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Airbnb's Cash Cow Can Thrive Despite Its Challenges

Key Points

  • Airbnb faces regulatory hurdles that management must attempt to overcome.

  • The company benefits from significant demographic tailwinds.

  • Airbnb is a cash-flow machine and a great stock to own.

The travel industry is a lucrative but tricky realm in which to do business. This is especially true when it comes to short-term rentals. Navigating local regulations and international expansion while satisfying thousands of hosts and even more guests are a few of the daunting challenges faced by Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB), one of the leaders in the space.

Its management is working to increase its cooperation with localities and promote what it views as commonsense regulations while maintaining its ability to operate freely. Still, in some major markets, such as Hawaii, New York City, and Paris, local and state governments have imposed stringent restrictions on how short-term rentals can be operated. Many homeowners' associations also have rules that are unfriendly to owners who want to turn their properties into short-term rentals. However, the news isn't all bad for Airbnb.

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The market it operates in is massive and continues to grow. There are also demographic tailwinds, as younger generations tend to gravitate toward Airbnbs more than their parents. Short-term rentals (labelled vacation rentals on the chart below) make up a significant portion of a market that is forecast to exceed $1.1 trillion by 2029.

Travel and tourism market by category.

Statista.

What does this mean for Airbnb? Cash, and lots of it.

Terrific business model

Airbnb is just a software platform at its core. There is also a customer service element. However, companies in this industry lack the factories, expensive equipment, and other major infrastructure that many other industries have. Property and equipment purchases are often referred to as capex (short for capital expenditures) and reduce the amount of cash a company can keep. Free cash flow is one reason why software companies, such as CrowdStrike (NASDAQ: CRWD) and Palantir (NASDAQ: PLTR), often trade at higher valuations than companies in other industries.

For instance, Intel (NASDAQ: INTC), a semiconductor designer and manufacturer, spent $5.2 billion on capex in its most recent quarter, a whopping 40% of its revenue. Airbnb spent just $14 million last quarter on capex, less than 1% of its revenue. Meanwhile, its free cash flow -- the amount that's left over after operating expenses and capital expenditures -- has soared.

ABNB Free Cash Flow Chart

ABNB Free Cash Flow data by YCharts.

The $4.4 billion shown above is 40% of revenue over the same period. A 40% free cash flow margin is an incredible figure and bodes well for shareholders.

Airbnb uses its cash to fund growth initiatives and reward shareholders through stock buybacks, which reduce the number of shares available, thereby increasing the value of each remaining share. Think of a company like a giant pizza, and every share is a slice. If the number of slices decreases, each of the remaining slices represents a larger portion of the pizza. Airbnb has repurchased $3.5 billion worth of its stock over the last 12 months, accounting for approximately 4% of its total market capitalization. It's likely to continue in this pattern for a long time, given its fantastic cash-producing business model.

Is Airbnb a buy?

Since free cash flow is what attracts me to Airbnb, the price-to-free-cash-flow ratio is my preferred metric for valuing the company. Airbnb currently trades for around 20 times free cash flow. This is well under its 2024 high of 29, and slightly below its 3-year average of 22. It is also lower than rival Booking Holdings, which trades for 23 times its own excellent free cash flow. In short, Airbnb is a better value based on cold, hard cash.

Booking Holdings is also a fantastic company and is worth having in a portfolio. However, its market cap is more than twice that of Airbnb's, which means that Airbnb could have an easier time growing faster from here. At this valuation, it is an excellent buy-and-hold stock.

Should you invest $1,000 in Airbnb right now?

Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $636,628!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,063,471!*

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Bradley Guichard has positions in Airbnb and CrowdStrike. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, CrowdStrike, Intel, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends the following options: short August 2025 $24 calls on Intel. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Airbnb's Latest Product Release Sparks Optimism Among Shareholders. Here's Why.

Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) has been teasing followers for a while about some big news coming to change the company fundamentally. The announcement is out, and it's not as earth-shattering as one might have thought. The market bought into it, though, and Airbnb stock jumped on the news.

Let's see what's happening and why the market is excited.

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Slowing demand, changing behaviors

The name Airbnb has become synonymous with vacation rentals. Although this industry has existed for a long time, Airbnb was the first complete online solution for finding travel accommodations, often in places not served by other methods.

Airbnb accommodations have many advantages over hotels. They're often cheaper, there's a wide assortment of options in one platform, and they're often available even where there are no hotels.

Management noted on the most recent earnings call that Airbnb is a flexible platform that can easily respond to changing consumer behavior. When it started, Airbnb serviced tech professionals looking for cheap bed-and-breakfasts as an alternative to expensive hotels, and when there were lockdowns, people who wanted to vacation used it to find accommodations close to home.

Person in an Airbnb guesthouse.

Image source: Airbnb.

It's going through another shift right now. Management noted that international travelers are trending away from U.S. locations, but that they account for only about 2% to 3% of the total business. Most U.S. business is domestic, and international travelers are still using Airbnb's platform, just for different locations.

That said, demand is still expected to slow in the second quarter. Nights booked are projected to moderate, mostly due to softer demand in the U.S., where there's economic uncertainty. Management is confident, though, that this is another short-term shift, and that the company has many other growth drivers. It's particularly excited about the opportunity in international, where many large cities are still a small portion of the total business.

Perfecting the core

Management has wanted to expand the platform for a long time, but it's been focused on perfecting the core business before branching out. It feels confident in that respect now for several reasons. The first is price. The platform has more details about its prices at booking, and Airbnb has removed 450,000 lower-quality listings so travelers get better values.

It's also made many improvements to the platform over the past few years, featuring summer and winter releases that make the platform easier to use for both hosts and guests.

"We spent the last few years rolling out hundreds of upgrades to make Airbnb better for guests and hosts," CEO Brian Chesky said. "It's now easier to use, more affordable and more reliable."

New booking options on the platform

Now that management believes the core is intact, it's ready to move forward. Airbnb finally released its long-awaited news last week, and it thinks that the new launch can supercharge the company's potential. Management estimates that for every person who books on Airbnb, nine people book a hotel. If it can get one more of those nine to switch to Airbnb, it can double its business.

So what's this new release? Airbnb now has services and experiences listed as main booking options on its homepage. This isn't completely new; it's been offering these extras for a long time. But they're now included as a core part of the platform.

Honestly, I was underwhelmed by this not-so-major shift. Management thinks that by offering a more holistic experience, it can create a full travel experience for guests that they won't find other places. They'd have to either deal with a tour manager, which is much more expensive, or spend a lot of time putting together an itinerary using many different platforms. This is an all-in-one for cheaper.

This shift has a very upscale feeling. How many guests will want to book a Michelin-starred chef or spend an afternoon with NFL quarterback Patrick Mahomes? Then again, if Airbnb captures this lucrative business, it could be a strong growth driver.

The market had a positive reaction to the release, especially in comparison to the stock's decline after the first-quarter report a week earlier. The stock is still off its year-to-date high, however, so it was a tempered reaction.

A long growth runway

As you might have guessed, I have my reservations about whether this is a real change or just a way to capture attention. However, I do think Airbnb has tons of future potential as it expands internationally, tries to market itself to new populations, and, most importantly, improves its platform for users. The market is there, and Airbnb is doing an impressive job gaining share without theatrics. It could be a contender for a long-term stock to own for patient investors.

Should you invest $1,000 in Airbnb right now?

Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $635,275!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,385!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of May 12, 2025

Jennifer Saibil has positions in Airbnb. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Airbnb Is Embarking on a Massive Expansion. Is It a Game Changer for the Stock?

For years, Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) CEO Brian Chesky has been promising to take the brand "beyond the core."

In his eyes, Airbnb has the potential to be much more than a home-sharing platform, and the company took its first steps in that direction on Tuesday as it launched a set of new marketplaces.

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In its release, Airbnb announced:

  • Airbnb Services, with local services like meals by chefs, photography, massage, and nails.
  • A revamped Airbnb Experiences that includes tours and activities that are vetted for quality, and Airbnb Original experiences, which are limited-edition opportunities for an experience hosted by a celebrity like Megan Thee Stallion, Sabrina Carpenter, or Patrick Mahomes.
  • A redesigned Airbnb app that allows users to book homes, services, and experiences in the same place.

Of the three of these, Airbnb Services has the most potential. This is a largely new offering for the company, and there is not an existing local marketplace for these services, which also include personal training, catering, and makeup, according to Airbnb's post.

What's potentially game changing about the services marketplace is that it is available to locals just as much as travelers since there is nothing about the services that is particular to tourism.

It's clear from Airbnb's post that these services are intended for travelers, and they will likely be marketed that way, but encouraging people to use the Airbnb app for local needs could expand the market significantly, though the company seems to want to keep the brand focused on travel.

An adjacent marketplace, which Airbnb did not launch but could come in the future, is services intended for hosts, such as cleaning, landscaping and lawn care, hiring a handyman, and the like, which would expand the addressable market even further.

The revamped experiences platform could be meaningful, but Airbnb has offered experiences for nearly a decade, so it will take more work to convince travelers to consider its experiences again.

A person lounging by a pool

Image source: Getty Images.

Is Airbnb Services a game changer?

Homestays will always be the biggest business on Airbnb, but adding services expands the company's addressable market significantly.

For instance, the global market for hair salon services is $247 billion. Airbnb will only get a sliver of that at best, but that is just one of several categories the company is competing in. Scaling up in services could take years, but it certainly has the potential to be a game changer.

Chesky has referred to Amazon on previous earnings calls, noting that company's evolution from a bookseller to a seller of everything, and the services expansion gives Airbnb the opportunity to do something similar, with a market that is essentially uncontested in the way that Airbnb is imagining it.

Investors seemed to like the move -- the stock rose nearly 1% after the announcement, closing the day up 2.9%.

Is Airbnb a buy?

The core home-sharing marketplace will remain the key to the business for the foreseeable future, but the services launch and the revamped experiences page is refreshing. It demonstrates the company's optionality and its ability to harness new ideas and launch new platforms.

Chesky is right: There is potential for Airbnb to expand its marketplace beyond homestays, but the company will have to execute at a high level both in home-sharing and its newer businesses.

The launch comes as the company's growth has slowed to its slowest rate since the pandemic, coming in at just 6% in the first quarter. Other travel companies have reported headwinds due to the weakening economy, so Airbnb could be facing a sluggish 2025.

However, the services launch shows that management is squarely focused on the long term, and its execution in home- sharing and other businesses will matter much more than the cycles of the travel market.

While the stock has been a disappointment since its initial public offering, the business is strong enough that it should outperform the S&P 500 over the long term, especially since its valuation is now looking more reasonable. The launch of the services marketplace is certainly a step in the right direction.

Should you invest $1,000 in Airbnb right now?

Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $635,275!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,385!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 967% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 171% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of May 12, 2025

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Jeremy Bowman has positions in Airbnb and Amazon. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb and Amazon. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Artificial Intelligence (AI) Investors Keep Watching Tesla for Robotaxis. But Billionaire Bill Ackman May Have Just Identified An Even Bigger Opportunity

For the last few years, Tesla (NASDAQ: TSLA) CEO Elon Musk has spoken repeatedly about his vision to turn his electric vehicle (EV) company into a full-blown artificial intelligence (AI) operation. One of the primary ways AI is expected to revolutionize Tesla's business is through autonomous driving.

Musk doesn't just want to integrate self-driving technology into Tesla cars for consumers to enjoy, though. Rather, he is looking to create a fleet of autonomous Tesla cars that people can hail at virtually any time. This initiative is known as the Robotaxi, and it's become one of the biggest sources of excitement for Tesla bulls ever since Musk gave the public a sneak peek late last year.

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While the idea of Robotaxi has certainly garnered a lot of attention, Tesla is not the only major technology company exploring the prospects of AI in the automobile market. In the piece below, I'm going to explore why I think some of the moves billionaire hedge fund manager Bill Ackman has been making as of late could spell trouble for Tesla and its autonomous vehicle vision.

Did Ackman just beat Tesla at its own game? Read on to find out more.

Step 1: Alphabet is rivaling Tesla in the autonomous vehicle market

Ackman is the CEO of hedge fund Pershing Square Capital Management. Unlike other hedge fund managers, one of Ackman's notable attributes is that he tends to keep Pershing Square's portfolio limited to a small number of stocks, generally owning positions in 10 or so companies at a time.

Since AI burst onto the scene as the market's hottest trend a couple of years ago, one mega-cap tech stock that's been relatively polarizing is Alphabet (NASDAQ: GOOGL). Some skeptics argue that Alphabet's dominance in internet search via Google could be threatened by the rise of ChatGPT and other large language models (LLMs). In addition, Meta Platforms and Amazon are becoming increasingly popular areas for advertisers to invest their budget over the likes of Alphabet-owned properties Google and YouTube.

Nevertheless, Ackman took a liking to Alphabet and began building a position in the company a couple of years ago. The obvious thesis around Alphabet as an AI play is that the company has the ability to integrate new services across its ecosystem -- from advertising, cloud computing, cybersecurity, workplace productivity, internet search, and more.

However, one area that receives virtually no attention pertaining to Alphabet's AI ambitions is autonomous driving.

Over the last several years, Alphabet has quietly built an impressive autonomous vehicle operation of its own called Waymo. Today, Waymo taxis are already serving customers in major metropolitan areas, including Phoenix, San Francisco, Los Angeles, and Austin.

A person hailing a ride on Uber.

Image source: Getty Images.

Step 2: Robotaxis could revolutionize Uber's business

Earlier this year, Ackman took to social media platform X (formerly Twitter) in which he revealed that Pershing Square took a position in ride-hailing leader Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER). Similar to Alphabet, Pershing Square's investment thesis around Uber primarily revolved around the company's valuation relative to its growth profile. While the firm thinks Uber's global scale and diversified services operation provide the company with a unique ability to expand profit margins over the coming years, there is a more subtle tailwind that could accelerate its growth as well.

According to Pershing Square's annual investor presentation from February, autonomous vehicle developers may choose to partner with taxi operations, such as Uber, due to the company's existing base of 170 million customers worldwide. In other words, Uber's value proposition is that it already has an enormous, sticky base of consumers that autonomous vehicle businesses wouldn't need to try and acquire themselves. In addition, Pershing Square's stance is that as autonomous vehicle fleets scale and become more mainstream, this dynamic provides an opportunity for the entire rideshare market to expand as well.

You might wonder how autonomous vehicles could benefit Uber's business. Think about other service-oriented businesses that act as distributors. Airbnb doesn't build its own physical infrastructure, unlike hotels. Rather, it serves as a platform on which consumers can book a trip, and Airbnb makes money by brokering that transaction.

In the same way, Uber does not need to spend billions building its own fleet of autonomous vehicles. Rather, it can strike partnerships with other companies developing self-driving technology and simply serve as a distribution channel. This mitigates a lot of risk, as Uber stands to benefit from a number of different companies that may choose to leverage its platform for a robotaxi service. Meanwhile, if Tesla does not pull off its goals in autonomous driving or fails to scale its own fleet, the company will likely be in a tough position in terms of growth opportunities.

Step 3: Hertz could be the missing piece to Ackman's autonomous vehicle vision

Just a few days ago, Ackman took to X again to reveal Pershing Square's latest big move: building a position in car rental stock Hertz (NASDAQ: HTZ). Once again, Ackman provided a long list of detailed financial analyses in his post and made the case for why he thinks Hertz is trading for a great value.

However, there was a sentence in the last paragraph of the post that really caught my eye.

Ackman wrote, "What if Uber partnered with Hertz on an AV [autonomous vehicle] fleet rollout over time?"

Such an idea could make a ton of sense. By merging car rentals, ride-hailing, and autonomous vehicle technology, Hertz could transform into a robotaxi operation of its own. Instead of relying on foot traffic for its services at airports and other venues, Hertz could rent self-driving cars (perhaps from Waymo) on the Uber app. As a result, Hertz removes the variability of the middleman (human drivers) but still benefits from a consistent flow of renters via Uber's installed base. In turn, Hertz could unlock steadier revenue streams and improve its unit economics on its existing vehicle infrastructure.

Ackman could be triangulating an AI trade for the ages

Admittedly, the idea of a three-way partnership between Alphabet (Waymo), Uber, and Hertz might seem like a pipe dream. But remember, Ackman is an activist investor -- often working with a company's executive leadership to identify ways to improve profitability and scale the overall operation.

Given his public statements, I think it's reasonable to say that Pershing Square could see Alphabet, Uber, and Hertz as a cheaper way to invest at the intersection of AI and autonomous driving compared to Tesla and its lofty valuation.

But at a deeper level, I think Ackman could be in the early stages of triangulating an AI trade for the record books. Should Waymo, Uber, and Hertz go on to work together in the world of autonomous vehicle fleets, Ackman would be in a position to benefit from three different opportunities -- as opposed to betting the farm on just one player such as Tesla.

Should you invest $1,000 in Alphabet right now?

Before you buy stock in Alphabet, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Alphabet wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $594,046!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $680,390!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of April 21, 2025

Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Tesla, and Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

2 Magnificent Stocks Near 52-Week Lows

A stock trading at a 52-week low is simply when the stock price is at its lowest point of the past 12 months. While this indicator does not guarantee that a stock is set to rebound and do well for shareholders, it can pay to look at a basket of 52-week low stocks and see if there are any high-quality businesses getting thrown out with the bath water. You might find some cheap stocks to buy for your portfolio.

As of this writing on April 23, few stocks are trading at their 52-week lows due to the massive broad market bounce we've seen in the last two weeks as investors try to navigate the tariff-based economic uncertainty. But there are a few strong growth stocks near their 52-week lows that look promising for investors who plan to buy and hold for many years. Here's why Coupang (NYSE: CPNG) and Airbnb (NASDAQ: ABNB) are two magnificent stocks to buy that fit this criterion.

Where to invest $1,000 right now? Our analyst team just revealed what they believe are the 10 best stocks to buy right now. Continue »

CPNG Chart

CPNG data by YCharts

Coupang's growing market share

E-commerce has been a massive tailwind for innovative businesses, such as Amazon, that are able to take advantage of this shift in consumer spending. Coupang is an Amazon clone taking over the South Korean market. In fact, one might argue that Coupang has a better e-commerce value proposition than Amazon.

Subscribers to Coupang's Rocket Wow service get free same-day and next-day delivery when ordering by midnight the night before, discounts on food delivery, fresh groceries delivered in hours, and streaming video options. The service is so good, Coupang representatives will even change your tires and install household appliances for free, as long as the products are ordered on the Coupang marketplace, of course.

Most households in South Korea now use Coupang. It generates $30 billion in annual revenue and $1 billion in free cash flow, even as it expands into new countries such as Taiwan and reinvests heavily to improve its offering with add-on services such as the luxury marketplace Farfetch it acquired on the cheap.

Gross profit increased 29% year over year last quarter, excluding changes in foreign currency conversions and inorganic revenue from acquisitions, an impressive growth rate for such a large company. At still a small percentage of overall retail spending in South Korea, I believe there is plenty of room for Coupang to keep growing quickly, especially when you include the expansion into Taiwan.

At today's price of around $22.50, Coupang is only slightly above its 52-week low of $19.76 hit earlier this year. At a market cap of just $41 billion and a long runway to grow its $30 billion in annual revenues, Coupang stock looks like a magnificent steal at today's prices.

Airbnb's expansion plans

Airbnb is a well-known brand around the world, with hundreds of millions of people trying its home-sharing marketplace as an affordable or unique way to travel. Over the years, it has become an increasingly important piece of the global travel pie. Last year, $81.8 billion was spent on the Airbnb marketplace, up 12% year over year.

Growth should continue from this original concept for years, even in Airbnb's more mature markets like North America and Western Europe. The concept is still only a small sliver of the gigantic global travel market. However, to supercharge growth in the years to come, Airbnb is deliberately expanding its marketplace, both geographically and with the products offered to customers.

Management is now custom-tailoring the Airbnb marketplace to unique travel markets such as Japan and Brazil, which is leading to fast growth in these regions. Latin America and Asia Pacific both saw 20%+ growth in nights and experiences booked in Q4 of last year, which is faster than overall Airbnb growth. On top of this global expansion, Airbnb has been prepping for years to add on new services to its marketplace. These will be new products for both guests and hosts on the Airbnb platform, and could possibly include travel packages, cleaning services, and other add-ons to improve the value proposition for both sides of the marketplace.

These growth prospects make Airbnb a great stock to buy at its current price of $118, not far off its 52-week low of $105.69. You can buy Airbnb stock at a reasonable price and hold it in your portfolio for the long term.

Should you invest $1,000 in Airbnb right now?

Before you buy stock in Airbnb, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Airbnb wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $591,533!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $652,319!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 859% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 158% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks »

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 21, 2025

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Brett Schafer has positions in Amazon and Coupang. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Airbnb and Amazon. The Motley Fool recommends Coupang. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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