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Paycom Makes Solid Progress

Here's our initial take on Paycom Software's (NYSE: PAYC) first-quarter financial report.

Key Metrics

Metric Q1 2024 Q1 2025 Change vs. Expectations
Production-adjusted revenue $499.9 million $530.5 million +6% Beat
Adjusted earnings per share $2.59 $2.80 +8% Beat
Adjusted EBITDA $229.5 million $253.2 million +10% n/a
Recurring revenue $466 million $500 million +7% n/a

Paycom Moves Forward More Slowly

Paycom issued an upbeat financial report for the first quarter of 2025, even though investors had to settle for slower growth rates than they've seen in the past. Revenue came in up a bit over $30 million from year-ago levels, and that caused growth rates to fall from double-digit percentages in the fourth quarter to mid-single-digit percentages. Similarly, growth in adjusted net income was fairly sluggish, although adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) managed to post a 10% gain year over year.

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Founder/CEO Chad Richison's comments were generally similar to what he's been saying in past quarters. The leader emphasized the role that automation is playing in the business and pointed to measures to make Paycom's internal business more efficient as well as greater efforts to boost sales conversions.

Paycom also modestly boosted its full-year 2025 guidance. The company now expects between $2.023 billion and $2.038 billion in revenue for the year, up between $3 million and $8 million from previous projections. Adjusted EBITDA got a much larger boost of $18 million to $23 million, setting a new range of $843 million to $858 million.

Immediate Market Reaction

Even with the somewhat slow growth rate, Paycom managed to exceed lowered expectations among investors. It therefore wasn't surprising to see the stock climb about 2% in the first hour of after-hours trading Wednesday afternoon following the report's release.

Unlike many software stocks, Paycom has stayed relatively close to its highest levels from late 2024. However, the shares remain well below their 2021 peak, reflecting the reset in expectations investors have made as growth has slowed.

What to Watch

Investors will want to keep a close eye on future results from Paycom as the company's clients adjust to changing macroeconomic conditions. Many economists are forecasting a possible recession. If businesses need to cut back on software spending to make ends meet, Paycom could see further pressure on future sales gains.

In the meantime, though, Paycom will have to redouble its efforts to get its sales team to close deals effectively and efficiently. At some point, investors will want to see Paycom's growth accelerate considerably to get the stock moving more assertively in the right direction.

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Axon Hits the Mark to Start 2025

Here's our initial take on Axon Enterprise's (NASDAQ: AXON) first-quarter financial report.

Key Metrics

Metric Q1 2024 Q1 2025 Change vs. Expectations
Total revenue $460 million $604 million +31% Beat
Adjusted earnings per share $1.15 $1.41 +23% Beat
Annual recurring revenue $825 million $1.10 billion +34% n/a
Net revenue retention 122% 123% +1 pp n/a

Axon Stays on Target

Axon got good results in the first quarter of 2025, setting a new record for quarterly revenue and seeing year-over-year sales growth top 25% for the 13th quarter in a row. Just about all of Axon's products and services pulled their weight, as sales of connected devices rose 26% and Taser-related revenue was up 19%. Personal sensors had stronger revenue gains of 30%, and the new platform solutions segment grew at a faster-than-50% clip. Axon pointed to the Taser 10 system, the Axon Body 4 sensor, and various virtual-reality and drone equipment as particularly strong contributors to top-line gains.

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Beyond the numbers, Axon was excited about the product rollouts it has recently made in support of public safety. With the 10th annual installment of its Axon Week user conference last month, the company presented its Axon Vehicle Intelligence platform, which incorporates capabilities like expanded video, automated license plate recognition, livestreaming, real-time alerts, and camera systems, including the Outpost fixed camera and the Lightpost streetlight camera.

Other features include the artificial intelligence (AI)-powered, voice-activated Axon Assistant for real-time translation, internet access, and assistance with established policies and protocols. In addition, through collaborations with third-party providers, like the Ring doorbell camera system, Axon intends to bring public and private safety networks together for the greater good.

Immediate Market Reaction

Investors were pleased with what they saw from Axon. The stock was up more than 6% in the first 30 minutes of after-hours trading on Wednesday following the release of the report. With the move upward, the stock is poised to return to its best levels since the stock market started a broader decline in mid-February.

The move higher was reasonable, given the more modest growth expectations most shareholders seemed to have. A $0.17 per share earnings beat and sales at about $18 million higher than the consensus forecast got a positive reception.

What to Watch

Axon also pushed its guidance higher for the full 2025 year. The company now expects revenue of between $2.6 billion and $2.7 billion, which would mark about a 27% growth rate compared to 2024's final figures. That was a $50 million push higher, and adjusted earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization got a roughly $5 million to $10 million boost to a new range of $650 million to $675 million.

Axon isn't afraid to invest in its future, with spending plans for between $160 million and $180 million this year. That should help the company stay on the cutting edge of research and development, which could, in turn, be essential in putting Axon in the best possible position to keep growing.

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Dan Caplinger has positions in Axon Enterprise. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Axon Enterprise. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy.

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