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Materion (MTRN) Q2 2025 Earnings Call Transcript

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Image source: The Motley Fool.

DATE

Tuesday, July 29, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET

CALL PARTICIPANTS

President and Chief Executive Officer β€” Jugal Vijayvargiya

Vice President and Chief Financial Officer β€” Shelly Chadwick

Director, Investor Relations and Corporate FP&A β€” Kyle Kelleher

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RISKS

CEO Vijayvargiya said, "there is a lot of uncertainty that's still out there," referencing ongoing tariff environment risks affecting business predictability.

Chadwick indicated, "uncertainty remains around our semiconductor sales to customers in China," due to market and policy volatility.

TAKEAWAYS

Adjusted EBITDAβ€” $55.8 million, representing a 20.8% margin on value-added sales, a second-quarter record but down 3% year-over-year due to lower volume and unfavorable mix.

Value-Added Salesβ€” $269 million, down 2% organically year-over-year, but up 4% sequentially, primarily affected by lower precision clad strip and China semiconductor demand.

Adjusted Earnings Per Shareβ€” $1.37, down 4% year-over-year, but up 21% sequentially (adjusted, non-GAAP).

Free Cash Flowβ€” $36 million, with year-to-date free cash flow conversion over 70% of adjusted net income, reflecting disciplined capital allocation.

Electronic Materials Segment EBITDA Marginβ€” 23.4% of value-added sales, an all-time high, with the segment up 6% outside China year-over-year and margin up 230 basis points year-over-year.

Performance Materials Segment Value-Added Salesβ€” $168.5 million, down 3% year-over-year and up 5% sequentially; sales excluding precision clad strip rose 3% year-over-year, led by energy and aerospace and defense demand.

Precision Optics Segmentβ€” Value-added sales of $24.4 million, down 5% year-over-year, up 14% sequentially, with EBITDA of $2.2 million or 9% of value-added sales, reflecting a 950 basis point sequential margin improvement.

Defense Market Performanceβ€” Record bookings of $75 million, over $100 million in requests for quotation, and a 60% year-over-year increase in non-US defense sales.

Energy End Marketβ€” Sales up 28% year-over-year for 2025; first-half 2025 new energy sales exceeded full-year 2024 totals.

Conasol Tantalum Assets Acquisitionβ€” Facility in Korea acquired and integrated, expanding semiconductor footprint in Asia; sample production for customer qualifications has begun.

Full-Year EPS Guidance Affirmedβ€” $5.3-$5.7 adjusted earnings per share range for 2025, supported by order growth and backlog diversification.

Capital Deploymentβ€” $26 million of debt repaid and 100,000 shares repurchased at an average price of $78 per share.

SUMMARY

Materion Corporation(NYSE:MTRN) reported a record second-quarter adjusted EBITDA margin and sequential improvements in adjusted earnings per share and free cash flow conversion. Management attributed margin expansion in the Electronic Materials segment to operational performance and cost discipline, while the acquisition of Conasol's tantalum assets broadened the company's semiconductor presence in Asia. Affirmed full-year adjusted EPS guidance reflects confidence in sustained margins, increasing defense and new energy business, and improving semiconductor order rates.

CEO Vijayvargiya stated, "Our order backlog has more than doubled in the last year," specifically for space-related projects.

Chadwick said Precision Optics achieved a 950 basis point sequential margin improvement (excluding special items), underlining the positive impact of restructuring and cost initiatives.

Vijayvargiya emphasized, "Increased level of spending that's happening in Europe," across defense markets, broadening the company’s global reach.

Share repurchases and debt reduction indicate continued focus on capital allocation optimization.

INDUSTRY GLOSSARY

Value-Added Sales: Sales excluding the impact of pass-through precious metal costs, providing clearer insight into operating performance for engineered materials companies.

EBITDA Margin: Percentage of earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization relative to value-added sales, used to assess segment profitability in materials manufacturing.

Precision Clad Strip: A composite engineered metal strip used in electronic, automotive, and specialty applications, produced through layering and bonding distinct metal materials for performance tailoring.

Tantalum Solutions: Business focused on manufacturing deposition materials, notably tantalum targets, for semiconductor and adjacent technology markets.

Full Conference Call Transcript

Kyle Kelleher: Greetings. Welcome to the Materion Second Quarter 2025 Earnings Conference Call. At this time, participants have been placed on a listen-only mode. Please note this conference is being recorded. I will now turn the conference over to your host, Kyle Kelleher, Director of Investor Relations and Corporate FP&A. You may begin. Good morning. Thank you for joining us on our second quarter 2025 earnings conference call. This is Kyle Kelleher, Director, Investor Relations and Corporate FP&A. Before we begin our remarks this morning, I would like to point out that we have posted materials on the company's website that we will reference as part of today's review of the quarterly results.

You can also access materials from the download feature on the earnings call webcast link. With me today is Jugal Vijayvargiya, President and Chief Executive Officer, and Shelly Chadwick, Vice President and Chief Financial Officer. Our format for today's conference call is as follows. Jugal will provide opening comments on the quarter. Following Jugal, Shelly will review the detailed financial results for the quarter in addition to discussing expectations for the remainder of 2025. We will then open up the call for questions. Let me remind investors that any forward-looking statements made in the presentation, including those in the outlook section and during the question and answer portion, are based on current expectations.

The company's actual performance may materially differ from that contemplated by those factors listed in the earnings call press release issued this morning. Additionally, comments regarding earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, depletion, and amortization, net income, and earnings per share reflect the adjusted GAAP numbers shown in Attachments four through nine in this morning's press release. The adjustments are made in the prior year period for comparative purposes and remove special items, non-cash charges, and certain discrete income tax adjustments. And now I'll turn over the call to Jugal for his comments.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Thank you, Kyle, and welcome, everyone. It's a pleasure to be with you today to discuss our second quarter results and provide an update on our outlook for the remainder of 2025. Our business performed very well in the quarter, delivering record second quarter margins and strong free cash flow. Although sales were down 2% organically, we experienced solid growth in aerospace and defense, energy, as well as in semiconductor outside of China. EBITDA was strong, at $56 million, and we continue to deliver margins above 20% despite some pockets of softness still moving through our top line.

I am particularly proud of our electronic materials team as they delivered an all-time high EBITDA margin of 23.4%, demonstrating the power of the work that has been done to optimize the cost and improve operational efficiencies in that segment. We have reached a new level of performance with EM, and I expect the business to deliver very good margin expansion for the full year. Precision Optics also showed a significant improvement in the second quarter as the transformation continues. Sales improved 14% sequentially, and EBITDA increased more than $2 million, marking the second consecutive quarter of improvement.

Beyond the cost structure improvements that have been implemented, the business is making excellent progress on new business initiatives that should begin contributing by the end of the year. As we have discussed over the last few quarters, cash flow generation remains a key focus for us. As evidenced by our Q2 results, we generated $36 million in free cash flow, the strongest we've seen in any second quarter. Our disciplined approach to managing working capital and pacing capital investments is driving the performance. Earlier this month, we acquired the manufacturing assets for Tantalum Solutions from Conasol, a Korean manufacturer serving the semiconductor and adjacent markets.

This acquisition expands our semiconductor footprint in Asia, allowing us to better serve the large tier-one chip manufacturers in that region and insource more of the target manufacturing value chain. This move expands our position as a leading global supplier of deposition materials. The integration is progressing well, and we have begun producing samples for customer qualifications. While the results for the quarter were very strong, there are many positive signs we're seeing in order rates, signaling promising momentum as we move through '25 and into '26. As the broader semiconductor market is showing signs of improvement, with wafer starts up and customer inventories coming in line, our order rates are improving, especially within data storage, power, and communication devices.

Sequentially, our order rates improved double-digit excluding China. Defense is an area that is getting a significant amount of attention globally, and this is leading to many new opportunities for Materion. With over $100 million of requests for quotation received in the second quarter alone, we saw record bookings of $75 million. And our initiative to grow our defense business outside the US has resulted in a 60% year-on-year sales increase. I expect the pace of defense-related activity will continue picking up. In space, we continue to win new applications and expand our reach.

Our order backlog has more than doubled in the last year, and we recently won a new application for ground station equipment with a leading US-based customer. Leveraging our larger space propulsion systems win in the US, we also secured an order for the same application for the customer in Europe. I also want to highlight our business activity in the energy end market. Our sales are up 28% year-on-year for '25. As we are growing new and existing business to meet the world's increasing energy demands, we have a particular focus on initiatives in new energy, where our first-half sales have exceeded the full-year sales of 2024.

As our business is well aligned to this global megatrend, we expect this area to be a growth driver for the company for the foreseeable future. When we released our first-quarter earnings in late April, there was considerable uncertainty surrounding the tariff environment, which we noted as a qualifier to our guidance. While much remains to be finalized, we are more confident affirming our initial full-year earnings guide despite the risk that remains. Thanks to our strong year-to-date performance, new business wins, and the increased order activity we are seeing. I would like to thank our global team for their unwavering commitment to driving our business forward while navigating the current environment.

Now let me turn the call over to Shelly to cover more details on the financials.

Shelly Chadwick: Thanks, Jugal, and good morning, everyone. During my comments, I will reference the slides posted on our website this morning starting on slide 10. In the second quarter, value-added sales, which exclude the impact of pass-through precious metal costs, were $269 million, down 2% organically from the prior year and up 4% sequentially. This year-over-year slight decrease was largely driven by lower precision clad strip shipments and semiconductor demand from China. Excluding the impact of these items, value-added sales would have been up 2% versus the prior year. Strength in aerospace and defense, energy, and semiconductor sales outside of China are driving the year-over-year sales increase.

When looking at earnings per share, we delivered quarterly adjusted earnings of $1.37, down 4% from the prior year, but up 21% sequentially. Moving to Slide 11, Adjusted EBITDA was $55.8 million or a second-quarter record of 20.8% of value-added sales, down 3% year-over-year with 10 basis points of margin expansion despite the lower volume. This decrease was driven by lower volume, partially offset by strong operational performance and structural cost improvements, offsetting unfavorable mix from hydroxide shipment timing. Moving to Slide 12, let me review second-quarter performance by business segment. Starting with Performance Materials, value-added sales were $168.5 million, down 3% year-over-year, but up 5% sequentially.

The year-over-year decrease was driven primarily by lower precision strip shipments as the expected inventory correction continues. Excluding Precision Clad strip, sales were up 3% driven by strength in energy and aerospace and defense. Adjusted EBITDA was $41.5 million or 24.6% of value-added sales, down 4% compared to the prior year period. This decrease was driven by lower volume and unfavorable mix, partially offset by strong operational performance. Looking out to 2025, we expect to see continued strength across the aerospace and defense, and energy end markets. In addition to higher volume, we expect to see continued strong operational performance and cost management. Now turning to Electronic Materials on Slide 13.

Value-added sales were $76.1 million, down 6% from the prior year, driven by lower semiconductor sales to China. Excluding this impact, the remainder of the semiconductor market was up 6% from the prior year, signaling market strength with improving demand across many subsectors. EBITDA, excluding special items, was $17.8 million or a record 23.4% of value-added sales in the quarter, up 4% from the prior year with 230 basis points of margin expansion. This record margin and year-over-year increase was driven by continued operational performance including the impact of our cost improvement initiatives, and strong price mix, despite lower volume.

As we look out to the remainder of the year, we expect the semiconductor market to improve in the second half and continue the momentum seen during the quarter. While some uncertainty remains around our semiconductor sales to customers in China, we are confident that our balanced and global semi portfolio will help offset some softness there. And as demonstrated so far this year, we expect to deliver considerable margin expansion as demand increases and the impact of our improved cost structure takes hold. Turning to the Precision Optics segment on Slide 14. Value-added sales were $24.4 million, down 5% compared to the prior year and up 14% sequentially.

The year-over-year decrease was driven largely by order timing in the defense market. EBITDA, excluding special items, was $2.2 million or 9% of value-added sales in the quarter. Approaching double-digit margin with 950 basis points of sequential improvement. The increase was driven by improving performance and the impact of the structural cost changes. This quarter brings the second consecutive quarter of improved results. We expect to continue this trend as new business initiatives advance and we continue to improve our business performance. Moving now to cash, debt, and liquidity on Slide 15. We ended the quarter with a net debt position of approximately $413 million and approximately $257 million of available capacity on the company's existing credit facility.

Our leverage remains below two times as cash flow generation is an important focus. We delivered approximately $36 million of free cash flow during the quarter, bringing our year-to-date conversion to more than 70% of adjusted net income. While continuing to invest organically, we also repaid $26 million of debt and repurchased 100,000 shares at an average of $78 per share. Further demonstrating our balanced and disciplined approach to capital allocation. As we look out to the remainder of the year, we are well on our way to deliver free cash flow that exceeds 70% of adjusted net income. With strong first-half cash generation, lastly, let me transition to Slide 16 and address the full year 2025.

We are pleased with our business performance in the first half of the year, having delivered strong results despite a volatile macro environment. And we are encouraged by improving market dynamics and new business opportunities won as we look to the second half of the year. With that, we expect Q3 will be similar to slightly better than Q2 and we are on track to deliver a strong Q4. With improving demand and the timing of defense shipments. As a result, we are affirming our initial guide of $5.3 to $5.7 adjusted earnings per share for the full year. This concludes our prepared remarks. We will now open the line for questions.

Kyle Kelleher: At this time, we will be conducting a question and answer session. You may press 2 if you would like to remove your question from the queue. For participants using speaker equipment, it may be necessary to pick up your handset before pressing the star keys. One moment, please, while we pull for questions. First question today is coming from Phil Gibbs from KeyBanc Capital.

Phil Gibbs: Hey. Good morning.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Morning, Phil.

Shelly Chadwick: Hi, Phil.

Phil Gibbs: So really strong performance in Electronic Materials in terms of their margins. Jugal, you mentioned a new level of performance and you expected for the full year. How sustainable do we think the recent quarters, you know, EM margins are? And then I also noticed there was a pretty solid sequential pickup in consumer electronics. I know that at times can have a nice, mix impact for you because I don't I wouldn't think intuitively it would've been a pickup in clad because I know that's in that in that piece. But you know, maybe talk about that holistically.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. So, Phil, electronic materials, as you know, we've been talking about that for the last year, year and a half. You know, as the market has been down, our team has done a really nice job of driving operational performance, adjusting the cost structure, at the levels that we had. What that has done now, of course, is that as the volumes are starting to pick up, we are starting to see the benefit of that. And, we started with, you know, volumes picking up in the logic and memory section, but now volumes are starting to pick up in power. They're starting to pick up in our, our, data storage.

And I think that's giving us a Certainly, you know, 23 and a half percent type margins confidence, and it's leading to these improved margins that, you that we saw here in Q2. are not necessarily the type of margins that we think we can deliver every quarter. But it's very, very encouraging for us to see this. And I think the improvement, is gonna continue. I believe that we're gonna have a good year-over-year performance and margin expansion in this business. Especially as the as the market, you know, continues to improve. So we're very encouraged by where, electronic materials is and very encouraged with, I think, where it can go. The rest of the year.

But I think also, importantly, in June as we would expect the market to continue to rebound. I think with consumer electronics, you know, what the one of the reasons that the uptick took place is a little bit more shipments for our PMI business. We have, you know, as we've indicated that our full year is in line with what the customer has communicated to us in the past, there's no real changes on a full-year basis, but there certainly is always timing issues that happen between quarter to quarter. So nothing, nothing abnormal, I would say, there, but, you know, we'll continue to drive performance, of course, across all of our markets.

Phil Gibbs: Thank you, Jugal. Appreciate that. And then on energy, you talked a bit about that in your prepared remarks. It looks up a decent bit half on half. Versus last year. And I know that there's a couple, excuse me, of subsegments within your energy business, and maybe talk a little bit about talk a little bit more about what you're what you're seeing there and what has you excited. Thanks.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. So as you know, we've had traditional energy. You know, we're we're an impactful player in the in the oil and gas market. Our content per rig has continued to improve. We provide, in fact, more content, you know, as the new drilling technologies come on board. And more and more electronics and more and more AI is implemented on the on the on the traditional energy side. So that feel makes us feel good, I think, in terms of that side of it. But last couple years, we've talked a lot about alternate energy, new sources of energy, in particular, clean nuclear energy. We've talked about our partnership with Kairos.

But in addition to that, we have a number of initiatives that we're involved in that, you know, we're not able to talk about the customer names, but we are involved in those. Here in the US as well as globally. And we're excited about You know, we're excited about where that can take us over the next three, five, seven years because as we know, the trend and the world's expectations of energy is increasing. The demand is increasing at a at a rapid rate, and the world has to be able to, conform to that demand. And I think we're a key player with our, materials in the energy, sector.

So not only are we excited about our content on the on the traditional energy side, I think we're even more excited about the role that we can play on the new sources of energy that I think, I think are coming forward. With the number of different projects that we have.

Phil Gibbs: Thank you. And then lastly for me, clearly, clearly outlined the tariff risks or potential tariffs tariff risks associated with China last quarter. Looks like you've essentially believe you've you fully mitigated that in the existing you know, Outlook and just curious from your perspective holistically, what has changed and what has, what has given you confidence in the landscape other than just the no, the pickup the cyclical pickup in the semis business overall? Thank you. Good luck.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. Well, as you know, at the time that we did our Q1 earnings, you know, there were some substantial tariff rates both for material coming into the US and material going from the US into China. Changes happened, during the quarter, where those rates were reduced, significantly. As a result, we were able to get some product out still in Q2 that, you know, initially, had forecasted that we may not be able to get out. We never really stopped producing. We wanted to make sure that we were prepared in case there were changes to the tariff environment, and certainly there were, and we were able to take advantage of those.

Now we still had some level of impact in Q2, not to the level that we had initially expected. And we expect that there will still be some level of impact in the back half of the year as well. However, I think I'm really, really proud of our team for driving operational improvements, commercial improvements to our business. So that we can make sure that whatever impact that we think we may still have in the second half of the year we're gonna be able to offset that impact and deliver our original guide. You know, our incoming order rates are up, 4% from, second quarter to the, the first quarter to the second quarter.

Non-China semis up 15% sequentially. We have record defense bookings of $75 million. Our space backlog is double what it was at the same time last year. New energy sales, which I just talked about, you know, are up. We've had more new energy sales in the first half of this year than we had all of last year. So all those types of things, I think, give us encouraging signs of where things are headed in the second half of the year, and I think where we could be positioned, you know, for '26. So certainly, a lot of hard work by our team.

We're in no way out of the woods because, you know, there is a lot of uncertainty that's still out there. But certainly encouraging to see the results for the second quarter. And what it may do for us then, you know, in the back half of the year.

Phil Gibbs: Thank you.

Kyle Kelleher: Thank you. The next question will be from Daniel Moore from CJS Securities. Daniel, your line is live.

Daniel Moore: Good morning, Jugal. Good morning, Shelly. Congrats on the strong results. Thanks for taking the questions.

Shelly Chadwick: Thanks, Dan. Good morning.

Daniel Moore: Maybe just talk a little bit more about Conasol. Us a little bit more about the facility and the capabilities you're acquiring to your deposition capabilities here in the US? And how do we kind of think about, you know, either current revenue EBITDAs or the scope of the opportunity set over time?

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. I think this is a great move that our team has been able to make. As you know, we've been talking, Dan, for the last few years about continuing to gain more capacity and capability outside the US. Particularly in our semiconductor business. You know, the largest semiconductor suppliers, you know, tend to be in Asia. We wanna be make sure we're local, and we're providing the local support to those to those customers. Conasol fits right in for that. It's a facility in Korea. We're able to support not only the Korean, chip manufacturers, but also chip manufacturers in Taiwan, in China, in Japan, etcetera.

And, you know, it really gives us a full value stream for our tantalum business. It also gives us a facility that we can build on for our other semiconductor business as well, you know, down the road. So we were able to close on that, here in the in the second quarter. Now we're really, really excited and busy about making samples and qualification products, that we can give to those many customers in the Asia region. As you know, in this in this space, of course, it takes a little time to get the qualifications done. So perhaps, in some cases, it's six months. Other cases, it may be twelve months.

We would expect to see some level of sales starting in the twenty-six time frame and the associated EBITDA with that, but it positions us very well for, I think, the general growth that we see that we always talk about for the semispace over the next three to five to, you know, to seven years.

Daniel Moore: Very helpful. And just sticking with semi, obviously, you described very well some of the green shoots and improvements you're seeing here. Or at non-China. Maybe talk about what you're seeing or hearing in China specifically and any confidence in a return to growth as we think about '26 and beyond?

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. Well, you know, first of all, to your point about the green shoots, yeah, we, you know, we started to see the green shoots in the and memory side maybe a couple quarters back. But what's really encouraging to us I think, is the is the growth and sort of the green shoots that we're starting to see on our data storage business, on our power semiconductor business, our communications devices business because, you know, that's a that's at the heart of our heart of our business in the electronic materials business. It contributes, you know, good, obviously, on the top line, but also very good on the bottom line.

So we're very, very encouraged with where things are starting to develop. I mean, we really think that trend can continue here in the back half of the year. With regard to China, you know, China, as you know, has been developing a their own semi supply chain for a number of years now. They've put a lot of effort into it, and I think they've made great progress, along with, of course, the full manufacturing or final manufacturing for the semi side. They're also doing a great job of putting their own supply chain in place.

So, certainly, we wanna be, involved in that China semi main many manufacturing over the long term, but we also recognize that, you know, there will be a competition from the local players, you know, and as they gain, as they gain speed. So I think for us, we're looking at the global market, the investments that are going on in the US, investments that are going on in Europe, and, of course, the investments that are going on in Korea, Taiwan, etcetera. And in general, we believe that semi will continue to be, you know, mid-single digits to high single digits growth market for the foreseeable future.

Daniel Moore: Super helpful. Last for me, and I'll I'll jump back. It just kinda it sounds like Philip Morris or PMI, no changes to the kind of full-year outlook. Any update on potential timing around phase two of, you know, precision cloud strip project and what you're hearing, in terms of from the FDA, etcetera? Thanks again.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. So the full year, I mean, we like we indicated, you know, we year to be in line with what we have communicated before. We're on track with that. Typically, we sit with the with them in Q3, sometimes maybe early Q4 start talking about the following year. So we'll do that, in our meetings with them and start to have an understanding of what their expectations are for the next year. Yeah. They announced last week, I mean, in the earnings call, that they are continuing to work with the FDA to gain approval.

Whether they're able to get that this year or next year is obviously, you know, discussion that they're having, you know, with the FDA and what they can do regards to that. But certainly, we are very well prepared so that once they do get the approval, then, you we're able to support them as needed.

Daniel Moore: Very good. Appreciate the color. Thanks again.

Shelly Chadwick: Thanks, Tim.

Kyle Kelleher: Thank you. The next question is coming from Mike Harrison from Seaport Research Partners. Mike, your line is live.

Mike Harrison: Hi. Good morning. Congrats on a nice quarter.

Shelly Chadwick: Thanks, Mike.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Thanks, Mike.

Mike Harrison: I wanted to go back to the margin performance in the Electronic Materials business. It kind of sounds like while you're expecting some improvement, maybe Q2 is kind of a high watermark. And I guess I just wanted to understand you know, what kind of temporary or unusual factors could be playing into the margin performance? And specifically, I was curious is the strength outside of China something that is a positive for mix meaning that, you know, some of your inside China business is actually lower margin business than outside?

Shelly Chadwick: Yeah, Mike. Let me start with that one. So you're, you know, you're hitting on some good points there with let's Materials, the performance has definitely been improving. But as you know, it's not really consistent quarter to quarter with a within a very small band as to what those margins are. And there's different factors, but mix certainly is one of the larger ones. You know, as you know, sometimes we talk about our precious metals business versus our non-precious metals business as those carry different margin profiles. But regionally as well, China is does tend to be a lower mix item.

So when our strongs are when our sales are stronger on the other items, that would be a positive mix. Positive mix item.

Mike Harrison: Alright. That's helpful. And then within the Performance Materials business and that precision clad strip business, I think we just kinda touched on it, but I was hoping to get an update on that new precision clad strip facility and kinda where we are in terms of phase two being fully up and running and kinda what that looks like in terms of capacity and utilization. And then the other piece of that is the old precision clad strip facility. Is that still producing anything for PMI? Or maybe just give us an update on where you are in the process of filling that old facility with maybe some new, clad strip business?

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. So first of let me just talk about the old, facility, the legacy facility. As you know, that facility produces some level of material for PMI. But it also, in fact, majority of the facility is non-PMI. We produce material and products there for automotive customers, consumer electronics customers, various other type of markets, and we've been doing that for years. So we are still producing material there. And it just and the reason for that is there's little different nuances on the type of material, and that facility is better equipped to produce know, one type of material versus another type of material. And so we are still doing that.

Then with regard to, I think, the new facility, like I indicated, I mean, our discussions with PMI will take place over the next, three to six months in terms of what they're looking, from us for next year. We will be prepared at whatever level that they want. Certainly, if they are able to enter the US or if they're able to enter other markets and they have an increased set of volume, we will be fully prepared to do that. You know? If they want the same level of product from us for some other reason, we'll be prepared to do that. I think, you know, our position with them is, you know, we have the facility.

We have the capacity. We have the people. And, we'll be prepared to support them as they would like. Know, once we have the discussions with them over the next, you know, three to six months.

Mike Harrison: But just to clarify, is the equipment associated with the phase two of that new precision class strip facility, is that equipment in place already, or is that are there some pieces of equipment or lines that you would need to add if in fact the orders from PMI were expanding in conjunction with, an FDA approval.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: No. The facility is fully ready. We have the equipment. It's qualified, and we would be prepared to produce, you know, as we got orders.

Mike Harrison: Perfect. And then last question for me is just on the, Precision Optics business. You have really nice sequential earnings improvement there and kind of some recovery there. Just curious, do you expect that better performance to continue? And can you maybe give us a little bit more color on how you've engineered a turnaround what seems to be relatively quickly.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. It we're really pleased with, I think, the progress that this business has made. As you know, we've had some challenges in this business. We acknowledge that. And I think we've taken strong action, including leadership change along with, I think, a number of different other you know, structural cost changes, portfolio adjustments, and so on. And we're very, very pleased with the progress that this business has made over the last few quarters. Reaching almost double-digit EBITDA margins here in Q2. We've indicated that we continue to expect sequential improvement. And so that's what we're, you know, gonna strive for here in the back half. And, of course, you know, into next year.

I would I just of the year is to drive, continuous improvement in Q3 and then in Q4. wanna remind you, Mike, and I know we've talked about this is that, you know, just a few years back, you know, this business was 20% plus EBITDA margins for us. And our goal has not changed. You know, our goal is to return the business to the that level of EBITDA margins. Certainly, it'll take some time. But we're very, very pleased with the level of turnaround that this business has, has given to us.

Mike Harrison: Alright. Thanks very much.

Kyle Kelleher: Thank you. The next question is coming from Dave Storms from Stonegate.

Dave Storms: Morning. Thank you for taking my questions.

Shelly Chadwick: Hi, Dave.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Good morning, Dave.

Dave Storms: I just want morning. Just wanted to dig into a couple of that markets here. It's noted that seeing some continued market softness. Just would love to get your thoughts on what your outlook is for that market for the rest of the year. Should we continue to see, maybe sequential growth? Or is this maybe a plateau before the next leg up?

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. Auto, I think, as a market, you know, for us has been quite challenging. The last couple of years. And, certainly, you know, Q1 was encouraging signs here in Q2, sequentially up 15%. We would expect that in the back half of the year, we would be somewhere in the flat to probably slight increases, in the back half of the year. I think this market continues to be a bit choppy. There is still some headwinds, I would say, in the European market and certainly in the US, and changes have happened between EV and hybrid and traditional ICE. And so I think the choppiness in the auto market could continue for us.

But at the same time, it's a it's it's become a smaller market, for us. So I think the impact to our company, from the choppiness is much less. You know, we're very encouraged with what we are seeing on defense and on space, on commercial aerospace, the semiconductor market, the energy market. I think we are very, very impressed and pleased with where those markets can go over the next three to five years. And automotive, we'll just monitor and, support, you know, as, as needed.

Dave Storms: Oh, that's perfect. And that actually brings me to my next question around the defense backlog. Just hoping you could give us a little more maybe texture, timeline and burn rate around that, maybe what the margins look like compared to current margins. Anything like that would be very helpful.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Well, the defense market, you know, is a very positive mix market for us. So we enjoy, you know, improved performance, I think, on a margin of a level on the from the defense market than perhaps some of the other markets. Like we indicated, we have $75 million of bookings, 30% on a year-over-year basis. For defense. So and then and then we see a tremendous number of new inquiries much more than what we have seen in the time that I have been here, in the company, for defense. There's increased level of activity, from US defense.

Increased level of spending that's happening in Europe, and that's resulting in, I think, a higher activity and certainly increased activity from some of the countries in Asia as well. Our non-US portion of the defense business, continues to grow, based on all these, initiatives. So I think the level of activity we expect to continue to increase in the back half of the year, and our expectation is to be able to make sure we're capturing as much of this business as possible. And you know, supporting our supporting our customers.

Dave Storms: Understood. Thank you for the commentary.

Shelly Chadwick: Thanks, Stacy.

Kyle Kelleher: Thank you. And the next question will be a follow-up from Phil Gibbs from KeyBanc Capital. Phil, your line is live.

Phil Gibbs: Thank you. Just curious in terms of the big beautiful bill, if you've got any tax saving cash tax savings associated with that, either year or next year?

Shelly Chadwick: Yes. Good question. So we've been going through that. As you can imagine, in some detail and taking a look initially at where we think the benefits are and maybe where we won't have as much benefits. You know, we get a lot of questions around the bonus depreciation. On the bonus depreciation itself, it possible that could give us some benefit. But it's intertwined with our FITI deductions, our foreign intangible income deductions. So we've got to model that out and really decide where we may want to take the 100% bonus versus a lower amount, but that could be beneficial, as you said, from a cash tax perspective.

But there's other areas around interest, you know, the deductions we can take there that are beneficial. And then, you know, as you know, the production tax credit that we have that we enjoy is currently now scheduled to wind down by 2031. You know, that item could change. Administration. But right now, you know, before it had no end in sight, and now it's showing that it would wind down by 2031.

Phil Gibbs: Thank you. And then you've talked a lot about the strength in defense. Obviously, it's a it's a critical imperative for this administration. Has there been any discussion around repletion of the strategic stockpiles of beryllium in the country? By the government. I don't I don't know where those inventory levels stand, but I would imagine given the activity we've seen globally last few years, they probably have not gone up. So just anything you have there in terms of, your commentary or views. Thanks.

Jugal Vijayvargiya: Yeah. Bill, as you know, you know, a large part of our defense business does rely on our Beryllium capability and, you know, what we're able to do. And so I can tell you that we are actively involved, in discussions with the defense department, but really all parts of the defense area, in the country, as well as, I think, you know, with the primes and, you know, beryllium's supply, and, and overall stockpiles, and other types of, let's say, things that are related to this without going into a lot of detail that I can't get into, but we're involved in a in really all the discussions that are that are there on defense.

Phil Gibbs: Thank you.

Kyle Kelleher: Thank you. And we have reached the end of the question and answer session. I will now turn the call over to Kyle Kelleher for closing remarks.

Kyle Kelleher: Thank you. This concludes our second quarter 2025 earnings call. Recorded playback of this call will be available on the company's website, materion.com. I'd like to thank you for participating on this call and your interest in Materion. I will be available for any follow-up questions. My number is (216) 383-4931. Thank you again.

Operator: Thank you. This concludes today's conference, and you may disconnect your lines at this time. Thank you for your participation.

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This article is a transcript of this conference call produced for The Motley Fool. While we strive for our Foolish Best, there may be errors, omissions, or inaccuracies in this transcript. Parts of this article were created using Large Language Models (LLMs) based on The Motley Fool's insights and investing approach. It has been reviewed by our AI quality control systems. Since LLMs cannot (currently) own stocks, it has no positions in any of the stocks mentioned. As with all our articles, The Motley Fool does not assume any responsibility for your use of this content, and we strongly encourage you to do your own research, including listening to the call yourself and reading the company's SEC filings. Please see our Terms and Conditions for additional details, including our Obligatory Capitalized Disclaimers of Liability.

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Boeing faces fresh delays to new versions of its wildly popular 737 Max as it doubles down on its safety focus

30 July 2025 at 12:03
The first Boeing 737 MAX 7 aircraft sits on the tarmac outside of the Boeing factory on February 5, 2018 in Renton, Washington. The 737 MAX 7 will have the longest range of the MAX airplane line with a maximum range of 3,850 nautical miles.
A Boeing 737 Max 7 jet outside the factory.

Stephen Brashear/Getty Images

  • Boeing said it will further delay the launch of two new 737 Max variants to 2026.
  • The delays come as the planemaker wrestles with a potential issue regarding the plane's deicing.
  • "We're going to have to back up and make some additional design changes," said CEO Kelly Ortberg.

A pair of upcoming variants of Boeing's most popular plane, the 737 Max have been further delayed to 2026, CEO Kelly Ortberg confirmed in an earnings call Tuesday.

Achieving certification for the Max 7 and Max 10 will be a key benchmark for Ortberg, who is approaching one year at the helm and has been leading Boeing's turnaround.

The company had initially hoped the Max 7, the shortest version of the flagship narrow-body jet, would be certified in 2022.

However, it has been constrained by work on the engine anti-ice system, a key safety feature that prevents ice from building up during cold weather conditions and at high altitude.

"Work on the solution is taking longer than expected, and we now are expecting certification in 2026," Ortberg said on the second-quarter earnings call.

The delay was first reported last week by industry publication The Air Current.

Back in 2023, the Federal Aviation Administration warned that the system could cause the engine to overheat β€” and potentially result in debris breaking off and hitting the plane.

Boeing then requested an exemption, saying an engine breakup is "extremely improbable," but withdrew this request in January 2024 as it faced a safety crisis in the wake of the Alaska Airlines blowout.

Figuring out a solution for the complex system has been far from straightforward.

Ortberg told investors on Tuesday that Boeing has been exploring different design paths.

"We found some issues with the design implementation we had, so we're going to have to back up and make some additional design changes to get through that de-icing requirement," he said.

"Basically, the engineering designs have not yielded in the time frame that we were anticipating, and so we still have work to do."

His comments came after Ryanair's earnings call last week, when CEO Michael O'Leary said Boeing's commercial airplanes chief wrote to confirm the airline's first 15 Max 10s would be delivered in the spring of 2027.

A Boeing spokesperson said: "We are maturing a technical solution that includes design updates. The modifications would be included in the baseline certification of the 737-7 and 737-10. We are finalizing our analysis and will present the information to the FAA. We will continue to work under their rigorous oversight to meet safety and regulatory requirements."

Meanwhile, Boeing is also working to certify the 777X β€” a twin-engine wide-body jet, also years behind schedule. It's now expected to enter service in 2026 as well.

"Flight testing continues with no new technical issues to report," Ortberg said during the earnings call.

Boeing reported quarterly revenues above expectations of $22.7 billion, with a net loss of $612 million.

It's been ramping up production of its cash-cow 737 Max, reaching the 38-a-month limit imposed by the FAA.

Its share price fell about 4% on Tuesday, but is still up more than 30% since the start of the year.

Read the original article on Business Insider

Could Buying Joby Aviation Stock Today Set You Up for Life?

Key Points

  • Joby Aviation's business model differs significantly from that of its peers.

  • There's reason to believe its vertically integrated strategy will win out.

  • The upside potential is significant; provided the certification process goes smoothly, Joby has a big future.

The electric vertical take-off and landing (eVTOL) market is crowded, but that doesn't mean it's a winner-takes-all scenario. Different companies have different business models with varying risks and rewards, and Joby Aviation (NYSE: JOBY) is arguably the one with the most reward and also one that's reducing its risk the most in 2025. Is it enough to make it a stock that could set investors up for life? Here's the lowdown.

What makes Joby Aviation different

It's always interesting to compare competitors across a growth industry, and doing so with Joby's peer Archer Aviation (NYSE: ACHR) makes for a fascinating comparison. The first conclusion is that they have significantly different models. The second is that the nature of their models allows for more than enough room for both in the market, and the third is that Joby Aviation is making real progress in de-risking the elements of its business that are subject to greater market uncertainty.

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In a nutshell, you can think of Joby Aviation as a "go it alone" player in the industry, backed by a heavyweight manufacturing partner in Toyota, as well as other investors such as Uber and Delta Air Lines. Its business model is different from Archer's and the rest of the industry in two key ways:

  • Joby Aviation doesn't plan to sell its aircraft and prefers to develop much of its technology in-house, having its own powertrain and electronics manufacturing facility in California.
  • As quoted from its Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) filings, Joby plans to "own and operate our aircraft ourselves, building a vertically integrated transportation company that will deliver transportation services to customers."

Both points are crucial to understanding the investment case.

Joby's in-house development

Archer, along with other eVTOL companies such as Germany's Lilium and the U.K.'s Vertical Aerospace, makes no secret of the fact that it has leading aerospace and automotive companies as partners in providing solutions. The advantage of heavy integration with established partners in developing technology is a simplified and less risky process, which, theoretically, leads to earlier certification.

A smiling investor with a laptop and rising trend lines on a virtual stock chart.

Image source: Getty Images.

For example, Archer partners with Honeywell for actuators and climate systems, Hexcel for advanced composite materials, Safran for avionics, and Stellantis (also a key investor). Honeywell is a key strategic technology partner of Vertical Aerospace and partners with European aerospace companies GKN and Leonardo.

Lilium partners with GE Aerospace in flight data management and Honeywell (also an investor) for flight control, avionics, and propulsion unit sensors.

As such, Joby's more "go it alone" approach could be deemed more risky. However, it has received significant investment (up to $894 million) from a manufacturing heavyweight, Toyota. Moreover, the Japanese giant is assisting in improving Joby's manufacturing processes and optimizing design.

A vertically integrated transportation company

Here again, Joby is different. It doesn't want to sell its aircraft; instead, it wants to handle the commercialization of transportation services itself. Again, this is a more risky business model, as it implies commercial business expertise in addition to research & development and manufacturing expertise. It's somewhat akin to Boeing or Airbus deciding to operate an airline.

On the other hand, there's a reason why Uber has invested $125 million in Joby so far: the obvious potential to integrate their services. Similarly, Delta Air Lines is investing up to $200 million in Joby to transport passengers to airports. With Delta increasingly focusing on premium travelers and looking to offer experiences that engender loyalty, the Joby tie-in is a significant plus.

Joby's eVTOL in flight over flat, sparsely populated terrain.

Image source: Joby Aviation.

Can Joby Aviation be a life-changing investment?

Given the current trends in the global economy, whereby technology is enabling fundamental shifts in how industrial and transportation companies operate (think Tesla selling direct or Uber not needing to own cars), Joby's business model makes perfect sense and has the potential to create more value for shareholders over the long term.

Meanwhile, while its peers are working with leading aerospace companies, Toyota is a formidable manufacturing entity and partner, and the Toyota Production System is the precursor to all the lean manufacturing practices successfully implemented by GE Aerospace and many others.

There are no guarantees in nascent technology fields such as eVTOL, and diversification is key when investing in growth stocks. Still, Joby Aviation is a strong candidate for an investment that could set you up for life.

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Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends Delta Air Lines, GE Aerospace, Hexcel, and Stellantis. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

3 Things You Need to Know if You Buy Walgreens Stock Today

Key Points

  • Walgreens is an iconic brand in the pharmacy space, but it has fallen on hard times.

  • The retailer has agreed to be taken private as it looks to turn its business around.

  • There's a potential post-takeover boost for shareholders, but the outcome is far from certain.

Walgreens Boots Alliance's (NASDAQ: WBA) stores dot the U.S. landscape, given that it is one of the largest pharmacy retailers in the country. But as an investment, well, it hasn't performed very well for a little while. And now it is heading into private hands. Here are three things you need to know before you buy Walgreens stock today.

1. Walgreens has been struggling

The most important thing to keep in mind when you look at Walgreens today is -- unfortunately-- its weak business performance. It really isn't unique to Walgreens; the entire pharmacy retail space has been kind of tough. However, Walgreens compounded the problem by making big investments that didn't pan out as well as hoped.

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A large red button with the words red flag on it.

Image source: Getty Images.

For example, it got into the pharmacy benefit management business only to realize that it wasn't going to be the growth engine management had hoped. It exited the space and pivoted into the emerging medical clinic niche. That, too, hasn't gone according to plan. Add in a bloated retail store base and the company is in need of a major overhaul.

It has been working toward that goal, but big revamps can be hard to do for public companies. For example, the decision to cut Walgreens' dividend to preserve cash was not well received by investors even though it will be helpful to the turnaround. Which brings the story to point number 2.

2. Walgreens is being taken private

Sometimes it helps for a company to be in private hands during a turnaround effort. That allows management to make bigger and bolder moves because it doesn't have to worry about appeasing Wall Street. To that end, Walgreens has agreed to be bought by Sycamore Partners. The deal is expected to close in the second half of 2025, with Walgreens shareholders getting $11.45 per share in cash.

That's all that investors here can expect to receive if they buy Walgreens. That's the guaranteed upside limit. Right now the stock is trading at a few cents above the takeout figure (more on this in a second). There's two big takeaways. First, Walgreens is not a long term investment because it is exiting the public market. Second, the guaranteed return here is basically zero (or worse) at this point. Sure, Walgreens is an iconic business, but it probably isn't the best investment choice for most.

3. There's a possible boost for investors

The wrinkle in this story is that Walgreens is actively looking to sell its medical clinic business. That sale will likely occur after it is taken private. And, as a sweetener for the deal, Sycamore Partners is giving shareholders a chit that entitles them to a portion of the proceeds from the sale of the clinic business. It could be worth as much as $3 per share. That could mean an additional 25% or so upside after the company goes private.

The problem with this is that there's no time frame for the clinic business sale. And there's no guarantee on the price, either. So investors could get $3 per share, or they could get nothing. They could get money the day after the Walgreens takeover closes, or they could never get any money. This is, at best, a special situation that only more aggressive investors will want to bother with. It seems likely that the clinic business has some value, but it is hard to assess what that value is or assign a time frame to the final payment, if there is one.

The Walgreens stock story is just about over, for now

Walgreens' run as a public company is about to end and, when that happens, the story here is largely over for investors. Yes, there's the potential sale of the clinic business, but the outcome there is so uncertain that the chance to benefit will only appeal to more aggressive investors. Over the long term, it is likely that Walgreens eventually finds its way back into the public markets. Hopefully, at that point, it will have revamped the business and again be working from a position of strength.

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Reuben Gregg Brewer has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Are We in a Quantum Computing Bubble?

Key Points

  • Quantum computing stocks have been on a tear this year, despite the technology's nascent scale and still speculative nature.

  • Unlike the broader artificial intelligence (AI) theme, many popular quantum computing stocks are small companies with limited traction.

  • While it can be tempting to follow the momentum, several quantum computing stocks boast valuation multiples that echo those seen during prior stock market bubbles.

This year has been tough for investors, particularly those who flock toward growth stocks. Just about every major industry has been impacted in some form or fashion by President Donald Trump's new tariff policies.

While the broader implications of these import taxes are still unfolding, one sector that has faced abnormally large headwinds is technology. For the first time in nearly three years, investing in the artificial intelligence (AI) market hasn't necessarily resulted in outsized gains.

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Nevertheless, one pocket of the AI realm that has managed to circumvent the panic-selling this year is quantum computing. As of this writing (July 17), the Defiance Quantum ETF has gained 17% so far this year -- roughly double the returns seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite.

With quantum computing stocks trouncing the broader market, now may be an appropriate time to assess valuations in the sector and compare them to prior periods of heightened enthusiasm.

A person snapping bubble wrap.

Image source: Getty Images.

What is a stock market bubble, and what are some examples?

One of the most basic mistakes investors make is assessing a company's valuation based on its stock price. In other words, if the stock price is low, an investor might mistakenly view the company as "cheap" (and vice versa).

Smart investors understand that there are far more parameters than the share price that help determine a company's valuation. Underlying financial metrics, such as revenue, gross margins, profitability, free cash flow, cash, and debt, should all play a factor in assessing the health of a business.

From there, more sophisticated analysis requires investors to benchmark these figures and their growth rates against a set of peers to get a better sense of how the business in question compares to the broader competitive landscape.

Many investors do not take the time to perform the due diligence exercise above and instead choose to follow broader momentum. Unfortunately, this can lead to abnormally inflated stock prices -- those that are incongruent with the underlying fundamentals of the business.

Generally speaking, reality begins to set in and these companies are unable to sustain their overstretched valuations, eventually leading to harsh, dramatic sell-offs. This phenomenon is known as a stock market bubble.

In the charts below, I've illustrated some valuation trends across two notable stock market bubbles.

AMZN PS Ratio Chart

AMZN PS Ratio data by YCharts. PS Ratio = price-to-sales ratio.

The chart above illustrates the price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for a number of high-flying internet stocks during the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. As the trends above make clear, each of the companies in the peer set above trades at much more normalized valuation multiples today when compared to their peaks during the internet boom.

ZM PS Ratio Chart

ZM PS Ratio data by YCharts. PS Ratio = price-to-sales ratio.

Investors witnessed a similar theme in overstretched valuations during the peak days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Companies such as Zoom Communications, Wayfair, and Peloton witnessed abnormal demand for their respective product offerings as remote work became the norm.

As the trends seen above demonstrate, however, these growth tailwinds were not permanent. Today, none of these COVID stocks are seen as compelling growth opportunities, and their cratering valuations are a sobering reminder of the aftermath of bubbles bursting.

How do quantum computing stocks compare to the valuations above?

Over the last year, IonQ (NYSE: IONQ), Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI), D-Wave Quantum (NYSE: QBTS), and Quantum Computing (NASDAQ: QUBT) have emerged as popular names fueling the quantum computing movement.

IONQ PS Ratio Chart

IONQ PS Ratio data by YCharts. PS Ratio = price-to-sales ratio.

With a P/S multiple of over 5,700, the tiny Quantum Computing business is the clear outlier in the quantum computing cohort illustrated above. Even so, Rigetti, IonQ, and D-Wave each boast P/S ratios that are either considerably higher or in line with the darlings of the dot-com and COVID bubbles.

Are we in a quantum computing stock bubble?

The quantum computing stocks referenced above are highly speculative -- arguably even more so than the highfliers during the internet era. Unlike then, today's technology behemoths, such as Amazon, Microsoft, eBay, and Cisco, have evolved into sophisticated platform businesses with diversified ecosystems.

This provides them with the scale and financial flexibility to explore emerging fields such as quantum computing. Smaller players, such as IonQ, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing, currently face intense competition from big tech -- something the dot-com businesses did not.

Given the valuation analyses explored above, many popular quantum computing stocks are clearly trading at abnormally high and historically unsustainable valuation levels. For these reasons, I think companies such as IonQ, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing have entered bubble territory.

With that said, many big tech companies in the "Magnificent Seven" are exploring quantum applications as well. Many of these companies trade for much more reasonable valuations. While I am not convinced the broader quantum computing opportunity is necessarily in a bubble, I believe investors need to be cautious and thoughtful when selecting which quantum computing stocks to invest in.

And the best choices will rarely be high-flying specialists with big dreams and small revenue streams.

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John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool’s board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Amazon and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Peloton Interactive, VeriSign, Zoom Communications, and eBay. The Motley Fool recommends Wayfair and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Alibaba Rallied Today

Key Points

  • Nvidia announced it should be able to resume shipping its H20 chips to China soon.

  • The move bolstered the stocks of virtually all Chinese AI companies.

  • Alibaba's latest Qwen models have been shooting up the open-source model ranks.

Shares of Chinese tech giant Alibaba (NYSE: BABA) rallied 8.1% on Tuesday.

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Alibaba is not only a leader in e-commerce and digital payments but also an artificial intelligence (AI) leader in China. Its open-source model Qwen is thought to be among the best open-source models out there, ranking close to or above the latest DeepSeek on independent scoring boards such as Live Bench.

Therefore, Alibaba rose today after AI chip giant Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) suggested it would be able to recommence shipping its H20 AI chips to China once again after an April ban.

Nvidia assured investors it has assurances from the White House

Late on Monday, Nvidia wrote on its company blog that "NVIDIA is filing applications to sell the NVIDIA H20 GPU again. The U.S. government has assured NVIDIA that licenses will be granted, and NVIDIA hopes to start deliveries soon."

In April, Nvidia was forced to stop shipments of its H20, which is a modified version of its Hopper AI chips to fit the Chinese market, and to apply for a license. Whether that halt had to do with the administration's negotiations with China over trade policy or not is unclear. After all, those trade negotiations are still ongoing.

Nevetheless, Nvidia's announcement boosted virtually all Chinese AI companies. Alibaba certainly fits that mold, with its Qwen open-source model being one of the best-performing models in China. Last month, Qwen's latest model leapt to the top of the Hugging Face leaderboard as the highest-performing open-source model today.

In addition to Qwen, Alibaba has also invested in an AI start-up named Moonshot. Moonshot just released its Kimi K2 AI model, which Kimi management claims tops the best ChatGPT models from OpenAI and Anthropic's Claude models in the specific task of software coding and at a fraction of the cost.

A model of the brain on top of a Chinese flag on top of a semiconductor.

Image source: Getty Images.

Alibaba should rank among the top of China's AI companies

It remains to be seen how China's AI companies will be able to compete against their U.S. counterparts, but that may not matter much in the case of Alibaba's stock, which revolves around its core China e-commerce business. As long as Alibaba has access to top AI chips and talent versus its competitors, it should be able to translate that into revenue and profit growth across its business empire spanning e-commerce, cloud, and digital finance.

Should you invest $1,000 in Alibaba Group right now?

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $680,559!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $1,005,670!*

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Billy Duberstein and/or his clients have no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Nvidia. The Motley Fool recommends Alibaba Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

AI, Superman, and Solar's Kryptonite

In this podcast, Motley Fool host Anand Chokkavelu and contributors Jason Hall and Matt Frankel discuss:

  • AI stocks in the data center space (including CoreWeave).
  • Winners and losers in energy and solar from Trump's "big, beautiful bill."
  • Ranking the intellectual property of Warner Bros. Discovery, Comcast, Disney, and Netflix.
  • Prime Day and other made-up holidays.
  • Stocks to watch.

And Dave Schaeffer, founder and CEO of Cogent Communications, talks with Motley Fool analysts Asit Sharma and Sanmeet Deo about how Cogent's deals with customers like Netflix and Meta Platforms work and what keeps him awake at night.

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This podcast was recorded on July 11, 2025.

Anand Chokkavelu: Yes, we're talking all kinds of stocks. This week's Motley Fool Money Radio Show starts now. It's the Motley Fool Money Radio Show. I'm Anand Chokkavelu. Joining me are two of my favorite fools, Jason Hall and Matt Frankel. Today, we'll talk about stock market winners and losers from the Big Beautiful Bill. We'll pit Superman versus the Hulk, and we'll of course debate stocks on our radar. But first, we'll discuss whether there's an AI opportunity in investing in data centers. Upstart data center company, CoreWeave, again made news this week this time for announcing the purchase of Core Scientific for $9 billion. This allows it to add infrastructure to consolidate vertically as it seeks to gain market share among AI and high performance computing customers. CoreWeave is just the tip of the data center iceberg. Matt, what categories of data center opportunities are out there?

Matt Frankel: First, you have hyper scalers. These are companies like AWS, Microsoft, Desha. They are companies that operate the large scale data centers. They offer computing and storage infrastructures to customers. As Anand put it, there's CoreWeave, which is one of the least understood recent IPOs that I know. [laughs] They rent out GPU data center infrastructures to customers. It's not always practical for companies to invest in all of NVIDIA's latest chips on their own, for example. That's really what they do. There's the REITs still, Digital Realty and Equinix are the two big ones. They own the data centers. CoreWeave is actually a big Digital Realty tenant. Then there's power generation. I know Jason's going to talk about this a little bit later in the show, but data centers consume a lot of power, and it's growing at an exponential pace. These chips that NVIDIA produces, they are power drains. Nuclear, especially, could be a big part of the solution, but solar and other renewables are also in there.

Jason Hall: We're definitely in the land grab phase of the infrastructure buildout for accelerated computing. I think accelerated computing is maybe a better description than just AI. We talk about the Cloud REIT large. As we see more of the companies involved start to monetize things like AI agents at scale. I think that's where these investments are going to pay off.

Anand Chokkavelu: Big question. Do any of these categories interest you all for investing?

Matt Frankel: Well, I'm well known as being the real estate guy at the Motley Fool, so it shouldn't be a big surprise, but Digital Realty is my second largest and my second longest running REIT investment in my portfolio. I'm an Amazon shareholder, and I know that's not their only business, but AWS is the primary reason I own it. I don't own CoreWeave yet, and I think the stock is a little bit pricey, to say the least. But the more I read about it, the more I'm intrigued by the company. As I mentioned, they're a big tenant of Digital Realty, so I have some exposure already.

Jason Hall: The things about CoreWeave that concern me is the stock is definitely expensive. But if the opportunity is even close to as large as we think, it could still work out, but they're going to need a lot of money to pay for what they're trying to do and depending on how much of that is from raising debt versus secondary offerings of shares, there's still a lot of questions there. But, Anand, you've given me a chance to talk about Brookfield here. [laughs] How do I not take that opportunity? But I do think that there's a couple of Brookfield entities that are positioned really well here. I want to talk about the providing the energy part of it. Brookfield Renewable is really in the driver seat here as a global provider of renewable energy on multi decade contracts. It is not just accelerated computing, it's the energy transition REIT large. We've already seen it strike big deals with Microsoft and others to provide renewable power on those multi decade contracts. The dividend is really attractive, too. BEP, that's the partnership, yields over 5%. The corporate shares BEPC, it yields about 4.5%. Since mid 2020, that's when Brookfield Renewable rolled the corporation part out and restructured its dividend. The payouts been increased almost 30%. There's a lot to like here. Beyond the yield, I think it's primed to be a total return dynamo over the next decade. If you don't want to own a company that's in the energy part, you want to own the infrastructure, just take a look at sister company Brookfield Infrastructure. The tickers there are BIP and BIPC.

Anand Chokkavelu: Of course, these aren't the only AI stocks out there. Hi, NVIDIA. Do any other areas of AI interest you guys?

Matt Frankel: I love that. You can't talk about AI and data centers without talking about the chipmakers. NVIDIA just hit $4 trillion today as the day we're recording this. NVIDIA is an amazing business, and it has more room to grow than people think just in the data center accelerator space, which is why they're getting so much attention for good reason. The market size is expected to roughly double over the next five years. That's not even to mention the opportunities they have in chips for autonomous vehicles, chips for gaming and more but I prefer AMD, which is often referred to as NVIDIA junior, but I don't think it should be. It's an incredibly well run company that's been a mistake to bet against in the past. As Intel found out the hard way, just having a dominant market share in an area of chip making is not always enough.

Jason Hall: An area of the market that I think could do really well some of the legacy enterprise software giants. I think there may be underappreciated winners from AI. I'll use Salesforce, ticker CRM as an example. It's really starting to get traction with things like it's data cloud and with AI agents. It's starting to sell. We're seeing really rapid uptake of those things and monetization. It has a benefit, an advantage over a lot of these AI start-ups that are just pure AI businesses. It's already a trusted integrated partner with hundreds of thousands of enterprises. It knows their business, it knows their challenges, regulations, opportunities and that credibility, I think, is an edge that we don't give enough credit to. We shouldn't underestimate switching costs, I guess, is what I'm really getting at. You look at Salesforce rates for about 21 times free cash flow and less than seven times sales. That's a really good opportunity. I think it equates to double digit returns if it can just grow revenue around 8-12% a year over the long term, which I think it can.

Anand Chokkavelu: We started to talk a bit about energy and the need for it with all this AI. Let's talk about the energy industry implications of the Big Beautiful Bill, which was signed into law last week. Jason, can you give us the summary of the energy portions?

Jason Hall: Summarizing anything's hard for me, but I'll try. I think the short version is the incentives for renewables, they're getting gutted, really. There's a 30% investment tax credit or ITC for short. The residential solar and battery systems portion of that had been in place to run through 2032 before gradually declining for a few years after that. That now expires. The systems have to be fully installed and commissioned by the end of this year. The commercial ITC for solar and wind projects was on a similar track, but now it expires at the end of 2027, but those projects must begin construction by July 4th of 2026 to qualify for that 30% tax credit. It also terminates the tax credit for new and used EVs, $7,500 for a new EV and up to 4,000 for a used EV. The purchase has to happen before September 30th of this year, so a couple of months. Lastly, it ends the US regulatory credits around vehicle emissions that automakers buy largely from Tesla. This is a significant and profitable revenue stream for EV makers that essentially is going away.

Matt Frankel: Jason, when you say renewables are being gutted, you're essentially referring to solar and wind, if I'm not mistaken. It's not gutting anything for nuclear power, correct?

Jason Hall: That's correct. These things you get are the pure renewables as we think of them.

Anand Chokkavelu: Let's put a fine point on this with specifics. Who are the relative winners and losers, Jason?

Jason Hall: This could be an hour long show, but I'll try to summarize it here. Thinking about the companies that are most directly affected, I think Canadian Solar, which is a large manufacturer of solar panels and energy storage, and they really largely target the utility market, but also residential is definitely a loser here. In the near term Sunrun, its business model is tied to these tax credits as an installer and to some degree, First Solar is also going to be affected. I don't think there's really any winners out of this when it comes to solar. But I think Enphase is probably still in a better position in the market may believe. Maybe First Solar as well. It's been through these battles before, and it has been a winner over the long term. If you look at wind, GE Vernova has been on a huge run. I love that business, but I don't love the stock right now. Tesla, I think maybe one of the bigger losers that investors haven't really considered. Last fiscal year, it earned 2.76 billion in revenue from regulatory credits. That's largely pure profit. Then there's also the loss of those EV tax credits for buyers. That might be offset from some incentives for US made autos that are part of the bill now that were part of the law, but I think this puts Tesla in a tougher spot. The tailwinds are not favorable for fossil fuels before this. This doesn't really change any of that. There's opportunities there, but not because of the law.

Matt Frankel: The reason I asked about nuclear a minute ago is because that's really what I see as the big winner here. I like some of the nuclear focused utility providers. Constellation Energy is one that comes to mind. One of their stated goals is to have the largest carbon free nuclear power fleet in the US by 2040. Jacob Solutions, they provide consulting and design services to the industry. Ticker symbol is J, so it's really easy to remember. They recently had some really big nuclear contract wins. I'm going to push back on Jason's Tesla as a big loser. One, they're American made cars. They qualify for that new auto loan interest deduction, so that could help offset what they're losing from the EV tax credits. They have a big energy storage business, and AI has not only giant power demands, but very variable power demands, and it's going to create a lot of need for large scale energy storage, and Tesla does that. I think they're worth watching.

Jason Hall: That's the one part of Tesla's business that's done extraordinarily well. Over the past few years, as the EV business has weakened, is that the battery business.

Anand Chokkavelu: Now quickly the big question, is solar still investable, Jason?

Jason Hall: I think so. We have a very US centric view, obviously, and the US is a massive important market for solar. But you look around the world and the regulatory environment is still largely favorable. I think if you're willing to write out plenty of volatility, that global opportunity is still really good. Businesses like Enphase, businesses like First Solar that have been through these battles before, and even a Canadian Solar, where it has a ton of projects that it's been funding to build on its books that the math just got changed for them in some big ways. The valuation is so cheap that I think that there's some opportunity there.

Matt Frankel: Taking a step back, the reason you have incentives for solar energy, for EVs, for all this, is because without them, they're not price competitive with the existing technologies. The gap has narrowed significantly, especially in solar over the past say 10 years as to the efficiency of the products themselves and just how much they cost. Eventually, solar is going to be able to stand on its own without incentives. But like Jason said, you have to be able to write out some volatility because that could be five years, that could be 10 years, that could be 20 years so eventually, it won't matter.

Anand Chokkavelu: After the break, we'll move from solar to something else that gets its power from the yellow sun. Stay right here. This is Motley Fool Money.

Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Anand Chokkavelu, here with Jason Hall and Matt Frankel. One of our Brothers Discovery's much anticipated latest reboot of Superman hits theaters on Friday. Hoping the Justice League can one day catch Disney's Marvel cinematic universe and hot on the heels of last week's Jurassic World Rebirth from Comcast. In honor of Summer movies, we're going to rank those three companies based on the value of their intellectual property. We'll throw in Netflix for good measure. Its headline this week was stating that half of its global audience now watches anime. Chokkavelu household certainly does with one piece. My kids have gotten me into it. For those unfamiliar, they have more episodes than the Simpsons. Matt, once again, your four choices are Warner Brothers Discovery. That includes the DC Universe, Superman, Wonder Woman, Green Lantern, Harry Potter, the Matrix, Looney Tunes, all our favorite HBO shows. You got Comcast with Shrek, Minions, Kung Fu Panda. You got Disney with Marvel, Star Wars, Pixar and Mickey Mouse. Finally, you got Netflix with things like Stranger Things, Bridgerton, Squid Game, newer Adam Sandler movies, and tons of niche content. Mentioned anime, you could argue whether that's niche content or not at this point. Whose intellectual property do you most value, Matt?

Matt Frankel: See, I said Disney. All four of these have excellent intellectual property, and I'll give you a more elaborate description there. In my household, you mentioned your household, how you have all these streaming things. We have a streaming service from all four of these. We have the Peacock service, which is a comcast product. We have HBO Max, which is a Warner Brothers discovery product. We have Disney Plus, and we have Netflix. Disney Plus also has Hulu attached to it. I ask myself, which is the least dispensable? I could cancel all the other ones before I'd be allowed to cancel Disney Plus for the other members of my household. Their film franchises are beyond compare. They have a much longer history of building intellectual property than all of these, especially in terms of valuables. Mickey Mouse is so old, it's not even intellectual property anymore. It's over 100-years-old, so I think it's actually in the public domain now. I have to say Disney, although it's a lot closer than I would have thought a few years ago.

Jason Hall: Yeah, if you had have asked me a few years ago, I absolutely would have said Disney, but I'm going to give the advantage to Netflix here. Let me contextualize that. I think the total value of Disney's IP is probably higher, but Netflix's ability to monetize it more effectively all over the world, I think, is even better than Disney's. I don't think any of these businesses in their studios have done a better job of making content that's relevant in more markets around the world than Netflix does. Let's be honest, I was able to watch Happy Gilmore with my eight year old son this weekend and I watched that on Netflix, that's bridging generations right there.

Anand Chokkavelu: Three things. One, Chokkavelu household is very excited for Happy Gilmore, too. Even my wife is in on it. Two, the Steamboat Willie era, Mickey Mouse is free to the world. The other ones aren't. I'm glad I'm not the only one with way too many streaming services, Matt. Let's talk about Last Place. Who are you cutting first, Matt?

Matt Frankel: Well, all those streaming services are still less than I was paying for direct TV a few years ago, so I think I'm doing all right. For me, the last place, it was between Comcast and Warner Brothers Discovery, both of which have amazing intellectual property, just to show you what a tight race this is. Comcast has universal. I was just in Orlando, and the universal theme parks are massive down there. But I have to put Comcast in last place. Just because Warner Brothers, I think the HBO Max acquisition was such a big advantage for them. They have some of the most valuable television assets of all time. More people watch the sopranos now than they did when it was originally on TV. It's a very valuable valuable asset, Game of Thrones. All these HBO shows that are among the highest rated shows of all time are part of their library. In addition to their film studio and all the other assets that we can't name because it's not that long of a show. I'd have to give Comcast last place, although, like I said, there's a good argument to be made for most of these to be in the top one or two.

Jason Hall: Yeah, I think that's fair. I agree with Matt that Comcast is the Number 4 here. But I don't think that's a flaw. It's just the nature of its business. About two thirds of its business comes from its cable subscriptions and high speed Internet. It's built differently than these other companies. I think it's fine that it's a little bit smaller.

Anand Chokkavelu: I will say, just to defend Comcast a little. I was thinking about my parents live in Florida, and it's high time we bring my two boys to Disney World or something like that. Honestly, the Universal theme park, the new one with Nintendo, Mario and the Harry Potter realm, it's close. We might we might prefer that one, but just to give a little love to Comcast and Universal. Jason Hall and Matt Frankel, we'll see you a little bit later in the show, but up next, we'll talk to the founder of one of the top five networks in the world, so stick around. This is Motley Fool Money. [MUSIC].

Welcome back to Motley Fool Money. I'm Anand Chokkavelu. Dave Schaeffer is the founder and CEO of Internet Service Provider Cogent Communications. Believe it or not, Cogent's the seventh successful company Dave Schaeffer has founded. Shaffer joined Fool analysts Asit Sharma and Sanmeet Deo to discuss how it deals with customers like Netflix and Meta platforms work and what keeps him up at night.

Asit Sharma: Well, hello, fools. I am Asit Sharma and I'm joined by fellow analyst Sanmeet Deo today, and our guest is Dave Schaeffer. Dave is CEO of Cogent Communications. He's also the founder of this company founded in 1999. Dave has grown Cogent Communications into a global tier one Internet service provider. It's ranked as one of the top five networks in the world. Dave is also a serial entrepreneur. He's founded six successful businesses prior to Cogent, and foolishly, he's also one of the longest serving founder CEOs in the public markets. We're delighted to have him with us today. Dave Schaeffer, welcome.

Dave Schaeffer: Hey, well, thanks for that great introduction.

Asit Sharma: To get started, let's jump in. Dave, for our members who might be unfamiliar with the ISP or Internet service provider industry, can you just explain what Cogent does and how it makes money?

Dave Schaeffer: Yeah, sure. Cogent provides Internet access to customers and to other service providers. I think virtually everyone uses the Internet, but rarely understands how it operates. Cogent has a network of approximately 99,000 route miles of intercity fiber that circumnavigates the globe and serves six continents. We then have an additional 34,000 route miles of fiber in 292 markets in 57 countries around the world. That network is solely built for the purpose of delivering Internet connectivity. When a customer buys Internet access, what they are really buying are interfaced routed bit miles connected to other networks. If you tried to sell a customer that they would have no idea what you're talking about. The average bit on the public Internet travels about 2,800 miles. It goes through eight and a half unique routers and 2.4 networks between origin and destination. Coaching carries approximately 25% of the world's Internet traffic on its network and has more other networks connected directly to it than any other network.

Asit Sharma: Yours is a primary network. Oftentimes, we hear of middlemen carriers in between ourselves sending that bit. Let's say I'm chatting with Sanmeet over Slack, sending him some bits as we have been exchanging through the day and him receiving that. But you are, I think we can think of Cogent as being the primary fiber that is the backbone of this information communication network, is that correct?

Dave Schaeffer: That is correct. We operate two very different customer segments, roughly 95% of our traffic, but only 37% of our revenue comes from selling to other service providers. We provide Internet connectivity to 8,200 access networks around the world and about 7,000 content generating businesses. Whether it be Bell Canada, British Telecom, China Telecom, Comcast or Cox. They could be customers of Cogent on the access side, where they aggregate literally billions of end users. Then on the other side, we sell connectivity to large content generating companies like Google, Amazon, Microsoft, and Meta, where they use us as their Internet provider. The second portion of Cogent's business is selling directly to end users. That represents about 63% of our revenues, but only approximately 5% of our total traffic. Cogent is an ISP, primarily in North America, where we connect to a billion square feet of office space, where we sell directly to end users. Then globally, we sell to multinational companies, oftentimes using last mile connections from third parties.

Asit Sharma: I always like to understand how exactly the companies I'm looking at make money. For example, for Netflix or Meta, or you pick a content provider, whoever it might be, when they work with you, explain that to me how they buy? Do they buy bandwidth in a package? Do they have a contract? How does that work? When they look to you to say, hey, we want to buy some bandwidth?

Dave Schaeffer: Yeah, so typically, we will provide them connections in multiple markets around the world. They will then have a minimum commitment level, and then above that, they pay on a metered basis. The way in which we bill is megabits per second at peak load over the course of the month. We bill at the 95th percentile, which means if you have a very spiky event that lasts less than 18 hours in a month, you don't pay for that incremental bandwidth but everything below that peak utilization, you pay a bill on a per megabit basis.

Dave Schaeffer: That is the way in which any service provider, whether it be an access network like Telkom South Africa, or a cable company like Rogers in Canada would buy from us. But for our corporate customers, the billing model is very different. For corporate customers, they typically buy in end user locations, not in data centers, and they are paying us a flat monthly fee for a fixed connection that is unmetered. I think of it as an all you can eat model.

Sanmeet Deo: There is a monthly recurring revenue that you get. It's just that with your network or your content customers, it could vary based on their usage. They could dial it up, dial it down, based on, like, this week, actually, they're dropping Squid Game, so they can anticipate they're going to need a lot of bandwidth versus maybe next month, their content late is a little lower, so they won't use up as much versus the corporate customers are paying more of a recurring, not based on volume. Is that accurate?

Dave Schaeffer: Is correct, Sanmeet. Virtually all of our revenue is predictable, even for those variable usage customers, there is oftentimes a very consistent pattern to their usage, and their bills do not vary by more than a couple percent month over month.

Sanmeet Deo: Dave, let's go on to looking at a review of recent performance. 2024 was a great year for Cogent. It crossed $1 billion in annual revenue. Can you just walk us through the highlights of your key business segments, wholesale, enterprise, net-centric? What drove the performance? Also did anything about the year surprise you as you went through it?

Dave Schaeffer: Two things. First of all our Internet based business represents 88% of our revenues across all three segments. We do derive about 12% of revenues from selling some adjacent services. Those being co location in our data center footprint. Optical transport or wavelength services and the leasing out of IPV4 addresses. We did generate about $1 billion in revenue in 2024 and 2024 was a year of significant transition for Cogent. Cogent had organically grown between 2005 and 2020 as a public company with no M&A at a compounded growth rate of 10.2% per year average over that period. We also were able to experience significant margin expansion during that period, where our EBITDA margins expanded at roughly 220 basis points per year over that same 15 year measurement period. When COVID hit, our corporate segment slowed materially because people were not going to offices, and as a result, Cogent's total growth rate had decreased to about 5% and our rate of margin expansion slowed to about 100 basis points. In May of '23, we acquired the former Sprint Long Distance Network, a Sprint Global Markets Group business from T-Mobile. That business was actually in decline and burning cash. In 2024, we significantly reduced that cash burn, and we were able to begin to repurpose some of the flow Sprint assets. In order to facilitate this transaction, T-Mobile paid us in cash over a 54 month period beginning in May of '23, $700 million. In 2024, a significant milestone for Cogent was our ability to take out much of that burn from that business and to actually accelerate the decline in that acquired business, as many of the products that were being sold or gross margin negative services.

Anand Chokkavelu: As always, people on the program may have interest in the stocks they talk about, and The Motley Fool may have formal recommendations for or against. Don't buy or sell stocks based solely on what you hear. All personal finance content follows Motley Fool editorial standards is not approved by advertisers. Advertisements are sponsored content and provided for informational purposes only. See our full advertising disclosure. Please check out our show notes. Up next, we've got stocks on our radar. Stay right here. You're listening to Motley Fool Money.

I'm Anand Chokkavelu, joined again by Jason Hall and Matt Frankel. This week's been Prime Day week invented out of thin air in 2015 to boost sales. It's almost literally become Christmas in July for Amazon, and to a lesser extent, all the imitating retailers. Got me wondering. Is this the greatest feat of something from nothing marketing we've seen? If not, what's competing with it, Jason?

Jason Hall: I think it's not even something from nothing. I think they stole this idea. Christmas in July has been around literally since the 1900. I think they're getting maybe a little bit too much credit for just being a really big retailer, smart enough to say, hey, we're doing a sale when there was nothing else going on, and people were like, oh, it's a big sale. Well, people kept coming, so it just gets bigger every single year.

Matt Frankel: Before e-commerce, Jason's right, remember the Sunday paper that had all the flyers from all the stores. They'd have their semi annual sales. The President's Day weekend sales were the ones I remember that were the biggest deals ever that really were just meant to invigorate sales in a historically slow time of year. But really, this concept has been applied over and over. Think of how many tourist destinations create random festivals in the worst months to go, like, weather wise. I used to live in Key West, Florida, and the biggest party of the year is called Fantasy Fest. It was created to invigorate tourism during hurricane season. It's a concept that's worked over and over, and this is a big one.

Anand Chokkavelu: Dan.

Dan Boyd: I just wanted to jump in here and mention Father's Day and Mother's Day. Surprised that you guys didn't mention those. We're all fathers here on the podcast, so I know that we enjoy Father's Day, but, like, come on. They're nothing. They were just created to sell stuff.

Anand Chokkavelu: You're not going to mention Valentine's Day, Mr. Grinch.

Dan Boyd: Valentine's Day has somewhat historical significance with all the St. Valentine's stuff. I didn't want to go too far into it in my grumpiness Anand, but I guess we can throw that one on the fire.

Anand Chokkavelu: Speaking of Singles Day in China. The Alibaba took that cemented in the '90s. I think less commercy, but then it became more commercy. Two other things, Sears' catalog. Let's not forget. A lot of times Sears really is the Amazon before Amazon we forget about it because we see it at its late phases. It wasn't the first catalog, Tiffany, Montgomery Ward, they beat it to the punch. But when it was going, it was called the Consumer Bible. Then on a smaller scale, I'll give one more. Just shout out to Spotify rapped. They do a wonderful job inventing a thing to get us more engaged. Let's get to the stocks on our radar. Our man behind the glass, who we just recently, Dan Boyd, is going to hit you with a question. We're more likely, historically, an amusing comment. Jason, you're up first. What are you looking at this week?

Jason Hall: How about Church and Dwight? Ticker C-H-D. I don't know if we give some of these legacy consumer brands companies enough talk. What's Church and Dwight? You've probably heard of Arm & Hammer baking soda. But they also own a lot of other retail brands. You might be familiar with Orajel, if you've ever had a sore tooth or you have a baby that kind of thing comes up. They own Trojan, which is another brand that people might be familiar with. But here's my personal. Right now, I have a cold. I'm living and functioning off of Zicam. That's a Church and Dwight product that's really getting me through. Over the long term, it's been a great investment. Over the past 10 years, the stocks returned about 10.5% in total returns. That's underperformed the market, but it's better than the market's long term average. I think there might be something there.

Anand Chokkavelu: Dan, a question about Church and Dwight?

Dan Boyd: Not really a question, Anand, but more of a comment. Jason, you forgot to mention OxiClean in the Church and Dwight product catalog here as a parent of a three-year-old and a nine month old laundry is a very important thing on our house, and I don't think we could survive without that OxiClean.

Jason Hall: I will raise your three-year-old and nine month old with an eight and a half year old who plays soccer. My house runs on that stuff. I'm with you there.

Anand Chokkavelu: Matt, what's on your radar?

Matt Frankel: Well, now what's on my radar is the OxiClean that I have in the closet right there. But as far as the stock, I'd have to say SoFi. Ticker symbol S-O-F-I. Fantastic momentum. They've done a great job of creating capital white revenue streams in recent years. The growth is actually accelerating. They recently announced they're bringing crypto back to their platform now that the banks are allowed to do so. That's going to be a big driver. Not only crypto, they're going a step further. They're going to start bringing blockchain facilitated money transfers across border for free. They have lots of big plans. They recently started doing private equity investing for everybody. Guys like you and me can invest in companies like SpaceX and OpenAI that are pre IPO through SoFi's platform through venture funds. There's a lot going on in this business, and it's still a relatively small bank, and they aim to be a Top 10 bank within the next decade.

Anand Chokkavelu: Dan, question about SoFi.

Dan Boyd: Well, absolute F to name. SoFi, just terrible. I feel like smart people like them could have come up with something better, but private equity investing is very interesting, Matt, though a little scared to me without the reporting regulations that public companies have to do.

Matt Frankel: I do think it was a natural thing, though, now that all these companies are waiting longer than ever to go public. SpaceX is a massive business. OpenAI has a, $100 billion plus valuation. There's a lot to like there and a lot of potential.

Anand Chokkavelu: Dan, which company you're putting on your watch list, OxiClean or private equity stuff.

Dan Boyd: I'm going to go with Church and Dwight for some of that beautiful OxiClean.

Anand Chokkavelu: That's all for this week. See you next time.

John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Randi Zuckerberg, a former director of market development and spokeswoman for Facebook and sister to Meta Platforms CEO Mark Zuckerberg, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Anand Chokkavelu, CFA has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, First Solar, Microsoft, Netflix, Salesforce, SoFi Technologies, Walt Disney, and Warner Bros. Discovery. Asit Sharma has positions in Amazon, Digital Realty Trust, Microsoft, Nvidia, Salesforce, Upstart, and Walt Disney. Dan Boyd has positions in Amazon and Walt Disney. Jason Hall has positions in Brookfield Asset Management, Brookfield Infrastructure, Brookfield Renewable, Enphase Energy, First Solar, Nvidia, SoFi Technologies, Upstart, and Walt Disney and has the following options: short January 2026 $27 calls on SoFi Technologies, short January 2027 $32.50 puts on Upstart, and short January 2027 $40 puts on Enphase Energy. Matt Frankel has positions in Amazon, Brookfield Asset Management, Digital Realty Trust, SoFi Technologies, Upstart, and Walt Disney and has the following options: short December 2025 $95 calls on Upstart. Sanmeet Deo has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Netflix, and Tesla. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Brookfield Asset Management, Constellation Energy, Digital Realty Trust, Equinix, First Solar, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Netflix, Nvidia, Salesforce, Tesla, Upstart, Walt Disney, and Warner Bros. Discovery. The Motley Fool recommends Alibaba Group, Brookfield Renewable, Comcast, Enphase Energy, Ge Vernova, and T-Mobile US and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Here Are My Top 2 High-Yield Energy Stocks to Buy Now

Key Points

  • The energy sector is volatile, but some companies are built to survive that volatility.

  • Chevron has a lofty yield and a long history of returning value to investors via dividend hikes.

  • TotalEnergies has a lofty yield and a business that is changing with the world around it.

Chevron (NYSE: CVX) is offering investors a 4.7% dividend yield today. TotalEnergies' (NYSE: TTE) yield is even higher at 6.3%. That compares to an energy industry average of just 3.5%. But lofty yields are just one reason to like Chevron and TotalEnergies. Here are a few more that may prompt you to buy one or both of these energy industry giants right now.

Chevron and TotalEnergies are integrated

The one thing every investor needs to understand about the energy sector right up front is that it is inherently volatile. Oil and natural gas are commodities, and their prices swing widely and quickly. That's why I prefer to invest in the energy sector via integrated energy stocks. Most conservative investors, and likely most income investors, should probably follow my lead.

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A person in protective gear working on an energy pipeline.

Image source: Getty Images.

Chevron and TotalEnergies basically have exposure to the entire value chain, from production to transportation, chemicals, and refining. Each segment of the industry operates a little differently, with the diversification across the sector helping to soften the fluctuations in energy prices. To be fair, commodity prices are still the driving force behind Chevron's and TotalEnergies' businesses and stock prices. But integrated energy companies tend to weather the swings better than pure-play drillers and chemical and refining companies.

Chevron has a great dividend record and a solid foundation

That said, Chevron and TotalEnergies are not interchangeable. For example, Chevron has increased its dividend annually for 38 consecutive years. TotalEnergies hasn't managed anything near that level of dividend consistency (more on TotalEnergies' dividend below). Part of the reason for Chevron's dividend success is its focus on operating with a strong balance sheet.

At the end of the first quarter of 2025, Chevron's debt-to-equity ratio was roughly 0.2 times. That's low for any company and is second-best among its closest peers. That gives management the leeway to take on debt during industry weak patches so it can continue to support its business and pay its dividend. When oil prices recover, as they always have historically, leverage is reduced in preparation for the next downturn.

For more conservative dividend investors, Chevron is a solid choice in the energy sector. There will be ups and downs, but the dividend is highly reliable.

TotalEnergies is focused on change

That said, I own TotalEnergies. There are a couple of caveats here, though. First, U.S. investors must pay French taxes on the dividends collected, which reduces the actual income stream they'll receive. Second, TotalEnergies has a history of investing more aggressively. That includes investments in politically volatile countries and, right now, in the development of clean energy. Chevron has largely stuck to its energy core.

The clean energy investments being made are why I've chosen to own TotalEnergies. Essentially, the French energy giant is using its carbon fuel profits to invest in the energy transition that is shifting the world more and more toward electricity. This is going to be a decades-long shift, and an all-of-the-above approach is likely to be the final solution on the energy front. However, I like that TotalEnergies is working on an all-of-the-above strategy right now.

What really sets TotalEnergies apart, however, is that it has made this transition without cutting its dividend (it has actually been increasing it annually of late). European peers BP and Shell announced similar plans and used the business shift to justify dividend cuts. Then, they both walked back their clean energy plans. TotalEnergies has, if anything, sped up its investments in the space.

In other words, TotalEnergies is executing well in a changing world, which is exactly why I want to own it for the long term.

Energy prices have been weak

The interesting thing about both Chevron and TotalEnergies is that oil prices have been relatively weak of late. And that has put downward pressure on each company's shares, lifting their yields to fairly attractive levels. For more conservative dividend investors, Chevron is probably the better choice. But for investors like me who are willing to take on a little more risk to gain exposure to clean energy, TotalEnergies could be a good call right now, too.

Should you invest $1,000 in Chevron right now?

Before you buy stock in Chevron, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $687,764!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $980,723!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of July 7, 2025

Reuben Gregg Brewer has positions in TotalEnergies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Chevron. The Motley Fool recommends BP. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Where Will Realty Income Stock Be in 5 Years?

Key Points

  • Realty Income weathered some tough headwinds over the past five years.

  • But it continued to raise its dividend as its AFFO increased.

  • It might not consistently beat the market, but it’s still a great long-term buy.

Realty Income (NYSE: O), one of the world's largest real estate investment trusts (REITs), is often considered a dependable income investment. It sports a forward yield of 5.6%, it pays its dividends monthly, and it's raised its payout 131 times since its IPO in 1994.

As a REIT, Realty Income must distribute at least 90% of its pre-tax income to its investors as dividends to maintain a favorable tax rate. It leases its 15,621 properties to 1,565 different clients in over 89 industries in the U.S., U.K., and Europe, and its occupancy rate has never dipped below 96%. It's also a capital-light triple net lease REIT -- which means its tenants need to cover their own property taxes, insurance premiums, and maintenance fees.

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Plants sprouting from stacks of coins.

Image source: Getty Images.

Over the past five years, Realty Income's stock price fell about 3%. Like many other REITs, it struggled in 2022 and 2023 as rising rates made it more expensive to purchase new properties, stirred up macro headwinds for its tenants, and drove some of its income investors toward risk-free CDs and T-bills. But if we include its reinvested dividends, it still delivered a total return of 25%. So will Realty Income's stock rally over the next five years as interest rates decline, or does it face other unpredictable challenges?

What happened to Realty Income over the past few years?

Realty Income merged with VEREIT in 2021 and Spirit Realty in 2024. Those mergers more than doubled its number of properties from 2020 to 2024, but it still maintained a high occupancy rate as it grew its adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) and dividends per share.

Metric

2020

2021

2022

2023

2024

Total year-end properties

6,592

10,423

12,237

13,458

15,621

Year-end occupancy rate

97.9%

98.5%

99%

98.6%

98.7%

AFFO per share

$3.39

$3.59

$3.92

$4.00

$4.19

Dividends per share

$2.71

$2.91

$2.97

$3.08

$3.17

Data source: Realty Income.

Some of Realty's top tenants -- including Walgreens, 7-Eleven, and Dollar Tree -- struggled with store closures over the past few years. However, stronger tenants like Dollar General, Walmart, and Home Depot consistently offset that pressure by opening new stores.

Realty Income still doesn't generate more than 3.4% of its annualized rent from a single tenant, and it locks its tenants into long-term leases with an average term of nearly 10 years. That diversification and stickiness insulates it from economic downturns.

What will happen to Realty Income over the next five years?

Over the next five years, Realty Income will likely expand in Europe to curb its dependence on the U.S. market. Unlike its leases in the U.S., most of its European leases are tethered to the consumer price index, which allows it to raise its rent to keep pace with inflation. It will likely ramp up its investments in data centers to profit from the secular growth of the cloud and AI markets, and scoop up more properties at favorable prices in sale-leaseback deals (in which businesses sell their own real estate and lease it back to cut costs). It could also expand into more experiential markets -- like gyms, resorts, and restaurants -- to further diversify its portfolio.

Realty still generates most of its rental income from the retail sector, but those tenants should face fewer headwinds as inflation subsides and interest rates decline. Lower interest rates should also make CDs and T-bills less attractive and drive more investors back toward REITs.

From 2019 to 2024, Realty Income grew its AFFO at a CAGR of nearly 5%. If it continues to grow its AFFO at a CAGR of 5% from 2024 to 2030 -- and still trades at 14 times its trailing AFFO -- its stock price could rise 33% to about $77 within the next five years. It should continue to raise its dividends and stay within its historical yield of 4%-6%.

So while Realty Income might not consistently beat the S&P 500 -- which has delivered an average annual return of 10% since its inception -- it should remain a stable investment for investors who need a reliable stream of monthly income. That's why I personally own shares of Realty Income, and why I think it's a solid long-term play.

Should you invest $1,000 in Realty Income right now?

Before you buy stock in Realty Income, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $699,558!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $976,677!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Leo Sun has positions in Realty Income. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Home Depot, Realty Income, and Walmart. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Why Planet Labs Soared Today

Key Points

  • Planet Labs shares rose after announcing a major multiyear satellite imaging deal with the German government.

  • The 240 million euro agreement expands Planet Labs’ role in European defense and security, building on recent contracts with U.S. agencies.

  • The company occupies a unique niche with high growth potential, but investors should be aware of risks such as possible share dilution.

Shares of Planet Labs (NYSE: PL) climbed on Thursday, closing up 11.2% as of the 1 p.m. ET early market close for the Fourth of July holiday. The rise comes as the S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) and Nasdaq Composite (NASDAQINDEX: ^IXIC) gained 0.8% and 1%, respectively.

Planet Labs, a satellite imaging company, signed a major deal earlier this week that is continuing to boost shares.

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Planet Labs inks major deal

The company announced on Tuesday that it has signed a deal with the German government to provide satellite imagery and geospatial data "in support of European peace and security." The multiyear, 240 million euro agreement also includes artificial intelligence (AI)-powered intelligence from the imagery and data Planet Labs provides.

The deal marks a major step in the company's push into Europe and defense and security-related applications. In a statement, Will Marshall, CEO and co-founder of Planet Labs, said of the deal, "With the changing geopolitical landscape, the demand for sovereign access to geospatial intelligence is more urgent than ever before, and Planet's satellite services model is uniquely designed to enable large area security monitoring."

The sun rising over the Earth from space.

Image source: Getty Images.

This could be the first of many such deals, as countries across Europe commit to increasing defense spending after last month's NATO summit.

Although the contracts are smaller in scope, this month saw the company announce several other significant contracts with the U.S. Department of Defense and the U.S. Navy.

Planet Labs is growing

Although the stock is not cheap and investors should be aware of possible dilution as the company raises money to fund growth, I think Planet Labs is a good pick for those with a high risk tolerance. The company operates in a unique niche that has a lot of potential.

Should you invest $1,000 in Planet Labs Pbc right now?

Before you buy stock in Planet Labs Pbc, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Planet Labs Pbc wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $692,914!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $963,866!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 30, 2025

Johnny Rice has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Here's Why Airbus Shares Took Off Today

Shares in aerospace giant Airbus (OTC: EADSY) rose by as much as 3.1% in early trading as the Paris Air Show concluded for industry professionals (it remains open to the public until Sunday). Airbus had a lot to say and $21 billion in orders to announce , but unfortunately, its great rival, Boeing (NYSE: BA), had very little to say.

Airbus and Boeing at the Paris Air Show

While Boeing didn't release an official statement on the matter, it's widely reported that Boeing scaled down its participation and elected not to announce new orders following a recent Air India crash involving a Boeing 787 Dreamliner. Boeing had previously announced it would offer full support for the investigation currently taking place.

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Consequently, Airbus took center stage in the commercial aerospace industry, announcing $14.2 billion in firm orders and a further $6.7 billion under memoranda of understanding (MoUs).

Among the 148 firm orders was the first-ever order from LOT Polish Airlines for 40 A220 aircraft. All Nippon Airways, a subsidiary, ordered 27 A321 airplanes. Riyadh Air of Saudi Arabia ordered 25 A350 wide-bodies and will be the first Saudi airline to fly the 350. Vietnam's VietJet signed an MoU for 100 Airbus A321neo aircraft.

An airport passenger.

Image source: Getty Images.

Where next for Airbus?

The strength in A350 (which competes with the Boeing 787) and A321 orders (a highly successful plane Boeing is struggling to compete with) is a continuation of an order trend this year. Meanwhile, the 40 A220 orders are a shot in the arm for an aircraft that Airbus has found it difficult to sign deals on in the last year or so.

Overall, it was a positive air show for Airbus, and that's reflected in the stock price today.

Should you invest $1,000 in Airbus SE right now?

Before you buy stock in Airbus SE, consider this:

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $659,171!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $891,722!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 9, 2025

Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

2 Glorious Growth Stocks Down 36% and 57% You'll Wish You'd Bought on the Dip, According to Wall Street

The S&P 500 (SNPINDEX: ^GSPC) has almost fully recovered from its recent 19% drop, which was triggered by President Donald Trump's "Liberation Day" tariffs in April. But not every stock is following along -- in fact, many enterprise software stocks still haven't reclaimed their record highs from 2021.

Datadog (NASDAQ: DDOG) and Workiva (NYSE: WK) are two of those stocks. They were incredibly overvalued when they peaked a few years ago, and they are still down by 36% and 57%, respectively, from those lofty levels. But they're starting to look quite attractive.

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The majority of the analysts tracked by The Wall Street Journal who cover Datadog stock and Workiva stock have assigned them the highest possible buy rating. Here's why their optimism might be justified.

Person looking intently at stock charts on computer screens.

Image source: Getty Images.

The case for Datadog

Datadog developed an observability platform that monitors cloud infrastructure around the clock, alerting businesses to technical issues and outages which they might not have discovered until customers were affected or sales were lost (at which point it's too late). Over 30,500 businesses are using Datadog, and they operate in many different industries, including gaming, manufacturing, financial services, retail, and more.

Last year, Datadog expanded into artificial intelligence (AI) observability with a new tool that helps developers troubleshoot technical issues, track costs, and assess the outputs of their large language models (LLMs). During the recent first quarter of 2025 (ended March 31), the company said that the number of customers using this new tool more than doubled compared to just six months earlier, which suggests it's gaining serious traction.

Datadog also offers other AI products, like a monitoring solution for businesses using ready-made LLMs from OpenAI, and an AI-powered virtual assistant for its flagship observability platform. Overall, the company said that 4,000 customers were using at least one of its AI products in Q1, which also doubled year over year.

On the back of a strong first-quarter result, Datadog raised the high end of its full-year revenue forecast for 2025 to $3.235 billion, up $40 million from management's original guidance. It would represent growth of 21% from the company's 2024 result, but it would still be a drop in the bucket compared to the $53 billion addressable opportunity in the observability space alone.

Datadog was trading at a price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of around 70 when it peaked in 2021. But the 36% decline in the stock since then, in combination with the company's revenue growth, has pushed its P/S ratio down to 15.5. It's still elevated compared to many other enterprise software stocks, but it's much closer to the cheapest level since Datadog went public than it is to its lofty 2021 peak.

DDOG PS Ratio Chart

DDOG PS Ratio data by YCharts.

The Wall Street Journal tracks 46 analysts who cover Datadog stock, and 31 have assigned it the highest possible buy rating. Seven others are in the overweight (bullish) camp, and the remaining eight recommend holding. No analysts recommend selling. Their average price target of $140.72 implies a potential upside of 15% over the next 12 to 18 months, but investors who hold the stock for the long term could do far better as Datadog's AI products gather momentum.

The case for Workiva

Modern businesses often use dozens, or even hundreds, of digital applications to run their day-to-day operations. This is a nightmare for managers who are tasked with tracking workflows across all that software, but Workiva built an elegant solution to ease the burden.

Workiva's platform integrates with most storage applications, systems of record, and productivity software, allowing managers to pull data from all of them onto one dashboard. This saves them from having to open hundreds of individual applications, and it also reduces human error, which is common when copying mountains of data manually. Once data is loaded into Workiva, managers can select from several different templates so they can rapidly compile regulatory filings or reports for senior executives.

Workiva is also becoming a key player in the ESG (environmental, social, and governance) reporting space, offering a product that allows businesses to track their effect on all key stakeholders, not just those with a financial interest. With Workiva's ESG platform, organizations can create frameworks, track data, and compile reports on everything from their carbon emissions to the diversity of their workplace.

Workiva had 6,385 total customers at the end of Q1 2025, which was a 5% increase from the year-ago period, but its highest-spending cohorts are growing significantly faster. For example, the number of customers with annual contract values of at least $100,000 grew by 23%, and those with annual contract values of at least $500,000 soared by 32%. In other words, larger organizations with more complex operations seem to be flocking to Workiva.

The company expects to generate up to $868 million in total revenue in 2025, which would be a 17.5% increase compared to 2024. That would be a modest acceleration from the 17.3% growth it delivered last year.

As is the case with Datadog, Workiva's P/S ratio is currently down significantly from its 2021 peak. It's at 4.8 as of this writing, which is near the cheapest level since the stock went public.

WK PS Ratio Chart

WK PS Ratio data by YCharts.

The Wall Street Journal tracks 13 analysts who cover Workiva stock, and 11 of them have given it a buy rating. The remaining two are in the overweight camp, with none recommending to hold, let alone sell. Simply put, the analysts have reached a very bullish consensus.

Their average price target of $97.64 implies an eye-popping potential upside of 44% over the next 12 to 18 months. But the stock could do even better over the long term, since Workiva has barely scratched the surface of its $35 billion addressable market.

Should you invest $1,000 in Datadog right now?

Before you buy stock in Datadog, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Datadog wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $658,297!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $883,386!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 992% β€” a market-crushing outperformance compared to 172% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 9, 2025

Anthony Di Pizio has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Datadog and Workiva. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

3 Brilliant Growth Stocks to Buy Now and Hold for the Long Term

Are you looking for some new growth stocks now that many of the market's usual favorites -- like Apple and Alphabet -- aren't as compelling as they once were? Don't panic. Great stocks are out there. You just have to dig a bit deeper to find the best ones.

With that as the backdrop, here's a rundown of three brilliant growth stock prospects worth stepping into and sticking with for the long haul. Each one has a business that's built to last indefinitely.

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Woman looking for new growth stocks for her portfolio.

Image source: Getty Images.

1. Alibaba

There's the Alibaba Group (NYSE: BABA) you know. That's the Alibaba that owns and operates China's popular e-commerce platforms Tmall and Taobao, and its foreign-facing AliExpress that helps Chinese manufacturers sell to overseas customers. Within its home country, the company enjoys a commanding 40% of the online shopping market, according to wealth management outfit DBS Treasures.

Then there's the Alibaba you don't know. This company also offers cloud computing services, operates a digital entertainment arm, and manages its own logistics/delivery business. It's even working on its own artificial intelligence models meant for consumer and corporate use. Remember the Qwen2.5 model unveiled in January that reportedly performed better than DeepSeek (which had only been revealed a few days earlier as a threat to platforms like OpenAI's ChatGPT)? Alibaba is the developer of Qwen.

All of these business lines are going to be marketable in the near and distant future, even if not explosively so. Alibaba's first-quarter revenue improved to the tune of 7% year over year, more or less matching its long-term top-line growth rate that's likely to remain in place for the indefinite future.

But the tariff standoff between China and the United States that's creating a ripple effect outside of both countries? That's just it. Alibaba isn't particularly vulnerable.

Don't misread the message. Anything that slows China's manufacturing exports ultimately threatens the nation's internal consumerism.

It's not a dire threat, though. More than 80% of this company's revenue is generated domestically. And it's largely understood that Chinese companies are expected to use goods and services offered by other Chinese companies whenever there's a choice. Ditto for their foreign business partners. For instance, although Apple prefers OpenAI's ChatGPT everywhere else, in China, its newest AI-capable iPhones sold in that market will utilize Alibaba's Qwen model.

In other words, Alibaba largely operates in a regional silo. As long as the economy within that silo is growing, Alibaba's dominance of its market means it's growing, too. To this end, the International Monetary Fund believes China's GDP will grow on the order of 4% this year, with comparable growth in the cards beyond that once the tariff dust is almost sure to be settled.

2. Uber Technologies

Shares of ride-hailing company Uber Technologies (NYSE: UBER) have taken investors on a bumpy ride since early last year. Although the stock's made net-bullish progress since then, it's also been up-ended several times during this stretch thanks to sales or earnings shortfalls, or disappointing guidance.

Now take a step back and look at the bigger picture. Uber is plugged into a major secular trend that's not apt to end anytime soon, if ever. That's the growing disinterest in driving -- or even automobile ownership -- and a growing willingness to pay for a ride with someone else in their vehicle.

A recent survey performed by Deloitte indicates that 44% of U.S. residents under the age of 34 would be willing to not own a car and instead rely on alternative transportation now that it's readily available, underscoring a much bigger age-driven shift.

Straits Research believes the global ride-hailing and taxi market is set to grow at a healthy annualized pace of 11.3% through 2033, in fact, largely thanks to this ongoing shift.

Uber Technologies is positioned to capture a significant share of this growth, by virtue of its market leadership here and strong presence in several key markets abroad.

Then there's the other reason Uber stock is a long-term buy sooner than later: robotaxis.

Although the underlying technology isn't quite ready for commercial deployment, as CEO Dara Khosrowshahi recently commented, autonomous/self-driving vehicles are "the single greatest opportunity ahead for Uber."

Although it could take 10 to 20 years for self-driving automobiles to fully displace human drivers, once they do it will remove one of Uber's biggest operating expenses. This will in turn lower prices for riders, making its ride-hailing service even more marketable. In this vein, Straits Research believes the worldwide robotaxi market itself is set to swell at an average annualized pace of nearly 68% through 2031.

3. Arista Networks

Finally, add Arista Networks (NYSE: ANET) to your list of brilliant growth stocks to buy now and hold indefinitely.

If you're familiar with the company, then you already know it competes with the much bigger networking powerhouse Cisco. And to be clear, Cisco keeps Arista in check. Arista Networks is evidence, however, that bigger doesn't always mean better within the world of technology. When it comes to technology, better is better.

The key is Arista's EOS, or extensible operating system. That's just a fancy word for the software that makes its networking hardware function. Like most other software, EOS can be rewritten, modified, and updated as needed to meet the specific and ever-changing needs of its customers. It also means its hardware can remain relevant for longer, ultimately saving its customers money by delaying the need for newer tech.

And yes, its ethernet switches are in use in artificial intelligence data centers all over the world, although it also serves more mundane markets like campus WANs (wide area networks), cybersecurity, and simple data storage, just to name a few. As long as the world continues to be digitized and create more and more digital information to handle, there will be demand for tightly focused solutions providers like Arista.

The company's results say as much. Last year's revenue growth of 15% extends an established trend that's expected to persist for at least the next few years, although it's likely to last well into the distant future.

ANET Revenue (Quarterly) Chart

ANET Revenue (Quarterly) data by YCharts

This doesn't mean the stock has always performed well. Indeed, shares have been subpar performers this year, seemingly on worries that broad economic headwinds would undermine this growth.

Don't sweat this weakness too much, though. Rather, capitalize on it.

This might help. Despite the stock's lackluster performance of late, the analyst community is still on board. The vast majority of them rate this ticker as a strong buy, with a consensus price target of $109 that's roughly 15% above the stock's present price. That's not a bad tailwind to start out a new trade with.

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Suzanne Frey, an executive at Alphabet, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. James Brumley has positions in Alphabet. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Apple, Arista Networks, Cisco Systems, and Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends Alibaba Group. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Great News for Boeing Investors

Boeing (NYSE: BA) received some positive commentary over a critical issue for its future. At a recent International Air Transport Association (IATA) summit, the president of Emirates airline, Tim Clark, made positive comments on the new widebody 777X, which should reassure investors that Boeing is on the right track under CEO Kelly Ortberg. Here's why.

Emirates airline is a big deal

According to a Reuters article, Clark stated that Emirates had been informed it would receive its first 777X in the second half of 2026 or the first quarter of 2027. In addition, he declared himself "cautiously optimistic" over the turnaround at Boeing and noted progress at the aerospace giant.

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These are just comments. However, they matter, and particularly so when they come from the head of one of the largest international airlines in the world, Emirates. In addition, while Lufthansa is set to receive the first 777X in 2026, Emirates is, by some distance, the largest customer for the 777X at present. The airline has 205 unfilled orders for the 777X, followed by 97 unfilled orders from Qatar Airways, with Singapore Airlines a distant third with 31.

The 777X is also pivotal to Boeing's future. The new widebody is larger and has a more extended range than Boeing's 787 Dreamliner and will service the high-demand long-haul international travel market. Generally, Airbus is considered the leader in the narrowbody market, while Boeing holds the lead in the widebody market. That said, Airbus has surpassed Boeing in the widebody market in recent years, partly due to quality control issues with the 787 and ongoing, costly delays on the Boeing 777X.

A passenger at an airport.

Image source: Getty Images.

Why the 777X matters to investors

Simply put, Boeing needs to keep the 777X on track, not least because airlines are likely to be more hesitant in placing orders when they see continued delivery delays. Furthermore, the delays are extremely costly, in terms of charges, and tying up capital in inventory that won't be utilized until deliveries take place.

The 777X was initially intended to have its first delivery in 2020, and the subsequent delays to that timeline have proved embarrassing and costly for Boeing. In its fourth-quarter 2020 earnings report, Boeing recorded a $6.5 billion pre-tax charge on the program and informed investors that the first 777X delivery would occur in late 2023.

Last October, Boeing announced a $2.6 billion charge, followed by a further $900 million charge in January.

These charges total at least $10 billion. Furthermore, Boeing has inventory tied up in the program, and it's incurring increased research and development costs, with an increase of $525 million in 2023 and $435 million in 2024.

Stemming the flow of these charges and losses would be a significant plus; that's why keeping to the revised 2026 target for first delivery is so important.

It also counts because it discourages airlines from canceling orders and encourages them to place new orders. Suppose Boeing can demonstrate that it can deliver the first 777X in 2026 and effectively ramp up production thereafter. In that case, airlines can begin to build capacity assumptions based on having 777Xs in service at a given time.

A person holding two outstretched palms like a scale.

Image source: Getty Images.

What's next for Boeing?

As previously discussed, the three key things investors need to see from Boeing are a satisfactory ramp-up in production on the 737 MAX (to an initial 38 a month), a return to profitability for Boeing Defense, Space & Security (BDS), and keeping the 777X on track.

With Boeing making tangible progress on the 737 MAX (management expects to reach a 38-month rate soon), and BDS returning to profitability in the first quarter, the positive commentary on the 777X suggests Ortberg is achieving Boeing's three biggest aims in 2025.

That's something likely to support the stock price as it moves through the year.

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Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $669,517!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $868,615!*

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*Stock Advisor returns as of June 2, 2025

Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

2 Warren Buffett Stocks to Buy Hand Over Fist and 1 to Avoid

The interesting thing about this list is that the two buys, Apple (NASDAQ: AAPL) and Pool Corp. (NASDAQ: POOL), have markedly higher valuations than the sell, Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ: KHC). The rationale behind the investment case for the first two lies in their long-term growth prospects -- something not shared by Kraft Heinz. Here's why.

Kraft Heinz is a challenged business

The consumer staples company generates 44% of its sales from condiments, sauces, dressings, and spreads, with 18% coming from easy-to-prepare meals. None of its other food categories (snacks, desserts, hydration products, coffee, cheese, and meats) contributes more than 10% of its sales.

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A person in a supermarket reaching for a product.

Image source: Getty Images.

It's a fast-changing industry subject to changes in consumer preferences, with substantial competition from retailers with their own branded or private-label products. This increasing competition has pressured Kraft's ability to generate revenue growth or margin expansion over the last decade.

As such, the company's return on capital employed (ROCE) lags that of its peer group. ROCE measures how much profit the company generates from its debt and equity. A consistently low ROCE implies that the company can do little to improve profitability by raising equity or issuing debt.

In short, based on current trends, it's a mature low-growth company facing ROCE challenges with a management hamstrung to initiate substantive changes by paying 61% of expected earnings in dividends.

KHC Return on Capital Employed Chart

KHC Return on Capital Employed data by YCharts.

Pool Corp., maintaining swimming pools

Continuing the theme of looking at operational metrics like profit margins, revenue growth, and ROCE, a cursory look at the medium-term trends for Pool Corp., a distributor of swimming pool supplies and equipment, suggests problems similar to those of Kraft Heinz.

That said, context counts for a lot, and investors need to recall that companies like Pool Corp. enjoyed an artificial boom during the pandemic lockdown.

A person soaking in a swimming pool.

Image source: Getty images.

The lockdowns encouraged spending on stay-at-home activities and drove investment in new swimming pools. For example, around 96,000 new pools were built in the U.S. in 2020, jumping to about 120,000 in 2021, and then 98,000 in 2022. By 2024, that figure was down to 60,000, and management expects a similar figure this year.

But no matter the amount, every one of those new pools will help add to the installed base that the company can sell into. Considering that it generates almost two-thirds of its sales from the maintenance and minor repair of swimming pools, this creates a significant long-term growth opportunity once the natural correction from the pandemic boom is over.

POOL Operating Margin (TTM) Chart

POOL Operating Margin (TTM) data by YCharts; TTM = trailing 12 months.

Apple and service growth

Apple is on a growth trajectory, focusing on increasing sales of its high-margin services. Like Pool Corp., investors can think of Apple's various devices -- including iPhones, iPads, Macs, wearables, and myriad other devices -- as an installed base for it to sell services into.

It's a growth opportunity in revenue, margins, and cash flow. As you can see below, strong services growth has increased its share of overall revenue. And given services' higher margin profile (currently above 75% compared to almost 36% for products), it's pulling up Apple's overall profit margin.

Apple share of revenue from services and overall gross margin.

Data source: Apple. Chart by author.

That increase in profitability is likely to continue improving as services growth continues at a double-digit pace. In fact, Apple now has over a billion paid subscriptions. This will generate ongoing recurring revenue, which will drop down into improved cash flow generation.

Moreover, if you are wondering, here's what Apple's ROCE looks like.

AAPL Return on Capital Employed Chart

AAPL Return on Capital Employed data by YCharts

Wall Street analysts expect Apple's free cash flow (FCF) to grow from $109 billion in 2025 to $126 billion in 2026 and $139 billion in 2039, implying double-digit increases. Trading at 27 times estimated FCF in 2025, it is not a conventionally cheap stock, and many investors may want to wait for a better entry point. Still, its long-term prospects remain excellent, and it's likely to grow into its valuation in the coming years.

Stocks to buy and sell

The key point is that Pool Corp. and Apple have a pathway to growth via expansion of the installed base of swimming pools and Apple devices, while Kraft Heinz does not have such prospects. The difference shows up in their operating metrics and long-term growth prospects.

Should you invest $1,000 in Apple right now?

Before you buy stock in Apple, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Apple wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $635,275!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $826,385!*

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Lee Samaha has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Apple. The Motley Fool recommends Campbell's and Kraft Heinz. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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