close Thursday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

On Monday, the Frosted Flakes maker was added to the Russell 2000 Value, 2500 Value, and 3000 Value indexes, as well as the Russell Small Cap Completeness Value Index.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

Kellogg's addition means that these indexes acquired a significant portion of the company's shares this week, contributing to the price run-up.

More importantly, however, Kellogg's inclusion lends credence to the notion that it may be an intriguing value stock, as I wrote about last year.

WK Kellogg: Value investment or value trap?

WK Kellogg spun off from Kellanova in 2023 and now exists as a pure-play cereal-selling enterprise, powered by its Kashi, Froot Loops, Special K, Raisin Bran, and Frosted Mini-Wheats brands.

However, spending over 100 years together with Kellanova, Kellogg looks more like a turnaround stock as it battles to separate itself from its parent company.

A shopper stands in a grocery aisle while studying information on a box of cereal.

Image source: Getty Images.

While this is a lengthy process, Kellogg is making solid progress, including:

  • Implementation of its own enterprise resource planning system last quarter
  • Being on track to separate its distribution by mid-2025
  • Stabilizing margins as it modernizes its supply chain

Now, with a light at the end of the tunnel regarding these separation costs, Kellogg can focus on actually marketing its cereal.

Emphasizing cereals with simplified ingredients providing protein and fiber, the company aims to cater to consumers who prioritize healthier cereal options, whether for breakfast or as a snack on the go.

Currently paying a healthy dividend yield of 3.7%, Kellogg could be a steady passive income investment with upside potential if management succeeds in its ambitions to streamline operations following the separation.

Should you invest $1,000 in WK Kellogg right now?

Before you buy stock in WK Kellogg, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and WK Kellogg wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $692,914!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $963,866!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 1,049% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 179% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends WK Kellogg. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

A Once-in-a-Decade Opportunity: 1 Super Growth Stock Down 48% to Buy Right Now and Hold for a Decade

While buying a roughed-up stock "on the dip" seems like a no-brainer, the unfortunate truth is that many of these embattled businesses may actually prove to be "falling knives."

However, if investors prioritize high-quality, market-leading, innovative companies, buying the dip can occasionally make perfect sense. I'd argue this is especially true when the stock in question is trading at what appears to be a once-in-a-decade valuation, which is the case for the business we will examine today.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

Operating in three industry verticals buoyed by long-term megatrends, Nice (NASDAQ: NICE) and its artificial intelligence (AI) innovations could prove to be an excellent buy-the-dip candidate, especially since its stock is down 48% from its highs.

Nice looks to build upon its leadership position

Nice is a leading software-as-a-service (SaaS) business, providing AI-powered solutions to enterprises via its cloud platform. The company primarily serves three areas:

  • Customer engagement (About 75% of sales): Nice offers end-to-end SaaS solutions that help clients automate their customer service operations while augmenting their human workforce with agentic AI. The cornerstone of this effort is its center-as-a-service (CCaaS) platform, which Forrester ranks as one of the leaders in this niche.
  • Financial crime and compliance (15% of sales): Nice's AI-embedded tools help corporate customers battle fraud, money laundering, and suspicious activity while providing compliance and surveillance services. It uses machine learning to parse through mountains of financial data and AI to automate more mundane tasks. Many top U.S. and European banks use this service.
  • Public safety and justice (10% of sales): In its smallest segment, Nice helps with emergency response optimization and digital evidence management. Nice and Axon Enterprise are the two leaders in this niche, according to IDC, acting like the Coca-Cola and PepsiCo to the public safety and justice market. Nice's offerings are used by 85% of U.S. and Canadian cities and 94% of the United Kingdom's police stations.

Thanks to its leadership in these three niches -- and counting 85 of the Fortune 100 enterprises as customers -- Nice is an undeniable SaaS leader with sales in over 150 countries.

Yet, despite this powerful presence, the company's growth story could still be in its early chapters. With fraud and money laundering schemes increasing in complexity by the day, digital evidence growing exponentially, and AI providing a tailwind in each market, Nice could be positioned for decades of growth if it can successfully harness the power of AI.

A white and blue digital cloud sits against a blue sky backdrop, beaming light down upon a digitalized Earth.

Image source: Getty Images.

Nice: AI innovator, not disruptee

Far and away, the most important thing for investors to watch going forward with Nice will be whether it remains an AI innovator, not a disruptee. The company is off to a tremendous start so far, with AI solutions at the forefront of its platform.

In 2024, 97% of Nice's CXone Mpower contracts worth $1 million or more included AI offerings. This figure grew to 100% as of the first quarter of 2025, demonstrating that the company is, if nothing else, AI-first.

Furthermore, while overall cloud revenue grew 12% in Q1, Nice's AI and self-service sales grew by 39%. This data point will be paramount to watch going forward, as this outsize growth suggests that Nice is leading the AI innovation race, rather than getting disrupted by it.

Similarly, its cloud net retention rate of 111% highlights additional customer "buy-in." Measuring the spending of existing customers from last year to this year, this 11% increase indicates that the company is successfully upselling and cross-selling its new solutions, most likely AI-powered offerings.

A once-in-a-decade valuation

Despite reporting top-notch AI sales growth, Nice's shares slid following its Q1 earnings, mainly due to what the market deemed weak guidance. This drop leaves the company trading at just 14 times free cash flow (FCF).

NICE Price to Free Cash Flow Chart

NICE Price to Free Cash Flow data by YCharts

This price-to-FCF (P/FCF) ratio of 14 is near a decade-long low and is almost half of the company's historical average of 27. Even accounting for the dilutive effects of stock-based compensation, Nice trades at just 18 times FCF, far below the S&P 500's average P/FCF ratio, which is somewhere north of 30.

Perhaps the biggest signal that Nice's valuation today may be a once-in-a-decade opportunity comes from management currently buying back shares at the fastest rate in the company's history.

NICE Stock Buybacks (Quarterly) Chart

NICE Stock Buybacks (Quarterly) data by YCharts

Nice is armed with more than $1 billion in net cash, compared to its market capitalization of $11 billion, so it could easily continue buying back shares at what looks like an incredible valuation.

Altogether, Nice's combination of leadership positioning, AI integration, and discounted valuation makes it a super growth stock to buy on the dip. However, it'll be of the utmost importance to keep an eye on Nice's AI sales in each quarterly update and ensure the company remains the AI innovator, not the disruptee.

Should you invest $1,000 in Nice right now?

Before you buy stock in Nice, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Nice wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $657,385!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $842,015!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 987% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 171% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Axon Enterprise and Coca-Cola. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Axon Enterprise, and Nice. The Motley Fool recommends Gartner. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

1 Magnificent S&P 500 Dividend Stock Down 18% to Buy Right Now for a Lifetime of Passive Income

So far this year, the S&P 500 has dropped as much as 16% from its highs by April, only to rally and gain all but 4 of these percentage points back.

Whether it's tariff concerns, an uncertain housing market, lower consumer confidence, or the implications of artificial intelligence (AI) disrupting the workforce, there is no shortage of news to spook investors.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

However, with this turbulence comes opportunity. This notion could be especially true if investors expand their time frame and remember to look at stocks through a three-year lens (if not one that's decades-long).

I believe public safety leader Motorola Solutions (NYSE: MSI) could prove to be one of these promising opportunities, particularly with its stock down 19% due to overblown tariff concerns.

Here's what sets this magnificent S&P 500 dividend growth stock apart and why it could be an excellent pick in today's uncomfortable market.

Motorola's many layers of safety

Motorola is a leader in the public safety niche, and its stock has been an eight-bagger over the last 10 years. It sells equipment for land-mobile radio (LMR) communication (walkie-talkies for police, for example), fixed and mobile video security and access control (including police body cameras), and command center solutions for 911 services.

The company also sells software and services that support each of these units, which now equal 36% of total revenue.

Close up shot of a police officer's chest, highlighting their body camera and walkie-talkie.

Image Source: Getty Images.

Recession-resilient products

With 5 million cameras deployed across 300,000 sites, 13,000 LMR networks set up worldwide, and a presence in 60% of the 911 call centers in the United States, Motorola has a massive role within public safety. Just as importantly, its products serve some of the most essential customer bases.

The company gets 70% of its sales from public safety agencies like police, fire, EMS, national security, and crucial infrastructure. The remaining 30% comes from private enterprises, most of which are also essential, like hospitals, utilities, schools, and manufacturers.

Motorola's redundant and "always on" LMR networks are essential to public safety, especially during natural disasters when cell towers may be down. Its police body cameras, fixed cameras for combating shoplifting, and 911 command center equipment are also must-haves, rounding out the company's suite of recession-resilient products.

Its multiyear LMR contracts, the recurring revenue from its software and services, and its all-important customer base offer investors a lot of stability.

Robust and rising free cash flow

The recurring revenue from its software and services grew from 21% of sales in 2015 to 36% today. This increase is noteworthy to investors because these cloud-based services come with much higher margins. Since 2016, the company's free cash flow (FCF) margin rose from 13% to 21% in 2025.

Fundamental Chart Chart

Fundamental Chart data by YCharts.

This improved FCF generation adds another layer of safety for investors thinking of buying Motorola, providing financial resilience and the ability to continue funding its dividend. Its ballooning FCF also funds Motorola's penchant as a successful serial acquirer.

Masterful M&A

Since 2015, Motorola spent $7 billion buying 29 businesses across each of the company's three product verticals. Though mergers and acquisitions (M&A) aren't typically seen as a safety feature for most stocks -- if anything, they're usually a significant risk -- management has a lengthy track record of success.

The company currently has a cash return on invested capital (ROIC) of 31%, placing it in the top 10% among its S&P 500 peers. This means Motorola earns outsized cash returns from the debt and equity it devotes to acquisitions, proving its mastery at scooping up and integrating new businesses.

This allows the company to diversify its products and services, fortifying its position as the top dog in the public safety space.

A police officer laughs while sitting and talking to two young children.

Image Source: Getty Images.

The dividend looks poised to keep going higher

Though Motorola's 1% dividend yield may not scream "lifetime passive income," its dividend growth does. With 12 consecutive years of payout increases, the company's passive income potential could prove to be massive.

MSI Dividend Chart

MSI Dividend data by YCharts.

To give some context to this steadily growing dividend, investors who purchased the stock in 2012 would now be receiving a 9% yield compared to their original cost basis.

Said another way, dividend growth stocks like Motorola often become high-yield dividend stocks if held long enough. Looking a decade down the road, I'm hoping to re-create these results.

Best yet for investors, the company's dividend payments should keep rising for years to come, for two key reasons. First, it currently only uses 30% of its FCF for its dividend payments, leaving plenty of wiggle room for future increases. Management could technically double its dividend payments tomorrow and still have excess cash for capital expenditures and M&A activity.

Second, the company's backlog continues to skew more heavily toward higher-margin software and services sales. This shift means that its FCF and margins could continue increasing, creating even more cash to return to shareholders over time.

Backed by the company's safe and stable operations, this steadily growing dividend makes Motorola one of my favorite investments for growing my long-term passive income, especially in a volatile market.

Should you invest $1,000 in Motorola Solutions right now?

Before you buy stock in Motorola Solutions, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Motorola Solutions wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $617,181!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $719,371!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 909% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 163% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 5, 2025

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Why Fortinet Stock Is Plummeting Today

Shares of leading cybersecurity juggernaut Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) were down 8% as of 1:15 p.m. ET on Thursday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

The next-gen firewall specialist reported first-quarter earnings on Wednesday and delivered 14% sales growth alongside record-setting free cash flow (FCF).

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

However, with the company trading at 44 times FCF prior to earnings, the market expected perfection from Fortinet, and management's guidance didn't live up to these hopes.

90 days' worth of information doesn't erase Fortinet's dominance

While Fortinet met analysts' expectations for Q1, its guidance for 13% sales growth and a mere 4% increase in adjusted earnings per share in the upcoming quarter spooked the market.

In my opinion, this is a classic case of a market-beating stock priced for perfection delivering "adequate" earnings. Nothing was really "wrong" with earnings or guidance, but it wasn't perfect.

A neon blue-and-pink shield with a lock design at its center sits on top of a black-and-neon backdrop.

Image source: Getty Images.

As always, it's crucial to look beyond what Fortinet's potential numbers could be over the next 90 days and focus on its long-term investment thesis. Fortinet is:

  • No. 1 in firewalls deployed globally
  • Ranked No. 7 on Forbes' list of most trustworthy companies
  • Used by 80% of the Fortune 100 and 72% of the Global 2000
  • A Gartner Magic Quadrant leader in firewalls, SD-WAN, and wired and wireless LAN
  • A Gartner Magic Quadrant challenger in its nascent Secure Access Security Edge (SASE) and Security Service Edge (SSE) business lines

Founder and CEO Ken Xie summed up Fortinet's moat during the earnings call, saying, "We remain the only vendor to have organically developed all of the core SASE capabilities within a single operating system, FortiOS."

With its up-and-coming SSE and Unified SASE solutions growing billings by 110% and 18% in Q1, Fortinet's growth story should have many chapters remaining.

Should you invest $1,000 in Fortinet right now?

Before you buy stock in Fortinet, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Fortinet wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $623,103!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $717,471!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 909% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 162% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 5, 2025

Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in Fortinet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Fortinet. The Motley Fool recommends Gartner. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •  

Why CrowdStrike, Palo Alto Networks, and Fortinet Stocks Rallied This Week

Shares of cybersecurity leaders CrowdStrike Holdings (NASDAQ: CRWD), Palo Alto Networks (NASDAQ: PANW), and Fortinet (NASDAQ: FTNT) rallied 13%, 6%, and 13%, respectively, this week as of noon ET on Friday, according to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

The primary reason for these increases is related to a 90-day pause on the newly proposed tariffs that the United States announced, prompting a virtually marketwide rally.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Learn More »

However, there was also company-specific news that added to this rally.

On Monday morning, Wedbush Securities listed CrowdStrike and Palo Alto Networks as two "defensive" plays in an era of potentially higher tariffs. Then, on Thursday, HSBC upgraded Palo Alto to a hold from a sell while reiterating that Fortinet was its top cybersecurity stock.

Here's why I can't help but agree with these bullish notions on these three stocks.

A trio of defensive growth stocks

These three cybersecurity leaders grew sales between 14% and 25% in their most recent quarters. Despite their status as growth stocks, it is also fair to call each of the businesses a defensive stock, as Wedbush stated.

A recent survey by cybersecurity provider Red Canary of security leaders at an array of businesses found that 63% of companies increased their cybersecurity spending. Still, only 37% thought it was enough to be entirely secure. Cybersecurity spending remains crucial for businesses, with numerous hacks costing hundreds of millions of dollars (if not over a billion) in recent years.

And the need will only become more pressing as we continue to move into an artificial intelligence-influenced world. The same Red Canary survey found that roughly 62% of security leaders said that AI threats make it more challenging to keep their businesses safe.

Simply put, CrowdStrike, Palo Alto, and Fortinet offer investors the best of both worlds: high growth and defensive, recurring sales.

The case for CrowdStrike

CrowdStrike is best known for its leadership in detecting endpoint threats, and its cloud-based Falcon platform is quickly becoming a full suite of cybersecurity safeguards. Its AI-powered platform is a must-have for most of the biggest names in the business world and is currently used by roughly 70% of the Fortune 100, 18 of the top 20 U.S. banks, and 44 of the 50 U.S. states.

The company's newer products for identity protection, cloud security, and security information and event management grew by 70% to 140% since last year, so this notion of a full-suite platform continues to gain momentum.

The stock won't be confused as being cheap, trading at 84 times free cash flow (FCF). But management is forecasting $10 billion in annual recurring revenue (ARR) by 2031 -- up from $3.9 billion today -- so it could quickly outgrow this valuation.

The case for Palo Alto Networks

Palo Alto Networks has generated annualized returns of 26% since its 2012 initial public offering (IPO) while becoming a leader alongside Fortinet in firewall solutions. But this success didn't prevent the stock from being hammered in early 2024 as it shifted from individual solutions to a platform model, which it dubbed "platformization."

This adjustment meant it had to entice many existing customers to come along for the ride by temporarily offering deeply discounted solutions (if not free ones) while they acclimated themselves to the new setup. Just one year later, though, this shift seems to be a success.

The company grew sales, remaining performance obligations (RPO), and next-generation ARR solutions by 14%, 21%, and 37%, respectively, in its latest quarter, so it looks to have made the right move (so far).

It might be a leap of faith for investors to buy tech-dense cybersecurity offerings like Palo Alto, but it has several leadership ratings from Gartner's Magic Quadrant rankings across several niche categories.

Should sales and FCF growth accelerate to match the company's impressive 21% growth in RPOs (a forward-looking metric), it could prove to be a fantastic investment at 40 times FCF, thanks to its mission-critical offerings.

The case for Fortinet

Fortinet and Palo Alto are the two top dogs in their firewall niche. Like Palo Alto, Fortinet has delivered incredible 30% annualized returns since its IPO in 2009.

Both companies hold leadership rankings from Gartner in several cybersecurity categories, so they will always seem to be linked together.

One area where Fortinet is dissimilar -- in a good way -- from its two peers in this article is that it protects shareholder value better. Whereas CrowdStrike and Palo Alto have let their number of shares outstanding rise by 15% and 14% over the last five years, Fortinet has lowered its count by 5%.

This ballooning share count from CrowdStrike and Palo Alto stems from hefty stock-based compensation (SBC), which equals roughly 22% and 13%, respectively, of their total revenue. Meanwhile, Fortinet's SBC only accounts for 4% of revenue. This signals (in my opinion) that Fortinet does a better job of protecting shareholder value.

Fortinet works with 77 of the Fortune 100 and virtually all of the business leaders in each industry, much like CrowdStrike. This scale, paired with the fact that Fortinet has nearly twice as many U.S. patents as CrowdStrike and Palo Alto combined, hints that the company will be hard to disrupt anytime soon.

The stock trades at 39 times FCF, and management is guiding for more than 12% billings growth over the next five years. So it should be a great example of a defensive growth stock.

The final takeaway

All told, I believe buying a basket of this trio of defensive growth stocks might be the way to go.

Although they all compete with one another, the last five to ten years have shown that the rising tide of the cybersecurity industry -- which is growing by double digits seemingly in perpetuity -- is plenty to lift all three stocks' boats, helping them to beat the market.

Should you invest $1,000 in CrowdStrike right now?

Before you buy stock in CrowdStrike, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and CrowdStrike wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $496,779!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $659,306!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 787% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 152% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 10, 2025

HSBC Holdings is an advertising partner of Motley Fool Money. Josh Kohn-Lindquist has positions in CrowdStrike and Fortinet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends CrowdStrike and Fortinet. The Motley Fool recommends HSBC Holdings and Palo Alto Networks. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

  •