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Prediction: Chamath Palihapitiya's $250 Million SPAC Could Create the Next Palantir for America's Energy Grid

Key Points

  • Palihapitiya's new SPAC focuses on four core themes: artificial intelligence (AI), energy production, crypto, and defense.

  • While there are limitless candidates for the new SPAC, one software startup stands out as a compelling opportunity -- sharing some similarities with Palantir in its early days.

  • SPACs have been overly risky investments for quite some time, and Palihapitiya's personal track record is mixed.

Remember when special purpose acquisition companies (SPACs) dominated Wall Street headlines just a few years ago?

At the center of the frenzy was Chamath Palihapitiya -- better known on Wall Street as the "SPAC king". A former executive at AOL and Meta Platforms turned billionaire venture capitalist (VC), Palihapitiya made his name taking bold bets on disruptive companies.

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For a while, SPACs seemed to fade quietly into the background of stock market activity. But just as investors began to write them off, Palihapitiya reignited the conversation with a new prospectus for his latest $250 million "blank check company": American Exceptionalism Acquisition Corp. While details are limited at the moment, Palihapitiya has hinted at the kinds of businesses he's targeting.

Let's break down what investors need to know about this SPAC, why Palihapitiya's recent move matters, and which company I think could be on his radar -- a potential candidate to become the next Palantir Technologies (NASDAQ: PLTR).

What is American Exceptionalism Acquisition Corp.?

In the S-1 filing for American Exceptionalism Acquisition Corp., Palihapitiya outlines four core pillars he believes are essential to U.S. competitiveness -- artificial intelligence (AI), decentralized finance (DeFi), defense, and energy production.

At first glance, these may look like broad, boilerplate themes. But I see something deeper -- a unifying thesis that ties together some of the biggest secular growth opportunities underpinning the American economy.

Right now, the American economy is experiencing something akin to the Industrial Revolution thanks to the booming impacts of AI. But with any megatrend comes significant trade offs.

For AI, the most pressing challenges are not software development or infrastructure manufacturing -- it's the strain on the U.S. power grid. Hyperscalers such as Microsoft, Alphabet, Amazon, Meta, Oracle, and OpenAI are pouring hundreds of billions of dollars into data centers, each requiring massive amounts of electricity to operate at scale.

And it's not just the private sector. The U.S. government is moving aggressively with initiatives like Project Stargate, a $500 billion domestic infrastructure program designed to establish America's digital transformation.

Against this backdrop, I think Palihapitiya may be eyeing a start-up sitting at the intersection of his four pillars.

A person filling in a blank check.

Image source: Getty Images.

What company could fit the bill for Chamath?

In my eyes, Houston-based Amperon could be a natural fit for the American Exceptionalism SPAC.

Amperon functions as an operating system for the power grid, offering AI-powered software that delivers real-time intelligence to utilities, energy traders, and large power buyers. Its platform enables decision-makers to forecast demand, renewable output, and wholesale prices with greater precision -- addressing some of the most pressing challenges in the energy economy.

In many respects, Amperon can be thought of as the Palantir of climate tech. Just as Palantir's Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) synthesizes massive volumes of unstructured data and turns them into actionable insights for government agencies and large private enterprises, Amperon applies the same methodology to the grid. It translates fragmented inputs -- from weather patterns or anomalies in demand surges -- into a unified model for energy stakeholders.

The company has also built strategic collaborations with Microsoft, National Grid, and Acario (part of Tokyo Gas). Much like Palantir's early contracts, these partnerships have the potential to deepen and expand over time -- embedding Amperon's tools more firmly into data workflows.

Both Amperon and Palantir demonstrate how AI-driven software layers can evolve into indispensable infrastructure. Where Palantir dominates defense and enterprise intelligence, Amperon is carving out a parallel role capturing energy, climate, and grid optimization.

And because energy touches every sector, Amperon's reach extends even further. Its intelligence platform could support crypto and DeFi protocols, where mining depends on reliable power sources, and strengthen defense applications, where resilient energy sources are critical to national security. This suggests that Amperon's total addressable market (TAM) is far broader than it might initially appear.

Ultimately, this vision aligns almost perfectly with the ethos of Palihapitiya's new SPAC: backing companies at the intersection of AI, defense, DeFi, and energy -- all rolled up and packaged into a compelling opportunity reshaping conscious capitalism.

Remember to be careful with SPACs

In the disclosure section of the prospectus, Palihapitiya reminds investors that they should only consider this SPAC if they can "embody the adage from President Trump that there can be 'no crying in the casino.'" Harsh as it sounds, the warning is well placed.

History hasn't been kind to SPACs. A University of Florida study found that SPACs across nearly every major industry have consistently underperformed the broader market over the past decade.

SPCE Chart

SPCE data by YCharts

Palihapitiya's own track record underscores this risk. Aside from MP Materials and SoFi Technologies, most of his SPACs have been financial catastrophes. As an investor, he has also backed other high-profile deals that flamed out -- including Desktop Metal and Berkshire Grey (both delisted) and Proterra and Sunlight Financial (both bankrupt).

My take is to approach the new SPAC with measured optimism, while keeping Palihapitiya's history of stewarding outside capital at the forefront of your thesis.

American Exceptionalism's converging focus on emerging themes across AI, defense, crypto, and energy might position it as a unique opportunity potentially poised for explosive growth. But smart investors understand that promise and hope are never true substitutes for prudent, disciplined investing.

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Adam Spatacco has positions in Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Palantir Technologies, and SoFi Technologies. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Alphabet, Amazon, Meta Platforms, Microsoft, Oracle, and Palantir Technologies. The Motley Fool recommends MP Materials and National Grid Plc and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

SPCE Revenue Drops 90%

Key Points

  • GAAP revenue fell 90% year-over-year in Q2 2025, missing estimates as commercial flights remained paused during Delta Class SpaceShip development.

  • Non-GAAP operating expenses declined 38.1% in Q2 2025, reflecting strong cost control.

  • Free cash flow remained deeply negative at $(114) million for Q2 2025, while the cash position stayed strong at over $500 million.

Virgin Galactic (NYSE:SPCE), a company focused on commercial space tourism and spaceflight experiences, announced its results for the second quarter of fiscal 2025 on August 6, 2025. The key news was a 90% plunge in GAAP revenue to $0.4 million in Q2 2025 compared to Q2 2024, below the analyst consensus of $0.45 million (GAAP), as the company remains in a pre-revenue period with commercial operations paused. On the positive side, its net loss shrank to $1.47 per share (GAAP), substantially better than the estimated GAAP net loss per share of $2.34 and the prior year’s GAAP basic and diluted net loss per share of $4.36 in Q2 2024, due to sharply reduced operating expenses. The quarter showed strong progress on cost control and the ongoing ramp-up of the Delta Class SpaceShip program, yet cash burn remained high and revenue minimal.

MetricQ2 2025Q2 2025 EstimateQ2 2024Y/Y Change
EPS (GAAP)$(1.47)$(2.34)$(4.36)66.3 %
Revenue (GAAP)$0.4 million$0.45 million$4.2 million(−90.5 %)
Non-GAAP Total Operating Expenses$58.5 million$94.5 million(38.1 %)
Adjusted EBITDA$(52.2 million)$(79.0 million)-33.9 %
Free Cash Flow$(113.8 million)$(113.5 million)-0.3 %

Source: Analyst estimates for the quarter provided by FactSet.

About Virgin Galactic and Recent Strategic Focus

Virgin Galactic runs commercial spaceflights for private individuals and researchers. Its main product, currently in a paused phase, has been human spaceflight aboard the VSS Unity spaceplane, part of its reusable suborbital fleet. The company aims to enable space tourism, offering a multi-day experience including astronaut training and community access. Customers are often high-net-worth individuals seeking an exclusive journey to the edge of space.

The company’s recent focus is on building and preparing its Delta Class SpaceShips, a new generation of vehicles designed for increased flight frequency and carrying capacity. Achieving production milestones for these vehicles is critical for future profitability. Virgin Galactic’s success will depend on scaling operations, controlling costs, upholding safety standards, and delivering innovative customer experiences. Its brand, associated with luxury and adventure, supports this mission but also sets high expectations for operational excellence and safety.

Quarter in Review: Financials, Operations, and Milestones

Virgin Galactic reported sharply lower GAAP revenue in Q2 2025, dropping from $4.2 million a year ago to just $0.4 million. This reflects the company’s pause in commercial operations while it reallocates resources to manufacturing the Delta Class SpaceShips. Commercial flights are planned to resume in 2026, so nearly all reported revenue now comes from astronaut access and event fees, not actual flights. GAAP revenue came in 11.1% below already modest analyst estimates.

Operating expenses, both GAAP and Non-GAAP, fell considerably in Q2 2025. However, Spending on selling, general, and administrative tasks remained about flat compared to Q2 2024. These cost cuts drove the improvement in net loss, which narrowed to $67.3 million, equating to a $1.47 per share loss (GAAP).

Adjusted EBITDA, a measure of profitability that excludes certain non-cash and special expenses, improved from $(79.0) million in Q2 2024 to $(52.2) million in Q2 2025. Free cash flow—the cash available after operating and capital expenses—remained negative at $(113.8) million, roughly unchanged from the prior year. This deep deficit underscores continued heavy investment, especially as capital expenditures (capex) rose 69.7% year-over-year to $58 million in Q2 2025, supporting the build-out of manufacturing and infrastructure.

Cash reserves remained robust at $508 million in cash, equivalents, and marketable securities as of June 30, 2025. This liquidity was boosted by $56 million in gross proceeds from issuing 15.7 million new shares during the quarter. However, this share issuance also means existing shareholders now own a smaller portion of the company, a process known as dilution. The weighted average share count more than doubled compared to Q2 2024, indicating significant dilution from new stock sales. Customer deposits, reflecting cash collected for future flights, edged down slightly, with no new updates on total reservations or backlog released this quarter.

Business Progress and Product/Service Developments

Virgin Galactic concentrated efforts on manufacturing and key milestones for the Delta Class SpaceShips, its next-generation suborbital spacecraft designed for frequent, reusable flights. The company remains on track to complete major assembly steps: wing and feather structures should be finished in the fourth quarter of 2025, while the fuselage is targeted for completion late in that same quarter or early in 2026. These milestones are prerequisites for commencing test flights and returning to paid commercial service.

The company continues to pursue manufacturing efficiency and cost control. Statements emphasized shifting dollars away from daily operating costs and research into capitalized assets that will support long-term scaling. While free cash flow (non-GAAP) remains highly negative, the reduction in operating costs and the targeted completion of “peak investment” suggest future cash burn may decline. Capex now constitutes a larger share of spending, especially as new tooling and automation are installed to streamline assembly.

Tech development also advanced. The Delta Class SpaceShips use a reusable hybrid rocket engine, which is expected to improve turnaround time and reduce flight costs. Collaboration with Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory to explore carrier aircraft uses also points to possible new business areas beyond tourism, including research payloads and government contracts. Research and development expenses (GAAP) decreased during the quarter, but the company did not report any major technical setbacks or delays in the SpaceShip assembly schedule.

On customer experience, Virgin Galactic’s business is strongly tied to its brand, which is marketed as exclusive and transformative. The company offers personalized training and event experiences ahead of flight. Management highlighted plans to reopen reservations in the first quarter of 2026, just ahead of planned service restart. There was no update on price points, but last known ticket sales were priced at $600,000 per seat. The company did not disclose new customer or backlog figures this quarter.

Looking Ahead: Guidance and Watch Points

Management reaffirmed the plan to resume commercial spaceflight operations in fall 2026, including research and private astronaut flights. Free cash flow (non-GAAP) in Q3 2025 is expected to remain negative, in the range of $(100) million to $(110) million. The company stated that its highest spending has likely passed and that quarterly cash burn should decline for the rest of 2025.

No additional guidance was provided for full-year revenue, profit, or operational targets. With commercial service more than a year away, investors should monitor the company's ability to hit key production dates, manage costs, and maintain adequate cash reserves. Particular scrutiny is warranted for capital outlays, timelines for test flights, and market response when new reservations open, as these factors will determine how quickly Virgin Galactic can scale to a commercially viable business model.

Revenue and net income presented using U.S. generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP) unless otherwise noted.

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JesterAI is a Foolish AI, based on a variety of Large Language Models (LLMs) and proprietary Motley Fool systems. All articles published by JesterAI are reviewed by our editorial team, and The Motley Fool takes ultimate responsibility for the content of this article. JesterAI cannot own stocks and so it has no positions in any stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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