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IBKR Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Image source: The Motley Fool.

DATE

Thursday, July 17, 2025 at 4:30 p.m. ET

CALL PARTICIPANTS

Chairman β€” Thomas Peterffy

Chief Executive Officer β€” Milan Galik

Chief Financial Officer β€” Paul Brody

Director of Investor Relations β€” Nancy Stuebe

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TAKEAWAYS

Commission Revenue: $516 million for the second quarter, up 27% year-over-year; would have been $15 million higher absent the SEC fee cut, representing an additional 3% increase for the quarter.

Overnight Trading Volumes: Grew over 170% compared to the second quarter of 2024, reflecting continued global demand for after-hours trading.

Net New Accounts: Added 250,000 net new accounts in Q2 2025, pushing year-to-date additions to over 528,000 as of Q2 2025, more than were added in all of 2023.

Client Credit Balances: Rose 34% year-over-year to $144 billion, despite higher client trading activity.

Client Equity: Increased 34% year-over-year to $604 billion; up 16% for the quarter, compared to an 11% rise in the S&P 500.

Pretax Income: Pretax income surpassed $1 billion for the third consecutive quarter, driven by record commissions, net interest, and total net revenue.

Pretax Profit Margin: Reached a record 75% pretax profit margin, with well-controlled expenses.

Net Interest Income: Reported at $860 million, a quarterly record and 9% higher year-over-year (GAAP); excluding a one-time $26 million tax recovery, $834 million.

Total Customer DARTs (Daily Average Revenue Trades): Increased 49% year-over-year to 3.6 million trades per day.

Headcount: Reached 3,087 as of June 30, 2025, up 5% over the prior year.

Stock Split and Dividend: Completed a four-for-one stock split on June 17 and raised the annual dividend from $1.00 to $1.28 per share (32Β’ on a split-adjusted basis).

Interest Rate Sensitivity: A 25 basis point reduction in the benchmark Fed funds rate is estimated to reduce annual net interest income by $73 million, based on balances as of June 30, 2025; a 1% drop across all benchmarks would reduce it by $335 million.

Product and Platform Enhancements: Launched "Forecast X" for retail clients in Europe, US, Canada, and Hong Kong; added investment themes to facilitate idea generation; rolled out thousands of global software releases and product changes in the quarter.

Cryptocurrency Initiatives: Progressed new partnerships and added cryptocurrencies, stablecoin funding, asset transfer capability, and plans for staking and expanded European crypto access.

Introducing Broker Pipeline: Integrations and pipeline activity increased over the prior quarter, bolstered by returning competitor clients and product expansion.

SUMMARY

Interactive Brokers Group, Inc.(NASDAQ:IBKR) management emphasized rapid global customer expansion and a record pace of core financial metrics during a quarter marked by turbulent markets and strong investor engagement. The completion of a stock split and dividend increase signals capital return priorities, while enhancements to overnight trading, product offerings, and crypto functionality were positioned as key to driving future growth.

Paul Brody stated, "Net interest income also received a benefit from lower interest expense on customer cash balances, as rates have declined worldwide over the past year."

Milan Galik explained, "The pipeline remains very strong." referencing new and returning introducing broker relationships, with conversions rising sequentially.

Chairman Peterffy said, "I expect this environment to be very, very favorable to brokerage firms in general. And investment banks in general and specifically for Interactive Brokers."

During Q&A, it was noted that zero DTE options activity stayed steady versus the previous quarter, with particular strength in S&P 500 contracts and new engagement in "Forecast X" index products.

The company disclosed continued disappointment with the pace of crypto market share gains despite low costs, but outlined forthcoming features to potentially address barriers to asset transfers.

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

DARTs (Daily Average Revenue Trades): A standard industry measure indicating the average number of revenue-generating trades per day executed for customers.

Zero DTE Options: Options contracts that expire on the same day they are traded, popular for intraday index and, potentially, single stock strategies.

ATS (Alternative Trading System): Electronic trading venues outside traditional exchanges, facilitating alternative execution and liquidity, especially in overnight trading.

Full Conference Call Transcript

What we experienced in the second quarter felt like a roller coaster in reverse. Instead of the market moving upward, getting to a high level, then dropping precipitously to a series of volatile ups and downs, we got the precipitous drop first, with the S&P reaching a low on April 8, then a spike of volatility followed by the market grinding upwards towards quarter end. The uncertainty and volatility during the quarter led to an accompanying spike in trade volumes. Also over the quarter, we saw the shrinking life of market dips. Investors, whether looking for securities with momentum behind them, or simply worried about missing out on a rally, bought the dip.

In equities, we saw customers actively using our platform tools to find companies to invest in that met their particular parameters. This included an expansion of the magnificent seven to include companies that may be beneficiaries of the world embrace of artificial intelligence. As AI is incorporated into more environments, by quarter end, the market had recovered to surpass its February peak, closing up over 10%. And since quarter end, it has continued upwards from there. Volatility and uncertainty often spark increased market activity. Combined with our strong net new account growth, this led to our client trading volumes expanding for stocks, options, and futures. Our commission revenue increased by 27% compared to last year.

Though this figure may slightly understate the actual growth. The SEC fee rate, which is included within our commission revenue, was reduced to zero halfway through the quarter. Without this fee, we would have generated an additional $15 million in commission revenue, which would have represented a 3% increase on our total of $516 million. We continue to see increasing activity in our overnight trading hours. We offer the most comprehensive overnight product set, with over 10,000 US stocks and ETFs, plus US equity index futures and options, and on the fixed income side, global corporate bonds, US treasuries, and European and UK government bonds.

Given our global client base, for some customers, overnight hours here are their daytime trading hours that they want to operate in, and, therefore, are particularly sought after.

Operator: Our overnight volumes grew over 170% from second quarter 2024 to second quarter 2025.

Nancy Stuebe: Given our rapid growth, continuous additions and enhancements to our platforms, and periodic volume surges, having a platform that is scalable is critical. We enhanced our ATS this quarter by improving its performance and ability to handle large spikes in volume by up to 20x on high volume days, ensuring we are better equipped for market surges and capable of delivering top-tier execution for our clients. We also made enhancements to our smart order router, which is designed to provide best execution, which includes price improvement and the possibility of receiving rebates. It is this price execution advantage we offer that keeps our sophisticated customer base engaged on our platform.

Operator: And that encourages new clients.

Nancy Stuebe: We saw strong account growth as we added more investors to our platform. This quarter, we added 250,000 net new accounts, bringing our year-to-date total to over 528,000, more than we added in all of 2023. Our application processing is highly automated and continually becoming even more so, allowing us to handle surges in new accounts efficiently without adding significantly to our headcount or cost base. New accounts meant more cash in those accounts, raising our client credit balances 34% to a record $144 billion, despite strength in trading volumes indicating our customers are using the cash they deposit to participate in the markets.

Our client equity rose 34% to $604 billion, up 16% for the quarter versus 11% for the S&P. More accounts and higher volumes translated into strong financial results. Quarterly commissions, net interest, total net revenue, and pretax income were all records, with our pretax income reaching over a billion dollars for the third consecutive quarter. Our expenses remained well controlled, and our pretax profit margin was an industry-leading 75%, a record for us. Finally, on the platform side, automating substantial parts of the brokerage business and using all tools and the judicious inclusion of artificial intelligence is the heart of what we do.

In the second quarter alone, we rolled out thousands of software releases and product configuration changes around the globe. This is a scale of automation and effort that we handle routinely, within highly regulated environments around the globe, to give our clients the global access and edge they demand. In terms of how the business looked on the client front, we continue to see growing numbers of investors worldwide wanting access to international, and particularly US markets. Regarding introducing brokers, our pipeline of potential continues to onboard iBrokers to the platform and add prospective ones to it at a steady pace with steady demand around the world. In terms of new efforts and product introductions, we had a busy quarter.

Forecast X is now live for retail clients across most of Europe, as it is for the US, Canada, and Hong Kong. We also expanded into forecast contracts on financial markets, including indices like the 500, as well as Forex and crypto. These have seen strong interest. Yesterday, we introduced investment themes, a powerful new discovery tool designed to help investors quickly turn market trends into actionable trading ideas. With investment themes, clients can begin with broad topics like generative AI or nuclear energy and instantly uncover companies tied to those themes. No ticker symbols or prior research needed.

Alternatively, they can start with the ticker symbol and view detailed company profiles, including insights into competitors, related industries, and global revenue sources, helping them assess regional risks and growth opportunities. We believe investment themes will streamline our clients' investment process, helping them uncover opportunities and make informed decisions faster than ever before. With respect to our stock, we completed our four-for-one stock split on June 17 and increased the dividend as announced in the previous quarter. As for capital allocation, while we have not stopped looking at potential acquisitions, we realize there are few opportunities at a price that makes sense for us.

We will keep looking, but as we have been noting, returning capital to shareholders via increases in the dividend makes sense for now.

Paul Brody: We will be adding our four millionth customer in the third quarter, just one year after adding our three millionth. While the market may move in any direction in the short run, we are looking to capture the long-term trend towards more global investing across multiple customer types and jurisdictions, giving investors the ability to invest in the companies they like, paying in the currencies they have, around the clock.

Nancy Stuebe: This trend and our ability to serve it with a much lower cost structure and a much broader product and tool set is what sets us apart and will continue to do so in the years ahead. With that, I will turn the call over to Paul Brody. Paul?

Paul Brody: Thank you, Nancy. Thanks, everyone, for joining the call. We'll review the second quarter results, and then, of course, we'll open it up for questions. Starting with our revenue items on Page three of the release, we are again pleased with our financial results this quarter as we again produced record net revenues and pretax income. Commissions rose to a record $516 million, 27% above last year's second quarter. We continue to see higher trading volumes from our growing base of active customers, with options and futures both setting new quarterly volume records.

Net interest income also reached a quarterly record of $860 million, despite lower benchmark rates in some of the major currencies and a risk-off posture adopted by investors responding to tariff-driven market uncertainty at the beginning of the quarter. We recognized a one-time credit of $26 million related to recovery of taxes withheld at source, which is reflected in segregated cash interest. Without this, our net interest income still reached a record $834 million. Higher segregated cash balances and strong securities lending contributed to these results. Net interest income also received a benefit from lower interest expense on customer cash balances, as rates have declined worldwide over the past year.

Other fees and services generated $62 million, down 9% from the prior year, driven by more cautious risk-taking by clients, leading to lower risk exposure fees, partially offset by positive contributions from higher market data and FDIC sweep fees. Other income includes gains and losses on our investments, our currency diversification strategy, and principal transactions. Note that many of these non-core items are excluded in our adjusted earnings. Our other income was a $42 million gain, both as and as adjusted. Turning to expenses, execution, clearing, and distribution costs were $116 million in the quarter, up just 1% over the year-ago quarter despite significantly higher volumes in options and futures, which carry higher fees.

Midway through the quarter, the SEC fee rate was cut from $27.80 per million to zero. Had it been in effect the entire quarter, commission revenue and execution and clearing expense would both have been an estimated $15 million higher. The SEC fee is a pass-through to customers, so it does not impact our profitability. As a percent of commission revenues, execution and clearing costs were 18% in the second quarter, for a gross transactional profit margin of 82%. We calculate this by excluding from execution, clearing, and distribution $22 million of non-transaction-based costs, predominantly market data fees, which do not have a direct commission revenue component.

Compensation and benefits expense was $163 million for the quarter, for a ratio of compensation expense to adjusted net revenues of 11%, unchanged from last year's quarter. IBKR stock incentive plan bonuses vest in the second quarter, which leads to higher taxes paid for FICA and other social insurance than in other quarters. The total of these extra taxes was $5 million over the year-ago quarter. As always, we remain focused on expense discipline, as reflected in our moderate staff increase of 5% over the prior year. Our headcount at June 30 was 3,087. G&A expenses were $61 million, up from the year-ago quarter, mainly on higher advertising expenses.

Our pretax margin was 75% for the quarter, both as reported and as adjusted. Income taxes of $98 million reflect the sum of the public company's $50 million and the operating companies' $48 million. The public company's effective tax rate was 18.1%, within its usual range. Moving to our balance sheet on page five of the release, our total assets ended the quarter 33% higher than in the prior year quarter-end, at $181 billion, with growth driven by higher segregated cash balances and higher margin lending. New account growth helped drive our record customer credit balances. We continue to believe that our strong financial standing and competitive interest rates provide customers with an attractive place to hold their idle cash.

We have no long-term debt. Profit growth drove our firm equity up 22% to $18.5 billion. We maintain a balance sheet geared towards supporting growth in our existing businesses and helping us win new business by demonstrating our strength to prospective clients and partners, also considering overall capital allocation. The consistent strength of our business and our healthy balance sheet supported our raising the dividend in the second quarter from $1 per year to $1.28, or 32Β’ on a split-adjusted basis. In our operating data on pages six and seven, our customer trading volumes tracked industry growth over the prior year quarter in our three major product classes.

Options and futures contract volumes rose 24% and 18%, respectively, and stock share volumes rose 31%. On page seven, you can see that total customer DARTs were 3.6 million trades per day, up 49% from the prior year and strong in all product classes. Commission per cleared commissionable order of $2.05 was down from last year, primarily due to the elimination of the SEC fee mid-quarter and the performance of our smart order router leading to the capture of higher exchange rebates, which as pass-throughs, serve to lower both our commission revenues and our execution and clearing costs.

Paul Brody: Page eight shows our net interest margin or NIM numbers. Total GAAP net interest income was $860 million for the quarter, up 9% on the year-ago quarter. And excluding the $26 million recovery of taxes withheld at source, it was $834 million. This quarter's NIM is also adjusted by removing this one-time credit of $26 million from segregated cash interest. The adjusted NIM net interest income was $861 million. We also include, for NIM purposes, certain income that is more appropriately considered interest, but that for GAAP purposes is classified as other fees and services, or as other income.

Net interest income reflects strength in segregated cash interest and securities lending, as well as a decrease in interest expense driven by lower benchmark interest rates on customer cash balances. A few central banks, the UK, Australia, and Europe, reduced rates again this quarter, while others, including the US, Canada, Hong Kong, and Switzerland, held steady. Year on year, the average US Fed funds rate fell 100 basis points or 19%. Despite this decline, our segregated cash interest income was up 2% on higher balances, while margin loan interest decreased 6% on lower rates, but was bolstered by higher lending balances. The average duration of our investment portfolio remained at less than thirty days.

The US dollar yield curve remains inverted from the short to medium term, we continue to maximize what we earn by focusing on short-term yields, rather than accept the lower yields and higher duration risk of longer maturities, particularly in an unpredictable economic environment. The strategy also allows us to maintain a relatively tight maturity match between our assets and liabilities. Securities lending net interest was stronger this quarter, after a long period in the industry with few of the hard-to-borrow names that drive revenue, there was an uptick in hard-to-borrows that we were able to capitalize on. What we have mentioned in the past still holds true.

Some of the typical drivers of securities lending, including IPOs and merger and acquisition activity, are somewhat more active than in 2024 but without a substantial impact on the securities lending market. Nevertheless, we have been consistently raising the total notional dollar value of securities we lend. As benchmark interest rates rose from near zero in 2022, more of what we earned from securities lending became classified as interest on segregated cash. We estimate that if the additional interest earned and paid on cash collateral were included under securities borrowed and loaned, then securities lending net revenue would have been $251 million for the quarter, versus $194 million in the prior year quarter, a 29% increase.

Interest on customer credit balances, the interest we pay to our customers on the cash in their accounts, declined on lower benchmark rates, even though we built up higher client cash balances from new account growth and from risk-reducing sales resulting in cash balances. As we have noted in the past, the high interest rates we pay on customer cash, currently 3.83% on qualified US dollar balances, is a significant attraction to new customers. Fully rate-sensitive customer balances ended the current quarter at $22.8 billion versus $18.6 billion in the year-ago quarter.

Now for our estimates of the impact of changes in rates, given market expectations of rate cuts sometime in 2025, we estimate the effect of a 25 basis point decrease in the benchmark Fed funds rate to be a $73 million reduction in annual net interest income. Note that our starting point for this estimate is June 30 with the Fed funds effective rate at 4.33%, and balances as of that date. Any growth in our balance sheet and interest-earning assets would reduce this impact. About 27% of our customer cash balances is not in US dollars, so estimates of the US rate change exclude those currencies.

We estimate the effect of decreases in all the relevant non-US benchmark rates would reduce annual net interest income by $8 million for a 25 basis point decrease in those benchmarks. At a high level, a full 1% decrease in all benchmark rates would decrease our annual net interest income by $335 million. This takes into account rate-sensitive customer balances and firm equity. In the second quarter of 2024, we estimated that a 1% decrease in all benchmark rates would decrease our annual net interest income by $307 million. In the past year, the US Fed funds benchmark did in fact fall 1%, and other countries' rates for the most part fell about the same.

However, this quarter's net interest income represented an annualized increase of $225 million driven by higher balances. In conclusion, we posted another financially strong quarter in net revenues and pretax margin, reflecting our continued ability to grow our customer base and deliver on our core value proposition to customers while scaling the business. Our business strategy continues to be effective, automating as much of the brokerage business as possible, continuously improving and expanding what we offer, while minimizing what we charge.

Paul Brody: With that, we will now open up the line for your questions.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press 11 on your telephone. You will then hear an automated message advising your hand is raised. We also ask that you please wait for your name and company to be announced before proceeding with your question. One moment while we compile the Q&A roster. And our first question today will be coming from the line of Craig Siegenthaler of Bank of America. Your line is open.

Craig Siegenthaler: Hey. Good evening, everyone. Hope you are all doing well. So, I wanted to follow up with a comment that Thomas made at a conference in May. I actually, I think it was Thomas. The commentary was regarding decelerating account growth. However, account growth in the quarter was still really strong, 32% clip, in line with last quarter. So I was just hoping you could help clarify those comments you made. And should we expect somewhat slower growth in the summer months into 4Q as we have seen in previous years?

Thomas Peterffy: So I would like I always like to overdeliver. That is why I projected lower account growth than I really believed would take place, and I continue to do that for the future.

Craig Siegenthaler: Great. Well, Thomas, we like it when you overdeliver too. Just for my follow-up, the Genius app, I think, just passed in the house several minutes ago, so that is pretty much done. The Clarity Act is making its way through Congress of two digital asset initiatives. Thomas, I am wondering, will broader demand for digital assets could this cause you to rethink your current digital asset model, which relies on a Paxos partnership? But also does not allow your clients to use nonfacility wallets with their IBKR accounts. I know I think you have felt pretty strong in the past about holding crypto on the balance sheet, which is one issue. So I will take this one.

This is Milan. Thanks for the question. You might have seen in the news that Interactive Brokers has an investment in a cryptocurrency exchange called Zero Hash.

Milan Galik: The news was published this week or a week ago, that there is a continued capital raise down by Zero. Actually, we obviously we participated in it in order to keep our percentage ownership steady. We have a good partnership with Zero Hash. We work together on a number of items that we are going to be delivering in the next quarters. We have already added several cryptocurrencies in the past quarter, and there are numerous initiatives that we are working on. We are going to be making it possible for the clients to fund their accounts with stablecoins.

We are working on the asset transfer capability in the crypto space, so we will be able to take in crypto asset transfers. And then later during the year, we will be adding staking. Obviously, at the same time, we are working on expanding our ability to offer cryptocurrency trading geographically. At the moment, we are focusing on Europe, and we are hopeful that we will be able to add the capability to our European customers in the coming quarters.

Craig Siegenthaler: Great, Ed. Sounds exciting. Good to hear, Milan. And, guys, thanks for taking my questions.

Paul Brody: Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question will be coming from the line of James Yaro of Goldman Sachs. Your line is open.

James Yaro: Thanks a lot for taking the questions. I just wanted to start with any perspectives that you might have on the tokenized equity products that we are seeing across a variety of brokerages and crypto firms for European customers on US stocks. Maybe you could just talk about the advantages and disadvantages of this product in your view. Guess, you know, is it something that you would consider offering? I am not sure exactly why, but if so, that would be helpful. And then, I guess, your perspective on whether this product represents any sort of additional competition in Europe relative to your business.

Milan Galik: So I will focus on two different stock tokens that are currently available. One was made available to the European clients of Robinhood. I think they made it available in July. And I think it probably best if I contrast our offering to the offering that they just launched. So what they put online in the form of tokens on US stocks is a fundamentally worse product than what our European clients had access to for years. Our clients have access to more than 10,000 real US shares and ETFs, twenty-four hours a day, five days a week.

In contrast, the stock tokens that Robinhood made available to the European clients are a derivative on 200 or so symbols, which means that the client does not have ownership interest in the stock. Instead, he or she has an OTC contract against Robinhood. The customer cannot transfer the position to another broker if he wanted to. He would have to sell the position and transfer the cash.

As to the cost, if you look at Robinhood's own key investor information document, which is a document every broker has to offer to their clients about every financial instrument they make available for trading, a hypothetical $10,000 investment cost declined $10 while our client pays a fraction of that, a dollar or so. So that is the Robinhood offering. There is also Kraken XShares that are available. Kraken, as you know, is a significant cryptocurrency exchange. They made 60 or so tokens available, which are similarly secured notes backed by the underlying in a Jersey entity that they have.

The creation and redemption keys for these XShares are half a percent each, and there is a management fee of a quarter of a percent per year. Now, unlike in the case of Robinhood, Kraken lets you withdraw the tokens to your own self-custody wallets and then trade the token on the DeFi network. But that obviously leads to some problems. There was an article a couple of days ago in the Wall Street Journal which talked about the very significant price differences between the tokens and the underlying shares.

And on Sundays, I think specifically on July 5, Amazon was reported to show the price that was four times as large as the stock price from the previous closing price. And the same similarly, an Amazon X, which is the token issued by Kraken, suffered even while the dislocation on Jupiter. There was a lack of liquidity available for the client who submitted an order for $500. And, briefly, the Amazon's token was trading at the price a 100 times larger than the closing price on the previous day. So all in all, stock tokens at this time seem like a great opportunity to do much worse than buying an ordinary share.

James Yaro: Okay. Thank you, Milan. That is really helpful color. Could you just talk a little bit about the execution cost differences that you are seeing on your platform in overnight versus during market hours? I know that is a tough one because you know, I am generalizing across a variety of stocks today. And then maybe you could just talk about your expectations for how execution costs, you know, outside of market hours could evolve over time.

Milan Galik: There is obviously a difference between the stocks and options and futures on the other hand, between the overnight hours and the regular trading hours. So if you look at the exchange-traded products like options and futures, the execution costs are the same whether you trade them overnight or during the day. The execution cost for stocks is very different because the stocks are currently not offered outside of extended trading hours. So every platform that offers them, and Interactive Brokers has a substantial offering in this space, has a different price than what one would pay to an exchange. Interactive Brokers has its own ATS, EOS ATS, where overnight stocks are trading.

And it is also connected to a blue ocean that is another significant ATS in the space. So the combination with these two venues allows us to offer thousands and thousands of stocks and ETFs during the overnight trading with a lot of liquidity at very low cost.

James Yaro: Okay. Thanks a lot.

Milan Galik: Thank you. One moment. Our next question will be coming from the line of Benjamin Budish of Barclays. Your line is open.

Benjamin Budish: Hi. Good evening, and thanks for taking the question. Maybe first, just a high-level question. You have talked a lot about the pickup in international growth quite a bit over the last many years. I am just curious in terms of overnight trading specifically, it sounds like that is growing much faster than international growth more broadly. Curious, is that sort of a behavior change? Is that sort of more stocks and options being made available? It sounds like your offering has been consistent for some time. But just curious if you could unpack what you are seeing there.

I know I think Thomas mentioned also at a conference earlier that you have an expectation that is going to be quite meaningful as a percentage of total volumes over the next ten to twenty years. So curious for your commentary on sort of the recent drivers of that outsized growth.

Milan Galik: Well, for us, especially the overnight US stock offering is important because we have significant clientele in Europe and Asia, and our overnight hours correspond to their day during the day hours. So by us offering the US stock trading overnight, we are satisfying the appetite of the overseas clients in these geographies so that they can trade and access US markets during the day. Given that we have significant clientele overseas, that part of an offering for us is very important. And more and more of our introducing brokers are realizing that and are turning on this offering for their clients.

As far as the importance of the overnight trading in the long general, I think we will see the same progression as we have seen over the past decade or so. You I am sure you remember that the regular trading hours for NYSE stocks or even Nasdaq stocks, those markets open at 09:30 and close at 4 PM. And then the so-called extended hours have been added. Those markets now open at 4 AM and close at 8 PM. And the amount of volume we see during those trading sessions is growing, as well as the volume we show in the overnight session.

So over time, the differences between the trading hours will not disappear, but will diminish for sure. There will still be some special time periods like on open trading, at 09:30 and on closed trading at 4 PM, because a lot of ETFs and mutual funds mark their NAV using those prices. But we will see more and more overnight trading in the future.

Benjamin Budish: Very helpful. Maybe one more sort of in the weeds question perhaps for Paul. Just in terms of your interest rate sensitivity, it looks like this quarter versus last quarter, maybe a slightly higher percentage of cash is not in US dollars, but the sensitivity to a 25 basis point change in rate seems like it is a much lower dollar number. Just curious, is it like a lower absolute starting level of rates? Or the driver of that sort of lower sensitivity?

Paul Brody: Right. That is a good question, Ben. So, primarily, there are some once again, low rate low interest rate currencies. There are several of them out there that are either nearing or just breached the zero line back into negative territory. So that leads to nonlinearity of the up and down scenarios. Because when you cross over the zero point, you know, we are either passing through or we are not passing through the full spread gets compressed, and then it returns. So, yes, that overall number was somewhat lower than in the past because those two rates are coming down.

Benjamin Budish: Okay. Very helpful. Thank you so much.

Operator: Thank you. And the next question will be coming from the line of Dan Fannon of Jefferies. Your line is open.

Dan Fannon: Great. Thank you. I was hoping to expand upon your comments around sec lending clearly improved this quarter. You talked about an increase in some hard-to-borrow securities. Curious about how diverse that was. And as we think about an environment where IPOs are picking up, is it reasonable to assume that should be on an upward trajectory given the kind of current trends?

Paul Brody: Well, if, so in terms of how diverse it was, not especially. There are some several high flyers in there. But so our results are coming from two places. Right? We generally, with more accounts than more equity and more participation, we see a rise in our general level of both customers who are shorting stocks and they are recovering. Or customers with margin stocks that we are able to lend out or fully paid stocks in our fully paid program to lend out and share the benefits with the customer. And then, of course, the specials come in on top of that.

And as I said, you know, a few high flyers can you know, make a substantial difference in the overall p and l. As to what is going to happen in the future, you tell me. It is a general you know, markets for IPOs and m and a activity and so forth leads to you know, more of this the and, you know, and these hot stocks from an interest from a stock loan rate standpoint come from a greater proportion of shorts to available stock to cover those shorts. So the you know, corporate deals and so forth tend to lead to those kind of conditions.

If those pick up, you know, then the likelihood is so will some of the hard-to-borrow stocks.

Dan Fannon: Great. That is helpful. And then I was hoping you could expand upon the introducing broker comments you know, thinking about the size of the partners that are coming on and also the backlog you mentioned also I think was reasonably good. Just curious how you would characterize that versus say maybe a year ago and how those conversations have progressed.

Milan Galik: If we look at the number of integrations that we heard in the second quarter, they increased compared to the Q1 of this year. The pipeline remains very strong. The pipeline includes new entrants to the market, existing firms that broaden their offering in terms of even products or countries or asset classes. One interesting note I would make is that some firms that we spoke to in the past who at the time decided not to go with Interactive Brokers, but chose a competitor or chose to do an in-house build, are coming back around to us and reengaging. They do realize that our offering is superior. Our cost is superior as well, so they come to us.

So I am very happy with what I see in the pipeline both in terms of conversion as well as what is in the backlog.

Dan Fannon: Great. Thank you.

Operator: Thank you. As a reminder, if you would like to ask a question, please press 11 on your telephone. Our next question will be coming from the line of Kyle Voigt of KKBW. Your line is open.

Kyle Voigt: Maybe just a question on client credit balances, which grew, I think, over 6% in the month of June, which is the highest since March. You just speak about the main drivers of what you saw in June specifically? Was it more new cash being deposited into accounts? Was it rebalancing from existing clients? Is there something else driving that significant cash increase that we saw in June?

Paul Brody: I think it was a combination of those things. You know, new cash coming in was as strong as it has been in the last several months. It does have its ups and downs. April was particularly strong, both in taking in new cash and in that risk-off environment of April when a lot of stocks were being sold. That generates cash balances. And, you know, because clients feel comfortable leaving those cash balances with us, they simply go up and reinvest them. I do not think there was anything else specific to June that was notable.

Kyle Voigt: Okay. Just for a follow-up, we have seen a recent reacceleration in zero DTE trading percentages in the broader options market. Was curious to hear about whether you have been seeing that in your own customer base in recent months? And then also curious to hear about your view of rolling out zero DTE on single stocks. What else needs to be done from the brokerage industry standpoint? In terms of functionality to be able to offer this? And how close are we, in terms of being able to see that product hit the market, do you think?

Milan Galik: I did not pay a lot of attention to how the zero DTE percentages are changing. They are roughly the same as they were in the previous quarter. I would point out one interesting thing, and that is the zero DTE options trading is doing very well, and those options are very busy, especially the ones on the S&P 500 index. If you look at the forecast x forecast x just listed a few weeks ago, contracts, yes and no contracts, that are in some sense similar to the zero DTE options. And we listed those on a number of different indexes. And we see significant engagement from our clients. Happy with that.

As far as the stocks are concerned, that is a little bit more complicated issue. As I mentioned, the popular zero DTE options are the index options. They settle in cash. The stock options they settle into physical. So you get a stock delivered if you exercise your long call. Now you can submit your exercise request after the stock market is closed, after the main session closes at 04:00. You have, I think, half an hour or sixty minutes to submit your exercise instructions. So there will be some amount of extra volatility in the stock on the days when they publish their earnings or when there is a significant news issue.

So you may see some unexpected exercise and assignment activity on those days. And that is an issue that the industry recognizes. We ourselves wrote a comment letter about that. So one way to solve that would be to list zero DTE stock options that settle in cash, but that would come with its own set of problems. So we will see what the ultimate decision is going to be, but there are some issues that the cash-settled index options did not have.

Kyle Voigt: Great. Thank you.

Milan Galik: Thank you.

Operator: And our next question will be coming from the line of Patrick Moley of Piper Sandler. Your line is open.

Patrick Moley: Yeah. Good evening. Thanks for taking the question. Thomas, I had one for you. I caught your interview on CNBC before the call here. You sounded very bullish. I think you said that you know, you do not really see much that could derail this rally here. And that you could see, you know, this rally continue for the next two or three years. So with that in mind, I am just hoping you could elaborate on, you know, what that could mean for overall retail trading activity if we do see markets continue to grind higher?

And then in terms of IBKR's platform specifically, what are some of the read-throughs there if that is the environment that we are entering into? Thanks.

Thomas Peterffy: Well, as I have said, I expect this environment to be very, very favorable to brokerage firms in general. And investment banks in general and specifically for Interactive Brokers. This is a great time for us. And it is a great time for your firm too. All of your firms. And maybe just a follow-up on crypto. Milan, I think last quarter, said that you were somewhat surprised at just how much how little market share you had taken since beefing out the crypto offering. Just given how much lower cost the offering was. So just curious if that is still what you have seen. Have you seen any market share gains there?

And then this push to kind of build out the offering even more is that a factor of you just recognizing that you think you need to have a more robust offering in order to attract more retail customers to the platform. Any color there on that strategy? Would be great. Thanks.

Milan Galik: So my disappointment in terms of how much market share we are getting in the crypto space remains. I am still disappointed given how much less expensive we make it for our clients to buy crypto. But I do expect, and I do hope for some asset transfers coming our way, which right now, it is impossible if you already have holdings in cryptocurrencies and you want to switch brokers, you would have to sell those currencies, turn them into cash, and that is what you would have to deposit with us. So supporting asset transfers should open the doors to some new clients to recognize that our prices are lower, they should bring our assets to our platform.

That is my hope. As to why is it that we are paying attention to crypto, we have been paying attention to it for a while. But the environment has changed with the new administration, which is significantly friendlier to the crypto space than the previous one, we obviously have to react to that. Our investors as well as clients, financial advisers, individual clients do expect to have means to enter the space through us. So we need to do we need to add it to our offering.

Patrick Moley: Okay. Great. That is it for me.

Paul Brody: Thank you.

Operator: This does conclude today's Q&A session. I would like to turn the call back over to Nancy for closing remarks. Please go ahead.

Nancy Stuebe: Thank you, everyone, for participating today. As a reminder, this call will be available for replay on our website, and we will also be posting a clean version of our transcript on the site tomorrow. Thank you again, and we will talk to you next quarter end.

Operator: This concludes today's program. Thank you all for joining. You may now disconnect.

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Why Shares of Kroger Are Surging Today

Shares of the large grocer and retail department chain Kroger (NYSE: KR) had surged by roughly 10%, as of 12:38 p.m. ET today, after the company reported earnings for the first quarter of 2025.

Reaffirming guidance

Kroger reported adjusted earnings per share of $1.49 for the three months ending May 24 on total revenue of $45.1 billion. Adjusted EPS beat Wall Street estimates, while revenue came in just shy of them. Perhaps more importantly, management maintained its full-year earnings outlook and raised its full-year revenue outlook.

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Kroger's CFO David Kennerley said in an earnings statement:

Our strong sales results and positive momentum give us confidence to raise our identical sales without fuel guidance, to a new range of 2.25% to 3.25%. While first-quarter sales and profitability exceeded our expectations, the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, and as a result, other elements of our guidance remain unchanged.

Is the stock a buy after a good quarter?

Kroger certainly surprised investors and is being rewarded right now. The positive news also comes as the company is continuing its search for a new CEO after former CEO Rodney McMullen resigned from his post in March. The company's board of directors earlier this year conducted an investigation into McMullen that concluded "his personal conduct that, while unrelated to the business, was inconsistent with Kroger's Policy on Business Ethics."

Kroger's forward price-to-earnings multiple of 15 is toward the bottom of its peer group, and it is a consumer staples stock, making it a good defensive pick for any kind of looming recession. Therefore, I think investors can definitely allocate at least some capital to the name.

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Kroger Lifts Outlook as Sales Rise

Kroger (NYSE:KR) reported results for the first quarter of fiscal 2025 on June 19, 2025, delivering identical sales growth excluding fuel of 3.2% and adjusted EPS of $1.49, up 4%. Management announced accelerated store network optimization, a heightened focus on core operations, and raised fiscal 2025 guidance for identical sales excluding fuel to 2.25%-3.25%.

Decisive Store Network Optimization Aligned with Core Focus

Planned closures of approximately 60 underperforming stores over the next 18 months follow a pause on annual real estate reviews that occurred during the failed merger process with Albertsons Companies. These closures coincide with the completion of 30 major store projects this fiscal year and an anticipated acceleration in new store openings beginning in fiscal 2026, targeting high-growth geographies and increasing total square footage.

"To position our company for future success, this morning, we announced plans to close approximately 60 stores over the next eighteen months. We don't take these decisions lightly, but this will make the company more efficient, and Kroger will offer roles in other stores to all associates currently employed at affected stores."
β€” Ron Sargent, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

This proactive footprint rationalization and simultaneous reinvestment strategy should structurally boost average store productivity metrics. The company is also reallocating capital toward markets and formats with superior long-term return on investment (ROI) potential.

E-Commerce Acceleration with Profitability Is Still Elusive

First-quarter e-commerce sales advanced 15% year over year, supported by unified leadership under Chief Digital Officer Yael Cosset and operational improvements such as reduced pickup wait times. However, management confirmed the e-commerce segment remains unprofitable, despite this being the "best profit improvement yet" on a sequential basis.

"We are seeing improvements in profitability at an increasing rate. But to be clear on the profitability, we're not profitable at this point. And we must become profitable in our e-commerce business, and we've got a lot of work to do."
β€” Ron Sargent, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

Robust digital revenue growth drove market share gains and increased household engagement. However, the persistent lack of profitability in e-commerce remains a key execution risk that may require further optimization or strategic partnerships to unlock sustainable returns.

Gross Margin Expansion Amid Price Investments and Mix Shifts

FIFO gross margin rate, excluding fuel and adjustment items, climbed by 79 basis points, or 33 basis points adjusting for the divestiture of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, helped by lower shrink and supply chain costs, but partially offset by mix headwinds from lower-margin pharmacy sales. In Q1, management implemented price reductions on more than 2,000 additional items and increased the Our Brands mix, while promoting margin neutrality.

"I think the positive news is that these pricing investments resulted in better sales, better gross margin, and happier customers. So I think it would be probably a good example of us continuing to invest in pricing while expanding our gross margin rate."
β€” Ron Sargent, Chairman and Chief Executive Officer

This ability to deliver tangible margin expansion -- despite substantial price investments -- highlights operational leverage through product mix, sourcing efficiencies, and private label leadership. These actions occurred in a highly promotional grocery environment.

Looking Ahead

Management raised full-year guidance for identical sales excluding fuel to 2.25%-3.25% for FY2025, with the second quarter expected to land at the midpoint of this range. Fiscal 2025 guidance for net operating profit and adjusted EPS remains unchanged, reflecting ongoing caution regarding macroeconomic uncertainty and continued fuel headwinds. Completion of the $5 billion accelerated share repurchase (ASR) program is targeted for the third quarter of fiscal 2025, with resumption of open market buybacks under the remaining $2.5 billion authorization planned through the end of the fiscal year.

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Kroger: A Solid First Quarter

Here's our initial take on Kroger's (NYSE: KR) fiscal 2025 first-quarter financial report.

Key Metrics

Metric Q1 2024 Q1 2025 Change vs. Expectations
Revenue $45.27 billion $45.12 billion 0% Missed
Earnings per share (adjusted) $1.43 $1.49 4.2% Beat
Gross margin 22% 23% 100 bps n/a
Debt-to-Adj. EBITDA ratio 1.25 1.69 35% n/a

Strong Earnings, but Uncertainty Remains

In the first quarter, Kroger reported solid earnings, although revenue fell short of expectations. The grocery giant reported $1.49 in earnings per share, three cents ahead of analysts' consensus, but sales came in just modestly short of estimates (although same-store sales excluding fuel purchases grew by 3.2% year over year).

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E-commerce sales were a particularly bright spot, up 15% year over year and becoming more of a part of the company's business. It will be very interesting to keep an eye on this metric going forward.

Speaking of going forward, Kroger reaffirmed most of its guidance, including its expectation for full-year EPS in the range of $4.60 to $4.80. Analysts expected to see $4.76, so at the midpoint, management's guidance range is a little weak, especially considering that Kroger beat earnings estimates in the first quarter. On the other hand, Kroger raised its same-store sales guidance (which it refers to as "identical sales without fuel"), so it's fair to say that guidance is a mixed bag.

Management also provided some key updates on Kroger's capital allocation strategy, specifically saying that it expects to not only maintain, but increase its dividend over time. The company also addressed its $5 billion accelerated share repurchase program, which started in the fourth quarter of last year, stating that it expects it to be complete "no later than" the third quarter.

Immediate Market Reaction

The initial market reaction to Kroger's earnings report was rather neutral. As of 8:15 a.m. EDT, about 15 minutes after the announcement, Kroger stock was up by less than 0.5%. This isn't too surprising, considering the mixed results with revenue, earnings, and forward-looking guidance.

However, it's worth noting that this reaction was before management's quarterly earnings call, which was scheduled for later on the same morning. Depending on the comments made, the stock could definitely react one way or another.

What to Watch

In CFO David Kennerley's comments, he specifically called out the uncertain macroeconomic environment as the reason why Kroger didn't raise its guidance for earnings, free cash flow, and other key metrics even though it beat expectations in the first quarter. Tariffs are a key factor to keep an eye on (Kroger sells a lot of products not made here), but it's generally important to realize that there's a lot that is outside of the company's control that can result in better- or worse-than-expected earnings as 2025 goes on.

Helpful Resources

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Matt Frankel has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Kroger. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Kroger KR Q1 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Image source: The Motley Fool.

DATE

Friday, June 20, 2025 at 10 a.m. ET

CALL PARTICIPANTS

Chief Executive Officer β€” Ron Sargent

Chief Financial Officer β€” David Kennerly

Need a quote from one of our analysts? Email [email protected]

RISKS

Fuel Business Performance: CFO Kennerly stated, "Fuel results were behind expectations this quarter, a headwind to our results." and indicated fuel profitability and volume are expected to remain a headwind for the remainder of the year.

Store Closures: Plans are in place to close approximately 60 underperforming stores over the next eighteen months. Management cited, "not all of our stores are delivering the sustainable results we need."

E-commerce Unprofitability: CEO Sargent said, "we're not profitable at this point. And we must become profitable in our e-commerce business, and we've got a lot of work to do."

TAKEAWAYS

Identical Sales Without Fuel: Identical sales, excluding fuel and adjustment items, increased 3.2% in Q1 FY2025, driven by strength in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh category sales.

Adjusted Earnings Per Share (EPS): Adjusted net earnings per diluted share were $1.49. This represented a 4% increase from the prior year.

E-commerce Sales: E-commerce sales grew 15%. Management reported their "best profit improvement yet on a quarter-over-quarter basis."

Our Brands (Private Label) Performance: Q1 FY2025 marked the seventh consecutive quarter of growth outpacing national brands; Simple Truth and Private Selection led this segment.

Fresh Category Performance: Fresh identical sales outperformed center store sales and continued to be a sales driver.

Store Closures: Announced plans to close approximately 60 underperforming stores over the next eighteen months, as disclosed in Q1 FY2025 with roles offered to all affected associates.

Store Investments: 30 major store projects slated for completion in 2025, with acceleration of new store openings expected in 2026 and beyond.

Gross Margin – FIFO Basis (Excluding Specified Items): Increased by 79 basis points in the first quarter of fiscal 2025 compared to the same period last year, mainly due to the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, lower shrink, and lower supply chain costs, partially offset by pharmacy mix; After adjusting for the pharmacy business sale, gross margin improved by 33 basis points.

Operating G&A Rate: Increased 63 basis points in the first quarter compared to the same period last year, excluding fuel and adjustment items. After excluding the impact of the pharmacy sale and pension contribution, the rate was relatively flat.

Adjusted FIFO Operating Profit: Adjusted FIFO operating profit was $1.5 billion.

Debt Ratio: Net total debt to adjusted EBITDA was 1.69; below target range of 2.3 to 2.5.

Capital Return: $5 billion Accelerated Share Repurchase (ASR) program expected to be completed by Q3 FY2025; Afterward, $2.5 billion remains authorized for open market share repurchases to be completed by the end of the fiscal year.

Guidance Changes: Raised guidance for identical sales without fuel to 2.25%-3.25% for FY2025; All other full-year guidance, including net operating profit and adjusted EPS, was reaffirmed for FY2025.

Associate Wage Investment: The average hourly wage now exceeds $19.50 as of Q1 FY2025; including benefits, total value climbs above $25 per hour for many employees.

Labor Relations: Ratified labor agreements covering over 23,000 associates, reached a new agreement for 16,000 in the Mid-Atlantic and Seattle, and ongoing negotiations at King Soopers locations impacted by a fourteen-day strike.

Letter of Credit Draw by Ocado: Ocado fully drew Β£152 million under contractual rights in Q1 FY2025; management described as a "contractual thing and nothing more."

Price Investments: Lowered prices on more than 2,000 additional products so far this year, coupled with simpler promotions; management expects price investments to be "margin-neutral"

SUMMARY

The Kroger Co. (NYSE:KR) delivered a 3.2% increase in identical sales excluding fuel in Q1 FY2025, supported by pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh categories, while announcing approximately 60 store closures over the next eighteen months as part of a renewed capital allocation strategy. The company reported a 15% surge in e-commerce sales in Q1 FY2025, yet remains unprofitable in the segment, and underscored plans to accelerate store investments, with 30 major projects scheduled for completion in 2025, but continues to expect fuel to be a profitability headwind through year-end. The share repurchase program is expected to return $7.5 billion to shareholders by the end of FY2025, with $5 billion through an accelerated share repurchase (ASR) program by Q3 FY2025 and the remainder via open market repurchases.

Management created a standalone e-commerce unit to improve focus and profitability, with digital initiatives including AI-enabled tools deployed in stores and fulfillment.

The company is increasing cost optimization efforts, targeting improved operational efficiency and reinvesting savings into pricing and customer experience enhancements.

Gross margin rate benefited from factors including lower shrink, improved sourcing, and the sale of the specialty pharmacy unit. Pharmacy growth created some margin mix pressure.

Market share gains reported in areas with new store openings, with no notable shifts in higher-income customer behavior or pronounced regional sales differences.

Several new labor contracts have stabilized workforce relations despite recent strikes, and management reported record-high associate retention rates.

Ocado's full letter of credit draw was contractually permitted and not characterized as a liquidity or strategic event by management.

Management reaffirmed macroeconomic caution and anticipates consumer caution to persist, with increased demand for private labels and value-driven promotions across all income segments.

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

ASR (Accelerated Share Repurchase): A method for a company to buy back a significant amount of its shares quickly through an agreement with a third party, thereby reducing shares outstanding and returning capital to shareholders.

GLP-1: Glucagon-like peptide-1 medications, prescribed for diabetes and weight management, referenced in pharmacy sales trends.

Kroger Specialty Pharmacy: A divested business unit once operated by The Kroger Co., whose sale affected gross margin and operating metrics.

Ocado: A U.K.-based grocery technology and fulfillment partner that operates under a contractual relationship with The Kroger Co. for automated warehouse and delivery solutions.

OG&A Rate: Operating general and administrative expenses, presented as a percentage of sales, excluding fuel and certain adjustment items.

FIFO Gross Margin: Gross margin calculated using the first-in, first-out inventory accounting method, excluding fuel, rent, depreciation, amortization, and certain adjustment items.

CPG: Consumer Packaged Goods companies supplying branded products to The Kroger Co. and other retailers.

ESI: Express Scripts, Inc., a major pharmacy benefit manager, mentioned in relation to pharmacy sales impact.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Ron Sargent: Good morning, everyone. Thank you for joining our call today. Before jumping into the results, I wanted to share a few thoughts since I last spoke to you in March. After nearly four months as CEO, I've been very impressed with the many talented associates I've met across the company. The Kroger Co. has a strong bench of experienced operators and dedicated associates who can move our company forward. After spending my career in retail, one thing's clear: Retail always starts with the customer. It's pretty simple. Our strategies are focused on our resources, which should be dedicated to how we can make the biggest impact on serving our customers.

Grounded in these principles, my priorities in this role are to position The Kroger Co. for long-term growth, accelerate top-line sales, and run great stores. We can do this by better focusing on our core business and by creating a growth culture in the company. The Kroger Co. has a long runway with many opportunities ahead, and I'm grateful to be part of the team as we transition to our next phase of growth. In the past few months, we've made a number of changes to move faster and put increased focus on our customer. We're directing investments toward projects that will grow our core business, including plans to accelerate new store openings.

We are reassessing our capital allocation strategy to make sure we are spending our capital on projects that offer the highest returns. We are reviewing our non-core assets. We're aggressively looking for ways to reduce costs throughout the company, and we expect to reinvest those cost savings directly into lower prices and additional store hours for our associates so that they can better serve customers. Finally, we have restructured our leadership team to ensure we have the right talent in place. We created a new e-commerce business unit aligning all areas of the online customer experience under Yale Casa, our Chief Digital Officer.

We continue to elevate great leaders across the company by appointing Joe Kelly, our Senior Vice President of Retail Divisions, as well as new division presidents in King Soopers, Food 4 Less, and Texas, where we consolidated two divisions just last week. These changes put talented executives in roles where they can support our stores and improve the customer experience. We are making meaningful changes to the business to create a culture that benefits our customers and our associates while improving long-term shareholder value. In the first quarter, we're beginning to see the benefits of many of these changes. This morning, we announced solid first-quarter results with strong sales in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh.

The Kroger Co. identical sales, excluding fuel and adjustment items, increased 3.2%. Adjusted net earnings per diluted share were $1.49 in the first quarter, an increase of 4%. Now let's take a closer look at the quarter. Strong performance in the fresh category supported our identical sales without fuel results. Fresh identical sales were better than center store sales. We know our customers want healthier options, and we are well-positioned to deliver them across our fresh departments.

Ron Sargent: Turning to our brands, as more customers search for value, we are excited about the potential for the Our Brands business. We are growing sales by offering high-quality products to customers at all budget levels. This quarter, our brands grew faster than national brands for the seventh consecutive quarter. Simple Truth and Private Selection led our sales growth, highlighting that customers want premium products while also spending less. Our Brands is also creating new products that support customers' healthier eating habits. For example, earlier this year, we identified protein as a major customer trend, and soon, Simple Truth will introduce 80 new protein products to our assortment.

Targeted directly at this important trend, these products include everything from bars and powders to shakes, all from a natural and organic brand that customers trust. This is just one way that The Kroger Co. and our brands are innovating to stay ahead of what our customers want. E-commerce continues to be a key part of our business with 15% growth in the first quarter driven by strong demand and delivery. To keep improving the customer experience, we are working to deliver more accurate orders faster and reduce pickup wait times. These improvements are attracting new households to e-commerce and giving our current households more reasons to shop with us.

As our e-commerce business grows, it represents a bigger impact on our results. Our teams are committed to growing both e-commerce sales and improving profitability. During the first quarter, we made good progress and delivered our best profit improvement yet on a quarter-over-quarter basis. To continue driving improvements, our team is reviewing all aspects of our strategy and operations to improve the customer experience as well as the financial performance. David will share more on this topic later. We know that our best customers shop with us through both e-commerce and in stores, which makes it important for us to continue building and running great stores.

Today, we are on track to complete 30 major store projects in 2025, and looking forward, we expect to accelerate new store openings in 2026 and beyond. High-growth geographies, growing our overall square footage, and adding new jobs. As I mentioned earlier, we're simplifying our business and reviewing areas that will not be meaningful to our future growth. Unfortunately, today, not all of our stores are delivering the sustainable results we need. Also important to note, we paused our annual store review during the merger process. To position our company for future success, this morning, we announced plans to close approximately 60 stores over the next eighteen months.

We don't take these decisions lightly, but this will make the company more efficient, and The Kroger Co. will offer roles in other stores to all associates currently employed at affected stores. To recap, our top priorities are clear. We're going to move with speed. We're going to concentrate on our core business, and we're going to run great stores. This is how we'll position The Kroger Co. for long-term performance. Before David gets into more detail on our financial results, I'd like to talk a little bit about our broader operating environment. Customers continue to spend cautiously in an uncertain economic environment.

Many customers want more value, and as a result, they're buying more promotional products and more of our brands' products. They're also eating more meals at home. The Kroger Co. is well-positioned to support our customers' changing shopping habits. We offer compelling promotions and fuel rewards, outstanding Our Brands products, and personalized promotions that offer families better savings on the products they use the most. We're simplifying our promotions to make it easier for customers to save and to see clear value at the shelf. In fact, we've lowered prices on more than 2,000 additional products so far this year. As part of our work to keep prices low, we're also watching the changing environment around tariffs.

Our business model is flexible to respond to those kinds of shifts, and as a domestic food retailer, we expect a smaller business impact than some of our competitors. Where we do see potential tariff impact, we are proactively looking for ways to avoid raising prices for our customers, and we consider price changes as a last resort. Tariffs have not had a material impact on our business so far, and given what we know today, we do not expect them to going forward. I'd like to spend a moment talking about our associates. Our associates are the backbone of our company and are the people who create a great customer experience.

One of our top operational priorities is improving in-stock levels. We improved in-stock rates in every division this quarter. I appreciate our associates' hard work every day to make this happen. We continue to improve our associates' wages and benefits while investing in their development and well-being. These investments include hourly pay, plus health care, and pensions, as well as technology that makes work easier in our stores, including a virtual AI assistant that is improving associate productivity and engagement. This well-rounded approach is producing results, with both store and company retention rates reaching record levels this quarter.

And when our associates stay longer, they learn more, take on additional responsibilities, and deliver a better customer experience, which leads to better sales. With that, I'm happy to welcome David Kennerly, The Kroger Co.'s Chief Financial Officer, to our earnings call today. We're excited to have David with us, and I'm confident he will help us accelerate our growth and improve our capabilities in a number of areas. As part of this role, I've asked David to lead initiatives across several areas, including cost optimization, efficiency, and real estate, so we can put more investment in our stores, as well as our customer experience.

Now I'll turn it over to David, who will review our financial results in more detail. David?

David Kennerly: Thank you, Ron, and good morning, everyone. It's an honor to be here today for the first time as The Kroger Co.'s Chief Financial Officer. Over the past few months, I've had the opportunity to meet teams all over The Kroger Co., and I've been impressed by the breadth and depth of talent in this great organization. My immediate focus is to build upon The Kroger Co.'s existing momentum, leveraging our collection of unique assets and financial strength to accelerate our performance. To achieve this, I'll be concentrating initially on a few key priorities. First, capital allocation.

We'll be highly disciplined in how we deploy capital, ensuring we invest in projects that generate strong returns with a clear objective of improving ROIC over time. Second, cost optimization. We will focus on optimizing our cost structure, ensuring it aligns with and supports our long-term financial targets and drives operational efficiency. We're going to modernize operations and ways of working across the board, from corporate to our stores and supply chain, to work smarter and more efficiently. Next, improving e-commerce profitability. While we've seen positive momentum here, my objective is to accelerate this improvement.

As Ron said, we plan to review all aspects of our business to drive greater efficiency within our e-commerce cost structure and support growth for higher-margin revenue. Finally, growing market share. The Kroger Co.'s collection of assets positions us well to win and grow share. My focus will be on ensuring we prioritize our resources to drive profitable market share growth, including an acceleration of store projects and more competitive pricing. The Kroger Co. is a world-class retailer today, and we are well-positioned for long-term growth. My objective as CFO is to ensure we appropriately allocate our resources to where we have the best opportunity to grow and win while delivering strong financial returns.

I'll now walk through our financial results for the quarter. We achieved identical sales without fuel growth of 3.2%, excluding adjustment items. Our sales growth was led by strong pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh sales. We are encouraged by organic script growth, including growth in non-GLP-1 prescriptions. Over recent quarters, we've seen improvement in grocery volumes, particularly in the perimeter of the store, which contributed to our sales growth this quarter. Volume improvement remains a key priority for us, and we expect sequential improvement throughout the year. We saw inflation slightly below 2% in the first quarter, in line with our expectations at the beginning of the year.

Our FIFO gross margin rate, excluding rent, depreciation, and amortization, fuel, and adjustment items, increased 79 basis points in the first quarter compared to the same period last year. The improvement in rate was primarily attributable to the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, lower shrink, and lower supply chain costs, partially offset by the mix effect from growth in pharmacy sales, which has lower margins. After excluding the effect from the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy, our FIFO gross margin rate improved by 33 basis points. The operating general and administrative rate, excluding fuel and adjustment items, increased 63 basis points in the first quarter compared to the same period last year.

The increase in rate was primarily attributable to the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy and an accelerated contribution to a multi-employer pension plan, partially offset by improved productivity. Consistent with our approach to managing future obligations, we made a strategic pension contribution this quarter. This allows us to pre-fund future requirements and, importantly, help secure long-term benefits for our associates. Multi-employer pension contributions drove a 29 basis point increase in our OG&A rate in the quarter. After adjusting for the effect from the sale of Kroger Specialty Pharmacy and the multi-employer pension contributions, our OG&A rate was relatively flat on an underlying basis. As I mentioned earlier, cost optimization is one of my top priorities.

We will look for new ways to modernize work and operate more efficiently, not only to fund investments in our customer experience but also to deliver on our financial commitments. Looking out for the balance of the year, we expect both our FIFO gross margin rate and OG&A rate on an underlying basis to remain relatively flat as we balance price and wage investments with margin enhancement efforts. Our adjusted FIFO operating profit was $1.5 billion, and adjusted EPS was $1.49 in Q1. Fuel is an important part of The Kroger Co.'s strategy and offers an important way to build loyalty with customers through the fuel rewards in our Kroger Plus program.

Fuel results were behind expectations this quarter, a headwind to our results. Fuel sales were lower this quarter compared to last year, attributable to lower average retail price per gallon and fewer gallons sold. While gallons sold declined compared to last year, our gallon sales continued to outpace the industry. Fuel profitability was also behind the same period last year as a result of fewer gallons sold. We expect fuel will be a headwind to our results for the remainder of the year. As Ron shared earlier, our e-commerce business continued its strong performance. We grew e-commerce sales by 15% and increased our rate of profit improvement from our previous record improvement in the fourth quarter of 2024.

We're pleased with our continued progress and confident we're on the right path. But our clear goal is to accelerate this momentum. To that end, a new e-commerce structure unifies all teams contributing to our e-commerce experience, with a clear mandate to enhance our e-commerce operations, both improved profitability and a superior customer experience. Their efforts will center on deploying new technology, improving density in our fulfillment operations, and accelerating the growth of our retail media platform. We expect these initiatives to be significant drivers of our e-commerce acceleration. I'd also like to provide an update on recent developments concerning our contract with Ocado.

Last week, Ocado drew down the entire Β£152,000,000 from its letter of credit under our existing agreement. As mentioned earlier by Ron, we're undertaking a comprehensive review of our e-commerce operations and reviewing all aspects of the business to drive growth by improving the customer experience while improving profitability. I'd like to take a moment to provide a brief update on associate and labor relations. We made significant progress on agreements this quarter. Specifically, we ratified new labor agreements with more than 23,000 associates. Since Q1 closed, we have ratified a new collective bargaining agreement for store associates in our Mid-Atlantic division and reached a fully recommended settlement for associates in Seattle. In total, this covers approximately 16,000 associates.

The Kroger Co. is working to reach an agreement with the UFCW for store associates at approximately 80 King Soopers store locations in Denver Metro, Pueblo, and Colorado Springs. Associates at these stores chose to strike for fourteen days during the first quarter, and negotiations are ongoing. We respect our associates' right to collectively bargain. As Ron said earlier, we continue to meaningfully improve wages and benefits. The company's investment in associate wages has increased the average hourly rate to more than $19.50. That figure grows to more than $25 with benefits like health care and pensions factored in that many of our competitors do not offer. We're proud to be a retailer that offers fair wages and comprehensive benefits.

The Kroger Co.'s goal in every labor negotiation is to provide employees with stability and advancement opportunities while working to reach a fair and balanced agreement that both rewards our associates and keeps groceries affordable for the millions of families we serve. I'd now like to turn to capital allocation and financial strategy. The Kroger Co. generated strong adjusted free cash flow this quarter, driven by our operating results. Free cash flow is important to our model, providing liquidity to our operations and allowing us to maintain a strong balance sheet.

At the end of the first quarter, The Kroger Co.'s net total debt to adjusted EBITDA was 1.69 compared to our net total debt to adjusted EBITDA target ratio range of 2.3 to 2.5. Our strong free cash flow and balance sheet provide us flexibility to invest in our business and other opportunities to enhance shareholder value. Our capital allocation priorities remain consistent and are designed to deliver a total shareholder return of 8% to 11% over time. We are focused on investing in projects that will maximize return on invested capital over time while remaining committed to maintaining a current investment-grade rating, growing our dividend subject to Board approval, and returning excess capital to shareholders.

A key priority for The Kroger Co. is to improve ROIC. We expect to do this by improving asset utilization and reallocating capital towards higher return projects, which will drive long-term shareholder value. As Ron mentioned earlier, we have announced plans today to close roughly 60 underperforming stores across the country in an effort to optimize our store network. At the same time, we are actively investing for growth in new store projects. We expect to complete 30 major store projects in 2025, focusing our investments in high-growth areas. We will continue to prioritize new store growth and expect these to be a meaningful contributor to our long-term growth model.

We're delivering on our commitment to return excess capital to shareholders. We expect our $5 billion ASR program to be completed by no later than the third fiscal quarter of 2025. The ASR is being completed under The Kroger Co.'s $7.5 billion share repurchase authorization. After completion of the ASR program, The Kroger Co. expects to resume open market share repurchases under the remaining $2.5 billion authorization. The Kroger Co. expects to complete these open market share repurchases by the end of the fiscal year, which is contemplated in full-year guidance. I would now like to provide some additional detail on our outlook for the rest of the year.

We are pleased with our first-quarter sales, which reflect strength in pharmacy, e-commerce, and fresh. As a result, we are raising our identical sales without fuel guidance to a new range of 2.25% to 3.25%. We expect second-quarter identical sales without fuel to be roughly at the midpoint of our full-year guidance range. With respect to the store closures discussed earlier, we anticipate these will occur over the next eighteen months. There is a modest financial benefit to closing these stores. However, we intend to reinvest the efficiencies back into the customer experience, and as a result, this will not impact our full-year guidance.

While first-quarter sales and profitability exceeded our expectations, the macroeconomic environment remains uncertain, and as a result, other elements of our guidance remain unchanged. As such, we are reaffirming our full-year guidance for net operating profit and adjusted earnings per share. I will now turn the call back to Ron.

Ron Sargent: Thanks, David. We're off to a solid start in 2025, and we are optimistic about the rest of the year. While the broader environment continues to be uncertain, we're focused on serving our customers with great stores. The Kroger Co. is operating from a position of strength. Our strategy is flexible enough to allow us to navigate this changing environment. We are narrowing our priorities, and we are moving with speed to deliver customers an even better experience. We are confident that by staying true to these priorities, we will generate long-term growth and attractive shareholder returns. Before we open it up for questions, I wanted to provide a brief update on the ongoing CEO search.

The Board has a search committee in place and is working with a nationally recognized search firm. The Board is fully engaged, but we have no specific updates at this time. We'll now open it up for questions.

Operator: Thank you. Our first question for today comes from Ed Kelly of Wells Fargo. Good morning, Ed. Please go ahead.

Ed Kelly: Good morning, everyone. And David, welcome. I wanted to start just with a question around pricing and your value perception with customers. I think there's it sounds like an increased focus around trying to improve the value perception. I was curious if you can maybe talk about how you're thinking about price gaps, the plan here going forward, what you're looking to accomplish and then most importantly, can you do all this in a margin-neutral sort of way going forward?

Ron Sargent: Sure. Let me take that one, David. I don't know if you have anything to add. But, you know, overall, when you look at our competitive pricing environment, it remains, you know, very rational. As we mentioned in the comments, we do intend to continue to invest in lower prices. In fact, we lowered prices on an extra 2,000 items during the quarter. But this is much like we've done in prior years also. We're also working to make sure that our promotional offers are simpler, they're easier to access by all customers. And those promotional offers have to offer great value as well.

You know, I can't comment on others, but I do believe that we were more competitive in Q1 than in Q4 versus our EDLP competitors. I think the positive news is that these pricing investments resulted in better sales, better gross margin, and happier customers. So I think it would be probably a good example of us continuing to invest in pricing while expanding our gross margin rate.

David Kennerly: Yeah. Just maybe a couple of things to add, Ron. I think the other thing that we're focused on is making prices easier to get. So rather than a customer having to get out their phone to digital coupon in-store, we're trying to make the customer experience in-store much easier for them to access the good prices that The Kroger Co. has. And then just on the gross margin comment, I think, you know, this quarter's a good example. We've got decent gross margin performance. And as we look to improve our price perception through the balance of this year and beyond, we expect to do this on a margin-neutral basis.

Ed Kelly: Great. And then just maybe a quick follow-up. It looks to be a bit more focused on e-commerce profitability and improving the on the P&L there. Could you just maybe provide a little bit more color around the roadmap, the size of the opportunity? I'm not sure how big the losses are at the moment in e-commerce, but any color there that you could share?

Ron Sargent: Sure, Ed. Let me try to provide a little more color. We have made good progress on e-commerce, top line and bottom line during the quarter. As we mentioned in the notes, we combined all the elements of our e-commerce business under Yale Cossitt. Yale's doing a great job. This allows us a lot better focus on our e-commerce business than we've had in the past. It also, very clearly, allows us to have ownership of the business. We're taking a look at every single aspect of our e-commerce strategy as well as our e-commerce operations. We're looking at every market, every element, we're working on a plan to address the performance in each one of those.

I think the good news is that we are seeing continued growth in the business, up 15% this quarter. Households and e-commerce are growing. Our customers are embracing the whole digital model of our business. We are seeing improvements in profitability at an increasing rate. But to be clear on the profitability, we're not profitable at this point. And we must become profitable in our e-commerce business, and we've got a lot of work to do. We will keep you updated throughout the year, but we don't disclose specific profitability by sub-business segment.

Ed Kelly: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from John Heinbockel of Guggenheim. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

John Heinbockel: So I want to start with Ron, how do you look at what is non-core? You know? And that could be non-retail. It could be retail, I guess, could be stores, obviously, the 60 stores, it could be retail divisions, I suppose. How do you look at that? And then on capital allocation, right, high return projects, where do remodels sit in that prioritization relative to new stores?

Ron Sargent: Yeah. First of all, let me talk to core versus non-core. I mean, the core of the things that exist in our company that are dedicated to serving our customers. And, you know, it certainly includes stores. It would certainly include e-commerce. It would certainly include all the alternative revenue streams that those generate. That's how I would define core for The Kroger Co., and I think that's what we need to focus on going forward.

David Kennerly: Hey. And, John, let me just cover the capital allocation comment. You know, listen. As we think about where we spend capital, you know, one of the reasons we've talked about investing in store projects is that, you know, these projects typically offer higher returns than our average rate of return. And I would say remodels sit somewhere in the middle of our average return rate.

John Heinbockel: Alright. Then maybe as a follow-up, right, David, cost optimization. Right? So I think you've had years in a row of $1 billion of cost out. How are you attacking that this differently? Things you might be looking at processes versus what you've done over the past couple of years?

David Kennerly: Yeah. I think, you know, obviously, the advantage that Ron and I have is that, you know, it's bringing a fresh set of eyes to the business. You know? And I think my conclusion from my first few months, and I know Ron feels the same, is listen. I think we've got a really good foundation. And so I see this as operating from a position of strength, and I see this as about going from good to great. I think there are a lot of areas where we can improve from a cost perspective.

You know, whether that be on the direct costs, so at cost of goods sold, whether that be on what I call indirect costs or goods not for resale, you know, whether that be on the G&A line and our corporate expenses, and I think we are looking to tackle this in a number of different ways than we've looked at in the past. I think the other thing that will also contribute towards, you know, better cost performance is what I call kind of ways of working. You know, and process improvement.

And I think there's a lot of opportunity here to kind of work smarter, more efficiently, more tech-enabled, and we've already got some good proof points on that. We're gonna do more of that kind of work. So I think that roadmap, John, I think we've got some things that we're gonna look to get some early wins on the board. You know? But I think this is a pretty significant medium-term opportunity.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Robert Ames of Bank of America. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Robert Ames: Hey, good morning, David and Ron. Thanks for taking my question. I was hoping you guys could parse out more the sort of tailwinds to ID sales that you saw in the first quarter and how we should think about some of those things for the rest of the year? So I think some of the tailwinds there was there was inflation I think obviously in the first quarter. Can you parse out how much of that was driven by fresh and what the inflation outlook is like? I think also the GLP-1 tailwind, can you remind us what that tailwind is? And does that continue do you think for the rest of the year?

And then I think you guys did make some comments on volume. It sounds like owned brands volume is pretty strong. Is national brands volume a negative for you guys? And is that a trend that continues as well?

Ron Sargent: Yeah. Let me start this. I'll give you some headlines, and David can fill in the blanks. As we said, you know, identical sales were really driven by pharmacy. They were driven by fresh categories around the perimeter of our store. E-commerce, as well as our brands, and our brands continue to grow faster than the national brands. I think, you know, our identical sales improvement also reflects some of the continued sales momentum in our core grocery business. We saw that beginning in Q4, and that continued in Q1. And, you know, finally, you know, we should give some credit to the divisions.

I mean, there was really strong execution on the part of our stores team to better serve our customers. And all of those things certainly help drive identicals as well. And given the increase in our identicals guidance, we expect to see continued improvement in grocery volumes throughout the year. And, David, I don't know if you want to add.

David Kennerly: Yeah. A couple of things to add. So just on the inflation outlook. So we saw inflation, you know, just under 2% for the quarter. We'd guided to one and a half to two and a half for the year, so we're well within the guidance range. You know, and absent any major disruption, we expect to continue to be in that range. And then just on pharmacy, just a couple of points. I think it's important to note that ESI had a very minimal impact on the quarter. Less than 10 basis points. And we continue to see good growth from GLP-1s.

Robert Ames: That's really helpful. And just a quick follow-up would be, $100,000 plus customer versus low-income customer, anything you can share on what you're seeing there?

Ron Sargent: You know, what we're seeing is, you know, different shopping, you know, behaviors and different shopping patterns. You know, for example, you know, we are seeing, you know, both, I think, shopping more at The Kroger Co. stores and grocery stores compared to eating away. They're making more frequent trips to the store. The average basket is less. When you look at spend in total, I think it's been very stable. You know, one factoid is kind of interesting is that the inflation has been higher for food away from home or restaurants. Inflation in restaurants has been higher for twenty-seven consecutive months versus food consumed at home. I think both in high and low-income levels, they're navigating significant uncertainty.

I think consumer confidence is down. Customers are looking for value. And I think, you know, when you look at how we've responded to that, I think, you know, we're always looking for ways to, you know, deal with the environment and bring value to our customers, and whether that's, you know, our brands, whether it's having the right promotions, having the right promotional pricing, you know, we are kind of seeing a shift into larger pack sizes and increased use of coupons. We're seeing some discretionary spend that's a little softer in areas like snack and adult beverages, pet, general merchandise categories.

So I think in terms of the consumer, we expect the consumer to remain cautious throughout the year. And we're responding to that with simpler promotions, coupons, lower prices, and a lot of on-brand choices.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Simeon Gutman of Morgan Stanley. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Simeon Gutman: Hey guys, good morning. Follow-up on sales and market share. Curious if you when you look at market share, how you viewed the performance in the quarter? Realize that the national data we see is not perfect because it's national. But it did look like you inflected in the first quarter. You mentioned that ESI was pretty minimal. So curious how you view it. What would you attribute to the inflection? And was it e-commerce? And was it broad-based? Thanks.

Ron Sargent: Well, good morning, Simeon, and I think I've known you long enough to understand that no good retailer is ever happy with their market share. It's really a critical metric in any retail business, and the goal's gotta be to improve market share. The biggest driver of market share for us relates to opening new stores. We have seen very modest store growth over the last several years during the merger process. We did see significant improvements in Q1. And we saw market share gains in markets where we have added stores. Again, I don't want to discount the other driver in market share gain, and that's, you know, in-store experience. Customer service getting better.

Competitive pricing getting better, simpler promotions, in-store conditions, and we're starting to see some progress there. And then finally, you know, when you're growing your e-commerce business at 15%, that will help your market share as well as accelerated growth in our Kroger brands portfolio as well. I don't know. Anything else you want to add?

David Kennerly: Nothing to add. I think you covered it, Ron.

Simeon Gutman: Okay. A follow-up, different topic, e-commerce. I don't know if it's too early, but can you tell us if you look at the investments that this company has made, do you think you need to step them up in order to scale quicker or accelerate growth? Or they'll be funded, you don't think that's a question? And then connected to it, I'm trying to understand the way you position the Ocado pulling down the revolver and then talking about how you need to evaluate what this looks like.

So thinking about how you deal with e-commerce over the next several years, could there be another big step up in investment to allow you to reduce the cost of serve and accelerate speed? Or do you think you have the foundation in place today?

Ron Sargent: Well, I think we have a terrific foundation in place in our e-commerce business, and we have invested heavily in our business over the last several years. We are, I think, offering a better customer experience. We're improving things like, you know, wait times. We're delivering faster. The number of households is growing, particularly on the delivery side. And, you know, the nice thing about sales is it improves your density for your delivery route. So there's a lot of, you know, goodness coming, but I think it's a little early to say, you know, exactly, you know, what we're gonna decide on each one of these.

But the investments that we've made have been helpful, but going forward, we're gonna look at, you know, every investment that we have made or will be making. You wanna talk about Ocado?

David Kennerly: Let me cover the Ocado question. So the Ocado contract had a clause in it on the seventh anniversary. They were able to draw down the remaining balance on the letter of credit that had been provided. And they chose to do that. So I think it's a contractual thing and nothing more.

Operator: Thank you. Next question comes from Paul Lejuez of Citigroup. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Paul Lejuez: Thanks, guys. Can you talk a little bit more about the all-brand portfolio, the growth you saw in that segment of the business versus the rest of the store and how that the gap between the two are trending? And then I'm also curious if you could talk about any regional differences that you might have seen this past quarter, whether any certain regions stand out as getting more or less promotional or rational, however you want to frame it.

Ron Sargent: Yeah. I can start with our brands. As we noted, we had another strong quarter. Our brands. I believe, and I'm an optimist, understand that, but I believe there's a big opportunity for our brand products to accelerate this even further in the years ahead. The quality is terrific. It creates great value, you know, to our customers. It allows us to lead the pack, I think, in product innovation, and I referenced the Simple Truth protein line, but I think that's a great example of that. You know, people are eating healthier, so we're gonna jump on that trend. I think high-protein products also tie into customers using GLP-1 medications.

And, you know, the best part about our brands is that it differentiates us, you know, from our competitors. There's only one place you can get, you know, Kroger brand or Simple Truth or Natural Selects. All of it just at The Kroger Co. In terms of regional differences, I really can't, you know, point to anything that jumps out at me that, you know, is specifically different. I think we saw, you know, kind of good performance across the chain.

David Kennerly: I mean, maybe the only thing you highlighted is we show better share performance in those markets where we were building new stores.

Paul Lejuez: Sure. And I think this was asked earlier, but the higher-income consumer, can you talk about the performance with your $100,000 plus customer? I'm not sure if you quantified where you're seeing the greater growth.

Ron Sargent: I don't know that we did quantify specifically.

David Kennerly: I think nothing other than to say that, you know, the higher-income consumer continues to behave what we would call kind of rationally. I don't think any big disconnects versus previous quarters. Continue to see, you know, premium wines, that kind of stuff. You know, sort of increased spend on fresh. Normal trends. I don't think anything unusual to note on the higher-income consumer.

Paul Lejuez: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from Michael Lasser of UBS. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Michael Lasser: Hey, Michael. Good morning. Thank you so much for taking my question. If we put a picture of what The Kroger Co. is experiencing together, perhaps there's a case where the growth in e-commerce as well as the growth in pharmacy are cannibalizing the center of the store. If this continues, is there a point at which the net result of this creates an overall challenge on ID sales? And to what degree is The Kroger Co. planning for that potential outcome today in the event that it happens in the future? Thank you.

Ron Sargent: Yeah. I don't know that we've spent a lot of time thinking about that fact. We're seeing improved grocery center store trends. We saw that certainly in the first quarter, and we expect to see that continue, you know, every quarter this year. I don't know there's a specific strategy around that other than, you know, running great stores and, you know, taking great care of our customers. I think we'll benefit whether it's e-commerce, whether it's pharmacy, or whether, you know, it's the walk-in shopper. I don't know, David, anything you want to add?

David Kennerly: Nothing to add. I agree.

Michael Lasser: Thank you very much. And my follow-up question is you stepped up price investments on the 2,000 items, yet this is what sounds like the selling margin was positive. So where are you finding the offsets within the selling margin to make the additional price investments even as your gross margin FIFO gross margin is positive? Thank you.

David Kennerly: Yeah. Let me take that one, Michael. So listen, I think we've got a number of levers that helped us with our gross margins, and I think these are the kind of things that we're gonna try to do going forward. So our brands mix obviously helps with that. And we also saw good performance from a sourcing savings perspective. So I think, you know, that's just a couple of examples of, you know, positive contribution to our gross margin. I think we're gonna have to, you know, we're gonna that's how we're gonna deal with this going forward.

So, you know, we want to, so I'd expect sort of a flat gross margin expectation for the balance of the year as we look to balance those price investments with those contributors.

Michael Lasser: Thank you.

Operator: Our next question comes from Leah Jordan of Goldman Sachs. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Leah Jordan: Good morning. Thank you. Good morning. Seeing if you could provide more detail on the gross trends in retail media. How has engagement from partners trended given the dynamic macro backdrop? And just how should we think about the relative impact of profit as we move through the year versus what you realized in the first quarter?

David Kennerly: Leah, let me take that one. So I think a couple of things. So first of all, I mean, we really like our offering in retail media. We've got a great suite of products that we see good engagement from brands on. And I think what we feel really good about that we think is differentiated for The Kroger Co. is our ability to do what we call kind of closed-loop measurement. You know, which is not only obviously where we spend, but really tracking the measurement through to understand how that directly impacts sales. And also customer behavior. So we think we've got a good product.

And, you know, certainly, as you know, having spent I spent a long time on the brand side, you know, brands are wanting to understand how they get the best returns for their dollars. And so, you know, for me, that is a very, very powerful set of tools. Now I think what we talked about in Q4, we talked about some spend, sort of pullback in CPG spending. We did see continued, you know, sort of similar trends in Q1 where CPGs are being cautious with their spending. But I want to reinforce that the business continues to grow at a healthy rate.

And we do expect to continue to see healthy growth in the business through the balance of the year.

Leah Jordan: That's very helpful. Thank you. I just want to have one follow-up on shrink. I mean, it continues to be a tailwind for several quarters and called out again this quarter. Could you talk about the magnitude of the impact to gross margin this quarter? What's the key driver for the shrink improvement? And how much more opportunity do you see as we go throughout the year?

David Kennerly: So let me talk I'll take that one. So let me talk about shrink. Yeah. You're right. We've seen good progress, and we've seen good progress across both fresh, and we've seen good progress on center store. And I think what we really attribute this to is we've made some investments in some AI-enabled technology and deployed new processes around that technology as well. And that's really allowing us to have much better visibility of the inventory we've got in-store, best by dates, and allows us therefore to be much more sophisticated in the ordering that we're making. So our expectation is we're gonna continue to see good shrink performance through the balance of the year.

And we'll continue to make investments in this space provided we will continue to see the good returns that we're seeing.

Ron Sargent: And just one addition is, you know, sales help shrink. And more hours in stores help shrink, and more focused employees help shrink. So I think there's a lot of things going on to improve our shrink results.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Rupesh Parikh of Oppenheimer. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Rupesh Parikh: Good morning, Rupesh. Good morning. Thanks for taking my question. I guess I just want to start with Express Scripts. I was curious how that ramp is going versus expectations. And then related to Express Scripts, just curious if you're actually building in benefits for the remaining quarters on the top line?

David Kennerly: Yeah, Rupesh, let me take that one. As we said, ESI had a very minimal impact on the quarter, so less than 10 basis point impact on sales. The reason we didn't include it in the guide for the year is because we knew it would be, you know, difficult to predict because, you know, you've got these big commercial contracts, the timing of which they sort of come back on stream. It's difficult to predict. So I'd say we're on track. But specifically, the guide for the balance of the year continues to exclude ESI.

Rupesh Parikh: Okay. Great. And then maybe just one follow-up. Just on trends. Curious on quarter to date in terms of what you guys are seeing so far?

David Kennerly: Yeah. I would say that we're happy with the way the quarter started. And it's in line with the guidance that we communicated in the prepared remarks.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Chuck Cerankosky of Northcoast Research. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Chuck Cerankosky: Good morning, Jack. Good morning, everyone. In looking at your store strategy and investments in stores, could you give us sort of an overall view of what you're doing there in terms of what you're closing, where you're closing, where you're opening, what type of formats are you favoring? And in the context of other competitors changing their stores, not the least of which are the drug chains, and also the use of pharmacy and fuel in strategy. Thank you.

Ron Sargent: Sure. Let me start on store closures. As we noted, you know, we plan to close roughly 60 stores, and we'll do that over the next eighteen months. We usually, you know, evaluate individual store performance on an annual basis, and we continue to do that. But we deferred closing any stores due to the merger process. So we see this as an opportunity to move these closed store sales to other stores. And we think that we should improve profitability. There's really minimal financial impact on company results as a result of the store closures. The geography is spread really around the country. It's kind of ones and twos by division.

And all the associates who are affected will be offered jobs in their other stores. I'm not sure I got the second point of the.

David Kennerly: Yeah. It was about the strategy, how we think about opening new stores.

Ron Sargent: Yeah. I mean, I think, you know, obviously, new store openings are the biggest driver of market share gains. And we're continuing to look at that. And I think we will be investing to accelerate, you know, openings going forward. We don't have a number to share with you this morning. But it'll be north of the 30 that we open this year.

Chuck Cerankosky: Could you comment on the geography of those openings in the formats you're favoring?

Ron Sargent: Yeah. As you know, it takes a while to open a big Kroger store. And, you know, we're looking at geography across the country. There's no specific, you know, area. We are probably gonna favor areas of the country that are growing faster than others. We're gonna look at, you know, where we have, you know, competitive opportunities or, you know, growth within cities that we operate in. It's really scattered around the country, and there'll be a variety of store formats. Although, you know, the marketplace store is a terrific format, and many of them will be marketplace stores.

Operator: Thank you. Our next question comes from Kelly Ibaria from BMO. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Kelly Ibaria: Good morning, Gail. Good morning. Thanks for taking our question. Good morning. Wondering if we could go back to digital sales and the nice acceleration there sequentially. I was just curious if you have any specific strategies or factors that you would attribute that to. And also in that, you noted strong demand in delivery, and I was wondering if you could how much of that is more same-day kind of Instacart-driven delivery versus Ocado-enabled delivery? And I just want to make sure if there's any consideration with respect to Ocado and any broader changes. Just want to make sure I understood that commentary clearly.

Ron Sargent: Yes. I don't know if I can point to any specific strategy. And if I had a specific strategy, I probably wouldn't announce that publicly. But I think it is good, you know, good growth really, you know, across the board. I think it's in all geography. It relates to, you know, the entire assortment of our product line. And, you know, they always say retail's detail, and, you know, this is really basically about, you know, chopping wood and doing all the little things. I think before we consolidated everything under Yale, there were a lot of different parts of our business that were, you know, trying to optimize.

That doesn't work unless you have kind of, you know, one owner. And I think structurally, you know, that really helped our business because somebody's got responsibility for not only the top line in total but the bottom line in total. And every line in the P&L on the income statement in between.

David Kennerly: Yeah. Maybe, Kelly, let me add a couple of things to Ron's comments. I mean, really, our metrics on e-commerce were pretty good across the board. I mean, we grew households. We grew order volume. Orders per household grew. So I think, you know, we saw a number of the metrics that are important to e-commerce, you know, continue or really saw favorable performance. So we were very pleased with that. On the Ocado thing, just to clarify, just on your other question, yeah. Listen. It's a contractual thing.

We had a clause in the contract that said on the seventh anniversary of the signing of the contract, they were able to draw down the remainder of the letter of credit. And Ocado chose to do that.

Kelly Ibaria: Thank you.

Operator: Our final question for today comes from Scott Marks of Jefferies. Your line is now open. Please go ahead.

Scott Marks: Good morning, Scott. Hey, good morning. Thanks so much. Thanks so much for taking our questions. Wanted to just ask you made some commentary around our brands outperforming the national brands for, I believe, was the seventh quarter in a row. Have you seen any change in strategy from your branded suppliers, whether it be promotional or otherwise?

Ron Sargent: I'm not the merchant here, but I think the answer is really not. You know, I think, you know, the selling strategies of our suppliers, you know, continue, you know, like they have been for several quarters. You know, we're not seeing them being more aggressive on pricing or promotion. I think it's kind of a bit of a steady state with most of our CPG partners.

Scott Marks: Got it. And then just as a follow-up in light of some of the political backdrop with, you know, a ban on some artificial food dyes and other potential regulatory changes down the pipe. Wondering if you thought about how that might impact the center store part of your business especially? And any kind of discussions with some of those branded suppliers?

Ron Sargent: Well, I think there's certainly a trend going on in Washington to eliminate, you know, anything artificial, and, you know, in the area of dyes, I mean, I think many CPGs are reformulating their products to address that and deal with that. Certainly, we're all over that for The Kroger Co. brands and our brands. I think from a regulatory standpoint, I think we're spending a little more time on tariffs than we are on kind of artificial food ingredients, although, you know, our customers are looking to, you know, eat healthier and buy healthier products. And I think we are trying to respond to that. But in terms of tariffs and the question hasn't come up.

But we've really seen very minimal impact from tariffs. And where we do see impacts in areas like, I don't know, produce, flowers, we are working very hard to mitigate that impact, and we're pushing back on any suppliers who would like to pass along the additional cost. We're looking at, you know, some of the country of origin stuff. We're even discontinuing some items where it doesn't make sense for our customers.

Scott Marks: Thank you.

Operator: I'll now turn it back to Ron for any further remarks.

Ron Sargent: Well, thanks, everybody. I appreciate all the questions today. As you know, before we conclude our earnings call, we'd like to share a couple of comments with our associates listening in. To them, I say thank you. I thank you for all your efforts. You made our strong quarter possible. We still have a lot of work to do. We appreciate your continued commitment to running great stores and taking great care of our customers. So thanks, everybody, for joining us on the call this morning. We look forward to speaking with all of you again soon, and we hope to see you all in our stores.

Operator: Thank you all for joining today's call. You may now disconnect your lines.

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This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. Parts of this article were created using Large Language Models (LLMs) based on The Motley Fool's insights and investing approach. It has been reviewed by our AI quality control systems. Since LLMs cannot (currently) own stocks, it has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

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3 Reasons Why Kroger Stock Is a Buy Now

These are challenging times. There's conflict here in the U.S., war breaking out in the Mideast, trade wars, and tariffs, as well as rising prices and recession fears. As gold prices soar and investors seek safe havens, how does one stay in the stock market and hedge against uncertainty?

Defensive, recession-resistant stocks are the way to go, and in that category, Kroger (NYSE: KR) stock deserves a closer look.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue Β»

Kroger is a grocery giant that walks under the radar. Sure, it's not a flashy artificial intelligence stock, but it's one of the nation's largest grocery store chains and offers reliable earnings, rewards its shareholders, and plays an indispensable role in the communities in which it operates.

Kroger reported first-quarter earnings before the opening bell today. So, let's take a look at three reasons why Kroger stock is a buy now.

1. Kroger is a classic, defensive play with broad reach

There are few businesses that are more stable than the ones that provide our food. Even when people tighten their budgets, cancel vacations, or delay big-ticket purchases, they're still going to spend money at the grocery store.

Kroger currently operates more than 2,700 stores across the United States, including brands like Fred Meyer, Ralphs, King Soopers, Harris Teeter, and, of course, Kroger. It also operates more than 2,000 pharmacies in its stores and 1,500 fuel centers. That helps expand Kroger's reach into several revenue streams.

A parent and child hold hands and smile as they leave a Kroger grocery store.

Image source: Kroger.

In addition, Kroger has nearly three dozen food production and manufacturing facilities where it produces private-label, low-cost products. These store brands are usually much cheaper than name-brand items and provide Kroger with greater profit margins -- particularly when customers are looking to stretch their grocery dollars.

2. Kroger has a reliable dividend

Berkshire Hathaway CEO Warren Buffett would likely be the first to tell you that the best stocks to hold represent companies that take care of their shareholders. And Kroger is definitely one of those.

Kroger stock currently offers a dividend yield of around 2% and the company has increased its dividend payout annually for the last 19 years. In addition, Kroger is providing more value to shareholders through a $7.5 billion share repurchase authorization, which includes a $5 billion accelerated buyback that was announced after its bid to acquire Albertsons failed.

Solid dividends and share buyback programs are important for any investor who is looking to build a portfolio with sustainable wealth. And perhaps that's why Berkshire Hathaway's portfolio contains 50 million shares of Kroger stock, valued at about $3.5 billion.

3. Kroger stock is cheap

One thing that you want to avoid when choosing defensive stocks is picking one that will negatively surprise the market when it gives a quarterly report. That's another reason to like Kroger: It consistently delivers in its quarterly reports, matching or beating analysts' expectations for earnings in each of the last four quarters.

That trend continued this week when Kroger issued its first-quarter numbers. Adjusted earnings per share of $1.49 were $0.04 better than expectations, and the company's gross margin increased from 22% a year ago to 23% now. The company just missed the revenue estimate, posting $45.12 billion versus analysts' consensus expectations of $45.16 billion. Investors were pleased, and the stock is up 7% at 10:15 a.m.

Kroger also announced it was taking a $100 million impairment charge related to the planned closings of 60 locations in the next 18 months. It increased its full-year identical sales guidance (excluding fuel sales) from an increase of 2% to 3% to an increase of 2.25% to 3.25%. This metric looks at sales in locations open five or more quarters.

While the company didn't break down its sales by segment, it said its e-commerce sales were up 15% on a year-over-year basis.

"We continue to believe that our strategy focusing on fresh, Our Brands and eCommerce will continue to resonate with customers and our resilient model positions us well to navigate the current environment," Chief Financial Officer David Kennerley was quoted as saying in the company press release.

Another thing that stands out is Kroger's valuation. Its forward price-to-earnings ratio of about 15 is attractive, as well as its price-to-sales ratio of around 0.3. It's much cheaper than competitors Walmart, Amazon, and Costco Wholesale.

KR PE Ratio (Forward) Chart

KR PE Ratio (Forward) data by YCharts

So, Kroger is providing great value and security in a challenging economic environment, and is doing so while being a dominant player in the grocery market.

The bottom line on Kroger stock

Kroger is a great long-term play that investors should consider right now. As uncertainty rises, it makes sense to gravitate toward stocks that are steady, essential, and take care of their shareholders.

While it was a disappointment that the Albertsons deal failed to materialize, I'm comfortable with the moves that Kroger is making now -- shedding unprofitable stores, focusing on e-commerce and its in-house brands. That's the kind of steady performance that I'm looking for when I consider defensive stocks.

Should you invest $1,000 in Kroger right now?

Before you buy stock in Kroger, consider this:

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Patrick Sanders has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Berkshire Hathaway, Costco Wholesale, and Walmart. The Motley Fool recommends Kroger. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

On Holding on Fire

In this podcast, Motley Fool analyst David Meier and host Ricky Mulvey discuss:

  • On Holding's blistering sales growth.
  • Why pharma investors aren't reacting to President Donald Trump's executive order on drug prices.
  • If Alphabet's stock deserves to be in value town.

Then, Motley Fool personal finance expert Robert Brokamp joins Ricky to discuss why investors should consider buying individual bonds.

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To catch full episodes of all The Motley Fool's free podcasts, check out our podcast center. When you're ready to invest, check out this top 10 list of stocks to buy.

A full transcript is below.

Should you invest $1,000 in On Holding right now?

Before you buy stock in On Holding, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and On Holding wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $635,275!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,385!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of May 12, 2025

This podcast was recorded on May 12, 2025.

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Ricky Mulvey: Does Alphabet deserve a grocery store multiple? You're listening to Motley Fool Money.

I'm Ricky Mulvey, joined today by the smirking David Meier. David, thanks for being. What are you smirking about? What's so funny?

David Meier: Oh, it's all good today. All good.

Ricky Mulvey: Good. Just making sure I don't look funny or anything. That's why we do a audio only podcast for today. Politics keeps mixing with markets, and we have some earnings from a fast growing apparel later in this segment, Dylan and Ja-mo hit the trade deal-ish trade agreement question mark between the US and China yesterday. But there's another move from the White House that could have significant implications for markets. President Trump signing an executive order that Americans must get a "Most favored nation price for prescription drugs." David, when I saw this, my first reaction was sweet. You know what? I bet the big drug makers stocks are going to dive on this. They did not flinch. The US is where a lot of their profits come from. What's going on here?

David Meier: The reason they didn't flinch is because the market doesn't believe that those profits are going away. It's as simple as that. If we look a little bit under the hood at what the executive order actually says, it does lay out some cases where other countries around the world pay lower prices than we do in the US. Well, they negotiate differently. The market for drugs is way more open in the United States than it is in other countries. Governments tend to negotiate on behalf of their people because they're the ones making the purchases. They have some negotiating power. We here in the United States tend to let markets determine prices. There are other players. There's PBMs and things like that. But this is basically the market saying that the US markets will withstand higher prices. Basically, with the stocks not really moving on the news, the market says, Well, we look ahead and we don't see how you're going to do this. Basically, the other thing that the executive order said was, Health and Human Services Secretary, go out and put together a plan in 30 days for what you think the prices will be. There's a negotiation that's going to happen in between, so we'll see what happens, but as of right now, I think that's what the market is saying.

Ricky Mulvey: Well, the pharma lobbyists are saying something else, David, they're certainly sweating a little bit. According to Bloomberg, the brand drug lobby, PHRMA my old employer had an emergency call on Sunday and said that this could cost the pharma industry one trillion dollars over a decade. You look at a drug like Ozempic. This was mentioned in the press conference with President Trump, where a month of is almost $1,000 in the United States, about 60 bucks in Germany. That's not great if you need Ozempic. That's also a huge profit margin for Novo Nordisk. Novo Nordisk CEO trying to defend the practice in Congress a little while ago saying, don't look at me. Look at the pharmacy benefit managers. Those are the ones that are really screwing up prices here. The lobbyists are certainly concerned here, and is this a time where if you own stock in a drug maker, especially one making weight loss drugs, is this a time to revisit your thesis?

David Meier: The short answer is yes. Should you panic? I don't think so, but you should go back given how this all tends to work. Regulation does play a part in many industries, but in pharma specifically. The lobbyists are going to have to basically make the case to the HHS secretary to say this is why we think these drugs should be priced here. Again, this is about pricing power, this is about bargaining power. The lobbyist pharma is going to have to roll up their sleeves and do some work over the next 30 days and beyond that because if I read everything correctly, there's some other milestones at 180 days and a year out and multiple years out. This is going to take a while to play out. They're going to have to do some work to basically say, look, there's a reason that we one should be able to charge these prices, and two, there are benefits to our industry as a result. Because you got to remember, a lot of that gets plowed back into research and development of all kinds to bring the next generation of drugs and next generation of care. I don't think anybody would want higher prices just for the sake of higher prices. We should want our healthcare to be reasonably priced. But at the same time, we don't want to disrupt the long term innovation that happens here as a result.

Ricky Mulvey: I think the administration is saying and I would actually agree on this point. I've been accused of being too liberal and too conservative on this show, so we'll see what complaints I get this time. The administration would basically say, we don't want to stifle innovation necessarily, but it shouldn't be on Americans alone to fund that innovation when you have other developed countries in the European Union, Australia, for example, paying significantly less for the exact same drug coming out of the exact same factory.

David Meier: That makes sense. Then the question is, who's going to do the negotiating? Is our government going to step in and do the negotiating? That would be a big change to how our markets work today.

Ricky Mulvey: We'll see how it goes. I should also mention I've never worked for a brand name pharmaceutical lobbyist. I'm afraid of catching heat today, David. I don't know why. Let's move on to earnings. [laughs] Let's talk about earnings. Let's focus on the fastball here. On Holding the maker of comfortable shoes, where rocks and mulch often get stuck at the base of it, I enjoy wearing them still, they reported this morning sales up a blistering 40% from one year ago. That is on a constant currency basis because we're going Swiss francs to US dollars with this earnings report, getting us in some trouble. It's about $860 million in sales for the quarter. That's in US dollars. I'm looking at a retailer that is earning basically 40% more sales than one year ago. David, what is On getting right in this environment?

David Meier: They have the product that people want. I hope I don't sound glib when I say that, but that is true. Their products are very good and in demand all around the world. They had good growth in all of their geographical segments, and it's because they have taken the time and made the investments to put technology into their shoes that make them both comfortable, functional, whether you're running, whether you're working out, whether it's casual, all these things, but playing tennis can't forget about Roger Federer they have product that people want. As we saw here this quarter, more people wanted it, even as we're starting to get into a little bit of the impact of the tariffs.

Ricky Mulvey: On Clouds were one of my tariff panic purchases. Those included airpods for a birthday gift. I had to get some basketball shoes. Then I was like, my On Clouds have completely worn out at the bottom, where the rubber is gone, and I need to get these before the prices get jacked up by maybe 50-100%. I don't think that's going to happen now that we have the pods, but I do have some new On Clouds. I'm a big fan of the product. Is this something you own? Are you taking a lynchian look at this company?

David Meier: I don't own shares, but I was a bit of a sneaker guy. I have tried them, and also like them. You probably aren't the only one making a purchase ahead of what may have transpired, and you did it because you liked the product. It was their direct to consumer channel that actually had the best growth. I don't think you are in the minority in terms of maybe pulling a purchase forward. But to management's discredit, they actually said, we still see plenty of demand for the rest of the year. It's not a top line thing for them. What they are actually saying in terms of the tariff impact is maybe margins will get pinched a little bit. We're doing our best to figure out what those might be. We're not really knocking them down heavily, but we just want to let you know that it could be volatile. But on a top line basis, they say our product is in demand. We're making sure that all the places where we sell our shoes have plenty of product and good up to date products. I credit management for at least at the beginning handling this uncertainty pretty well.

Ricky Mulvey: Let's dig into the numbers a little bit more. Looking at operating margin here, I think there's a story because now On is about on par with Nike's historic average, about 10-ish, 11%. Nike dipped in a recent quarter, but we'll take that out to be nice to our friends at Nike. This is significant for a younger brand that you would think needs to spend more as a percentage of their sales on marketing or maybe have less negotiating power with shoe stores like Foot Locker and yet, there they are in an efficiency basis, pretty much on par with Nike, what story does that operating margin number tell investors?

David Meier: This is actually a fantastic question. Let's use the Nike and On Holding comparison. Both companies do sponsor athletes. But Nike, man, think about the suite of athletes that market their products. That's actually a huge expense for Nike, and they make the most of it by getting in terms of volume and pricing that they've been able to generate for their products over the years. Even though On does have, again, those sponsored athletes, it's less compared to what Nike spends. They have actually done a good job of again, creating a product that people want, creating a product where word of mouth marketing is probably more important than necessarily the sponsored marketing. Again, getting the products to consumers in the way that want to buy them. On has the advantage of having a consumer that is more apt to buy in a direct consumer channel, an online e-commerce type channel than Nike had when it was starting out.

The other thing I credit is, in addition to putting good technology into their products, they've actually done a good job of building their business from a supply chain management standpoint, from managing their marketing all these things, and figuring out where they can price their product in order to keep moving it at the volumes that they need. At the same time, they've been able to reinvest back into the company to say, hey, here's our latest technologies that we want to put in shoes. We want to expand into apparel. Hey, we need to open up a distribution center in Atlanta. I give management a lot of credit for not only creating a good product, an emerging brand, but they've created a very good business around this. This is something that's important for the long run because if you look at the history of Under Armour, Under Armour had a phenomenal brand, but they weren't the best operator. Eventually, that caught up with them as they tried to get bigger and bigger. Going forward, we'll see how all this plays out for On, but they've done a good job of balancing all the things that they need to balance in terms of creating a good long term business.

Ricky Mulvey: You don't think Elmo is getting Step Curry rates for those commercials?

David Meier: I don't know. Depends on how good Elmo's agent is.

Ricky Mulvey: That's a good question. They have the commercial with Elmo and Roger Federer. They're using Elmo quite a bit in their commercials. I think On looked at Adidas and saw the trouble they ran into with Kanye West and said, what is the opposite celebrity we can find? Then you get Elmo selling shoes for him.

David Meier: You asked about my smirk earlier. There is nothing but good entertainment value as well as educational value in what we're talking about today, because that is just awesome.

Ricky Mulvey: Let's close out with the story on Alphabet. We've gotten a few questions about this company from listeners. Because of its underperformance relative to the market and story line going into it, there's a Wall Street research report from an analyst named Gil Lurie. He would like to set the company on fire, basically saying the only way forward for Alphabet is a complete breakup that would allow investors to own the businesses they actually want, making the point that the entire business is valued on the worst multiple that investors can find. That's the search multiple. It's about 17 times. Before I get to your question on valuation, why do analysts need to assign the worst multiple to the whole business? There's a lot of smart people looking at Google, and I assume some of you can do math.

David Meier: [laughs] That is essentially the average. One way you could go about valuing Google/Alphabet is value the search business, which is by far the biggest business, generates the most cash flow, has the most uncertainty around it today. What is AI search going to bring in the uncertain macro environment? Is search going to go down? Is it a commodity now? There's all things facing the search business, but they have many other segments. What this analyst is basically saying is, hey, these other segments deserve higher multiples. Well, maybe that's true. As an analyst, you could do that yourself and say, YouTube is worth this. The Cloud business is worth that. The chip business is worth something else. If you think that as a whole, the business should be trading at maybe 24 times a weighted average multiple instead of 16, as an analyst, you can say that. The challenge, in my opinion, in breaking this up, is where do these companies get their capital from? All of them need investment capital in order to operate, and a lot of that comes from search. While I understand that breaking everybody up could unlock a lot of value, if you look at the most recent breakup of a very large company, go to GE. General Electric has split into GE Aero, GE Vernova which is the energy business and GE Healthcare.

That had a conglomerate discount, and it took years to divide that business up. Now, the sum of those parts is greater than the previous whole. But it's not necessarily easy for those companies to operate on their own. Again, the internal capital allocation process is taking a lot of cash flow that comes from search and putting it in new businesses, making new investments, making new moonshots. Is moonshots a thing still associated with Google?

Ricky Mulvey: We can count Waymo. They got self driving stuff going on.

David Meier: There's all sorts of stuff. While I understand breaking it up could unlock a lot of value, I also am sympathetic to the idea that, hey, most of the capital comes from search. If you put these businesses on their own, does that mean they have as much capital as they need in order to grow as fast as they want? I don't know the answer to that question. It's a risk to basically set all those free as individual companies in the market, and the market might say, well, this is great, but, Waymo, you need a lot of capital going forward.. Maybe I'm not going value you at the multiple that somebody else thought you were now that I can see all of your financials.

Ricky Mulvey: Let's close out with the question that introduced the show. There's some narratives going against Google right now. The search business is declining. You're doing nothing compared to ChatGPT. Your business there could become obliterated. For that, Mr. Market is assigning Alphabet a lower than average earnings multiple about 17 times. David, that is what Kroger trades at. A very mature grocery store business. Here, you have Google, which still dominates the search market. It's got a growing Cloud business. It owns YouTube, which is the biggest streaming service anywhere. It's free, but we can set that aside for now. I've got this company on my watch list. Should I pick up some shares while Alphabet's in value town? Are we looking at a falling knife here?

David Meier: Me personally, as someone who I've followed this company for a long time. I'm in agreement with you. I think shares are probably undervalued, but they're probably a little undervalued for a reason, and that's because there's a lot of risk and uncertainty that's ahead of the company in the short term. If you have a case where the lawsuits don't have a big impact, if there's not a call for a breakup by the FTC, if the other businesses that are growing, again, the ones we mentioned, YouTube, GCP, things like that. If they have all of the earnings power that this analyst thinks they do, eventually the market will be able to see through all of it and figure out what's the right multiple. I just personally think this is a phenomenal business generates significant cash flow. They have multiple ways that they can reinvest that cash flow. It's probably a little undervalued today. Even as a conglomerate.

Ricky Mulvey: We'll leave it there. David Meier, thank you for your time and your insight.

David Meier: Thank you so much, Ricky. This was a lot of fun.

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All without the complex paperwork, massive down payments, and soul sucking landlord duties. Visit fundrise.com/fool to explore the portfolio, check out historical returns, and see just how much easier investing in real estate can be. Carefully consider the investment objectives, risks, charges, and expenses of the Fundrise Flagship Fund before investing. This and other information can be found in the funds perspective at fundrise.com/flagship. This is a paid advertisement. Up next, Robert Brokamp joins me for a look at bonds and what investors should consider before adding them to their portfolios. Investors own bonds for safety and income, but recent history has occasionally told a different story. The total return from the overall bond market has been flat to slightly negative over the past five years. That's if you bought into this safe investment as COVID kicked off. Over the past few years, investors in bond funds have experienced unexpected and historically steep declines. In 2022, the Vanguard total bond market ETF lost about 13%. Bro, that is nothing for a growth stock investor, but this could spook anyone who's closer to retirement.

Robert Brokamp: Yeah, and 2022 was probably the worst year for the stock market in US history. It was quite notable. The main cause of the declines has been the rise of interest rates. If you go back to 2020 in the middle of the pandemic, the 10 year treasury yielded an astounding 0.5%. But over the last few years, it has risen to almost 5%, reaching that in 2023. It's fallen down a bit back, but it's still at around 4.5%. When rates go up, the value of existing bonds go down. Why? Well, if you had bought a 10 year treasury back in 2020, that yielded 0.5%. It's now less attractive because after all, who would want 0.5% yield if 4.5% is now available? The price of the 0.5% treasury has to adjust downward. However, there's good news. The price of that bond will return to its par value as it gets closer to maturity as long as the issuer, in this case, uncle Sam, is still in business, so the price decline won't last forever.

Ricky Mulvey: Unfortunately, that same dynamic may not play out in a bond fund, which could hold hundreds or even thousands of bonds with different maturities and credit ratings that are constantly being bought and sold. But you can get varies with your 12 month trailing yield, your 30 day SEC yield, or your weighted average coupon rate. One solution is to buy individual bonds instead of bond funds. However, it's not as simple as it sounds, so Bro's got a few tips starting with invest enough to be diversified.

Robert Brokamp: There's one rule of thumb that says you shouldn't attempt to construct your own bond portfolio unless you have at least $50,000 to invest. That's because the issuers, whether it's corporations, municipalities, foreign governments, they can all go bankrupt and default on the debt. That doesn't mean you'll lose everything, actually. Investors typically recover 40% to 60% of the original value of the bonds after a company restructures, gets liquidated, but it usually takes a while for investors to get some money back. You want to spread your bond books around. When it comes to investing in stocks, we hear at the Fool generally say you shoul down at least 25 companies, and that's probably a good starting point for bonds as well. Though if you invest in really really safe bonds, you can get away with a smaller number. For example, you can feel more secure with a smaller bond portfolio or a smaller number of issuers if you invest primarily in US treasuries, which are still considered among the safest investments in the world.

Ricky Mulvey: Fledgling casino developers may not like this tip, but Number 2, stick to investment-grade bonds.

Robert Brokamp: To minimize the risk of buying bonds from a company that may go belly up, you want to stick with investment grade issuers, and those are rated Bbb or higher by standard and Poors or Baa or higher by Moody's. According to fidelity, here, the 10 year default rates on bonds of different ratings from 1970-2022 as rated by Moody's. Tripple A bonds have a default rate of only 0.34%, so pretty darn safe. Investment grade 2.23%. Speculative grade, high yield junk, whatever you want to call it, 29.81%. That's a high default rate, which is why they pay such high yields. But even if you stick with investment grade, there's still the risk of default. In fact, if you own individual bonds long enough, you probably will see a couple of defaults. It's still important to diversify your bond portfolio, but you can mitigate that whole default risk by choosing highly rated bonds.

Ricky Mulvey: Next up, find out whether the bond can be called.

Robert Brokamp: Every bond has a set maturity rate, but many can be called before then. What happens is that a company decides to pay off its bondholders before maturity. You bought, let's say, a 10 year bond, but then it got called five years in. Why did they do that? It's usually because interest rates have dropped or the bonds credit rating has improved. It allows the issuer to redeem the old bonds, issue new ones at lower rates. Unfortunately, that leaves investors left with having to reinvest the money at lower rates. You want to make sure you know beforehand whether the bond you're going to buy is callable, and if so, what the yield will be. You'll often see at the quotes, you'll see either the yield to call, YTC, or the yield to worst, YTW, and that's what you'd receive if it does get called. By the way, another benefit of treasuries is that they're not callable.

Ricky Mulvey: This next one gets a little tricky if you like owning investments in standard brokerage accounts, Bro, but pursue the primary market.

Robert Brokamp: When bonds are first sold to investors, what is known as the primary market, they're usually sold in $1,000 increments and will be worth $1,000 when they mature. This is known as their par value. But once a bond is issued, it trains on an exchange. This is known as the secondary market. At that point, a bond rarely trades for $1,000. The price is going to either be higher or lower, depending on changes in interest rates and what's going on with the company, maybe what's going on with the economy. If you buy a bond that is below or above its par value, this is going to add a layer of tax complexity because when the bond matures for $1,000, you're either going to receive less or more than you paid for it. This is a really complicated topic, but in most situations these days, investors are buying bonds at a discount, meaning they're paying, let's say, 950 bucks for a bond that will eventually mature in 10,000.

That $50 difference is going to be taxed as ordinary income in most situations, not as a capital gain. You can avoid all this tax complexity if you buy bonds right when they're issued in the primary market and then hold to maturity. That said, buying bonds in the primary market isn't easy. You're going to increase your chances by having an account with a brokerage that underwrites a lot of bond offerings. Some of the bigger discount brokers also have access to some primary offerings, but you might want to check with them beforehand to see how big that inventory is going to be.

Ricky Mulvey: If you want to play this game, you got to know what you're buying. Understand how bond prices and yields are quoted.

Robert Brokamp: Now, if you've never seen the quote for a bond, it's going to look a little interesting to you because despite being typically worth $1,000 at issue and at maturity, bond prices are quoted in a different way. You basically move the decimal point to the left. A quote for 99.616 for a bond indicates that the bond is being offered for $996 and 16 cents. You'll likely see both the coupon and the yield quoted. The coupon was the interest rate on the day the bond was issued. But once the bond begins trading and moving above or below its par value, the yield is a more accurate representation of what you'll actually receive as a percentage of what you paid for the bond. Then finally, most bonds pay interest twice a year. When you buy a bond in the secondary market, you'll owe accrued interest to the previous owner for the time she or he owned the bond in between payments, but then you'll get the full six months worth of interest during the next payment, even though you only owned the bond for maybe less than six months.

Ricky Mulvey: Bro, our engineer Rick Angol was asking for more excitement before we started recording in our segments. Really I think he's getting it with understanding how bond prices in yields are quoted. Let's keep going with the tip of buying directly from Uncle Sam.

Robert Brokamp: You can buy savings bonds, treasuries, I bonds, treasury inflation protected securities, otherwise known as tips, directly from the government, commission free @treasurydirect.gov. It's a really convenient way to buy treasuries. Unfortunately, it can only be done in taxable accounts because the government isn't set up to serve as a custodian for IRAs. But the consolation here might be that interest from treasuries is actually free of state and local income taxes, so that makes them somewhat more compelling. Also, in the case of treasuries and tips, you don't actually buy the security immediately, knowing the exact yield you'll receive, rather, you're basically signing up to participate in an upcoming auction. Once the auction is complete, you'll be informed of the rate you'll receive.

Ricky Mulvey: Finally, you can get the best of both worlds with defined maturity ETFs.

Robert Brokamp: If you've been listening so far, you can see that buying individual bonds requires more education and effort than just buying a bond fund. Fortunately, there's a type of bond ETF that offers most of the benefits of buying individual bonds. These are known as defined maturity or target maturity bond ETF. These are funds that only own bonds mature in the same year, and that year will be identified in the name of the ETF. Toward the end of that year, after all the bonds have matured, you'll just have a bunch of cash. The cash will be distributed to the shareholders and the ETF ceases to be. The two main issuers of this type of ETFs are Invesco, and they call them BulletShares or iShares, and they call them I-Bonds, but that's not to be confused with the inflation-adjusted bonds issued by Uncle Sam. You can use these ETFs to invest in all kinds of bonds, corporates, munis, TIPS, high yield bonds. Both the Invesco and iShares websites have tools that can help you build a bond ladder with these ETFs.

You have a certain amount coming due each year, probably particularly attractive to retirees. Like all bond funds, these ETFs are going to go up and down in value depending on what's going on with interest rates in the economy, but they should return close to their initial share price, that is the price of the ETF on its very first day once the fund matures. But there are no guarantees, and this is more likely if the ETF invests in safer bonds, less likely if you're choosing an ETF that invests in high-yield or junk bonds. But the bottom line is that with these ETFs, you can get the ease and diversification of a bond fund, yet a measure of the predictability about what the ETF will be in the future, similar to what you'd get from an individual bond, in other words, most of the best of both worlds.

Ricky Mulvey: As always, people on the program may have interests in the stocks they talk about in the Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against, so don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear personal finance content, follows Motley Fool editorial standards, and we not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only to see our full advertising disclosure, please check out our show notes. Motley Fool only picks products that it would personally recommend to friends like. I'm Ricky Mulvey. Thanks for listening. We'll be back tomorrow.

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. David Meier has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. Ricky Mulvey has positions in Kroger. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Moody's, and Nike. The Motley Fool recommends GE Aerospace, Ge Vernova, Kroger, Novo Nordisk, On Holding, and Under Armour. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why GoodRx Holdings Stock Triumphed on Thursday

Niche healthcare company GoodRx Holdings (NASDAQ: GDRX) was looking spry and healthy on the stock market Thursday. Investors were happy to take a few doses of it following the company's release of its latest set of quarterly earnings, and they cranked the price of the shares nearly 12% higher. With that, it trounced the S&P 500 index; this rose marginally on the day by 0.6%.

Prescribing a double dose of beats

GoodRx, which specializes in prescription and telehealth services, saw its revenue rise by almost 3% year-over-year to just under $203 million. Non-GAAP (adjusted) net income also advanced, increasing by 5% to hit $34.4 million, or $0.09. Both results were broadly in line with analyst estimates.

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Two people participating in a telehealth session.

Image source: Getty Images.

In terms of revenue composition, GoodRx's main money-earner -- prescription transactions -- saw a 2% gain to nearly $149 million. Management attributed this to better per-unit economics and a favorable sales mix. Pharmaceutical manufacturer solutions revenue saw a meaty 17% boost, but this business is relatively small; it brought in just under $29 million for the overall top line.

On the downside, subscription revenue fell by 7% year over year to $21 million. This was because of a decline in subscription plans, which in turn was attributable to the ending of GoodRx's partnership with supermarket chain operator Kroger.

Guiding for gains

As for guidance, GoodRx left one item unchanged and raised another for its anticipated full-year 2025 performance. It's sticking to its revenue forecast of $810 million to $840 million for the year, which would represent growth of at least 2% over the 2024 tally.

Management slightly increased the projection for adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) to $273 million to $287 million. The 2024 result was a bit over $260 million.

It feels realistic to me that GoodRx is expecting continued growth; it has appealing diversification in its revenue streams and its core activity, prescriptions, should only become more compelling with the continued aging of the American population. I can understand why investors are bullish on this company.

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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends GoodRx and Kroger. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

SoFi Leads Soaring Financial Stocks This Week

The financial market made a quick recovery this week with some of the more volatile names in the industry leading the way. Wenesday's news that tariffs (outside of China) would be delayed by 90 days led to some optimism and even weak economic data late in the week didn't put a damper on the market.

According to data provided by S&P Global Market Intelligence, shares of SoFi Technologies (NASDAQ: SOFI) jumped as much as 11.3% this week, KKR (NYSE: KKR) was up 9.2% at its peak, and Capital One Financial (NYSE: COF) rose 7.4%. The stocks are up 10.6%, 7.5%, and 6%, respectively, as of 2:30 p.m. ET.

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Bouncing off a low

To be fair, the moves this week are compared to last week's market collapse. Shares are still down from the beginning of April, only 11 days ago, and have all fallen so far in 2025.

SOFI Chart

SOFI data by YCharts

With that perspective, it's hard to call this a durable rally. But investors were betting this week that a delay in some tariffs and potential deals on others would reduce the risk of a recession and therefore defaults on the debt companies like SoFi and Capital One have on their balance sheets. KKR's rise was clearly because asset values are up, and that's a big part of their fee structure.

While the short-term risk may be seen as lower than a few days ago, there are still more risks today than early this year as economists ramp up their expectations for a recession. And making matters worse is the rise in interest rates this week that could make it more costly for companies, consumers, and even the government to refinance debt. Oh, and the dollar is dropping, too.

Taking a step back

Long-term investors will want to take this opportunity to look at the long-term trends in the market and economy. So far in 2025 consumer confidence is down, tariffs and expectations for inflation are up, and interest rates are rising.

Those factors don't bode well for the economy or financial firms, so it'll be a matter of who will survive and thrive through upcoming market turbulence. I don't think we're in for major losses on loans at this point, but the risks for financial companies are leveraged compared to most stocks based on their business models, so earnings and guidance will be worth watching closely.

Ignore the volatility

As these stocks rise and fall rapidly, it's important for investors to keep in mind the long-term goal, which is to buy opportunistically when the market is thinking short-term. I think these companies will be able to manage risks better than what the market saw during the financial crisis and while the recovery may not be smooth I'm starting to dollar-cost average at lower prices. Long-term, any big dips are opportunities for investors.

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Travis Hoium has positions in SoFi Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends KKR. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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