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Why GitLab Stock Was Falling Hard This Week

As of Friday morning before market open, for the most part stocks weren't having a bad week. As always there were exceptions, however, and one of the unfortunate outliers was software development solutions provider GitLab (NASDAQ: GTLB).

On the back of a quarterly earnings report that disappointed the market, plus subsequent analyst price target cuts and even a recommendation downgrade, the company's share price sagged. As of early Friday morning, the stock had declined by more than 10% week to date, according to data compiled by S&P Global Market Intelligence.

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A forgettable first quarter?

This, despite the fact that GitLab actually posted healthy growth rates in its first quarter. Total revenue rose by almost 27% year over year to $214.5 million, while non-GAAP (adjusted) net income increased more than sixfold to $29.4 million. Both figures topped the average analyst estimates, although not spectacularly.

A person holds their head in their hands while looking at a screen.

Image source: Getty Images.

Investors like to concentrate on their view of the road ahead, rather than the numbers behind, so it was GitLab's guidance that had a more profound effect on sentiment.

The company's outlook for its current (second) quarter is for $226 million to $227 million in revenue, filtering down into per-share earnings of $0.16 to $0.17. While the analyst earnings estimate falls within the company's range, that for revenue is just above management expectations.

Goldman gets more bearish

And what was discouraging to investors was also dismaying to quite a few analysts tracking GitLab. A clutch of them reduced their price targets on the stock with one -- white-shoe investment bank Goldman Sachs -- even pulling the lever on a recommendation downgrade. Goldman's Kash Rangan now feels the stock is only a neutral, down from his previous buy, at a price target of $50 per share.

I feel investors and pundits alike are overreacting to the quarterly results. While GitLab's revenue growth is declining, it's still turning in very profitable results and it operates a useful service. I think GitLab is therefore worth a look as something of a bargain play in its niche.

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Why Investors Were Snapping Up AI Stock GitLab Stock Today

Software development facilitator GitLab (NASDAQ: GTLB) was facilitating some handsome returns for shareholders on Thursday, thanks in no small part to an optimistic new analyst note. In late-session trading the company's share price was up by almost 4%, and doing much better than the slumping S&P 500 index with its 0.2% decline.

Bullish pundit take reiterated

That note was published in anticipation of the release of GitLab's earnings for the fiscal first quarter of 2026, which is scheduled for next Tuesday, June 10. Its author, KeyBanc's Jason Celino, reiterated his overweight (buy, in other words) recommendation on the specialty tech stock, and his price target of $60 per share. That implies potential upside of nearly 22% on the stock's current level.

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Image source: Getty Images.

According to reports, Celino believes GitLab could very well post a year-over-year revenue growth figure higher than the lofty 25.9% analyst consensus. In his view this will be driven by continued take-up of the company's Duo and Dedicated solutions, the former of which is powered by artificial intelligence (AI) functionalities.

That growth should have a positive knock-on effect with GitLab's full-year guidance; the analyst implied that the company's projections for the period will be raised. He did sound a note of caution about the spending of public-sector clients, given recent federal government budget-tightening efforts.

Rolling along

GitLab is indisputably a success story in the tech world, and has solid momentum behind it that looks set to continue. Those public sector clients are something of a worry; however, I feel the company is resilient enough to survive a notable downturn in the segment.

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Eric Volkman has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends GitLab. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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