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Received today β€” 20 June 2025

Are You Really Ready to Start Collecting Social Security? 4 Signs It Might Be the Perfect Time

Social security. It's quite the topic. There are debates on whether it will survive over the long term. There are debates over how it should work. What's clear, though, is there are advantages and disadvantages in regards to when is the ideal time to take Social Security benefits. Trying to figure out when the right time is for you? These four criteria might help you out.

1. Have you reached full retirement age?

To make the most of your Social Security benefits, reaching your full retirement age is the ticket. Your full retirement age is the point at which you're eligible to receive 100% of your earned Social Security benefit. While dependent on your birth year, it's typically at 66 or 67 for most people right now.

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Why is this important? Because if you collect before your full retirement age, your monthly benefit is permanently reduced by up to 30% if you start at 62. If you've hit full retirement age and you're not planning to delay until age 70, this might be your ideal window to start.

2. You've stopped working or have minimal income

A major factor that can make the decision for you is your other sources of income. If you have the financial means to hold off on Social Security until you can receive full benefits, that might be the more beneficial route. If, however, you are out of work or simply don't have enough saved to cover your living expenses, it might make sense to take Social Security early in order to improve your quality of life or sustain it.

One major factor to consider is your current employment status. If you collect benefits before your full retirement age and still earn income from work, your benefits could be temporarily reduced. In 2025, for example, if you're under full retirement age and earn more than the annual earnings limit ($22,320 in 2024), Social Security will withhold $1 for every $2 earned above that limit.

Hundred dollar bills and a Social Security card.

Image source: Getty Images.

3. Early retirement and longevity

When learning about Social Security, retirement planning is a significant factor. Don't feel like waiting to start your golden years? Perhaps taking your benefits early is the right decision for you. If you can swing it financially, taking your benefits now, rather than later, could give you the ability to travel, play golf, or whatever else you fancy.

Using Social Security benefits to avoid drawing down your retirement accounts too quickly can be a smart financial move. It may also help reduce your risk of outliving your savings over the long term.

The other factor to consider here is life expectancy. It's the thing that none of us want to think about. How long are we going to live? This is a major factor when considering Social Security benefits. In 2023, the average life expectancy in the United States was 78.4. So if you hold out to 70 to maximize benefits, most of us have less than a decade to enjoy it.

If you are in good health, or blessed with good genes, it might make sense to hold out to maximize total benefits. If, however, you have an illness, or don't have a family track record of living into your 70s or 80s, it might make good sense to claim your benefits so that you can make the most of them while you can.

4. You've coordinated benefits with your spouse

If you're married, your decision to collect Social Security has a ripple effect. Spousal and survivor benefits are tied to your claiming age, which means starting early can reduce what your spouse is entitled to down the road. But there are times when it makes sense for one spouse to claim early while the other delays to maximize the overall household benefit.

If you've talked it through and developed a joint strategy with your spouse -- or your financial advisor -- and claiming now aligns with that plan, it could be the right time.

It's a big decision

Starting Social Security is a big decision with long-term implications. It's not just about numbers -- it's about timing, needs, and your personal retirement goals. If any of these four signs apply to you, it might be the perfect moment to start collecting benefits and enjoy the next chapter of life with a little more financial peace of mind.

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Received yesterday β€” 19 June 2025

Down 13%, Is Stitch Fix a Buy?

Stitch Fix (NASDAQ: SFIX) reported some tough results in its latest fiscal quarter. While revenue was positive and losses better than the previous trend, it's still hard to say that Stitch Fix is a good buy.

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Down more than 13% recently, investors seem to be noticing the trend of declines in clients, which will make it harder for the subscription clothing service to grow revenue over the long term.

Person holding shirt over face.

Image source: Getty Images.

The revenue gains are undermined by the number of declining customers

For Stitch Fix to grow, it has to increase its customer base. The opposite happened in its most recent quarter, with active clients decreasing by 10.6% year over year, and 0.8% quarter to quarter. In all, Stitch Fix's fiscal third-quarter revenue increased 0.7% year over year to $325 million.

The problem is that revenue was gained by increasing net revenue per active client by 3.2% to $542 per person. Short term, this certainly works. Long term, it's not a promising proposition. You can only derive so much revenue from a declining client base over time.

Total revenue increased slightly for the quarter, but if you look at the first nine months of the fiscal year, revenue was down from roughly $1.06 billion, to $956 million year over year.

Looking ahead

For fiscal year 2025, of which there is only one quarter left, guidance is calling for net revenue of $1.245 billion to $1.26 billion, which would be a 6.2% to 5.9% decline from the year before. It follows a troubling trend for Stitch Fix. The subscription clothing service has seen its top line deteriorate annually for three years in a row, and fiscal 2025 doesn't look like it's going to be any different.

If the client base keeps shrinking, it's very hard to be bullish on this stock. The annual losses are also a headache for the company as it tries to grow.

To be fair, things were much better through the first nine months of fiscal 2025. Total net losses were $20.16 million through the first three fiscal quarters, whereas things were much higher at $92.34 million the year before. This was encouraging news, and definitely something to make shareholders happy. But I still don't see how a trend toward profitability can carry over the long term if the number of customers remains in decline.

I will extend an olive branch where it's due: Under CEO Matt Baer, the company finally reported revenue growth in the most recent quarter. The game plan seems to be to focus on increasing personalization, but to this point, that hasn't brought in new customers.

This is not an easy concept

This seems like a wait-and-see stock. Until it rights the ship in terms of clients, there's danger here. The stock is down 82% over the last five years for a reason, and compared to a gain of nearly 98% for the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC), it doesn't seem like a great buy.

A contraction in clients cannot be ignored, and there's some logic behind it. The concept of having clothes chosen for you might not appeal to a broad audience. People like to pick their own things.

This is a tricky concept to execute. Not only do you have to pick things that people will actually like, you have to get the sizing right as well, lest you end up with tons of returns. That, to me, might be one of the reasons that the number of clients is in decline.

The one thing that might counter the negative sentiment, given the weakening client base, would be a shift to profitability. But estimates aren't calling for that in the near future.

Analyst estimates are predicting that earnings will remain negative all the way into fiscal 2027, with a loss of $0.10 per share that year. To me, it's difficult to remain overly motivated to buy Stitch Fix stock when you're looking at that long a time frame without profitability, combined with the fact that there's weakening customer interest.

I reiterate that it's going to be difficult to drive top-line growth over the long term if the total number of customers declines. For now, I think this is definitely a wait-and-see stock.

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David Butler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool recommends Stitch Fix. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Received before yesterday

Down 20%, Is Lululemon a Buy?

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Lululemon (NASDAQ: LULU) shares dropped roughly 20% in value last week after the company delivered an earnings report that included less enthusiastic earnings expectations for the year. While its revenues are still expected to be relatively in line with previous guidance, the added costs that tariffs will impose led management to dial back earnings estimates, causing the market to hit the stock pretty hard.

To be fair, Lululemon has historically been a fairly expensive stock, and companies need to produce solid results if they want to sustain higher valuations.

Lower guidance

Arguably the biggest factor impacting Lululemon shares right now is the guidance cut. Yes, the apparel retailer beat estimates for the first quarter, but management nonetheless reduced earnings per share (EPS) expectations for the year to a range of $14.58 to $14.78 compared to previous guidance of $14.95 to $15.15.

As with most things these days, the weaker outlook is largely due to President Donald Trump's tariffs. Clothing companies like Lululemon largely hire overseas subcontractors to do the manufacturing of their clothes, which puts them in the crosshairs of Trump's policies. When I wrote about Lululemon in April, I noted that the tariffs Trump was imposing on Vietnam would impact 40% of Lululemon's production. Though those new taxes are currently paused, the president set the tariff rate on imports from that country at 46%.

Woman sitting doing exercise

Image Source: Getty Images

Despite a 7% increase in revenue, Lululemon's earnings fell year over year in its fiscal 2025 first quarter. For the period, which ended May 4, net income was $314 million compared to $321 million a year earlier; a lower overall share count was responsible for its EPS growth. According to CNBC, comp sales increased a mere 1% compared to Wall Street's expectations for a 3% increase.

From what I can see, Lululemon has two main problems. Its costs of production will rise due to tariffs while the premium prices it charges for its goods could be putting a damper on its sales, especially in the United States, where recent Commerce Department reports have shown weak consumer spending growth.

Valuation

One positive that can be pointed out for the stock is its now-lower valuation. According to fullratio.com, Lululemon has historically averaged a P/E ratio of around 42. After the stock's latest pullback, investors can pick up shares for a mere 17 times earnings. Based on the low end of the company's new guidance for 2025, the stock is trading at roughly 18 times forward earnings. But are these valuations low enough to make the stock a buy?

Previously, my stance was that the market conditions Lululemon faces make it a stock to avoid for the time being. That's still my view. CFO Meghan Frank said that the company plans to make some "strategic" price increases on certain items to pass their tariff costs along to their customers. However, I don't see how the company can keep raising prices on what are already $100 leggings. Granted, Lululemon has really branched out into different categories, even offering golf-oriented apparel, but I still think that any price increases will be a problem at a time when U.S. consumers are tightening their belts. The combination of high tariffs and reduced consumer discretionary spending is going to pressure apparel brands like Lululemon and Nike (NYSE: NKE). Until those headwinds abate, there isn't going to be much momentum here.

As a final note, I would also add that Lululemon operates in a highly competitive area of the apparel industry. It's constantly vying for market share and consumer attention with the likes of Nike, Gap (NYSE: GAP), and others. In the end, prices do matter in that fight.

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David Butler has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Lululemon Athletica Inc. and Nike. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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