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2 Stocks Down 58% and 30% to Buy Right Now

Key Points

  • Reddit stock has slumped despite rapid growth and opportunities for better monetization.

  • Paycom stock is still reeling from its revenue slowdown.

  • Both stocks look appealing for long-term investors.

The stock market is carving out new all-time highs, but some individual stocks have yet to fully recover. Reddit (NYSE: RDDT) and Paycom (NYSE: PAYC) are still well off their respective peaks, presenting an opportunity for long-term investors. Both companies face risks, but solid growth stories make Reddit and Paycom attractive stocks.

Down and up arrows.

Image source: Getty Images.

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Reddit: Down 30% from its high

Social media company Reddit has become a key source of reliable information for internet users. Standard search engines, riddled with ads and content designed to rank rather than provide solutions, are far less useful today than they were in the earlier days of the web.

Reddit is now working to better monetize its more than 400 million weekly active unique users. Average quarterly revenue per unique user stood at just $3.63 in the first quarter, compared to more than $12 for Meta Platforms. That metric was up 23% year over year for Reddit in the first quarter, while overall revenue soared by 61%. Reddit has been launching new features for advertisers, including dynamic product ads in May and personalized guidance and insights in June.

Reddit does face some risk from artificial intelligence (AI) as people turn to chatbots and other AI tools for answers. However, Reddit's reputation for providing reliable information may be enough to overcome the AI threat. AI isn't particularly reliable or trustworthy, so many users may still opt for Reddit when looking for product recommendations and other information that leads to purchases.

Reddit stock has been recovering in recent weeks, but it remains down around 30% from its all-time high. The stock is pricey, trading for nearly 16 times the average analyst estimate for 2025 sales. That valuation may be tough to swallow, but Reddit has the potential to grow revenue at a strong double-digit pace for many years to come. For long-term investors, Reddit is the social media stock to own.

Paycom: Down 58% from its high

Shares of payroll and HR software provider Paycom began a steep descent in late 2022, and it picked up steam in 2023 as the company's automated Beti product started cannibalizing other sources of revenue. Beti is a breakthrough product that allows employees to manage their own payroll, and it can greatly reduce administrative overhead. However, in the short term, the product's rollout led to a sharp slowdown in revenue growth.

Paycom's revenue growth rate hovered around 30% in the years leading up to the pandemic, and while it took a hit in early 2020, it bounced back to those 30% levels soon after. The situation changed drastically with Beti. Revenue grew by just 11% in 2024, and it was up 6% year over year in the first quarter of 2025.

While the revenue slowdown is a concern, Paycom's willingness to disrupt itself to deliver superior returns on investment to its customers should pay off in the long run. Beti is an attractive product for companies looking to reduce costs, and customers who adopt Beti will likely churn at a lower rate. Once the dust settles, growth should accelerate once again.

One major risk facing Paycom is the state of the economy. Paycom is sensitive to the labor market, and there are some signs that it's starting to crack in the face of U.S. tariffs and economic uncertainty. An economic slowdown could delay Paycom's comeback, but the company is well positioned for the future with Beti. Trading at around 26 times forward earnings, with the potential for robust earnings growth in the years ahead, Paycom stock looks like a good deal for long-term investors.

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Paycom Makes Solid Progress

Here's our initial take on Paycom Software's (NYSE: PAYC) first-quarter financial report.

Key Metrics

Metric Q1 2024 Q1 2025 Change vs. Expectations
Production-adjusted revenue $499.9 million $530.5 million +6% Beat
Adjusted earnings per share $2.59 $2.80 +8% Beat
Adjusted EBITDA $229.5 million $253.2 million +10% n/a
Recurring revenue $466 million $500 million +7% n/a

Paycom Moves Forward More Slowly

Paycom issued an upbeat financial report for the first quarter of 2025, even though investors had to settle for slower growth rates than they've seen in the past. Revenue came in up a bit over $30 million from year-ago levels, and that caused growth rates to fall from double-digit percentages in the fourth quarter to mid-single-digit percentages. Similarly, growth in adjusted net income was fairly sluggish, although adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) managed to post a 10% gain year over year.

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Founder/CEO Chad Richison's comments were generally similar to what he's been saying in past quarters. The leader emphasized the role that automation is playing in the business and pointed to measures to make Paycom's internal business more efficient as well as greater efforts to boost sales conversions.

Paycom also modestly boosted its full-year 2025 guidance. The company now expects between $2.023 billion and $2.038 billion in revenue for the year, up between $3 million and $8 million from previous projections. Adjusted EBITDA got a much larger boost of $18 million to $23 million, setting a new range of $843 million to $858 million.

Immediate Market Reaction

Even with the somewhat slow growth rate, Paycom managed to exceed lowered expectations among investors. It therefore wasn't surprising to see the stock climb about 2% in the first hour of after-hours trading Wednesday afternoon following the report's release.

Unlike many software stocks, Paycom has stayed relatively close to its highest levels from late 2024. However, the shares remain well below their 2021 peak, reflecting the reset in expectations investors have made as growth has slowed.

What to Watch

Investors will want to keep a close eye on future results from Paycom as the company's clients adjust to changing macroeconomic conditions. Many economists are forecasting a possible recession. If businesses need to cut back on software spending to make ends meet, Paycom could see further pressure on future sales gains.

In the meantime, though, Paycom will have to redouble its efforts to get its sales team to close deals effectively and efficiently. At some point, investors will want to see Paycom's growth accelerate considerably to get the stock moving more assertively in the right direction.

Helpful Resources

Should you invest $1,000 in Paycom Software right now?

Before you buy stock in Paycom Software, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Paycom Software wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $623,103!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $717,471!*

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Dan Caplinger has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Paycom Software. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

Should You Buy Paycom Stock After Evaluating Its Risks?

Paycom Software (NYSE: PAYC) could be an interesting stock for investors looking to avoid tariff exposure.

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*Stock prices used were the afternoon prices of May 1, 2025. The video was published on May 3, 2025.

Should you invest $1,000 in Paycom Software right now?

Before you buy stock in Paycom Software, consider this:

The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the 10 best stocks for investors to buy now… and Paycom Software wasn’t one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years.

Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $623,685!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you’d have $701,781!*

Now, it’s worth noting Stock Advisor’s total average return is 906% β€” a market-crushing outperformance compared to 164% for the S&P 500. Don’t miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor.

See the 10 stocks Β»

*Stock Advisor returns as of April 28, 2025

Parkev Tatevosian, CFA has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Paycom Software. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Parkev Tatevosian is an affiliate of The Motley Fool and may be compensated for promoting its services. If you choose to subscribe through his link, he will earn some extra money that supports his channel. His opinions remain his own and are unaffected by The Motley Fool.

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